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Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Jul 16, 2026 2:35 PM EDT

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First5 result mlb
Giants Giants
Diamondbacks Diamondbacks
away
Odds
3.95
Prob
54.9%
EV/u
0.308
Stake
0.52u
Lost -0.52u
First5 result mlb
Mariners Mariners
Cardinals Cardinals
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
49.9%
EV/u
0.173
Stake
0.64u
Lost -0.64u
First5 result mlb
Phillies Phillies
Mets Mets
away
Odds
3.00
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.169
Stake
0.42u
Lost -0.42u
First5 result mlb
Dodgers Dodgers
Rockies Rockies
home
Odds
2.10
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First5 result mlb
Cardinals Cardinals
Giants Giants
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.60u
Won +0.84u
First5 result mlb
Angels Angels
Athletics Athletics
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
50.6%
EV/u
0.568
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.52u
First5 result mlb
Rockies Rockies
Padres Padres
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.338
Stake
0.70u
Won +1.68u
First5 result mlb
Diamondbacks Diamondbacks
Red Sox Red Sox
away
Odds
2.00
Prob
30.8%
EV/u
0.248
Stake
1.10u
Lost -1.10u
First5 result mlb
Yankees Yankees
Blue Jays Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
50.2%
EV/u
0.229
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
First5 result mlb
Rockies Rockies
Padres Padres
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.501
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.40u
First5 result mlb
Royals Royals
Angels Angels
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.61u
Won +0.79u
First5 result mlb
Twins Twins
White Sox White Sox
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.090
Stake
0.37u
Won +0.44u
First5 result mlb
Nationals Nationals
Marlins Marlins
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.72u
Won +1.01u
First5 result mlb
Cardinals Cardinals
Athletics Athletics
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.303
Stake
0.95u
Won +1.52u
First5 result mlb
Diamondbacks Diamondbacks
Rangers Rangers
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.13u
Won +0.17u
First5 result mlb
Tigers Tigers
Mets Mets
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.61u
Lost -0.61u
First5 result mlb
Cubs Cubs
Braves Braves
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
0.437
Stake
1.12u
Won +2.18u
First5 result mlb
Rockies Rockies
Giants Giants
home
Odds
2.25
Prob
54.5%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.90u
Lost -0.90u
First5 result mlb
Twins Twins
Padres Padres
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.540
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.58u
First5 result mlb
Giants Giants
Orioles Orioles
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.227
Stake
0.60u
Won +0.87u
First5 result mlb
Athletics Athletics
Rangers Rangers
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.333
Stake
1.01u
Lost -1.01u
First5 result mlb
White Sox White Sox
Yankees Yankees
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
49.6%
EV/u
0.315
Stake
0.79u
Lost -0.79u
First5 result mlb
Astros Astros
Angels Angels
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.397
Stake
1.07u
Lost -1.07u
First5 result mlb
Twins Twins
Padres Padres
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.395
Stake
0.73u
Won +1.35u
First5 result mlb
Mets Mets
Marlins Marlins
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.70u
Lost -0.70u
First5 result mlb
Brewers Brewers
Diamondbacks Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.374
Stake
1.10u
Lost -1.10u
First5 result mlb
Yankees Yankees
Nationals Nationals
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.100
Stake
0.41u
Won +0.49u
First5 result mlb
Dodgers Dodgers
Reds Reds
away
Odds
3.35
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.073
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First5 result mlb
Athletics Athletics
Tigers Tigers
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
47.6%
EV/u
0.198
Stake
0.43u
Lost -0.43u
First5 result mlb
Mets Mets
Phillies Phillies
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
50.5%
EV/u
0.162
Stake
0.62u
Won +0.81u
First5 result mlb
Dodgers Dodgers
Reds Reds
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.123
Stake
0.47u
Won +0.61u
First5 result mlb
Orioles Orioles
Red Sox Red Sox
away
Odds
3.85
Prob
50.8%
EV/u
0.235
Stake
0.41u
Won +1.17u
First5 result mlb
Mets Mets
Phillies Phillies
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.32u
First5 result mlb
Cardinals Cardinals
Pirates Pirates
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.380
Stake
1.05u
Won +1.89u
First5 result mlb
Tigers Tigers
Royals Royals
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
50.0%
EV/u
0.056
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First5 result mlb
Phillies Phillies
Nationals Nationals
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
0.082
Stake
0.34u
Won +0.41u
First5 result mlb
Angels Angels
Cubs Cubs
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.053
Stake
0.23u
Lost -0.23u
First5 result mlb
Padres Padres
Dodgers Dodgers
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.29u
Won +0.35u
First5 result mlb
Phillies Phillies
Nationals Nationals
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.063
Stake
0.15u
Lost -0.15u
First5 result mlb
Brewers Brewers
Giants Giants
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
49.1%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.50u
Won +0.65u
First5 result mlb
Orioles Orioles
Astros Astros
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.31u
Lost -0.31u
First5 result mlb
Rangers Rangers
Guardians Guardians
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.051
Stake
0.13u
Lost -0.13u
First5 result mlb
Padres Padres
Dodgers Dodgers
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
48.9%
EV/u
0.052
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.26u
First5 result mlb
Tigers Tigers
Royals Royals
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.70u
Lost -0.70u
First5 result mlb
Yankees Yankees
Red Sox Red Sox
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
55.2%
EV/u
0.573
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.22u
First5 result mlb
Nationals Nationals
Mets Mets
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
48.5%
EV/u
0.067
Stake
0.28u
Won +0.34u
First5 result mlb
Tigers Tigers
Astros Astros
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
56.7%
EV/u
0.928
Stake
1.20u
Won +2.88u
First5 result mlb
Padres Padres
Giants Giants
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.60u
Won +0.87u
First5 result mlb
Marlins Marlins
Cardinals Cardinals
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.079
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.40u
First5 result mlb
Diamondbacks Diamondbacks
Guardians Guardians
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.44u
Lost -0.44u
First5 result mlb
Padres Padres
Giants Giants
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.379
Stake
0.90u
Won +1.89u
First5 result mlb
Phillies Phillies
Mariners Mariners
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.102
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First5 result mlb
Marlins Marlins
Cardinals Cardinals
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.531
Stake
1.11u
Lost -1.11u
First5 result mlb
Red Sox Red Sox
Marlins Marlins
away
Odds
3.10
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.253
Stake
0.60u
Lost -0.60u
First5 result mlb
Mets Mets
Mariners Mariners
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.230
Stake
0.64u
Won +1.15u
First5 result mlb
Guardians Guardians
Braves Braves
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.38u
Won +0.70u
First5 result mlb
Rockies Rockies
Diamondbacks Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.26u
Lost -0.26u
First5 result mlb
Rockies Rockies
Diamondbacks Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First5 result mlb
Dodgers Dodgers
Padres Padres
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.67u
Won +1.14u
First5 result mlb
Athletics Athletics
Angels Angels
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.58u
First5 result mlb
Nationals Nationals
Phillies Phillies
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.181
Stake
0.55u
Lost -0.55u
First5 result mlb
Twins Twins
Tigers Tigers
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.57u
Won +0.97u
First5 result mlb
Rockies Rockies
Diamondbacks Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.081
Stake
0.28u
Lost -0.28u
First5 result mlb
Giants Giants
Padres Padres
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.52u
Lost -0.52u
First5 result mlb
Angels Angels
Dodgers Dodgers
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.23u
Won +0.39u
First5 result mlb
Yankees Yankees
Twins Twins
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
44.8%
EV/u
0.129
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First5 result mlb
Guardians Guardians
Marlins Marlins
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.240
Stake
0.58u
Won +1.19u
First5 result mlb
Guardians Guardians
Marlins Marlins
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First5 result mlb
White Sox White Sox
Tigers Tigers
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.065
Stake
0.22u
Won +0.32u
First5 result mlb
Angels Angels
Dodgers Dodgers
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.078
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First5 result mlb
Reds Reds
Phillies Phillies
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.26u
Won +0.38u
First5 result mlb
Rangers Rangers
Diamondbacks Diamondbacks
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.096
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First5 result mlb
Diamondbacks Diamondbacks
Rockies Rockies
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.260
Stake
0.56u
Lost -0.56u
First5 result mlb
Giants Giants
Nationals Nationals
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.077
Stake
0.27u
Lost -0.27u
First5 result mlb
Rangers Rangers
Phillies Phillies
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.130
Stake
0.35u
Won +0.65u
First5 result mlb
Braves Braves
Marlins Marlins
away
Odds
2.85
Prob
44.0%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.40u
Lost -0.40u
First5 result mlb
Rangers Rangers
Phillies Phillies
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.069
Stake
0.25u
Lost -0.25u
First5 result mlb
Mariners Mariners
Rays Rays
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.128
Stake
0.36u
Won +0.65u
First5 result mlb
Cardinals Cardinals
Cubs Cubs
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.293
Stake
0.65u
Lost -0.65u
First5 result mlb
Braves Braves
Marlins Marlins
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
45.4%
EV/u
0.316
Stake
0.66u
Won +1.58u
First5 result mlb
Nationals Nationals
Athletics Athletics
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.055
Stake
0.20u
Lost -0.20u
First5 result mlb
Red Sox Red Sox
Royals Royals
away
Odds
3.20
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.287
Stake
0.65u
Won +1.43u
First5 result mlb
Cubs Cubs
Reds Reds
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.424
Stake
0.96u
Won +2.11u
First5 result mlb
Rangers Rangers
Yankees Yankees
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.075
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First5 result mlb
Rangers Rangers
Yankees Yankees
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.141
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First5 result mlb
Mariners Mariners
White Sox White Sox
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
0.145
Stake
0.37u
Lost -0.37u
First5 result mlb
Dodgers Dodgers
Cardinals Cardinals
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
47.0%
EV/u
0.387
Stake
0.99u
Won +1.93u
First5 result mlb
Rockies Rockies
Blue Jays Blue Jays
home
Odds
2.75
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.436
Stake
1.20u
Lost -1.20u
First5 result mlb
Phillies Phillies
Tigers Tigers
home
Odds
2.20
Prob
51.4%
EV/u
0.131
Stake
0.55u
Won +0.66u
First5 result mlb
Padres Padres
Cardinals Cardinals
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
59.2%
EV/u
0.391
Stake
1.20u
Won +1.62u
First5 result mlb
Phillies Phillies
Tigers Tigers
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
0.276
Stake
0.69u
Lost -0.69u
First5 result mlb
Guardians Guardians
Twins Twins
home
Odds
2.55
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.105
Stake
0.34u
Lost -0.34u
First5 result mlb
Athletics Athletics
Diamondbacks Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.24u
Won +0.47u
First5 result mlb
Angels Angels
White Sox White Sox
away
Odds
2.35
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.066
Stake
0.25u
Won +0.34u
First5 result mlb
Rays Rays
Dodgers Dodgers
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.094
Stake
0.35u
Lost -0.35u
First5 result mlb
Mets Mets
Giants Giants
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
44.7%
EV/u
0.050
Stake
0.19u
Lost -0.19u
First5 result mlb
Reds Reds
Braves Braves
draw
Odds
4.60
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.29u
Lost -0.29u
First5 result mlb
Tigers Tigers
Diamondbacks Diamondbacks
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.076
Stake
0.22u
Lost -0.22u
First5 result mlb
Athletics Athletics
Mariners Mariners
home
Odds
2.45
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.135
Stake
0.46u
Won +0.67u
First5 result mlb
Twins Twins
Red Sox Red Sox
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
45.5%
EV/u
0.137
Stake
0.46u
Lost -0.46u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.