Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 7, 2026 1:11 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 47.3% | 0.207 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 44.1% | 0.336 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 44.4% | 0.218 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.39 | 57.3% | 0.370 | 0.47u | Won | +0.65u |
| Jul 16, 2021 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 35.8% | 0.315 | 0.97u | Won | +1.02u |
| Jul 16, 2021 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 46.5% | 0.272 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Jul 11, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.04 | 41.9% | 0.185 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Jul 11, 2021 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 42.1% | 0.308 | 0.49u | Won | +0.62u |
| Jul 11, 2021 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 1.96 | 41.9% | 0.141 | 0.20u | Won | +0.19u |
| Jul 11, 2021 | mlb |
Houston Astros
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 42.1% | 0.482 | 0.49u | Won | +0.76u |
| Jul 11, 2021 | mlb |
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 44.9% | 0.212 | 0.36u | Won | +0.43u |
| Jul 10, 2021 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 43.2% | 0.227 | 0.32u | Won | +0.37u |
| Jul 10, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 44.1% | 0.252 | 0.38u | Won | +0.47u |
| Jul 10, 2021 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 42.6% | 0.492 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Jul 10, 2021 | mlb |
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 42.0% | 0.380 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Jul 9, 2021 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 1.98 | 42.1% | 0.146 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Jul 9, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 42.5% | 0.237 | 0.38u | Won | +0.44u |
| Jul 9, 2021 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 45.1% | 0.132 | 0.15u | Won | +0.16u |
| Jul 9, 2021 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 42.1% | 0.309 | 0.44u | Won | +0.55u |
| Jul 9, 2021 | mlb |
Houston Astros
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 42.4% | 0.197 | 0.31u | Won | +0.33u |
| Jul 9, 2021 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 43.1% | 0.207 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Jul 8, 2021 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.01 | 42.3% | 0.160 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Jul 8, 2021 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 43.5% | 0.210 | 0.92u | Won | +1.05u |
| Jul 7, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 44.1% | 0.203 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jul 7, 2021 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 45.4% | 0.184 | 0.29u | Won | +0.34u |
| Jul 7, 2021 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 45.8% | 0.123 | 0.15u | Won | +0.16u |
| Jul 7, 2021 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 42.5% | 0.363 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Jul 7, 2021 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 43.2% | 0.290 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Jul 6, 2021 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 45.4% | 0.140 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Jul 6, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 44.2% | 0.301 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Jul 6, 2021 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 42.7% | 0.277 | 0.49u | Won | +0.60u |
| Jul 6, 2021 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 1.97 | 43.1% | 0.121 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Jul 6, 2021 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 45.3% | 0.301 | 0.47u | Won | +0.65u |
| Jul 5, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 43.8% | 0.153 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Jul 5, 2021 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 44.8% | 0.214 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Jul 5, 2021 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 42.7% | 0.283 | 0.47u | Won | +0.58u |
| Jul 5, 2021 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 44.5% | 0.270 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Jul 5, 2021 | mlb |
New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 42.9% | 0.232 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Jul 4, 2021 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 1.96 | 43.7% | 0.105 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Jul 4, 2021 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 43.6% | 0.128 | 0.26u | Won | +0.26u |
| Jul 4, 2021 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 42.9% | 0.336 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Jul 4, 2021 | mlb |
New York Yankees
New York Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 43.9% | 0.223 | 0.56u | Won | +0.66u |
| Jul 3, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 1.98 | 41.8% | 0.153 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Jul 3, 2021 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 42.3% | 0.127 | 0.50u | Won | +0.48u |
| Jul 3, 2021 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 44.4% | 0.179 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Jul 2, 2021 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.01 | 42.5% | 0.155 | 0.15u | Won | +0.15u |
| Jul 2, 2021 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 41.9% | 0.406 | 0.55u | Won | +0.78u |
| Jul 2, 2021 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 41.6% | 0.349 | 0.55u | Won | +0.72u |
| Jul 2, 2021 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 43.2% | 0.369 | 0.55u | Won | +0.78u |
| Jul 1, 2021 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 45.8% | 0.160 | 0.30u | Won | +0.34u |
| Jul 1, 2021 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 42.9% | 0.170 | 0.36u | Won | +0.38u |
| Jul 1, 2021 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 43.1% | 0.150 | 0.29u | Won | +0.30u |
| Jul 1, 2021 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.03 | 43.4% | 0.148 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Jul 1, 2021 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 40.8% | 0.244 | 0.55u | Won | +0.61u |
| Jun 30, 2021 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 42.6% | 0.291 | 0.74u | Won | +0.93u |
| Jun 30, 2021 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 42.6% | 0.264 | 0.66u | Won | +0.79u |
| Jun 30, 2021 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 43.2% | 0.198 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Jun 29, 2021 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 16.7% | 1.075 | 0.35u | Won | +0.52u |
| Jun 29, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.22 | 63.0% | 0.400 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Jun 29, 2021 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 0.0% | 0.926 | 0.35u | Won | +0.32u |
| Jun 29, 2021 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 1.97 | 63.0% | 0.243 | 0.20u | Won | +0.19u |
| Jun 29, 2021 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.49 | 51.5% | 0.282 | 0.20u | Won | +0.30u |
| Jun 29, 2021 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.22 | 63.0% | 0.400 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Jun 28, 2021 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 50.8% | 0.245 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Jun 28, 2021 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.12 | 63.0% | 0.337 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Jun 28, 2021 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 63.0% | 0.532 | 0.37u | Won | +0.53u |
| Jun 28, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.38 | 51.5% | 0.225 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Jun 28, 2021 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.11 | 63.0% | 0.330 | 0.37u | Won | +0.41u |
| Jun 28, 2021 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.22 | 63.0% | 0.400 | 0.37u | Won | +0.45u |
| Jun 27, 2021 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.34 | 51.5% | 0.204 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Jun 27, 2021 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 51.5% | 0.277 | 0.22u | Won | +0.33u |
| Jun 27, 2021 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.32 | 63.0% | 0.463 | 0.37u | Won | +0.49u |
| Jun 27, 2021 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | home | 1.98 | 63.0% | 0.249 | 0.30u | Won | +0.29u |
| Jun 27, 2021 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.30 | 63.0% | 0.450 | 0.37u | Won | +0.48u |
| Jun 27, 2021 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 0.0% | 1.370 | 0.37u | Won | +0.51u |
| Jun 26, 2021 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.28 | 51.5% | 0.174 | 0.14u | Won | +0.18u |
| Jun 26, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 63.0% | 0.564 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Jun 26, 2021 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 51.5% | 0.313 | 0.32u | Won | +0.50u |
| Jun 26, 2021 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.28 | 63.0% | 0.437 | 0.39u | Won | +0.50u |
| Jun 26, 2021 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 50.8% | 0.286 | 0.27u | Won | +0.41u |
| Jun 26, 2021 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | home | 1.97 | 63.0% | 0.243 | 0.29u | Won | +0.28u |
| Jun 25, 2021 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.84 | 63.0% | 0.790 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Jun 25, 2021 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.51 | 63.0% | 0.582 | 0.37u | Won | +0.56u |
| Jun 25, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.12 | 63.0% | 0.337 | 0.35u | Won | +0.39u |
| Jun 25, 2021 | mlb |
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 50.8% | 0.245 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Jun 25, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.47 | 50.8% | 0.255 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Jun 25, 2021 | mlb |
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.19 | 63.0% | 0.381 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Jun 24, 2021 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.21 | 63.0% | 0.393 | 0.63u | Won | +0.76u |
| Jun 24, 2021 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.36 | 51.5% | 0.215 | 0.33u | Won | +0.45u |
| Jun 24, 2021 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 16.7% | 0.591 | 0.63u | Won | +0.57u |
| Jun 24, 2021 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.29 | 50.8% | 0.164 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Jun 23, 2021 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.17 | 63.0% | 0.368 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Jun 23, 2021 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 50.8% | 0.235 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jun 23, 2021 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.37 | 51.5% | 0.220 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jun 23, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 51.5% | 0.333 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Jun 22, 2021 | mlb |
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 63.0% | 0.639 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Jun 22, 2021 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 50.8% | 0.301 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Jun 22, 2021 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 1.98 | 63.0% | 0.249 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Jun 22, 2021 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 51.5% | 0.261 | 0.34u | Won | +0.49u |
| Jun 21, 2021 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | home | 1.94 | 100.0% | 0.943 | 0.73u | Won | +0.69u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.