Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 9:39 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.95 | 50.2% | 0.482 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 9, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 56.9% | 0.566 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 8, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 3.30 | 54.8% | 0.808 | 1.20u | Won | +2.76u |
| Aug 8, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.90 | 55.2% | 0.599 | 0.60u | Won | +1.14u |
| Aug 7, 2017 | mlb |
Reds
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 51.5% | 0.391 | 1.15u | Won | +1.96u |
| Aug 7, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.11 | 54.0% | 0.140 | 0.63u | Won | +0.70u |
| Aug 6, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 53.8% | 0.103 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Aug 6, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 54.2% | 0.356 | 1.19u | Lost | -1.19u |
| Aug 5, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.95 | 53.0% | 0.565 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 5, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.41 | 52.5% | 0.265 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 4, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 2.44 | 49.2% | 0.239 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Aug 4, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 52.8% | 0.282 | 0.99u | Won | +1.42u |
| Aug 3, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 52.1% | 0.198 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 3, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 3.05 | 52.3% | 0.594 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 2, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 52.4% | 0.325 | 1.06u | Lost | -1.06u |
| Aug 1, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.90 | 60.0% | 0.740 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 1, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.95 | 56.9% | 0.679 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 31, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.74 | 56.9% | 0.560 | 0.60u | Won | +1.04u |
| Jul 31, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.18 | 83.3% | 0.817 | 1.20u | Won | +1.42u |
| Jul 30, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 56.5% | 0.328 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 30, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 56.9% | 0.395 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 29, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.06 | 83.3% | 0.717 | 0.60u | Won | +0.64u |
| Jul 29, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | home | 3.65 | 83.3% | 2.042 | 1.20u | Won | +3.18u |
| Jul 28, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 59.5% | 0.487 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 28, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 3.20 | 56.9% | 0.822 | 1.20u | Won | +2.64u |
| Jul 27, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 3.40 | 59.5% | 1.022 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 27, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 100.0% | 1.050 | 1.20u | Won | +1.26u |
| Jul 26, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.90 | 56.5% | 0.639 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 26, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 3.48 | 56.5% | 0.967 | 1.20u | Won | +2.98u |
| Jul 25, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.38 | 59.5% | 0.415 | 1.20u | Won | +1.66u |
| Jul 25, 2017 | mlb |
Padres
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.23 | 56.9% | 0.269 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 24, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 59.5% | 0.427 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 24, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 56.9% | 0.395 | 0.60u | Won | +0.87u |
| Jul 23, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 1.91 | 83.3% | 0.591 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jul 23, 2017 | mlb |
Mets
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 59.5% | 0.249 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 22, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.17 | 59.5% | 0.290 | 1.20u | Won | +1.40u |
| Jul 22, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.26 | 56.5% | 0.277 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Jul 21, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Red Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.20 | 0.0% | 1.200 | 1.20u | Won | +1.44u |
| Jul 21, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.18 | 83.3% | 0.817 | 0.60u | Won | +0.71u |
| Jul 20, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.32 | 56.5% | 0.311 | 1.18u | Won | +1.56u |
| Jul 20, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 1.96 | 56.9% | 0.117 | 0.61u | Won | +0.59u |
| Jul 19, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 3.05 | 59.5% | 0.814 | 1.20u | Won | +2.46u |
| Jul 19, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.74 | 56.9% | 0.560 | 0.60u | Won | +1.04u |
| Jul 18, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.47 | 47.2% | 0.303 | 0.61u | Won | +0.90u |
| Jul 18, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 2.63 | 47.2% | 0.387 | 1.19u | Lost | -1.19u |
| Jul 17, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home win | away | 3.05 | 47.6% | 0.600 | 1.20u | Won | +2.46u |
| Jul 17, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.47 | 47.2% | 0.303 | 0.60u | Won | +0.88u |
| Jul 16, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 47.2% | 0.479 | 1.20u | Won | +2.16u |
| Jul 16, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Indians
|
Home win | away | 2.50 | 47.2% | 0.319 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 15, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Blue Jays
|
Home win | away | 2.57 | 47.2% | 0.356 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Jul 15, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.50 | 47.2% | 0.319 | 0.67u | Won | +1.01u |
| Jul 14, 2017 | mlb |
Mets
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.53 | 47.2% | 0.335 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Jul 14, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.56 | 47.2% | 0.351 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Jul 9, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 3.68 | 47.6% | 0.927 | 1.20u | Won | +3.22u |
| Jul 9, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 3.03 | 47.2% | 0.598 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 8, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 2.81 | 47.3% | 0.481 | 0.60u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jul 8, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 3.18 | 46.8% | 0.691 | 1.20u | Won | +2.62u |
| Jul 7, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
Home win | away | 2.92 | 47.6% | 0.531 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 7, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Mets
|
Home win | away | 3.54 | 46.9% | 0.879 | 1.20u | Won | +3.05u |
| Jul 6, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Padres
|
Home win | away | 2.85 | 47.2% | 0.503 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 6, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.70 | 47.2% | 0.424 | 0.60u | Won | +1.02u |
| Jul 5, 2017 | mlb |
Brewers
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 3.15 | 47.2% | 0.662 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 5, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Reds
|
Home win | away | 3.20 | 47.2% | 0.688 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 4, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 50.4% | 0.185 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Jul 4, 2017 | mlb |
Brewers
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.23 | 51.1% | 0.139 | 0.57u | Won | +0.70u |
| Jul 4, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.03 | 51.8% | 0.052 | 0.25u | Won | +0.26u |
| Jul 3, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.08 | 50.9% | 0.059 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Jul 2, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 50.6% | 0.275 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 2, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.95 | 50.7% | 0.495 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 1, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.68 | 50.6% | 0.356 | 0.60u | Won | +1.01u |
| Jul 1, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.88 | 50.7% | 0.459 | 1.20u | Won | +2.26u |
| Jun 30, 2017 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.90 | 50.9% | 0.477 | 1.20u | Won | +2.28u |
| Jun 30, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 51.1% | 0.164 | 0.60u | Won | +0.77u |
| Jun 29, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.56 | 50.6% | 0.295 | 0.60u | Won | +0.94u |
| Jun 29, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
Home win | home | 3.20 | 50.9% | 0.630 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 28, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.22 | 51.1% | 0.134 | 0.55u | Won | +0.67u |
| Jun 28, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.06 | 50.6% | 0.042 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Jun 28, 2017 | mlb |
Padres
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 50.9% | 0.043 | 0.21u | Won | +0.22u |
| Jun 27, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.12 | 50.9% | 0.080 | 0.36u | Won | +0.40u |
| Jun 27, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.33 | 51.1% | 0.190 | 0.71u | Won | +0.94u |
| Jun 26, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.47 | 50.4% | 0.244 | 0.83u | Won | +1.22u |
| Jun 25, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.11 | 50.4% | 0.063 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Jun 25, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.17 | 50.6% | 0.098 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Jun 25, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 51.0% | 0.174 | 0.67u | Won | +0.87u |
| Jun 25, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.21 | 50.6% | 0.118 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Jun 24, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 50.9% | 0.248 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Jun 24, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 51.4% | 0.276 | 0.93u | Lost | -0.93u |
| Jun 23, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 51.1% | 0.149 | 0.59u | Won | +0.74u |
| Jun 23, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 51.2% | 0.049 | 0.23u | Won | +0.24u |
| Jun 23, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.12 | 50.4% | 0.068 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jun 22, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.22 | 50.6% | 0.123 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Jun 22, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 51.1% | 0.200 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Jun 22, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 51.2% | 0.177 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Jun 21, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.67 | 51.1% | 0.363 | 1.09u | Won | +1.82u |
| Jun 21, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.27 | 51.6% | 0.172 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Jun 20, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 54.3% | 0.330 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Jun 20, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.60 | 48.8% | 0.330 | 1.03u | Won | +1.65u |
| Jun 19, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Indians
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 54.3% | 0.373 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 19, 2017 | mlb |
Royals
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 54.3% | 0.357 | 0.60u | Won | +0.90u |
| Jun 18, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.65 | 40.0% | 0.590 | 1.20u | Won | +1.98u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.