Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 10:17 PM EDT
Result
primeiraliga
AVS
Estoril
home
Odds
4.10
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.627
Stake
0.49u
Won
+1.52u
Result
primeiraliga
C.D. Nacional
FC Porto
draw
Odds
4.60
Prob
36.0%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
Result
primeiraliga
Casa Pia
Arouca
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.365
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Result
primeiraliga
Gil Vicente
Braga
home
Odds
4.10
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.547
Stake
0.42u
Won
+1.30u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
Estrela
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
38.7%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.82u
Result
primeiraliga
FC Famalicao
AVS
draw
Odds
4.30
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.547
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Result
primeiraliga
Braga
Rio Ave
away
Odds
4.40
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.279
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
Vitória de Guimaraes
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.746
Stake
0.80u
Won
+2.24u
Result
primeiraliga
Estoril
Tondela
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
40.5%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Result
primeiraliga
Estrela
Santa Clara
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.637
Stake
0.44u
Won
+1.54u
Result
primeiraliga
Braga
Alverca
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.125
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
Result
primeiraliga
C.D. Nacional
Rio Ave
draw
Odds
4.40
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.632
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Result
primeiraliga
Benfica
Estrela
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.355
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
Sporting CP
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.227
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
Result
primeiraliga
Casa Pia
AVS
draw
Odds
3.15
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.239
Stake
0.59u
Won
+1.27u
Result
primeiraliga
Estrela
Estoril
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
40.8%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Result
primeiraliga
Santa Clara
FC Famalicao
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.412
Stake
0.93u
Won
+2.19u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
FC Porto
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.089
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Result
primeiraliga
AVS
Arouca
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
Result
primeiraliga
Gil Vicente
C.D. Nacional
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.062
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
Result
primeiraliga
Alverca
Moreirense
away
Odds
4.70
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
Result
primeiraliga
Alverca
FC Famalicao
draw
Odds
3.05
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Result
primeiraliga
Santa Clara
FC Porto
home
Odds
3.65
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.596
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Result
primeiraliga
AVS
Moreirense
home
Odds
4.70
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
1.034
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Result
primeiraliga
Estrela
Braga
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.423
Stake
0.90u
Won
+2.03u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
C.D. Nacional
draw
Odds
3.35
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.350
Stake
0.79u
Lost
-0.79u
Result
primeiraliga
Braga
Benfica
home
Odds
4.30
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.891
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
Gil Vicente
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
34.9%
EV/u
0.257
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Result
primeiraliga
Estoril
Alverca
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
48.0%
EV/u
0.417
Stake
0.92u
Lost
-0.92u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
Sporting CP
away
Odds
4.90
Prob
30.8%
EV/u
1.654
Stake
0.60u
Won
+2.34u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
Alverca
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
41.1%
EV/u
0.706
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
Result
primeiraliga
Moreirense
Benfica
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Result
primeiraliga
FC Famalicao
Estoril
draw
Odds
4.70
Prob
31.1%
EV/u
0.392
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Result
primeiraliga
Rio Ave
Vitória de Guimaraes
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.263
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
Braga
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
32.0%
EV/u
0.285
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
Result
primeiraliga
Sporting CP
Estrela
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.132
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Result
primeiraliga
C.D. Nacional
Benfica
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
38.6%
EV/u
0.183
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
AVS
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.301
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
Result
primeiraliga
AVS
Tondela
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
27.8%
EV/u
0.174
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Result
primeiraliga
FC Porto
Braga
draw
Odds
3.90
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.086
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
Result
primeiraliga
Casa Pia
Estrela
draw
Odds
4.40
Prob
26.1%
EV/u
0.310
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
Benfica
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
27.8%
EV/u
0.413
Stake
0.57u
Won
+1.48u
Result
primeiraliga
Rio Ave
Estoril
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
29.0%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.53u
Won
+1.17u
Result
primeiraliga
FC Famalicao
Vitória de Guimaraes
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
26.4%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Result
primeiraliga
Braga
Casa Pia
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
28.2%
EV/u
0.756
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Result
primeiraliga
Tondela
Sporting CP
draw
Odds
4.40
Prob
27.5%
EV/u
0.462
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Result
primeiraliga
Santa Clara
AVS
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.16u
Won
+0.35u
Result
primeiraliga
Estrela
Rio Ave
draw
Odds
3.90
Prob
27.8%
EV/u
0.307
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Result
primeiraliga
Benfica
Arouca
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
27.6%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
Result
primeiraliga
Sporting CP
Braga
draw
Odds
3.35
Prob
34.3%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.31u
Won
+0.73u
Result
primeiraliga
Rio Ave
Tondela
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
Result
primeiraliga
FC Porto
Benfica
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
31.2%
EV/u
0.247
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
Santa Clara
draw
Odds
3.70
Prob
43.7%
EV/u
0.084
Stake
0.11u
Lost
-0.11u
Result
primeiraliga
AVS
Alverca
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.087
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Result
primeiraliga
Gil Vicente
Estrela
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
30.6%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Result
primeiraliga
Casa Pia
Estoril
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
30.6%
EV/u
0.284
Stake
0.72u
Won
+1.51u
Result
primeiraliga
Gil Vicente
Estoril
away
Odds
3.90
Prob
31.7%
EV/u
0.334
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Result
primeiraliga
Casa Pia
FC Famalicao
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.378
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Result
primeiraliga
C.D. Nacional
Arouca
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
31.5%
EV/u
0.121
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
Braga
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
19.2%
EV/u
0.517
Stake
1.14u
Won
+2.74u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
Casa Pia
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
31.4%
EV/u
0.404
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.97u
Result
primeiraliga
Estrela
Vitória de Guimaraes
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
26.0%
EV/u
0.151
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Result
primeiraliga
Braga
Gil Vicente
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
22.5%
EV/u
0.443
Stake
0.57u
Won
+1.60u
Result
primeiraliga
Estoril
AVS
away
Odds
4.80
Prob
26.7%
EV/u
0.647
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Result
primeiraliga
FC Famalicao
Sporting CP
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
13.9%
EV/u
0.692
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
Result
primeiraliga
Moreirense
Rio Ave
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
26.6%
EV/u
0.304
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Result
primeiraliga
Benfica
Santa Clara
draw
Odds
3.35
Prob
22.7%
EV/u
0.407
Stake
0.92u
Won
+2.16u
Result
primeiraliga
Tondela
Estoril
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
29.7%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
Result
primeiraliga
Tondela
Estoril
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
29.9%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.92u
Result
primeiraliga
Santa Clara
Estrela
draw
Odds
3.70
Prob
29.4%
EV/u
0.461
Stake
0.61u
Won
+1.65u
Result
primeiraliga
Alverca
Benfica
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
31.1%
EV/u
0.245
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
Arouca
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.329
Stake
0.42u
Lost
-0.42u
Result
primeiraliga
Sporting CP
FC Porto
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
26.8%
EV/u
0.276
Stake
0.40u
Won
+1.00u
Result
primeiraliga
Casa Pia
C.D. Nacional
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
35.9%
EV/u
0.380
Stake
0.49u
Won
+1.37u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
Arouca
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
30.6%
EV/u
0.231
Stake
0.52u
Won
+1.14u
Result
primeiraliga
Sporting CP
FC Porto
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
30.5%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
Result
primeiraliga
Casa Pia
C.D. Nacional
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
30.6%
EV/u
0.356
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
Result
primeiraliga
Gil Vicente
Moreirense
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
30.5%
EV/u
0.294
Stake
0.69u
Lost
-0.69u
Result
primeiraliga
Gil Vicente
Moreirense
draw
Odds
2.75
Prob
31.1%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Result
primeiraliga
Estrela
Alverca
draw
Odds
3.00
Prob
26.4%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.84u
Result
primeiraliga
Braga
AVS
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.445
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Result
primeiraliga
C.D. Nacional
Sporting CP
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
34.5%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.80u
Result
primeiraliga
Benfica
Tondela
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
34.9%
EV/u
0.041
Stake
0.12u
Won
+0.24u
Result
primeiraliga
Benfica
Tondela
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
30.0%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.52u
Lost
-0.52u
Result
primeiraliga
C.D. Nacional
Sporting CP
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
30.7%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
Result
primeiraliga
Gil Vicente
FC Porto
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
29.0%
EV/u
0.734
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Result
primeiraliga
Alverca
Braga
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
30.1%
EV/u
0.115
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
Result
primeiraliga
Santa Clara
Moreirense
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
31.6%
EV/u
0.790
Stake
0.54u
Won
+1.89u
Result
primeiraliga
Sporting CP
Arouca
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
32.4%
EV/u
0.286
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Result
primeiraliga
Vitória de Guimaraes
Estoril
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
32.4%
EV/u
0.565
Stake
0.41u
Lost
-0.41u
Result
primeiraliga
Tondela
FC Famalicao
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
30.3%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
Result
primeiraliga
FC Porto
Vitória de Guimaraes
draw
Odds
4.40
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.280
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
Result
primeiraliga
Moreirense
Alverca
away
Odds
4.10
Prob
30.1%
EV/u
0.604
Stake
0.47u
Lost
-0.47u
Result
primeiraliga
FC Famalicao
Santa Clara
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
34.4%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Result
primeiraliga
Braga
Tondela
draw
Odds
4.10
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.255
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
AVS
away
Odds
4.80
Prob
30.0%
EV/u
0.634
Stake
0.40u
Lost
-0.40u
Result
primeiraliga
C.D. Nacional
Gil Vicente
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
31.9%
EV/u
0.101
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.54u
Result
primeiraliga
Santa Clara
away
Odds
3.70
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.09u
Won
+0.24u
Result
primeiraliga
Arouca
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.390
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Result
primeiraliga
Estoril
Estrela
away
Odds
4.10
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.