Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 11, 2026 9:07 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2021 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 46.4% | 0.111 | 0.52u | Won | +0.56u |
| Apr 15, 2021 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 49.8% | 0.201 | 0.72u | Won | +1.00u |
| Apr 14, 2021 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 48.5% | 0.226 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Apr 14, 2021 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 47.7% | 0.223 | 0.75u | Won | +1.01u |
| Apr 14, 2021 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 48.7% | 0.130 | 0.30u | Won | +0.36u |
| Apr 13, 2021 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 48.4% | 0.341 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Apr 13, 2021 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 48.5% | 0.288 | 0.36u | Won | +0.54u |
| Apr 13, 2021 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 48.0% | 0.238 | 0.25u | Won | +0.35u |
| Apr 13, 2021 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.80 | 48.7% | 0.437 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Apr 13, 2021 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 47.2% | 0.205 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Apr 13, 2021 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 48.3% | 0.117 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Apr 12, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 50.4% | 0.251 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Apr 12, 2021 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 48.8% | 0.214 | 0.78u | Won | +1.07u |
| Apr 12, 2021 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 49.6% | 0.079 | 0.17u | Won | +0.19u |
| Apr 12, 2021 | seriea |
Benevento
Sassuolo
|
Home draw | away | 2.20 | 35.5% | 0.420 | 1.20u | Won | +1.44u |
| Apr 11, 2021 | seriea |
AS Roma
Bologna
|
Draw away | x2 | 4.00 | 57.9% | 1.316 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 11, 2021 | seriea |
Hellas Verona
Lazio
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.20 | 59.5% | 0.308 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 11, 2021 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 47.6% | 0.242 | 0.73u | Won | +1.00u |
| Apr 11, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 51.2% | 0.258 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Apr 11, 2021 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 49.2% | 0.077 | 0.19u | Won | +0.21u |
| Apr 11, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.04 | 47.9% | 0.062 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 47.9% | 0.131 | 0.52u | Won | +0.61u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 48.2% | 0.182 | 0.71u | Won | +0.91u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 47.6% | 0.137 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | seriea |
Parma
AC Milan
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.10 | 55.6% | 0.168 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Apr 10, 2021 | seriea |
Spezia
Crotone
|
Home draw | away | 3.30 | 47.5% | 0.733 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| Apr 9, 2021 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 48.5% | 0.139 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Apr 9, 2021 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 48.6% | 0.157 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Apr 9, 2021 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 47.6% | 0.059 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Apr 9, 2021 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 48.0% | 0.118 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Apr 8, 2021 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 48.1% | 0.126 | 0.54u | Won | +0.63u |
| Apr 7, 2021 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 47.1% | 0.286 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| Apr 7, 2021 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 48.6% | 0.070 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 35.1% | 0.461 | 0.35u | Won | +0.44u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 53.1% | 0.344 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 27.0% | 0.497 | 0.35u | Won | +0.37u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 46.7% | 0.246 | 0.18u | Won | +0.24u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 55.5% | 0.355 | 0.35u | Won | +0.50u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 65.2% | 0.245 | 0.25u | Won | +0.23u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.04 | 36.1% | 0.304 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 87.6% | 1.217 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 39.6% | 0.202 | 0.21u | Won | +0.21u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.01 | 37.1% | 0.264 | 0.34u | Won | +0.34u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 30.1% | 0.390 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.34 | 51.4% | 0.202 | 0.18u | Won | +0.24u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.57 | 52.1% | 0.339 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 34.0% | 0.313 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 28.0% | 0.633 | 0.42u | Won | +0.53u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.39 | 53.3% | 0.273 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.00 | 54.3% | 0.086 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.06 | 63.5% | 0.308 | 0.55u | Won | +0.58u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.09 | 52.1% | 0.089 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 49.3% | 0.217 | 0.35u | Won | +0.49u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 49.3% | 0.191 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 47.5% | 0.229 | 0.39u | Won | +0.52u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 43.1% | 0.082 | 0.08u | Won | +0.07u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.30 | 55.8% | 0.284 | 0.30u | Won | +0.39u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.13 | 55.8% | 0.189 | 0.15u | Won | +0.17u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 39.7% | 0.411 | 0.36u | Won | +0.48u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 58.5% | 0.451 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 44.5% | 0.292 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 40.0% | 0.410 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 42.1% | 0.448 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 41.3% | 0.298 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | seriea |
Lazio
Spezia
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.75 | 64.8% | 0.783 | 0.94u | Lost | -0.94u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | seriea |
Atalanta
Udinese
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.50 | 62.7% | 0.567 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | seriea |
Benevento
Parma
|
Home draw | away | 2.55 | 47.6% | 0.336 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | seriea |
Cagliari
Hellas Verona
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 58.9% | 0.546 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | seriea |
Sassuolo
AS Roma
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 57.1% | 0.498 | 0.56u | Won | +0.91u |
| Apr 2, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 48.5% | 0.211 | 0.78u | Won | +1.05u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.02 | 53.2% | 0.074 | 0.05u | Won | +0.05u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 44.1% | 0.319 | 0.56u | Won | +0.76u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.69 | 50.4% | 0.357 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 36.0% | 0.459 | 0.63u | Won | +0.81u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 38.7% | 0.312 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 35.3% | 0.294 | 0.46u | Won | +0.46u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 41.0% | 0.192 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Mar 21, 2021 | seriea |
Fiorentina
AC Milan
|
Home draw | away | 2.05 | 46.6% | 0.094 | 0.72u | Won | +0.76u |
| Mar 14, 2021 | seriea |
Parma
AS Roma
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 61.7% | 0.619 | 0.50u | Won | +0.81u |
| Mar 14, 2021 | seriea |
Bologna
Sampdoria
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.40 | 88.9% | 2.024 | 1.00u | Won | +2.40u |
| Mar 13, 2021 | seriea |
Benevento
Fiorentina
|
Home draw | away | 2.10 | 11.3% | 0.862 | 1.20u | Won | +1.32u |
| Mar 12, 2021 | seriea |
Lazio
Crotone
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.75 | 50.1% | 0.879 | 0.84u | Lost | -0.84u |
| Mar 12, 2021 | seriea |
Atalanta
Spezia
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.50 | 50.1% | 0.754 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Mar 7, 2021 | seriea |
AS Roma
Genoa
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.75 | 50.1% | 0.377 | 0.99u | Lost | -0.99u |
| Mar 7, 2021 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Parma
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.50 | 50.1% | 0.252 | 0.51u | Won | +0.77u |
| Mar 7, 2021 | seriea |
Hellas Verona
AC Milan
|
Home draw | away | 2.15 | 27.2% | 0.565 | 1.20u | Won | +1.38u |
| Mar 4, 2021 | seriea |
Parma
Internazionale
|
Home draw | 1x | 4.00 | 72.7% | 1.909 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 3, 2021 | seriea |
Fiorentina
AS Roma
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.00 | 65.0% | 0.300 | 1.20u | Won | +1.20u |
| Feb 28, 2021 | seriea |
Internazionale
Genoa
|
Draw away | x2 | 5.00 | 72.9% | 2.645 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| Feb 28, 2021 | seriea |
AS Roma
AC Milan
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.00 | 52.8% | 0.584 | 0.50u | Won | +1.00u |
| Feb 28, 2021 | seriea |
Udinese
Fiorentina
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.50 | 70.2% | 0.756 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Feb 27, 2021 | seriea |
Spezia
Parma
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.38 | 72.7% | 0.727 | 1.00u | Won | +1.38u |
| Feb 27, 2021 | seriea |
Bologna
Lazio
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.00 | 70.5% | 0.410 | 0.50u | Won | +0.50u |
| Feb 21, 2021 | seriea |
Parma
Udinese
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.10 | 79.3% | 0.666 | 1.20u | Won | +1.32u |
| Feb 21, 2021 | seriea |
AC Milan
Internazionale
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.50 | 70.2% | 0.756 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 20, 2021 | seriea |
Genoa
Hellas Verona
|
Draw away | home | 2.30 | 37.3% | 0.441 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| Feb 20, 2021 | seriea |
Lazio
Sampdoria
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.25 | 57.0% | 0.282 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Feb 14, 2021 | seriea |
AS Roma
Udinese
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.10 | 50.0% | 0.051 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Feb 14, 2021 | seriea |
Sampdoria
Fiorentina
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.50 | 76.2% | 0.905 | 0.68u | Won | +1.02u |
| Feb 14, 2021 | seriea |
Crotone
Sassuolo
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 77.2% | 1.026 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.