Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 7, 2026 1:11 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2021 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.63 | 54.2% | 0.425 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| May 4, 2021 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.22 | 55.3% | 0.228 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| May 4, 2021 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.08 | 54.2% | 0.127 | 0.09u | Won | +0.10u |
| May 3, 2021 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 30.0% | 0.687 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| May 3, 2021 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.12 | 55.3% | 0.173 | 0.49u | Won | +0.55u |
| May 3, 2021 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.23 | 54.2% | 0.208 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| May 3, 2021 | seriea |
Torino
Parma
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.20 | 52.7% | 0.158 | 1.06u | Lost | -1.06u |
| May 2, 2021 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Atalanta
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.63 | 54.1% | 0.421 | 0.56u | Won | +0.91u |
| May 2, 2021 | seriea |
Napoli
Cagliari
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.25 | 50.1% | 0.628 | 0.94u | Won | +2.12u |
| May 2, 2021 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 29.4% | 0.426 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| May 2, 2021 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 37.9% | 0.366 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| May 2, 2021 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.40 | 55.3% | 0.328 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| May 2, 2021 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 37.9% | 0.397 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| May 2, 2021 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.16 | 54.2% | 0.170 | 0.12u | Won | +0.14u |
| May 2, 2021 | seriea |
Bologna
Fiorentina
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 81.8% | 1.147 | 1.04u | Won | +1.69u |
| May 2, 2021 | seriea |
Sampdoria
AS Roma
|
Home draw | away | 2.20 | 47.0% | 0.166 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| May 1, 2021 | seriea |
Hellas Verona
Spezia
|
Home away | draw | 3.50 | 41.9% | 1.033 | 1.20u | Won | +3.00u |
| May 1, 2021 | seriea |
AC Milan
Benevento
|
Home draw | 1x | 4.00 | 91.3% | 2.652 | 1.20u | Won | +3.60u |
| May 1, 2021 | seriea |
Crotone
Internazionale
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.25 | 52.0% | 0.691 | 1.20u | Won | +2.70u |
| May 1, 2021 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 25.0% | 0.568 | 0.35u | Won | +0.38u |
| May 1, 2021 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 37.9% | 0.359 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| May 1, 2021 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.19 | 54.2% | 0.186 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| May 1, 2021 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 30.0% | 0.568 | 0.35u | Won | +0.43u |
| May 1, 2021 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 54.2% | 0.387 | 0.31u | Won | +0.48u |
| May 1, 2021 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 29.4% | 0.372 | 0.35u | Won | +0.33u |
| Apr 30, 2021 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 46.2% | 0.212 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Apr 30, 2021 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 55.3% | 0.416 | 0.48u | Won | +0.75u |
| Apr 30, 2021 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.42 | 54.2% | 0.311 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Apr 30, 2021 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 1.96 | 37.9% | 0.218 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Apr 30, 2021 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.09 | 55.3% | 0.156 | 0.19u | Won | +0.21u |
| Apr 29, 2021 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 37.9% | 0.477 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Apr 29, 2021 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 30.0% | 0.792 | 0.35u | Won | +0.55u |
| Apr 29, 2021 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.19 | 100.0% | 1.190 | 0.35u | Won | +0.42u |
| Apr 29, 2021 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 55.3% | 0.372 | 0.30u | Won | +0.44u |
| Apr 29, 2021 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.58 | 54.2% | 0.398 | 0.33u | Won | +0.52u |
| Apr 29, 2021 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.19 | 55.3% | 0.212 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Apr 28, 2021 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 37.9% | 0.421 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Apr 28, 2021 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 30.0% | 0.336 | 0.40u | Won | +0.36u |
| Apr 28, 2021 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 0.0% | 1.240 | 0.40u | Won | +0.50u |
| Apr 28, 2021 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 54.2% | 0.387 | 0.40u | Won | +0.62u |
| Apr 28, 2021 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 37.9% | 0.235 | 0.20u | Won | +0.20u |
| Apr 27, 2021 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.04 | 29.4% | 0.440 | 0.32u | Won | +0.33u |
| Apr 27, 2021 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 29.4% | 0.722 | 0.34u | Won | +0.49u |
| Apr 27, 2021 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 25.0% | 0.493 | 0.34u | Won | +0.34u |
| Apr 27, 2021 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 30.0% | 0.624 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Apr 27, 2021 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.32 | 55.3% | 0.283 | 0.12u | Won | +0.16u |
| Apr 27, 2021 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 29.4% | 0.447 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Apr 26, 2021 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 1.97 | 29.4% | 0.391 | 0.60u | Won | +0.58u |
| Apr 26, 2021 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.09 | 54.2% | 0.132 | 0.16u | Won | +0.17u |
| Apr 26, 2021 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.32 | 54.2% | 0.257 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Apr 26, 2021 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 30.0% | 0.778 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 25, 2021 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 37.9% | 0.341 | 0.37u | Won | +0.43u |
| Apr 25, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.21 | 54.2% | 0.197 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Apr 25, 2021 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 37.9% | 0.409 | 0.37u | Won | +0.47u |
| Apr 25, 2021 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 54.2% | 0.327 | 0.33u | Won | +0.48u |
| Apr 25, 2021 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.29 | 54.2% | 0.240 | 0.21u | Won | +0.27u |
| Apr 25, 2021 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.39 | 55.3% | 0.322 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Apr 25, 2021 | seriea |
Cagliari
AS Roma
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.20 | 71.6% | 0.576 | 1.20u | Won | +1.44u |
| Apr 25, 2021 | seriea |
Atalanta
Bologna
|
Draw away | x2 | 4.33 | 52.2% | 1.260 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 24, 2021 | seriea |
Genoa
Spezia
|
Draw away | home | 2.00 | 47.9% | 0.043 | 0.34u | Won | +0.34u |
| Apr 24, 2021 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 54.2% | 0.322 | 0.28u | Won | +0.40u |
| Apr 24, 2021 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 100.0% | 1.460 | 0.36u | Won | +0.53u |
| Apr 24, 2021 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.52 | 29.4% | 0.779 | 0.36u | Won | +0.55u |
| Apr 24, 2021 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 54.2% | 0.343 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Apr 24, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.25 | 54.2% | 0.219 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Apr 24, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.31 | 55.3% | 0.278 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Apr 23, 2021 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 1.97 | 30.0% | 0.380 | 0.36u | Won | +0.35u |
| Apr 23, 2021 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.35 | 54.2% | 0.273 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Apr 23, 2021 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.33 | 54.2% | 0.262 | 0.23u | Won | +0.31u |
| Apr 23, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.33 | 55.3% | 0.289 | 0.28u | Won | +0.37u |
| Apr 23, 2021 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.39 | 55.3% | 0.322 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Apr 23, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 46.2% | 0.368 | 0.36u | Won | +0.55u |
| Apr 22, 2021 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.12 | 54.2% | 0.148 | 0.60u | Won | +0.67u |
| Apr 22, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
New York Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.51 | 55.3% | 0.389 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 21, 2021 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 54.2% | 0.403 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Apr 21, 2021 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 55.3% | 0.438 | 0.39u | Won | +0.62u |
| Apr 21, 2021 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.34 | 54.2% | 0.268 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Apr 21, 2021 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.10 | 55.3% | 0.162 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Apr 21, 2021 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.17 | 55.3% | 0.200 | 0.19u | Won | +0.22u |
| Apr 21, 2021 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 55.3% | 0.372 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Apr 21, 2021 | seriea |
AC Milan
Sassuolo
|
Draw away | x2 | 4.00 | 50.3% | 1.013 | 1.20u | Won | +3.60u |
| Apr 21, 2021 | seriea |
Spezia
Internazionale
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.50 | 71.6% | 1.507 | 1.20u | Won | +3.00u |
| Apr 20, 2021 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 1.98 | 71.4% | 0.415 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Apr 20, 2021 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 28.6% | 0.643 | 0.33u | Won | +0.43u |
| Apr 20, 2021 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 75.0% | 0.943 | 0.33u | Won | +0.52u |
| Apr 20, 2021 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.34 | 63.6% | 0.489 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Apr 20, 2021 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 75.0% | 0.958 | 0.33u | Won | +0.53u |
| Apr 20, 2021 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 28.6% | 0.750 | 0.33u | Won | +0.48u |
| Apr 19, 2021 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.39 | 50.0% | 0.195 | 0.26u | Won | +0.36u |
| Apr 19, 2021 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 28.6% | 0.700 | 0.77u | Won | +1.06u |
| Apr 19, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 28.6% | 0.779 | 0.77u | Won | +1.15u |
| Apr 18, 2021 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.04 | 28.6% | 0.457 | 0.44u | Won | +0.46u |
| Apr 18, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.28 | 50.0% | 0.140 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Apr 18, 2021 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.04 | 75.0% | 0.530 | 0.44u | Won | +0.46u |
| Apr 18, 2021 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.41 | 50.0% | 0.205 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Apr 18, 2021 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 28.6% | 0.671 | 0.44u | Won | +0.59u |
| Apr 18, 2021 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.29 | 50.0% | 0.145 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Apr 18, 2021 | seriea |
AC Milan
Genoa
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.25 | 52.2% | 0.695 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Apr 18, 2021 | seriea |
Atalanta
Juventus
|
Draw away | home | 2.20 | 41.2% | 0.293 | 0.33u | Won | +0.40u |
| Apr 18, 2021 | seriea |
Torino
AS Roma
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.75 | 51.6% | 0.419 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.