Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 7, 2026 1:11 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2021 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.03 | 39.8% | 0.222 | 0.25u | Won | +0.26u |
| Aug 7, 2021 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 42.9% | 0.274 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Aug 7, 2021 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 39.8% | 0.252 | 0.32u | Won | +0.35u |
| Aug 6, 2021 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 39.8% | 0.144 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Aug 6, 2021 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 44.4% | 0.272 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Aug 6, 2021 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | away | 1.97 | 39.8% | 0.186 | 0.40u | Won | +0.39u |
| Aug 6, 2021 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 42.9% | 0.383 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 5, 2021 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.04 | 39.8% | 0.228 | 0.27u | Won | +0.28u |
| Aug 5, 2021 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 39.8% | 0.300 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Aug 5, 2021 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 39.8% | 0.415 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Aug 5, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 42.9% | 0.251 | 0.29u | Won | +0.35u |
| Aug 5, 2021 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.03 | 39.8% | 0.222 | 0.25u | Won | +0.26u |
| Aug 5, 2021 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 39.8% | 0.240 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Aug 4, 2021 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 42.9% | 0.183 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Aug 4, 2021 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | away | 1.98 | 39.8% | 0.192 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Aug 4, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 42.9% | 0.257 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Aug 4, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 39.8% | 0.246 | 0.37u | Won | +0.40u |
| Aug 4, 2021 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
|
Home cover | away | 1.97 | 39.8% | 0.186 | 0.24u | Won | +0.23u |
| Aug 4, 2021 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 39.8% | 0.270 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Aug 3, 2021 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.03 | 42.9% | 0.160 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Aug 3, 2021 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 42.9% | 0.257 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Aug 3, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.01 | 39.8% | 0.210 | 0.30u | Won | +0.30u |
| Aug 3, 2021 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 39.8% | 0.216 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Aug 3, 2021 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 42.9% | 0.303 | 0.39u | Won | +0.50u |
| Aug 3, 2021 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 42.9% | 0.206 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 39.8% | 0.312 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 39.8% | 0.354 | 0.35u | Won | +0.44u |
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 39.8% | 0.252 | 0.27u | Won | +0.29u |
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 42.9% | 0.314 | 0.35u | Won | +0.46u |
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 39.8% | 0.348 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Aug 2, 2021 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 39.8% | 0.154 | 0.13u | Won | +0.12u |
| Aug 1, 2021 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.04 | 39.8% | 0.228 | 0.57u | Won | +0.59u |
| Aug 1, 2021 | mlb |
New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 42.9% | 0.183 | 0.37u | Won | +0.40u |
| Aug 1, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 39.8% | 0.246 | 0.60u | Won | +0.64u |
| Aug 1, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.01 | 42.9% | 0.149 | 0.26u | Won | +0.26u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 39.8% | 0.216 | 0.23u | Won | +0.23u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 39.8% | 0.288 | 0.35u | Won | +0.40u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.03 | 39.8% | 0.222 | 0.17u | Won | +0.18u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 39.8% | 0.397 | 0.35u | Won | +0.46u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 39.8% | 0.481 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Jul 31, 2021 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 39.8% | 0.282 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Jul 30, 2021 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 42.9% | 0.183 | 0.21u | Won | +0.22u |
| Jul 30, 2021 | mlb |
New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 39.8% | 0.288 | 0.39u | Won | +0.44u |
| Jul 30, 2021 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 42.9% | 0.343 | 0.39u | Won | +0.53u |
| Jul 30, 2021 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 44.4% | 0.194 | 0.22u | Won | +0.25u |
| Jul 30, 2021 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 39.8% | 0.240 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jul 30, 2021 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 1.98 | 39.8% | 0.192 | 0.24u | Won | +0.24u |
| Jul 29, 2021 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 39.8% | 0.403 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Jul 29, 2021 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 39.8% | 0.360 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Jul 29, 2021 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 39.8% | 0.276 | 0.35u | Won | +0.39u |
| Jul 29, 2021 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 42.9% | 0.320 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Jul 29, 2021 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 42.9% | 0.177 | 0.16u | Won | +0.17u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 39.8% | 0.198 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 39.8% | 0.258 | 0.31u | Won | +0.34u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 39.8% | 0.378 | 0.34u | Won | +0.44u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 0.0% | 1.430 | 0.34u | Won | +0.49u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 39.8% | 0.415 | 0.34u | Won | +0.46u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 1.95 | 100.0% | 0.952 | 0.34u | Won | +0.32u |
| Jul 27, 2021 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 44.4% | 0.168 | 0.57u | Won | +0.63u |
| Jul 27, 2021 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 43.1% | 0.110 | 0.29u | Won | +0.28u |
| Jul 27, 2021 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 43.2% | 0.329 | 0.94u | Won | +1.26u |
| Jul 26, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 46.1% | 0.223 | 0.88u | Won | +1.12u |
| Jul 26, 2021 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.47 | 51.4% | 0.270 | 0.92u | Won | +1.35u |
| Jul 25, 2021 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 34.0% | 0.524 | 1.20u | Won | +1.57u |
| Jul 25, 2021 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 46.3% | 0.165 | 0.60u | Won | +0.70u |
| Jul 24, 2021 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.34 | 53.1% | 0.241 | 0.34u | Won | +0.46u |
| Jul 24, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.07 | 55.8% | 0.155 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Jul 24, 2021 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 48.4% | 0.259 | 0.37u | Won | +0.53u |
| Jul 24, 2021 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 42.5% | 0.368 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Jul 24, 2021 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 50.7% | 0.284 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Jul 23, 2021 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | home | 1.99 | 63.6% | 0.266 | 0.73u | Won | +0.72u |
| Jul 23, 2021 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 45.3% | 0.298 | 0.69u | Won | +0.95u |
| Jul 23, 2021 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 43.0% | 0.196 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Jul 22, 2021 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 39.4% | 0.249 | 0.35u | Won | +0.37u |
| Jul 22, 2021 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.29 | 66.5% | 0.524 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Jul 22, 2021 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.13 | 59.8% | 0.273 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Jul 22, 2021 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 46.2% | 0.184 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Jul 22, 2021 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 45.5% | 0.178 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Jul 22, 2021 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.52 | 50.7% | 0.278 | 0.30u | Won | +0.46u |
| Jul 21, 2021 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 1.96 | 38.6% | 0.204 | 0.25u | Won | +0.24u |
| Jul 21, 2021 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 35.2% | 0.555 | 0.36u | Won | +0.50u |
| Jul 21, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.20 | 53.4% | 0.175 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Jul 21, 2021 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 40.6% | 0.437 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Jul 21, 2021 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 35.7% | 0.256 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jul 21, 2021 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 59.5% | 0.542 | 0.36u | Won | +0.57u |
| Jul 20, 2021 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.13 | 53.7% | 0.144 | 0.22u | Won | +0.25u |
| Jul 20, 2021 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 41.6% | 0.125 | 0.18u | Won | +0.17u |
| Jul 20, 2021 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 47.6% | 0.283 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Jul 20, 2021 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.36 | 53.7% | 0.267 | 0.45u | Won | +0.61u |
| Jul 20, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | home | 1.99 | 61.2% | 0.219 | 0.50u | Won | +0.50u |
| Jul 19, 2021 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 45.0% | 0.347 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Jul 19, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 50.8% | 0.315 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Jul 19, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 51.6% | 0.271 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 43.4% | 0.348 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 40.6% | 0.266 | 0.27u | Won | +0.31u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 51.8% | 0.260 | 0.23u | Won | +0.33u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 35.2% | 0.238 | 0.25u | Won | +0.23u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 40.7% | 0.393 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 39.7% | 0.369 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.18 | 56.1% | 0.222 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.