Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 10:47 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 82.6% | 1.107 | 1.20u | Won | +1.86u |
| May 10, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.42 | 37.5% | 0.513 | 0.60u | Won | +0.85u |
| May 10, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.79 | 43.3% | 0.581 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 10, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.66 | 44.3% | 0.480 | 0.60u | Won | +1.00u |
| May 10, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.01 | 12.5% | 0.759 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 9, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 40.0% | 0.136 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| May 9, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 3.00 | 43.3% | 0.700 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 9, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Guardians
|
Home win | away | 2.64 | 37.5% | 0.650 | 0.60u | Won | +0.98u |
| May 8, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 2.76 | 37.5% | 0.725 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 8, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.99 | 37.5% | 0.869 | 1.20u | Won | +2.39u |
| May 8, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 1.83 | 12.5% | 0.598 | 0.60u | Won | +0.50u |
| May 8, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 12.5% | 0.768 | 1.20u | Won | +1.22u |
| May 7, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 37.5% | 0.475 | 1.20u | Won | +1.63u |
| May 7, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 40.0% | 0.374 | 0.60u | Won | +0.77u |
| May 7, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 2.59 | 0.0% | 1.590 | 1.20u | Won | +1.91u |
| May 7, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.95 | 50.9% | 0.501 | 0.60u | Won | +1.17u |
| May 6, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.91 | 37.5% | 0.819 | 1.20u | Won | +2.29u |
| May 6, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 37.5% | 0.313 | 0.60u | Won | +0.66u |
| May 5, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home win | away | 2.99 | 43.3% | 0.694 | 1.20u | Won | +2.39u |
| May 5, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home win | away | 2.39 | 37.5% | 0.494 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 5, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 44.3% | 0.280 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 5, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 40.0% | 0.344 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 4, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 40.0% | 0.374 | 1.20u | Won | +1.55u |
| May 4, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 37.5% | 0.363 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 4, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 2.89 | 43.3% | 0.638 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 4, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.24 | 82.6% | 0.850 | 1.20u | Won | +1.49u |
| May 3, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.44 | 54.3% | 0.325 | 0.60u | Won | +0.86u |
| May 3, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.25 | 13.3% | 0.950 | 1.20u | Won | +1.50u |
| May 3, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 47.3% | 0.317 | 1.06u | Won | +1.59u |
| May 3, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 47.4% | 0.230 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| May 2, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 47.5% | 0.228 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| May 2, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home win | away | 1.65 | 13.3% | 0.433 | 1.20u | Won | +0.78u |
| May 2, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 54.3% | 0.314 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 1, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 2.54 | 47.1% | 0.345 | 0.60u | Won | +0.92u |
| May 1, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 54.3% | 0.384 | 1.20u | Won | +1.86u |
| May 1, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 47.7% | 0.131 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| May 1, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 48.0% | 0.259 | 0.91u | Lost | -0.91u |
| May 1, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 48.6% | 0.181 | 0.70u | Won | +0.91u |
| Apr 30, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 48.3% | 0.230 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Apr 30, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 49.4% | 0.220 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Apr 30, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.61 | 54.3% | 0.417 | 0.60u | Won | +0.97u |
| Apr 30, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 2.91 | 13.3% | 1.522 | 1.20u | Won | +2.29u |
| Apr 29, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 2.91 | 0.0% | 1.910 | 1.20u | Won | +2.29u |
| Apr 29, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Astros
|
Home win | away | 2.29 | 33.3% | 0.527 | 0.60u | Won | +0.77u |
| Apr 29, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 48.0% | 0.170 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Apr 29, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 46.3% | 0.224 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Apr 28, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.34 | 100.0% | 1.340 | 0.60u | Won | +0.80u |
| Apr 28, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home win | away | 2.79 | 13.3% | 1.418 | 1.20u | Won | +2.15u |
| Apr 27, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 33.3% | 0.867 | 1.20u | Won | +2.16u |
| Apr 27, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.51 | 54.3% | 0.363 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 27, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 47.8% | 0.290 | 0.99u | Lost | -0.99u |
| Apr 27, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 49.0% | 0.244 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Apr 26, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 47.7% | 0.245 | 0.89u | Won | +1.23u |
| Apr 26, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 49.2% | 0.224 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Apr 26, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 47.2% | 0.209 | 0.11u | Won | +0.14u |
| Apr 26, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 2.39 | 13.3% | 1.071 | 0.60u | Won | +0.83u |
| Apr 26, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 3.28 | 33.3% | 1.187 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 25, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 54.3% | 0.297 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 25, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.63 | 54.3% | 0.428 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 25, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 47.5% | 0.156 | 0.65u | Won | +0.78u |
| Apr 24, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 47.4% | 0.231 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Apr 24, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 46.8% | 0.308 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Apr 24, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 13.3% | 1.427 | 1.20u | Won | +2.16u |
| Apr 24, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 2.09 | 13.3% | 0.811 | 0.60u | Won | +0.65u |
| Apr 23, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 2.29 | 13.3% | 0.985 | 1.20u | Won | +1.55u |
| Apr 23, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.22 | 13.3% | 0.924 | 0.60u | Won | +0.73u |
| Apr 23, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 51.3% | 0.330 | 1.04u | Won | +1.65u |
| Apr 23, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 49.5% | 0.283 | 0.76u | Won | +1.17u |
| Apr 22, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 48.4% | 0.078 | 0.36u | Won | +0.39u |
| Apr 22, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 48.0% | 0.166 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Apr 22, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 48.7% | 0.201 | 0.75u | Won | +1.01u |
| Apr 22, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 2.11 | 33.3% | 0.407 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 22, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.54 | 33.3% | 0.693 | 1.20u | Won | +1.85u |
| Apr 21, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 54.3% | 0.330 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 21, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 1.75 | 100.0% | 0.752 | 1.20u | Won | +0.90u |
| Apr 21, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 47.4% | 0.272 | 0.96u | Lost | -0.96u |
| Apr 20, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 46.8% | 0.325 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Apr 20, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 47.5% | 0.229 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Apr 20, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 3.04 | 33.3% | 1.027 | 1.20u | Won | +2.45u |
| Apr 20, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home win | away | 2.67 | 33.3% | 0.780 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 19, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.16 | 55.0% | 0.188 | 0.60u | Won | +0.70u |
| Apr 19, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.88 | 54.8% | 0.579 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 19, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 43.3% | 0.286 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Apr 19, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 43.6% | 0.321 | 1.20u | Won | +1.61u |
| Apr 19, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 39.6% | 0.263 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Apr 18, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 43.7% | 0.188 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Apr 18, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 40.2% | 0.147 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Apr 18, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 41.8% | 0.120 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Apr 18, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.23 | 54.8% | 0.222 | 0.64u | Won | +0.79u |
| Apr 18, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 54.8% | 0.332 | 1.16u | Won | +1.66u |
| Apr 17, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.27 | 54.8% | 0.244 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 17, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.71 | 54.8% | 0.486 | 1.20u | Won | +2.05u |
| Apr 17, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 43.8% | 0.298 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Apr 17, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 43.7% | 0.319 | 1.19u | Won | +1.59u |
| Apr 16, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 43.7% | 0.435 | 1.20u | Won | +1.86u |
| Apr 16, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.51 | 43.5% | 0.417 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 16, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 39.7% | 0.410 | 0.60u | Won | +0.80u |
| Apr 16, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.56 | 54.8% | 0.403 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 16, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.26 | 54.8% | 0.239 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 15, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 54.8% | 0.287 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.