Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 7, 2026 1:11 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2021 | seriea |
Bologna
Juventus
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.50 | 68.2% | 1.387 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| May 23, 2021 | seriea |
Spezia
AS Roma
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.38 | 63.9% | 0.517 | 0.50u | Won | +0.69u |
| May 23, 2021 | seriea |
Atalanta
AC Milan
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.25 | 84.6% | 0.903 | 1.20u | Won | +1.50u |
| May 22, 2021 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 49.5% | 0.141 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| May 21, 2021 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 49.5% | 0.191 | 0.45u | Won | +0.61u |
| May 21, 2021 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 49.4% | 0.250 | 0.60u | Won | +0.88u |
| May 21, 2021 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 49.5% | 0.192 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| May 21, 2021 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 49.6% | 0.150 | 0.30u | Won | +0.38u |
| May 20, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 49.4% | 0.264 | 0.51u | Won | +0.77u |
| May 20, 2021 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 49.5% | 0.283 | 0.57u | Won | +0.88u |
| May 20, 2021 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 49.5% | 0.191 | 0.35u | Won | +0.48u |
| May 20, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 49.5% | 0.196 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| May 19, 2021 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 49.5% | 0.196 | 0.71u | Won | +0.97u |
| May 19, 2021 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 49.6% | 0.145 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| May 19, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 49.5% | 0.182 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| May 18, 2021 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.71 | 50.0% | 0.355 | 0.30u | Won | +0.51u |
| May 18, 2021 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.65 | 75.0% | 0.988 | 0.35u | Won | +0.58u |
| May 18, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.05 | 59.6% | 0.222 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| May 18, 2021 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 75.0% | 0.950 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| May 18, 2021 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 38.6% | 0.412 | 0.35u | Won | +0.46u |
| May 18, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 38.6% | 0.258 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| May 17, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 38.6% | 0.461 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| May 17, 2021 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.02 | 59.6% | 0.204 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| May 17, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.22 | 71.4% | 0.586 | 0.36u | Won | +0.44u |
| May 17, 2021 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.06 | 71.4% | 0.471 | 0.36u | Won | +0.38u |
| May 17, 2021 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.49 | 50.0% | 0.245 | 0.19u | Won | +0.28u |
| May 17, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.31 | 59.6% | 0.377 | 0.36u | Won | +0.47u |
| May 16, 2021 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 38.6% | 0.177 | 0.17u | Won | +0.16u |
| May 16, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.53 | 38.6% | 0.553 | 0.42u | Won | +0.64u |
| May 16, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.42 | 59.6% | 0.443 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| May 16, 2021 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 38.6% | 0.326 | 0.42u | Won | +0.49u |
| May 16, 2021 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.18 | 59.6% | 0.300 | 0.37u | Won | +0.44u |
| May 16, 2021 | seriea |
Benevento
Crotone
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.50 | 63.9% | 1.237 | 0.50u | Won | +1.25u |
| May 16, 2021 | seriea |
Parma
Sassuolo
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.00 | 87.7% | 1.630 | 1.00u | Won | +2.00u |
| May 16, 2021 | seriea |
Udinese
Sampdoria
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 65.4% | 0.717 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| May 16, 2021 | seriea |
AC Milan
Cagliari
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 66.1% | 0.734 | 0.77u | Won | +1.25u |
| May 15, 2021 | seriea |
AS Roma
Lazio
|
Home draw | 1x | 5.00 | 58.9% | 1.946 | 1.20u | Won | +4.80u |
| May 15, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 38.6% | 0.455 | 0.35u | Won | +0.48u |
| May 15, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 38.6% | 0.522 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| May 15, 2021 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 38.6% | 0.289 | 0.27u | Won | +0.30u |
| May 15, 2021 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.40 | 59.6% | 0.431 | 0.35u | Won | +0.49u |
| May 15, 2021 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 50.0% | 0.270 | 0.16u | Won | +0.25u |
| May 15, 2021 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.23 | 59.6% | 0.329 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| May 14, 2021 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 38.6% | 0.193 | 0.21u | Won | +0.20u |
| May 14, 2021 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.20 | 59.6% | 0.312 | 0.38u | Won | +0.46u |
| May 14, 2021 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 38.6% | 0.177 | 0.26u | Won | +0.24u |
| May 14, 2021 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 1.94 | 71.4% | 0.382 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| May 14, 2021 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 1.98 | 59.6% | 0.181 | 0.26u | Won | +0.25u |
| May 14, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 38.6% | 0.199 | 0.31u | Won | +0.30u |
| May 13, 2021 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 38.6% | 0.412 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| May 13, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.27 | 59.6% | 0.353 | 0.21u | Won | +0.27u |
| May 13, 2021 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 38.6% | 0.461 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| May 13, 2021 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 1.94 | 75.0% | 0.451 | 0.33u | Won | +0.31u |
| May 13, 2021 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | home | 1.99 | 75.0% | 0.493 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| May 13, 2021 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 38.6% | 0.467 | 0.33u | Won | +0.46u |
| May 12, 2021 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 38.6% | 0.289 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| May 12, 2021 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.21 | 71.4% | 0.579 | 0.33u | Won | +0.40u |
| May 12, 2021 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 38.6% | 0.265 | 0.26u | Won | +0.28u |
| May 12, 2021 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 38.6% | 0.265 | 0.25u | Won | +0.27u |
| May 12, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 38.6% | 0.351 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| May 12, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.20 | 59.6% | 0.312 | 0.33u | Won | +0.40u |
| May 12, 2021 | seriea |
Atalanta
Benevento
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.20 | 76.8% | 0.690 | 0.46u | Won | +0.55u |
| May 12, 2021 | seriea |
Cagliari
Fiorentina
|
Home draw | away | 3.25 | 31.2% | 1.238 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| May 12, 2021 | seriea |
Torino
AC Milan
|
Home draw | away | 4.60 | 48.0% | 1.393 | 0.50u | Won | +1.80u |
| May 12, 2021 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Juventus
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.50 | 52.2% | 0.826 | 1.20u | Won | +3.00u |
| May 11, 2021 | seriea |
Napoli
Udinese
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.00 | 50.8% | 0.523 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 11, 2021 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.69 | 50.0% | 0.345 | 0.30u | Won | +0.51u |
| May 11, 2021 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.67 | 59.6% | 0.592 | 0.38u | Won | +0.63u |
| May 11, 2021 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.41 | 50.0% | 0.205 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| May 11, 2021 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 38.6% | 0.424 | 0.38u | Won | +0.50u |
| May 11, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.35 | 59.6% | 0.401 | 0.38u | Won | +0.51u |
| May 11, 2021 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 50.0% | 0.295 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| May 10, 2021 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.03 | 59.6% | 0.210 | 1.02u | Won | +1.05u |
| May 9, 2021 | mlb |
New York Mets
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.49 | 59.6% | 0.484 | 0.50u | Won | +0.75u |
| May 9, 2021 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.00 | 75.0% | 0.500 | 0.50u | Won | +0.50u |
| May 9, 2021 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 38.6% | 0.430 | 0.50u | Won | +0.67u |
| May 9, 2021 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 38.6% | 0.295 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| May 9, 2021 | seriea |
Genoa
Sassuolo
|
Home draw | away | 2.45 | 19.7% | 0.968 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| May 8, 2021 | seriea |
Udinese
Bologna
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.50 | 73.7% | 0.842 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| May 8, 2021 | mlb |
New York Mets
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.09 | 59.6% | 0.246 | 0.22u | Won | +0.24u |
| May 8, 2021 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 38.6% | 0.412 | 0.34u | Won | +0.44u |
| May 8, 2021 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 38.6% | 0.271 | 0.27u | Won | +0.29u |
| May 8, 2021 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 38.6% | 0.394 | 0.34u | Won | +0.43u |
| May 8, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.70 | 71.4% | 0.929 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| May 8, 2021 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.19 | 59.6% | 0.306 | 0.29u | Won | +0.35u |
| May 7, 2021 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.27 | 59.6% | 0.353 | 0.43u | Won | +0.55u |
| May 7, 2021 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.00 | 59.6% | 0.192 | 0.26u | Won | +0.26u |
| May 7, 2021 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 38.6% | 0.188 | 0.25u | Won | +0.23u |
| May 7, 2021 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.12 | 75.0% | 0.590 | 0.43u | Won | +0.48u |
| May 7, 2021 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 59.6% | 0.461 | 0.43u | Won | +0.62u |
| May 6, 2021 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 1.97 | 59.6% | 0.175 | 0.34u | Won | +0.33u |
| May 6, 2021 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 38.6% | 0.510 | 0.73u | Won | +1.07u |
| May 6, 2021 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 59.6% | 0.479 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| May 5, 2021 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 38.6% | 0.394 | 0.53u | Won | +0.67u |
| May 5, 2021 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.13 | 59.6% | 0.270 | 0.44u | Won | +0.50u |
| May 5, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 38.6% | 0.265 | 0.44u | Won | +0.47u |
| May 5, 2021 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.57 | 50.0% | 0.285 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| May 4, 2021 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 37.9% | 0.372 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| May 4, 2021 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 37.9% | 0.241 | 0.31u | Won | +0.31u |
| May 4, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 55.3% | 0.411 | 0.38u | Won | +0.59u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.