Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 10:47 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.71 | 56.4% | 0.527 | 0.60u | Won | +1.03u |
| Jul 29, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 62.9% | 0.528 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 29, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Twins
|
Home win | away | 2.65 | 49.3% | 0.344 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 29, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 50.0% | 0.241 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Jul 29, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 50.0% | 0.160 | 0.14u | Won | +0.18u |
| Jul 29, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.51 | 50.0% | 0.256 | 0.85u | Won | +1.28u |
| Jul 28, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 50.0% | 0.151 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Jul 28, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.69 | 56.4% | 0.517 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 28, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.20 | 46.5% | 0.177 | 0.60u | Won | +0.72u |
| Jul 27, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 3.21 | 45.7% | 0.743 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 27, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.82 | 61.7% | 0.739 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 27, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.61 | 50.0% | 0.306 | 0.95u | Lost | -0.95u |
| Jul 27, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 50.0% | 0.226 | 0.78u | Won | +1.13u |
| Jul 26, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 48.5% | 0.242 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Jul 26, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 49.2% | 0.215 | 0.12u | Won | +0.17u |
| Jul 26, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 49.9% | 0.244 | 0.82u | Won | +1.21u |
| Jul 26, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.59 | 60.0% | 0.554 | 1.20u | Won | +1.91u |
| Jul 26, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 60.0% | 0.440 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Jul 25, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 3.52 | 38.0% | 1.182 | 0.60u | Won | +1.51u |
| Jul 25, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.83 | 90.0% | 1.547 | 1.20u | Won | +2.20u |
| Jul 25, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 49.1% | 0.201 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Jul 25, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 49.0% | 0.163 | 0.64u | Won | +0.82u |
| Jul 24, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.52 | 49.7% | 0.268 | 0.88u | Won | +1.34u |
| Jul 24, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.57 | 50.1% | 0.287 | 0.91u | Won | +1.43u |
| Jul 24, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.54 | 60.0% | 0.524 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 24, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.46 | 60.0% | 0.476 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 23, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home win | home | 3.01 | 60.0% | 0.806 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 23, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Padres
|
Home win | away | 3.34 | 38.0% | 1.071 | 1.20u | Won | +2.81u |
| Jul 23, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 48.9% | 0.232 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Jul 23, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 49.7% | 0.236 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Jul 22, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 49.6% | 0.285 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Jul 22, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 49.9% | 0.167 | 0.21u | Won | +0.28u |
| Jul 22, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 48.6% | 0.172 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Jul 22, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.11 | 90.0% | 0.899 | 0.60u | Won | +0.67u |
| Jul 22, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Rays
|
Home win | away | 3.50 | 38.0% | 1.170 | 1.20u | Won | +3.00u |
| Jul 21, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.12 | 38.0% | 0.314 | 0.60u | Won | +0.67u |
| Jul 21, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 2.43 | 38.0% | 0.507 | 1.20u | Won | +1.72u |
| Jul 21, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 50.5% | 0.279 | 0.91u | Won | +1.39u |
| Jul 21, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 49.5% | 0.141 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Jul 19, 2022 | mlb |
All-Stars
All-Stars
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 60.0% | 0.122 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Jul 17, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 2.60 | 38.0% | 0.612 | 0.60u | Won | +0.96u |
| Jul 17, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 3.28 | 38.0% | 1.034 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 17, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 48.6% | 0.218 | 0.24u | Won | +0.33u |
| Jul 17, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 50.2% | 0.219 | 0.76u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jul 17, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 50.1% | 0.232 | 0.80u | Won | +1.17u |
| Jul 16, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 49.5% | 0.198 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Jul 16, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 49.3% | 0.197 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Jul 16, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 1.80 | 90.0% | 0.620 | 1.20u | Won | +0.96u |
| Jul 16, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.43 | 38.0% | 0.507 | 0.60u | Won | +0.86u |
| Jul 15, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 1.81 | 90.0% | 0.626 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 15, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 1.73 | 90.0% | 0.552 | 0.60u | Won | +0.43u |
| Jul 15, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 49.1% | 0.187 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Jul 15, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 49.0% | 0.209 | 0.76u | Won | +1.04u |
| Jul 14, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 49.3% | 0.319 | 0.75u | Won | +1.20u |
| Jul 14, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.65 | 49.2% | 0.347 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Jul 14, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.61 | 38.0% | 0.618 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 14, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Mets
|
Home win | away | 2.38 | 38.0% | 0.476 | 0.60u | Won | +0.83u |
| Jul 13, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.29 | 38.0% | 0.420 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 13, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 60.0% | 0.434 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 13, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 49.4% | 0.205 | 0.16u | Won | +0.22u |
| Jul 13, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 48.9% | 0.212 | 0.77u | Won | +1.05u |
| Jul 13, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 49.5% | 0.262 | 0.87u | Won | +1.31u |
| Jul 12, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 50.0% | 0.160 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Jul 12, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.36 | 57.6% | 0.359 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 12, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 57.6% | 0.412 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 11, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.11 | 57.6% | 0.216 | 0.69u | Won | +0.77u |
| Jul 11, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 57.6% | 0.266 | 1.11u | Won | +1.33u |
| Jul 11, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 50.0% | 0.195 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Jul 11, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 49.9% | 0.152 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| Jul 11, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.31 | 50.0% | 0.155 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Jul 10, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.200 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Jul 10, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.51 | 57.6% | 0.447 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 10, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 57.6% | 0.297 | 0.60u | Won | +0.75u |
| Jul 9, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 3.47 | 53.3% | 0.849 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 9, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 57.6% | 0.382 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Jul 9, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 50.0% | 0.160 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Jul 9, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 50.0% | 0.155 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Jul 8, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 49.9% | 0.182 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Jul 8, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 50.0% | 0.195 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Jul 8, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.54 | 57.6% | 0.464 | 1.20u | Won | +1.85u |
| Jul 8, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 57.6% | 0.452 | 0.60u | Won | +0.91u |
| Jul 7, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 57.6% | 0.153 | 0.60u | Won | +0.60u |
| Jul 7, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.37 | 57.6% | 0.366 | 1.20u | Won | +1.64u |
| Jul 7, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 50.0% | 0.165 | 0.62u | Won | +0.82u |
| Jul 6, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 50.0% | 0.170 | 0.63u | Won | +0.84u |
| Jul 6, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.74 | 56.6% | 0.550 | 0.60u | Won | +1.04u |
| Jul 6, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.76 | 57.6% | 0.591 | 1.20u | Won | +2.11u |
| Jul 5, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.85 | 56.0% | 0.597 | 1.20u | Won | +2.22u |
| Jul 5, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.63 | 57.6% | 0.516 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 4, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.63 | 57.3% | 0.506 | 0.60u | Won | +0.98u |
| Jul 4, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
Home win | home | 3.25 | 57.6% | 0.873 | 1.20u | Won | +2.70u |
| Jul 4, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.57 | 50.0% | 0.285 | 0.91u | Won | +1.43u |
| Jul 3, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.58 | 50.0% | 0.290 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Jul 3, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.49 | 57.6% | 0.433 | 0.60u | Won | +0.89u |
| Jul 3, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 57.6% | 0.614 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 2, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home win | home | 3.34 | 57.6% | 0.925 | 1.20u | Won | +2.81u |
| Jul 2, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.84 | 57.6% | 0.635 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 2, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 50.0% | 0.185 | 0.68u | Won | +0.93u |
| Jul 1, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.74 | 57.6% | 0.577 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 1, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home win | home | 3.15 | 57.6% | 0.813 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.