Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 10:47 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 51.2% | 0.270 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Aug 26, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 3.36 | 52.0% | 0.746 | 1.20u | Won | +2.83u |
| Aug 26, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 3.03 | 52.0% | 0.575 | 0.60u | Won | +1.22u |
| Aug 25, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 52.0% | 0.455 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 25, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 63.6% | 0.604 | 1.20u | Won | +1.82u |
| Aug 25, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.31 | 52.6% | 0.214 | 0.82u | Won | +1.07u |
| Aug 24, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.28 | 52.6% | 0.199 | 0.78u | Won | +1.00u |
| Aug 24, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.39 | 51.6% | 0.233 | 0.84u | Won | +1.17u |
| Aug 24, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Braves
|
Home win | away | 1.80 | 0.0% | 0.800 | 1.20u | Won | +0.96u |
| Aug 24, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 3.28 | 50.0% | 0.640 | 0.60u | Won | +1.37u |
| Aug 23, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.19 | 58.6% | 0.283 | 0.60u | Won | +0.71u |
| Aug 23, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Guardians
|
Home win | away | 2.22 | 41.3% | 0.303 | 1.20u | Won | +1.46u |
| Aug 23, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.30 | 64.9% | 0.492 | 0.60u | Won | +0.78u |
| Aug 23, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 35.0% | 0.508 | 1.20u | Won | +1.58u |
| Aug 22, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 1.98 | 64.9% | 0.285 | 1.20u | Won | +1.18u |
| Aug 22, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 35.0% | 0.269 | 0.60u | Won | +0.57u |
| Aug 22, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 58.6% | 0.400 | 0.60u | Won | +0.83u |
| Aug 22, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 2.74 | 41.3% | 0.608 | 1.20u | Won | +2.09u |
| Aug 21, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.12 | 58.6% | 0.242 | 0.66u | Won | +0.74u |
| Aug 21, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.84 | 50.0% | 0.420 | 1.14u | Lost | -1.14u |
| Aug 21, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.28 | 64.9% | 0.479 | 0.60u | Won | +0.77u |
| Aug 21, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 35.0% | 0.515 | 1.20u | Won | +1.60u |
| Aug 20, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 64.9% | 0.583 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 20, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.28 | 64.9% | 0.479 | 0.60u | Won | +0.77u |
| Aug 20, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 55.2% | 0.368 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 20, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 58.6% | 0.424 | 1.20u | Won | +1.72u |
| Aug 19, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 58.6% | 0.289 | 0.60u | Won | +0.72u |
| Aug 19, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.58 | 55.2% | 0.423 | 1.20u | Won | +1.90u |
| Aug 19, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 1.96 | 64.9% | 0.272 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 19, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 48.9% | 0.253 | 0.60u | Won | +0.87u |
| Aug 18, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.29 | 64.9% | 0.485 | 0.60u | Won | +0.77u |
| Aug 18, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 64.9% | 0.583 | 1.20u | Won | +1.73u |
| Aug 18, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.17 | 58.6% | 0.271 | 0.60u | Won | +0.70u |
| Aug 18, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 2.34 | 41.3% | 0.374 | 1.20u | Won | +1.61u |
| Aug 17, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 55.2% | 0.396 | 0.60u | Won | +0.92u |
| Aug 17, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.72 | 41.3% | 0.597 | 1.20u | Won | +2.06u |
| Aug 17, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 1.94 | 64.9% | 0.255 | 1.20u | Won | +1.12u |
| Aug 17, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 45.0% | 0.183 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 16, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 48.9% | 0.197 | 0.60u | Won | +0.80u |
| Aug 16, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 1.98 | 64.9% | 0.285 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 16, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.82 | 41.3% | 0.655 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 16, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 41.3% | 0.644 | 0.60u | Won | +1.08u |
| Aug 15, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Padres
|
Home win | away | 2.63 | 41.3% | 0.544 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 15, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home win | away | 2.60 | 41.3% | 0.526 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 15, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 1.97 | 100.0% | 0.971 | 1.20u | Won | +1.17u |
| Aug 15, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.05 | 64.9% | 0.330 | 0.60u | Won | +0.63u |
| Aug 14, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 48.9% | 0.212 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Aug 14, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 45.0% | 0.320 | 1.14u | Lost | -1.14u |
| Aug 14, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.94 | 55.2% | 0.622 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 14, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 3.31 | 58.6% | 0.939 | 1.20u | Won | +2.77u |
| Aug 13, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 3.70 | 58.6% | 1.168 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 13, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 3.48 | 58.6% | 1.039 | 0.60u | Won | +1.49u |
| Aug 13, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.27 | 64.9% | 0.472 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 13, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.08 | 64.9% | 0.349 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 12, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 1.97 | 64.9% | 0.278 | 1.20u | Won | +1.17u |
| Aug 12, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 1.95 | 64.9% | 0.266 | 0.60u | Won | +0.57u |
| Aug 12, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home win | home | 3.39 | 58.6% | 0.986 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 12, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.99 | 41.3% | 0.755 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 11, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.49 | 58.6% | 0.459 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 11, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.01 | 41.3% | 0.180 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 11, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 1.81 | 100.0% | 0.807 | 1.20u | Won | +0.97u |
| Aug 10, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 35.0% | 0.258 | 1.20u | Won | +1.12u |
| Aug 10, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 1.83 | 35.0% | 0.187 | 0.60u | Won | +0.50u |
| Aug 10, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 1.80 | 71.4% | 0.286 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 10, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 55.2% | 0.258 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 9, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 64.0% | 0.600 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 9, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home win | away | 2.45 | 44.4% | 0.363 | 0.60u | Won | +0.87u |
| Aug 9, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 50.0% | 0.171 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Aug 9, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 50.0% | 0.156 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Aug 8, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.51 | 50.0% | 0.256 | 0.85u | Won | +1.28u |
| Aug 8, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.12 | 64.4% | 0.366 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 8, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 2.69 | 49.9% | 0.349 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 7, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Giants
|
Home win | away | 2.59 | 43.7% | 0.457 | 0.60u | Won | +0.95u |
| Aug 7, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 3.57 | 48.3% | 0.847 | 1.20u | Won | +3.08u |
| Aug 7, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 50.0% | 0.156 | 0.59u | Won | +0.77u |
| Aug 6, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 50.0% | 0.271 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Aug 6, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 50.0% | 0.195 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Aug 6, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 50.0% | 0.180 | 0.22u | Won | +0.30u |
| Aug 6, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Astros
|
Home win | away | 3.26 | 42.5% | 0.874 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 6, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Giants
|
Home win | home | 3.01 | 61.2% | 0.843 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 5, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.79 | 51.2% | 0.429 | 0.60u | Won | +1.07u |
| Aug 5, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 66.8% | 0.738 | 1.20u | Won | +1.92u |
| Aug 5, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 50.0% | 0.166 | 0.62u | Won | +0.82u |
| Aug 5, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 50.0% | 0.195 | 0.70u | Won | +0.97u |
| Aug 4, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 50.0% | 0.151 | 0.58u | Won | +0.75u |
| Aug 4, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Red Sox
|
Home win | away | 3.43 | 49.8% | 0.723 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 4, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.26 | 71.2% | 0.608 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Aug 3, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 3.46 | 50.9% | 0.761 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 3, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 59.4% | 0.248 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 3, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 50.0% | 0.170 | 0.64u | Won | +0.86u |
| Aug 2, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 50.0% | 0.161 | 0.61u | Won | +0.81u |
| Aug 2, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 3.91 | 60.3% | 1.357 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 2, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 2.47 | 42.7% | 0.416 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 1, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.22 | 54.1% | 0.201 | 0.60u | Won | +0.73u |
| Aug 1, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 3.22 | 53.3% | 0.718 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 31, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 3.30 | 47.0% | 0.750 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 31, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 3.36 | 49.8% | 0.685 | 0.60u | Won | +1.42u |
| Jul 31, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 50.0% | 0.160 | 0.61u | Won | +0.81u |
| Jul 31, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 50.0% | 0.156 | 0.60u | Won | +0.79u |
| Jul 30, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 2.50 | 38.9% | 0.528 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.