Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 6, 2026 6:53 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 55.0% | 0.337 | 0.56u | Won | +0.80u |
| May 10, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.95 | 47.5% | 0.550 | 0.57u | Won | +1.11u |
| May 9, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home win | away | 2.78 | 49.6% | 0.402 | 0.54u | Won | +0.96u |
| May 9, 2017 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Indians
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 49.6% | 0.412 | 0.57u | Won | +1.03u |
| May 9, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 60.0% | 0.590 | 0.69u | Won | +1.14u |
| May 7, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 100.0% | 0.870 | 0.37u | Won | +0.32u |
| May 7, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 60.0% | 0.200 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| May 7, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home win | away | 2.05 | 20.0% | 0.640 | 0.37u | Won | +0.39u |
| May 7, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.01 | 60.0% | 0.206 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| May 7, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 1.86 | 20.0% | 0.484 | 0.37u | Won | +0.32u |
| May 7, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 2.43 | 49.6% | 0.226 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| May 6, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 2.90 | 49.6% | 0.463 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 5, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 2.67 | 49.6% | 0.347 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| May 5, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 1.91 | 60.0% | 0.146 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| May 5, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.49 | 60.0% | 0.494 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| May 4, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.40 | 0.0% | 1.400 | 0.44u | Won | +0.62u |
| May 4, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.64 | 49.6% | 0.332 | 0.31u | Won | +0.51u |
| May 4, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Angels
|
Home win | away | 3.57 | 49.6% | 0.801 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| May 4, 2017 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 2.38 | 20.0% | 0.904 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| May 4, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.45 | 49.6% | 0.236 | 0.17u | Won | +0.25u |
| May 3, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Indians
|
Home win | away | 2.49 | 49.6% | 0.256 | 0.31u | Won | +0.46u |
| May 3, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.27 | 51.5% | 0.169 | 0.15u | Won | +0.19u |
| May 3, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.41 | 51.5% | 0.242 | 0.29u | Won | +0.41u |
| May 3, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home win | away | 3.05 | 49.6% | 0.539 | 0.45u | Won | +0.92u |
| May 3, 2017 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.36 | 49.6% | 0.190 | 0.19u | Won | +0.26u |
| May 3, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 2.73 | 49.6% | 0.377 | 0.41u | Won | +0.71u |
| May 2, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.63 | 49.6% | 0.327 | 0.57u | Won | +0.93u |
| May 2, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 2.32 | 49.6% | 0.170 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| May 2, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Indians
|
Home win | away | 2.95 | 49.6% | 0.488 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| May 2, 2017 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 2.33 | 49.6% | 0.175 | 0.28u | Won | +0.37u |
| May 1, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.53 | 49.6% | 0.276 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| May 1, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 3.00 | 49.6% | 0.513 | 1.14u | Won | +2.28u |
| Apr 30, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.85 | 49.6% | 0.438 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Apr 30, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.85 | 49.6% | 0.438 | 0.57u | Won | +1.05u |
| Apr 30, 2017 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.58 | 49.6% | 0.301 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Apr 30, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home win | away | 2.47 | 49.6% | 0.246 | 0.27u | Won | +0.40u |
| Apr 29, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.60 | 49.6% | 0.312 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Apr 29, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home win | away | 3.00 | 49.6% | 0.513 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Apr 29, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home win | away | 2.56 | 49.6% | 0.291 | 0.26u | Won | +0.41u |
| Apr 29, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home win | away | 2.62 | 49.6% | 0.322 | 0.31u | Won | +0.50u |
| Apr 29, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 2.64 | 49.6% | 0.332 | 0.32u | Won | +0.52u |
| Apr 29, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.50 | 49.6% | 0.261 | 0.22u | Won | +0.33u |
| Apr 28, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.70 | 49.6% | 0.362 | 0.41u | Won | +0.70u |
| Apr 28, 2017 | mlb |
Brewers
Braves
|
Home win | away | 2.55 | 20.0% | 1.040 | 0.46u | Won | +0.71u |
| Apr 28, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 1.93 | 60.0% | 0.156 | 0.14u | Won | +0.13u |
| Apr 28, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 49.6% | 0.412 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Apr 28, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.56 | 49.6% | 0.291 | 0.35u | Won | +0.55u |
| Apr 27, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Astros
|
Home win | away | 2.78 | 49.6% | 0.402 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Apr 27, 2017 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 49.6% | 0.412 | 0.37u | Won | +0.67u |
| Apr 27, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 2.88 | 49.6% | 0.453 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Apr 27, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 1.94 | 20.0% | 0.548 | 0.39u | Won | +0.36u |
| Apr 27, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Blue Jays
|
Home win | away | 2.51 | 49.6% | 0.266 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Apr 27, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.33 | 49.6% | 0.175 | 0.09u | Won | +0.12u |
| Apr 26, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Astros
|
Home win | away | 2.32 | 49.6% | 0.170 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 26, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 100.0% | 1.420 | 1.20u | Won | +1.70u |
| Mar 8, 2026 | seriea |
Lecce
Cremonese
|
Draw away | home | 2.25 | 45.0% | 0.237 | 1.20u | Won | +1.50u |
| Mar 8, 2026 | seriea |
Genoa
AS Roma
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.10 | 52.1% | 0.094 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Mar 7, 2026 | seriea |
Atalanta
Udinese
|
Draw away | x2 | 4.33 | 52.1% | 1.256 | 1.20u | Won | +4.00u |
| Mar 7, 2026 | seriea |
Juventus
Pisa
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.10 | 50.9% | 0.070 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Mar 7, 2026 | seriea |
Cagliari
Como
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.50 | 75.5% | 0.888 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 6, 2026 | seriea |
Napoli
Torino
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.38 | 52.1% | 0.237 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 1, 2026 | seriea |
AS Roma
Juventus
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.00 | 69.7% | 1.090 | 1.20u | Won | +2.40u |
| Feb 28, 2026 | seriea |
Hellas Verona
Napoli
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.25 | 54.4% | 0.769 | 1.00u | Won | +2.25u |
| Feb 28, 2026 | seriea |
Internazionale
Genoa
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.63 | 52.1% | 0.366 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Feb 28, 2026 | seriea |
Como
Lecce
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.20 | 67.8% | 0.491 | 1.20u | Won | +1.44u |
| Feb 23, 2026 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Pisa
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.30 | 53.4% | 0.227 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 22, 2026 | seriea |
Atalanta
Napoli
|
Draw away | home | 2.20 | 43.5% | 0.243 | 0.50u | Won | +0.60u |
| Feb 22, 2026 | seriea |
AC Milan
Parma
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.40 | 58.0% | 0.973 | 1.00u | Won | +2.40u |
| Feb 21, 2026 | seriea |
Juventus
Como
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 57.0% | 0.497 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 14, 2026 | seriea |
Lazio
Atalanta
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.05 | 51.3% | 0.052 | 0.30u | Won | +0.32u |
| Feb 14, 2026 | seriea |
Internazionale
Juventus
|
Draw away | home | 3.35 | 48.0% | 0.740 | 1.20u | Won | +2.82u |
| Feb 13, 2026 | seriea |
Pisa
AC Milan
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.38 | 55.5% | 0.319 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 9, 2026 | seriea |
Atalanta
Cremonese
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.00 | 53.0% | 0.589 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| Feb 9, 2026 | seriea |
AS Roma
Cagliari
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.63 | 51.3% | 0.347 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Feb 8, 2026 | seriea |
Bologna
Parma
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.25 | 60.6% | 0.363 | 1.20u | Won | +1.50u |
| Feb 8, 2026 | seriea |
Juventus
Lazio
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 55.1% | 0.445 | 1.20u | Won | +1.95u |
| Feb 7, 2026 | seriea |
Genoa
Napoli
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.05 | 59.7% | 0.225 | 1.20u | Won | +1.26u |
| Feb 1, 2026 | seriea |
Torino
Lecce
|
Draw away | home | 2.30 | 45.9% | 0.244 | 1.20u | Won | +1.56u |
| Feb 1, 2026 | seriea |
Cremonese
Internazionale
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.75 | 54.0% | 0.486 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Feb 1, 2026 | seriea |
Como
Atalanta
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.75 | 54.3% | 1.038 | 1.00u | Won | +2.75u |
| Jan 25, 2026 | seriea |
Juventus
Napoli
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.25 | 51.2% | 0.665 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 24, 2026 | seriea |
Como
Torino
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.38 | 51.7% | 0.227 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 18, 2026 | seriea |
Parma
Genoa
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.50 | 50.8% | 0.778 | 1.20u | Won | +3.00u |
| Jan 17, 2026 | seriea |
Udinese
Internazionale
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.75 | 50.8% | 0.397 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| Jan 17, 2026 | seriea |
Cagliari
Juventus
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.38 | 68.8% | 0.634 | 0.68u | Won | +0.94u |
| Jan 17, 2026 | seriea |
Napoli
Sassuolo
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 66.3% | 0.741 | 0.82u | Won | +1.33u |
| Jan 15, 2026 | seriea |
Como
AC Milan
|
Home draw | away | 2.10 | 48.8% | 0.075 | 0.54u | Won | +0.59u |
| Jan 14, 2026 | seriea |
Internazionale
Lecce
|
Draw away | x2 | 5.00 | 55.6% | 1.781 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| Jan 14, 2026 | seriea |
Napoli
Parma
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.40 | 59.5% | 1.023 | 0.50u | Won | +1.20u |
| Jan 11, 2026 | seriea |
Hellas Verona
Lazio
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.10 | 69.6% | 0.462 | 1.20u | Won | +1.32u |
| Jan 10, 2026 | seriea |
Atalanta
Torino
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.10 | 50.3% | 0.056 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jan 10, 2026 | seriea |
Como
Bologna
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.30 | 63.5% | 0.460 | 1.20u | Won | +1.56u |
| Jan 8, 2026 | seriea |
AC Milan
Genoa
|
Home draw | away | 3.25 | 36.9% | 1.050 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 7, 2026 | seriea |
Lazio
Fiorentina
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.40 | 55.3% | 0.880 | 1.20u | Won | +2.88u |
| Jan 6, 2026 | seriea |
Pisa
Como
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.00 | 59.8% | 0.196 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 4, 2026 | seriea |
Hellas Verona
Torino
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.10 | 75.8% | 0.593 | 0.58u | Won | +0.64u |
| Jan 4, 2026 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Cremonese
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.00 | 64.0% | 0.920 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Jan 3, 2026 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Parma
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.00 | 69.2% | 0.385 | 1.20u | Won | +1.20u |
| Jan 2, 2026 | seriea |
Cagliari
AC Milan
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.30 | 51.4% | 0.182 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Dec 29, 2025 | seriea |
AS Roma
Genoa
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.30 | 57.3% | 0.319 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.