Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 6, 2026 6:53 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Jun 7, 2017	mlb	Yankees Red Sox	Home win	home	2.55	56.3%	0.435	0.92u	Won	+1.43u
Jun 7, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Padres	Home win	away	2.82	48.7%	0.448	0.88u	Lost	-0.88u
Jun 6, 2017	mlb	Athletics Blue Jays	Home win	home	2.15	55.5%	0.193	0.40u	Won	+0.46u
Jun 6, 2017	mlb	Mariners Twins	Home win	home	2.23	55.5%	0.238	0.55u	Won	+0.68u
Jun 6, 2017	mlb	Braves Phillies	Home win	home	2.25	55.5%	0.248	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
Jun 6, 2017	mlb	Reds Cardinals	Home win	home	2.09	55.4%	0.159	0.29u	Won	+0.32u
Jun 5, 2017	mlb	Reds Cardinals	Home win	home	2.18	55.5%	0.210	0.54u	Won	+0.64u
Jun 5, 2017	mlb	Royals Astros	Home win	home	2.45	55.5%	0.359	0.82u	Lost	-0.82u
Jun 5, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Nationals	Home win	home	2.14	55.5%	0.187	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
Jun 4, 2017	mlb	Angels Twins	Home win	home	2.75	55.5%	0.525	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Jun 4, 2017	mlb	Brewers Dodgers	Home win	home	2.25	55.5%	0.249	0.26u	Won	+0.33u
Jun 4, 2017	mlb	Mets Pirates	Home win	home	2.21	55.5%	0.227	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Jun 4, 2017	mlb	Padres Rockies	Home win	home	2.33	55.5%	0.293	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Jun 4, 2017	mlb	Athletics Nationals	Home win	home	2.32	55.5%	0.288	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Jun 4, 2017	mlb	Reds Braves	Home win	home	2.28	55.5%	0.266	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Jun 3, 2017	mlb	Mariners Rays	Home win	home	2.48	55.5%	0.377	0.44u	Won	+0.65u
Jun 3, 2017	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	Home win	home	2.70	55.5%	0.499	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
Jun 3, 2017	mlb	Mets Pirates	Home win	home	2.29	55.5%	0.270	0.33u	Won	+0.43u
Jun 3, 2017	mlb	Padres Rockies	Home win	home	2.59	55.4%	0.436	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
Jun 3, 2017	mlb	Marlins Diamondbacks	Home win	home	2.11	55.5%	0.170	0.15u	Won	+0.17u
Jun 2, 2017	mlb	Reds Braves	Home win	home	2.07	55.4%	0.148	0.19u	Won	+0.20u
Jun 2, 2017	mlb	Phillies Giants	Home win	home	2.11	55.5%	0.172	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Jun 2, 2017	mlb	Padres Rockies	Home win	home	2.18	55.5%	0.210	0.34u	Won	+0.40u
Jun 2, 2017	mlb	Athletics Nationals	Home win	home	2.89	55.5%	0.605	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Jun 2, 2017	mlb	Royals Indians	Home win	home	2.06	55.5%	0.143	0.18u	Won	+0.19u
Jun 2, 2017	mlb	Tigers White Sox	Home win	home	2.28	55.5%	0.265	0.39u	Won	+0.50u
Jun 1, 2017	mlb	Angels Twins	Home win	home	2.12	55.5%	0.177	0.79u	Lost	-0.79u
Jun 1, 2017	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	Home win	home	2.09	55.5%	0.160	0.73u	Won	+0.80u
May 31, 2017	mlb	Mets Brewers	Home win	home	3.00	55.5%	0.666	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
May 31, 2017	mlb	Rangers Rays	Home win	home	2.33	55.5%	0.292	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
May 31, 2017	mlb	Twins Astros	Home win	home	2.29	55.5%	0.272	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
May 31, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Dodgers	Home win	home	2.31	55.4%	0.281	0.31u	Won	+0.41u
May 31, 2017	mlb	Orioles Yankees	Home win	home	2.52	55.4%	0.397	0.43u	Won	+0.65u
May 30, 2017	mlb	Orioles Yankees	Home win	home	2.45	55.4%	0.359	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
May 30, 2017	mlb	Marlins Phillies	Home win	home	2.55	55.5%	0.414	0.53u	Won	+0.82u
May 30, 2017	mlb	Pirates Diamondbacks	Home win	home	2.34	55.5%	0.300	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
May 30, 2017	mlb	Mets Brewers	Home win	home	2.24	55.5%	0.244	0.31u	Won	+0.38u
May 29, 2017	mlb	Orioles Yankees	Home win	home	2.95	55.5%	0.636	0.78u	Won	+1.52u
May 29, 2017	mlb	Mets Brewers	Home win	home	2.57	55.5%	0.427	0.78u	Won	+1.22u
May 29, 2017	mlb	Marlins Phillies	Home win	home	2.06	55.5%	0.143	0.24u	Won	+0.25u
May 28, 2017	mlb	Blue Jays Rangers	Home win	home	2.10	55.5%	0.166	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
May 27, 2017	mlb	Red Sox Mariners	Home win	home	2.37	55.5%	0.315	0.82u	Won	+1.12u
May 27, 2017	mlb	Giants Braves	Home win	home	2.10	55.4%	0.164	0.37u	Won	+0.41u
May 27, 2017	mlb	Marlins Angels	Home win	home	2.20	55.5%	0.220	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
May 26, 2017	mlb	Red Sox Mariners	Home win	home	2.20	55.5%	0.222	0.74u	Won	+0.89u
May 26, 2017	mlb	White Sox Tigers	Home win	home	2.30	55.4%	0.275	1.06u	Won	+1.38u
May 24, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Cardinals	Home win	home	2.10	55.5%	0.166	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
May 24, 2017	mlb	Nationals Mariners	Home win	home	2.09	55.5%	0.160	0.73u	Won	+0.80u
May 23, 2017	mlb	Brewers Blue Jays	Home win	home	2.56	58.6%	0.499	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
May 23, 2017	mlb	Yankees Royals	Home win	away	3.15	47.5%	0.655	0.75u	Won	+1.61u
May 23, 2017	mlb	Phillies Rockies	Home win	away	2.29	47.5%	0.203	0.30u	Won	+0.39u
May 22, 2017	mlb	Orioles Twins	Home win	home	2.12	55.0%	0.166	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 22, 2017	mlb	Yankees Royals	Home win	home	1.86	67.7%	0.261	1.20u	Won	+1.03u
May 21, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Giants	Home win	home	1.93	67.7%	0.305	0.43u	Won	+0.40u
May 21, 2017	mlb	Orioles Blue Jays	Home win	home	2.05	58.6%	0.201	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
May 21, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Marlins	Home win	home	2.07	58.6%	0.212	0.27u	Won	+0.29u
May 21, 2017	mlb	Rays Yankees	Home win	home	1.99	67.7%	0.348	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
May 21, 2017	mlb	Twins Royals	Home win	home	2.73	58.6%	0.599	0.43u	Won	+0.74u
May 20, 2017	mlb	Tigers Rangers	Home win	home	2.02	67.7%	0.368	0.69u	Won	+0.70u
May 20, 2017	mlb	Astros Indians	Home win	home	3.00	58.6%	0.757	0.69u	Lost	-0.69u
May 20, 2017	mlb	Padres Diamondbacks	Home win	home	2.11	58.6%	0.236	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
May 19, 2017	mlb	Cubs Brewers	Home win	home	2.76	67.7%	0.870	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
May 19, 2017	mlb	Mariners White Sox	Home win	home	2.38	58.6%	0.394	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
May 19, 2017	mlb	Orioles Blue Jays	Home win	home	1.91	67.7%	0.293	0.37u	Won	+0.34u
May 19, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Giants	Home win	away	2.41	47.5%	0.266	0.26u	Won	+0.37u
May 19, 2017	mlb	Padres Diamondbacks	Home win	away	2.37	47.5%	0.245	0.22u	Won	+0.30u
May 19, 2017	mlb	Rays Yankees	Home win	home	2.08	58.6%	0.218	0.21u	Won	+0.23u
May 18, 2017	mlb	Twins Rockies	Home win	away	2.88	47.5%	0.513	0.46u	Won	+0.86u
May 18, 2017	mlb	Braves Blue Jays	Home win	away	2.39	47.5%	0.256	0.35u	Won	+0.49u
May 18, 2017	mlb	Mariners White Sox	Home win	home	2.10	58.6%	0.230	0.33u	Won	+0.36u
May 18, 2017	mlb	Athletics Red Sox	Home win	home	2.00	58.6%	0.171	0.20u	Won	+0.20u
May 18, 2017	mlb	Pirates Nationals	Home win	home	2.19	67.7%	0.484	0.46u	Won	+0.55u
May 17, 2017	mlb	Giants Dodgers	Home win	home	1.99	58.6%	0.166	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
May 17, 2017	mlb	Marlins Astros	Home win	away	2.58	47.5%	0.356	0.41u	Won	+0.65u
May 17, 2017	mlb	Pirates Nationals	Home win	home	2.64	58.6%	0.546	0.43u	Won	+0.71u
May 17, 2017	mlb	Indians Rays	Home win	away	2.62	47.5%	0.377	0.42u	Won	+0.68u
May 17, 2017	mlb	Tigers Orioles	Home win	home	2.22	58.6%	0.300	0.40u	Won	+0.49u
May 16, 2017	mlb	Cubs Reds	Home win	home	2.53	67.7%	0.714	0.59u	Won	+0.90u
May 16, 2017	mlb	Marlins Astros	Home win	away	2.23	47.5%	0.172	0.25u	Won	+0.31u
May 16, 2017	mlb	Indians Rays	Home win	home	2.05	58.6%	0.201	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
May 16, 2017	mlb	Tigers Orioles	Home win	home	2.40	67.7%	0.626	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
May 15, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Mets	Home win	home	2.16	67.7%	0.463	1.00u	Won	+1.16u
May 15, 2017	mlb	Marlins Astros	Home win	home	2.00	67.7%	0.355	0.80u	Lost	-0.80u
May 14, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Cubs	Home win	away	2.28	47.5%	0.198	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
May 14, 2017	mlb	Royals Orioles	Home win	home	2.05	67.7%	0.389	0.76u	Won	+0.80u
May 14, 2017	mlb	Red Sox Rays	Home win	home	2.37	58.6%	0.388	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
May 13, 2017	mlb	Royals Orioles	Home win	away	2.45	47.5%	0.287	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
May 13, 2017	mlb	Angels Tigers	Home win	home	1.98	58.6%	0.160	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
May 13, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Pirates	Home win	away	3.14	47.5%	0.650	0.57u	Won	+1.22u
May 13, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Cubs	Home win	home	2.29	67.7%	0.551	0.57u	Won	+0.74u
May 12, 2017	mlb	Angels Tigers	Home win	away	2.41	47.5%	0.266	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
May 12, 2017	mlb	Indians Twins	Home win	home	2.85	55.0%	0.568	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
May 12, 2017	mlb	Brewers Mets	Home win	home	2.08	58.6%	0.218	0.28u	Won	+0.30u
May 12, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Cubs	Home win	away	2.36	47.5%	0.240	0.29u	Won	+0.39u
May 12, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Pirates	Home win	away	2.45	47.5%	0.287	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
May 11, 2017	mlb	Yankees Astros	Home win	home	1.81	67.7%	0.228	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
May 11, 2017	mlb	Blue Jays Mariners	Home win	home	1.83	67.7%	0.237	0.58u	Won	+0.48u
May 11, 2017	mlb	Rockies Dodgers	Home win	home	2.34	58.6%	0.371	0.67u	Won	+0.90u
May 10, 2017	mlb	Athletics Angels	Home win	away	2.28	47.5%	0.198	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
May 10, 2017	mlb	Blue Jays Indians	Home win	home	2.10	58.6%	0.230	0.40u	Won	+0.44u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.