Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 10:47 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.67 | 51.7% | 0.381 | 0.60u | Won | +1.00u |
| Sep 22, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Astros
|
Home win | home | 3.02 | 55.9% | 0.688 | 1.20u | Won | +2.42u |
| Sep 21, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.32 | 59.7% | 0.386 | 0.60u | Won | +0.79u |
| Sep 21, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.85 | 54.3% | 0.549 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 21, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.57 | 50.5% | 0.298 | 0.95u | Won | +1.49u |
| Sep 21, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 50.5% | 0.283 | 0.85u | Won | +1.31u |
| Sep 20, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 43.1% | 0.360 | 0.60u | Won | +0.83u |
| Sep 20, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 38.6% | 0.442 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Sep 20, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.88 | 50.2% | 0.447 | 1.19u | Won | +2.24u |
| Sep 19, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 39.7% | 0.327 | 0.60u | Won | +0.72u |
| Sep 19, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 40.8% | 0.440 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 18, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 32.5% | 0.305 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Sep 18, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 46.5% | 0.369 | 1.18u | Lost | -1.18u |
| Sep 18, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.54 | 50.3% | 0.277 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| Sep 18, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 50.2% | 0.281 | 0.91u | Lost | -0.91u |
| Sep 17, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.29 | 50.2% | 0.150 | 0.58u | Won | +0.75u |
| Sep 17, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 3.45 | 50.2% | 0.732 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 17, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 31.6% | 0.560 | 0.60u | Won | +0.77u |
| Sep 17, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.65 | 39.4% | 0.607 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 16, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 38.2% | 0.459 | 1.20u | Won | +1.63u |
| Sep 16, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 41.5% | 0.363 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 16, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.37 | 50.2% | 0.191 | 0.12u | Won | +0.16u |
| Sep 16, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 50.2% | 0.201 | 0.72u | Won | +1.00u |
| Sep 16, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.59 | 50.4% | 0.304 | 0.96u | Won | +1.53u |
| Sep 15, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 50.3% | 0.206 | 0.74u | Won | +1.04u |
| Sep 15, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 50.2% | 0.145 | 0.57u | Won | +0.73u |
| Sep 15, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 46.3% | 0.257 | 0.60u | Won | +0.80u |
| Sep 15, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 38.3% | 0.314 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 14, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 31.3% | 0.552 | 1.20u | Won | +1.51u |
| Sep 14, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 38.6% | 0.481 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 14, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.87 | 50.2% | 0.440 | 1.18u | Won | +2.21u |
| Sep 13, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.71 | 50.2% | 0.361 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 13, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.92 | 50.2% | 0.465 | 1.20u | Won | +2.30u |
| Sep 13, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 43.7% | 0.295 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 13, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 41.3% | 0.461 | 1.20u | Won | +1.79u |
| Sep 12, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 49.5% | 0.217 | 0.60u | Won | +0.85u |
| Sep 12, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 40.5% | 0.285 | 1.20u | Won | +1.39u |
| Sep 12, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.97 | 50.2% | 0.491 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 12, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.83 | 50.1% | 0.419 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 11, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.41 | 50.2% | 0.211 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Sep 11, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 50.2% | 0.206 | 0.73u | Won | +1.02u |
| Sep 11, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 50.2% | 0.206 | 0.32u | Won | +0.45u |
| Sep 11, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 41.3% | 0.396 | 0.60u | Won | +0.83u |
| Sep 11, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 29.0% | 0.478 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 10, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 41.1% | 0.413 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Sep 10, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 38.0% | 0.500 | 1.20u | Won | +1.70u |
| Sep 10, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.61 | 50.2% | 0.311 | 0.70u | Won | +1.13u |
| Sep 10, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.76 | 50.3% | 0.387 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Sep 9, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.66 | 50.2% | 0.336 | 1.01u | Won | +1.68u |
| Sep 9, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.49 | 50.2% | 0.251 | 0.79u | Won | +1.18u |
| Sep 9, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 38.9% | 0.510 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 9, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 1.86 | 31.6% | 0.275 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 8, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 52.7% | 0.297 | 1.02u | Lost | -1.02u |
| Sep 8, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.03 | 40.7% | 0.204 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Sep 8, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 50.2% | 0.382 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Sep 7, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 4.11 | 50.2% | 1.061 | 1.20u | Won | +3.73u |
| Sep 7, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 3.48 | 50.1% | 0.745 | 0.60u | Won | +1.49u |
| Sep 7, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 40.0% | 0.349 | 1.20u | Won | +1.50u |
| Sep 7, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 38.7% | 0.317 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 6, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 52.4% | 0.300 | 1.01u | Won | +1.49u |
| Sep 6, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 52.2% | 0.285 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Sep 6, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.97 | 63.6% | 0.890 | 1.20u | Won | +2.36u |
| Sep 6, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.63 | 60.0% | 0.578 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 5, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.46 | 50.0% | 0.230 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 5, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.16 | 100.0% | 1.160 | 1.20u | Won | +1.39u |
| Sep 5, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Guardians
|
Home cover | home | 2.27 | 52.3% | 0.187 | 0.73u | Won | +0.93u |
| Sep 4, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.65 | 52.0% | 0.379 | 1.15u | Won | +1.90u |
| Sep 4, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 52.9% | 0.356 | 0.65u | Won | +1.01u |
| Sep 4, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.59 | 52.0% | 0.346 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 4, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.78 | 52.0% | 0.445 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 3, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.62 | 60.0% | 0.572 | 1.20u | Won | +1.94u |
| Sep 3, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 52.0% | 0.258 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 3, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.63 | 52.1% | 0.371 | 1.14u | Won | +1.86u |
| Sep 3, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.58 | 52.5% | 0.354 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Sep 2, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.64 | 52.5% | 0.385 | 1.17u | Won | +1.92u |
| Sep 2, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.25 | 52.3% | 0.176 | 0.63u | Won | +0.79u |
| Sep 2, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.96 | 52.0% | 0.538 | 0.60u | Won | +1.18u |
| Sep 2, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 1.76 | 100.0% | 0.758 | 1.20u | Won | +0.91u |
| Sep 1, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.32 | 52.0% | 0.206 | 0.78u | Won | +1.03u |
| Aug 31, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 63.6% | 0.496 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Aug 31, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 3.02 | 52.0% | 0.569 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 31, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.66 | 52.0% | 0.383 | 1.15u | Lost | -1.15u |
| Aug 31, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.41 | 51.5% | 0.241 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Aug 30, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 51.9% | 0.318 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Aug 30, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.58 | 51.7% | 0.335 | 1.06u | Won | +1.67u |
| Aug 30, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.81 | 50.0% | 0.405 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 30, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.46 | 63.6% | 0.566 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 29, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.79 | 50.0% | 0.395 | 1.10u | Won | +1.97u |
| Aug 29, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 52.0% | 0.310 | 0.70u | Won | +1.06u |
| Aug 29, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 53.3% | 0.391 | 1.20u | Won | +1.93u |
| Aug 29, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 53.0% | 0.299 | 0.60u | Won | +0.87u |
| Aug 28, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.40 | 51.7% | 0.241 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Aug 28, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 52.9% | 0.285 | 0.99u | Won | +1.42u |
| Aug 28, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.67 | 63.6% | 0.699 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 28, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Braves
|
Home win | home | 3.16 | 52.0% | 0.642 | 0.60u | Won | +1.30u |
| Aug 27, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.83 | 52.0% | 0.471 | 0.60u | Won | +1.10u |
| Aug 27, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.93 | 52.0% | 0.523 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 27, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Guardians
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 53.3% | 0.360 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Aug 27, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 52.8% | 0.352 | 0.64u | Won | +1.00u |
| Aug 26, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Guardians
|
Home cover | home | 2.63 | 52.4% | 0.377 | 1.16u | Won | +1.89u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.