Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 10:47 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 38.8% | 0.481 | 1.20u | Won | +1.70u |
| Jun 4, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.71 | 55.0% | 0.490 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 4, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Guardians
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 55.8% | 0.445 | 0.60u | Won | +0.95u |
| Jun 4, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 53.4% | 0.416 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 4, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.26 | 53.2% | 0.202 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Jun 3, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.23 | 52.8% | 0.178 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 3, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 54.5% | 0.389 | 1.20u | Won | +1.86u |
| Jun 3, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 45.2% | 0.326 | 0.60u | Won | +0.85u |
| Jun 3, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 38.6% | 0.395 | 1.20u | Won | +1.52u |
| Jun 2, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.41 | 61.6% | 0.483 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 2, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.31 | 60.5% | 0.397 | 0.60u | Won | +0.79u |
| Jun 2, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 53.1% | 0.248 | 0.92u | Won | +1.24u |
| Jun 2, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.18 | 55.6% | 0.211 | 0.88u | Won | +1.04u |
| Jun 1, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.24 | 54.2% | 0.214 | 0.60u | Won | +0.74u |
| Jun 1, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.89 | 54.0% | 0.562 | 1.20u | Won | +2.27u |
| Jun 1, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.41 | 54.5% | 0.314 | 0.60u | Won | +0.85u |
| Jun 1, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 40.6% | 0.425 | 1.20u | Won | +1.68u |
| May 31, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.41 | 57.2% | 0.377 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 31, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.52 | 54.9% | 0.384 | 1.20u | Won | +1.82u |
| May 31, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home win | away | 3.83 | 25.0% | 1.873 | 1.20u | Won | +3.40u |
| May 31, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.16 | 87.5% | 0.890 | 0.60u | Won | +0.70u |
| May 30, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Royals
|
Home win | away | 3.84 | 40.0% | 1.304 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 30, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.23 | 87.5% | 0.951 | 0.60u | Won | +0.74u |
| May 30, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 32.7% | 0.614 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 30, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.26 | 67.1% | 0.516 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 29, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 37.7% | 0.352 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 29, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.66 | 57.8% | 0.537 | 1.20u | Won | +1.99u |
| May 29, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.06 | 87.5% | 0.803 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 29, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Guardians
|
Home win | away | 2.62 | 25.0% | 0.965 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 28, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 1.79 | 87.5% | 0.569 | 1.20u | Won | +0.95u |
| May 28, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.83 | 47.1% | 0.498 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 28, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 37.5% | 0.556 | 1.20u | Won | +1.79u |
| May 28, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 1.98 | 37.2% | 0.243 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 27, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 35.3% | 0.411 | 1.20u | Won | +1.42u |
| May 27, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 45.7% | 0.282 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 27, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.55 | 40.0% | 0.530 | 1.20u | Won | +1.86u |
| May 27, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.81 | 50.0% | 0.405 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 26, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.01 | 100.0% | 1.010 | 1.20u | Won | +1.21u |
| May 26, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.15 | 25.0% | 0.613 | 0.60u | Won | +0.69u |
| May 26, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 45.6% | 0.208 | 0.85u | Won | +1.04u |
| May 26, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 50.2% | 0.286 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| May 25, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.23 | 54.6% | 0.217 | 0.81u | Won | +1.00u |
| May 25, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Guardians
|
Home cover | home | 2.37 | 53.6% | 0.270 | 0.99u | Lost | -0.99u |
| May 25, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.74 | 87.5% | 1.398 | 1.20u | Won | +2.09u |
| May 25, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 1.65 | 87.5% | 0.440 | 0.60u | Won | +0.39u |
| May 24, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.54 | 33.3% | 0.693 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 24, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.74 | 0.0% | 1.740 | 1.20u | Won | +2.09u |
| May 24, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 38.2% | 0.365 | 1.20u | Won | +1.45u |
| May 24, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.09 | 62.0% | 0.296 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 23, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 32.2% | 0.466 | 1.20u | Won | +1.39u |
| May 23, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.13 | 65.4% | 0.393 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 23, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 1.99 | 33.3% | 0.327 | 0.60u | Won | +0.59u |
| May 23, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Royals
|
Home win | away | 2.85 | 47.1% | 0.509 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 22, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.61 | 47.1% | 0.382 | 0.60u | Won | +0.97u |
| May 22, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 2.74 | 33.3% | 0.827 | 1.20u | Won | +2.09u |
| May 22, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 56.6% | 0.403 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 22, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 1.98 | 28.2% | 0.421 | 1.20u | Won | +1.18u |
| May 21, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 31.3% | 0.492 | 1.20u | Won | +1.40u |
| May 21, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 58.4% | 0.460 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 21, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.11 | 100.0% | 1.110 | 1.20u | Won | +1.33u |
| May 21, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home win | away | 3.16 | 47.1% | 0.673 | 0.60u | Won | +1.30u |
| May 20, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.86 | 47.1% | 0.514 | 1.20u | Won | +2.23u |
| May 20, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 1.70 | 87.5% | 0.491 | 0.60u | Won | +0.42u |
| May 20, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.59 | 48.9% | 0.324 | 0.64u | Won | +1.02u |
| May 20, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 45.1% | 0.329 | 1.16u | Won | +1.65u |
| May 19, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 39.0% | 0.286 | 0.60u | Won | +0.67u |
| May 19, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 53.9% | 0.376 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 19, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 25.0% | 1.100 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 19, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Padres
|
Home win | away | 1.95 | 40.0% | 0.171 | 0.60u | Won | +0.57u |
| May 18, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 2.59 | 25.0% | 0.943 | 1.20u | Won | +1.91u |
| May 18, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 3.46 | 47.1% | 0.832 | 0.60u | Won | +1.48u |
| May 18, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 41.5% | 0.223 | 0.60u | Won | +0.65u |
| May 18, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 61.1% | 0.595 | 1.20u | Won | +1.93u |
| May 17, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 0.0% | 1.500 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| May 17, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 44.3% | 0.230 | 0.60u | Won | +0.73u |
| May 17, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 1.95 | 0.0% | 0.952 | 1.20u | Won | +1.14u |
| May 17, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.93 | 50.9% | 0.491 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 16, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.59 | 50.9% | 0.318 | 1.00u | Won | +1.59u |
| May 16, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 2.07 | 43.3% | 0.173 | 0.80u | Won | +0.86u |
| May 16, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 44.3% | 0.286 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 16, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 0.0% | 1.350 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| May 15, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 44.3% | 0.358 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 15, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 44.3% | 0.280 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 15, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.51 | 50.9% | 0.277 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 15, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.11 | 82.6% | 0.743 | 1.20u | Won | +1.33u |
| May 14, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Giants
|
Home win | home | 1.66 | 82.6% | 0.370 | 0.60u | Won | +0.39u |
| May 14, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.16 | 82.6% | 0.784 | 1.20u | Won | +1.39u |
| May 14, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 44.3% | 0.369 | 0.60u | Won | +0.88u |
| May 14, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 0.0% | 0.901 | 1.20u | Won | +1.08u |
| May 13, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 47.4% | 0.368 | 1.15u | Won | +1.84u |
| May 13, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 44.3% | 0.336 | 0.65u | Won | +0.91u |
| May 13, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.63 | 50.9% | 0.338 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 13, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.29 | 82.6% | 0.892 | 1.20u | Won | +1.55u |
| May 12, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.13 | 82.6% | 0.760 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 12, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home win | away | 2.83 | 37.5% | 0.769 | 1.20u | Won | +2.20u |
| May 12, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 1.86 | 0.0% | 0.855 | 0.60u | Won | +0.51u |
| May 12, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.40 | 100.0% | 1.400 | 1.20u | Won | +1.68u |
| May 11, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 44.3% | 0.308 | 1.14u | Won | +1.54u |
| May 11, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 37.5% | 0.193 | 0.66u | Won | +0.60u |
| May 11, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 43.3% | 0.587 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.