Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 7, 2026 1:11 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 63.6% | 0.546 | 0.37u | Won | +0.53u |
| Apr 17, 2021 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 1.94 | 71.4% | 0.382 | 0.37u | Won | +0.35u |
| Apr 17, 2021 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.47 | 50.0% | 0.235 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Apr 17, 2021 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
New York Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 50.0% | 0.270 | 0.18u | Won | +0.28u |
| Apr 17, 2021 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 44.1% | 0.386 | 0.36u | Won | +0.53u |
| Apr 17, 2021 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.51 | 44.1% | 0.403 | 0.37u | Won | +0.56u |
| Apr 16, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.42 | 50.0% | 0.210 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Apr 16, 2021 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 50.0% | 0.270 | 0.40u | Won | +0.62u |
| Apr 16, 2021 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 50.0% | 0.220 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Apr 16, 2021 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 1.98 | 75.0% | 0.485 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Apr 16, 2021 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 50.0% | 0.240 | 0.29u | Won | +0.43u |
| Apr 15, 2021 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 44.1% | 0.157 | 0.31u | Won | +0.33u |
| Apr 15, 2021 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.30 | 50.0% | 0.150 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Apr 15, 2021 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 50.0% | 0.280 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Apr 15, 2021 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.34 | 66.7% | 0.560 | 0.70u | Won | +0.94u |
| Apr 14, 2021 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.58 | 50.0% | 0.290 | 0.21u | Won | +0.33u |
| Apr 14, 2021 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 63.6% | 0.591 | 0.53u | Won | +0.80u |
| Apr 14, 2021 | mlb |
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.05 | 75.0% | 0.538 | 0.53u | Won | +0.56u |
| Apr 14, 2021 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 28.6% | 0.671 | 0.53u | Won | +0.71u |
| Apr 13, 2021 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 44.1% | 0.274 | 0.47u | Won | +0.60u |
| Apr 13, 2021 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 44.1% | 0.330 | 0.52u | Won | +0.72u |
| Apr 13, 2021 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.40 | 63.6% | 0.527 | 0.57u | Won | +0.80u |
| Apr 13, 2021 | mlb |
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.200 | 0.24u | Won | +0.34u |
| Apr 12, 2021 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.30 | 50.0% | 0.150 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Apr 12, 2021 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 50.0% | 0.240 | 0.37u | Won | +0.55u |
| Apr 12, 2021 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 75.0% | 0.830 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Apr 12, 2021 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 28.6% | 0.464 | 0.63u | Won | +0.66u |
| Apr 12, 2021 | seriea |
Benevento
Sassuolo
|
Home draw | away | 2.20 | 35.5% | 0.420 | 1.20u | Won | +1.44u |
| Apr 11, 2021 | seriea |
Hellas Verona
Lazio
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.20 | 59.5% | 0.308 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 11, 2021 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.04 | 28.6% | 0.457 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Apr 11, 2021 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 28.6% | 0.693 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Apr 11, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 50.0% | 0.230 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Apr 11, 2021 | mlb |
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 50.0% | 0.240 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Apr 11, 2021 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 1.98 | 63.6% | 0.260 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Apr 11, 2021 | seriea |
AS Roma
Bologna
|
Draw away | x2 | 4.00 | 57.9% | 1.316 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | seriea |
Parma
AC Milan
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.10 | 55.6% | 0.168 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | seriea |
Spezia
Crotone
|
Home draw | away | 3.30 | 47.5% | 0.733 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.18 | 75.0% | 0.635 | 0.75u | Won | +0.89u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 28.6% | 0.629 | 0.75u | Won | +0.96u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 50.0% | 0.230 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Apr 9, 2021 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 28.6% | 0.443 | 0.36u | Won | +0.37u |
| Apr 9, 2021 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.01 | 75.0% | 0.508 | 0.36u | Won | +0.36u |
| Apr 9, 2021 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 44.1% | 0.235 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Apr 9, 2021 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.63 | 50.0% | 0.315 | 0.21u | Won | +0.34u |
| Apr 9, 2021 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 28.6% | 0.536 | 0.36u | Won | +0.41u |
| Apr 9, 2021 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.31 | 75.0% | 0.733 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Apr 8, 2021 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 71.4% | 0.736 | 1.20u | Won | +1.72u |
| Apr 7, 2021 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.25 | 63.6% | 0.432 | 0.64u | Won | +0.80u |
| Apr 7, 2021 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 1.98 | 75.0% | 0.485 | 0.67u | Won | +0.66u |
| Apr 7, 2021 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 44.1% | 0.358 | 0.49u | Won | +0.70u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 32.7% | 0.576 | 0.50u | Won | +0.67u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 38.8% | 0.377 | 0.50u | Won | +0.63u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 34.2% | 0.368 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.04 | 37.7% | 0.271 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 38.2% | 0.268 | 0.35u | Won | +0.37u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 48.5% | 0.142 | 0.10u | Won | +0.12u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 55.4% | 0.351 | 0.45u | Won | +0.65u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 40.9% | 0.175 | 0.45u | Won | +0.45u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.01 | 40.1% | 0.203 | 0.57u | Won | +0.58u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 56.1% | 0.379 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.24 | 58.2% | 0.304 | 0.37u | Won | +0.46u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 39.4% | 0.206 | 0.20u | Won | +0.20u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 31.2% | 0.370 | 0.41u | Won | +0.41u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 34.7% | 0.482 | 0.41u | Won | +0.52u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.23 | 65.1% | 0.453 | 0.38u | Won | +0.47u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 35.3% | 0.552 | 0.49u | Won | +0.69u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 34.4% | 0.536 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 35.9% | 0.506 | 0.44u | Won | +0.59u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 36.8% | 0.201 | 0.48u | Won | +0.43u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.30 | 58.0% | 0.333 | 0.32u | Won | +0.42u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 33.2% | 0.563 | 0.35u | Won | +0.47u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 41.9% | 0.162 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 38.5% | 0.432 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 38.2% | 0.452 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.07 | 66.3% | 0.373 | 0.35u | Won | +0.37u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 58.6% | 0.453 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.05 | 59.8% | 0.226 | 0.16u | Won | +0.17u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | seriea |
Lazio
Spezia
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.75 | 64.8% | 0.783 | 0.94u | Lost | -0.94u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | seriea |
Atalanta
Udinese
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.50 | 62.7% | 0.567 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | seriea |
Benevento
Parma
|
Home draw | away | 2.55 | 47.6% | 0.336 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | seriea |
Cagliari
Hellas Verona
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 58.9% | 0.546 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | seriea |
Sassuolo
AS Roma
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 57.1% | 0.498 | 0.56u | Won | +0.91u |
| Apr 2, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 40.6% | 0.396 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 28.6% | 0.529 | 0.67u | Won | +0.76u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 34.2% | 0.554 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 36.0% | 0.460 | 0.46u | Won | +0.59u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.21 | 52.7% | 0.165 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.73 | 57.3% | 0.566 | 0.36u | Won | +0.62u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 37.1% | 0.271 | 0.32u | Won | +0.33u |
| Mar 21, 2021 | seriea |
Fiorentina
AC Milan
|
Home draw | away | 2.05 | 46.6% | 0.094 | 0.72u | Won | +0.76u |
| Mar 14, 2021 | seriea |
Parma
AS Roma
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 61.7% | 0.619 | 0.50u | Won | +0.81u |
| Mar 14, 2021 | seriea |
Bologna
Sampdoria
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.40 | 88.9% | 2.024 | 1.00u | Won | +2.40u |
| Mar 13, 2021 | seriea |
Benevento
Fiorentina
|
Home draw | away | 2.10 | 11.3% | 0.862 | 1.20u | Won | +1.32u |
| Mar 12, 2021 | seriea |
Lazio
Crotone
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.75 | 50.1% | 0.879 | 0.84u | Lost | -0.84u |
| Mar 12, 2021 | seriea |
Atalanta
Spezia
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.50 | 50.1% | 0.754 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Mar 7, 2021 | seriea |
AS Roma
Genoa
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.75 | 50.1% | 0.377 | 0.99u | Lost | -0.99u |
| Mar 7, 2021 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Parma
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.50 | 50.1% | 0.252 | 0.51u | Won | +0.77u |
| Mar 7, 2021 | seriea |
Hellas Verona
AC Milan
|
Home draw | away | 2.15 | 27.2% | 0.565 | 1.20u | Won | +1.38u |
| Mar 4, 2021 | seriea |
Parma
Internazionale
|
Home draw | 1x | 4.00 | 72.7% | 1.909 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 3, 2021 | seriea |
Fiorentina
AS Roma
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.00 | 65.0% | 0.300 | 1.20u | Won | +1.20u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.