Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 11, 2026 9:07 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2020 | seriea |
Cagliari
Lazio
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.00 | 68.6% | 0.373 | 1.00u | Won | +1.00u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | seriea |
Torino
Atalanta
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.38 | 52.9% | 0.255 | 0.93u | Lost | -0.93u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | seriea |
Internazionale
Fiorentina
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.25 | 52.9% | 0.189 | 0.57u | Won | +0.71u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 49.9% | 0.177 | 0.19u | Won | +0.26u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 50.0% | 0.251 | 0.34u | Won | +0.51u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 50.0% | 0.300 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.51 | 50.0% | 0.255 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.201 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 50.0% | 0.221 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Sep 25, 2020 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.13 | 50.3% | 0.072 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Sep 25, 2020 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.35 | 50.0% | 0.175 | 0.50u | Won | +0.68u |
| Sep 25, 2020 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 50.0% | 0.110 | 0.26u | Won | +0.32u |
| Sep 25, 2020 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.90 | 50.0% | 0.450 | 0.91u | Lost | -0.91u |
| Sep 24, 2020 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 50.0% | 0.126 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Sep 23, 2020 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.21 | 50.0% | 0.105 | 0.30u | Won | +0.36u |
| Sep 23, 2020 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 49.9% | 0.187 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Sep 23, 2020 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 49.9% | 0.102 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Sep 23, 2020 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.35 | 50.0% | 0.175 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Sep 22, 2020 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.32 | 50.0% | 0.160 | 0.38u | Won | +0.50u |
| Sep 22, 2020 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.31 | 50.1% | 0.157 | 0.37u | Won | +0.48u |
| Sep 22, 2020 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.18 | 50.1% | 0.092 | 0.16u | Won | +0.19u |
| Sep 22, 2020 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 50.0% | 0.116 | 0.23u | Won | +0.28u |
| Sep 22, 2020 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.21 | 50.0% | 0.105 | 0.20u | Won | +0.24u |
| Sep 22, 2020 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 49.9% | 0.202 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Sep 21, 2020 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 50.0% | 0.116 | 0.19u | Won | +0.23u |
| Sep 21, 2020 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 50.1% | 0.308 | 0.79u | Won | +1.27u |
| Sep 21, 2020 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.66 | 50.0% | 0.330 | 0.82u | Won | +1.36u |
| Sep 21, 2020 | seriea |
AC Milan
Bologna
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.63 | 52.8% | 0.387 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 20, 2020 | seriea |
Parma
Napoli
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.20 | 56.0% | 0.232 | 1.20u | Won | +1.44u |
| Sep 20, 2020 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Cagliari
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 53.5% | 0.406 | 1.20u | Won | +1.95u |
| Sep 20, 2020 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 50.0% | 0.176 | 0.65u | Won | +0.88u |
| Sep 20, 2020 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.24 | 50.0% | 0.120 | 0.48u | Won | +0.60u |
| Sep 19, 2020 | mlb |
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 50.0% | 0.135 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Sep 19, 2020 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 50.0% | 0.216 | 0.76u | Won | +1.09u |
| Sep 18, 2020 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 49.9% | 0.302 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Sep 18, 2020 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.63 | 50.0% | 0.315 | 0.63u | Won | +1.03u |
| Sep 18, 2020 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.20 | 50.0% | 0.101 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Sep 18, 2020 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.41 | 50.0% | 0.205 | 0.43u | Won | +0.61u |
| Sep 16, 2020 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 49.9% | 0.183 | 0.57u | Won | +0.78u |
| Sep 16, 2020 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 49.9% | 0.096 | 0.20u | Won | +0.24u |
| Sep 16, 2020 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 49.9% | 0.196 | 0.60u | Won | +0.83u |
| Sep 16, 2020 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.30 | 50.0% | 0.150 | 0.43u | Won | +0.56u |
| Sep 15, 2020 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.25 | 50.0% | 0.125 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Sep 15, 2020 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 49.9% | 0.131 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| Sep 15, 2020 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 50.0% | 0.126 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Sep 15, 2020 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 49.9% | 0.103 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Sep 14, 2020 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 50.0% | 0.065 | 0.29u | Won | +0.33u |
| Sep 14, 2020 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 50.0% | 0.116 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Sep 13, 2020 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.39 | 50.0% | 0.195 | 0.70u | Won | +0.97u |
| Sep 13, 2020 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 49.9% | 0.177 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Sep 13, 2020 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.27 | 50.0% | 0.135 | 0.44u | Won | +0.56u |
| Sep 12, 2020 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.26 | 50.0% | 0.130 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Sep 12, 2020 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.64 | 50.0% | 0.320 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Sep 12, 2020 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 50.0% | 0.226 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Sep 12, 2020 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.24 | 50.0% | 0.120 | 0.24u | Won | +0.30u |
| Sep 11, 2020 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.37 | 50.0% | 0.185 | 0.55u | Won | +0.75u |
| Sep 11, 2020 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 50.0% | 0.226 | 0.64u | Won | +0.93u |
| Sep 11, 2020 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 50.0% | 0.081 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Sep 11, 2020 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 50.0% | 0.161 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Sep 10, 2020 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 50.0% | 0.196 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Sep 10, 2020 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.14 | 50.0% | 0.070 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Sep 9, 2020 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 50.0% | 0.176 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Sep 8, 2020 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 45.1% | 0.302 | 0.27u | Won | +0.37u |
| Sep 8, 2020 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 39.0% | 0.341 | 0.35u | Won | +0.42u |
| Sep 8, 2020 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 36.5% | 0.283 | 0.28u | Won | +0.29u |
| Sep 8, 2020 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.51 | 46.6% | 0.339 | 0.32u | Won | +0.48u |
| Sep 8, 2020 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 40.6% | 0.336 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Sep 8, 2020 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.33 | 54.6% | 0.271 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Sep 7, 2020 | mlb |
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 45.5% | 0.231 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Sep 7, 2020 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 42.2% | 0.099 | 0.55u | Won | +0.50u |
| Sep 6, 2020 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 43.2% | 0.363 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Sep 6, 2020 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 47.7% | 0.166 | 0.21u | Won | +0.26u |
| Sep 6, 2020 | mlb |
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 1.95 | 56.1% | 0.095 | 0.09u | Won | +0.09u |
| Sep 6, 2020 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.37 | 52.5% | 0.244 | 0.33u | Won | +0.45u |
| Sep 6, 2020 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 39.2% | 0.186 | 0.29u | Won | +0.28u |
| Sep 6, 2020 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 33.9% | 0.586 | 0.44u | Won | +0.62u |
| Sep 5, 2020 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 51.2% | 0.255 | 0.47u | Won | +0.68u |
| Sep 5, 2020 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 43.1% | 0.178 | 0.30u | Won | +0.32u |
| Sep 5, 2020 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 44.2% | 0.262 | 0.55u | Won | +0.69u |
| Sep 5, 2020 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 43.4% | 0.239 | 0.48u | Won | +0.57u |
| Sep 4, 2020 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 38.8% | 0.456 | 0.35u | Won | +0.48u |
| Sep 4, 2020 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.41 | 55.4% | 0.336 | 0.34u | Won | +0.48u |
| Sep 4, 2020 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 41.6% | 0.284 | 0.28u | Won | +0.34u |
| Sep 4, 2020 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 32.8% | 0.284 | 0.33u | Won | +0.30u |
| Sep 4, 2020 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 41.6% | 0.196 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Sep 4, 2020 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 38.7% | 0.478 | 0.35u | Won | +0.49u |
| Sep 3, 2020 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 44.0% | 0.225 | 0.30u | Won | +0.36u |
| Sep 3, 2020 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.25 | 51.5% | 0.159 | 0.16u | Won | +0.20u |
| Sep 3, 2020 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 41.2% | 0.334 | 0.42u | Won | +0.53u |
| Sep 3, 2020 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 31.2% | 0.423 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Sep 3, 2020 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 46.3% | 0.101 | 0.08u | Won | +0.08u |
| Sep 3, 2020 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 38.5% | 0.267 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Sep 2, 2020 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 44.2% | 0.318 | 0.79u | Won | +1.07u |
| Sep 2, 2020 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 1.96 | 41.7% | 0.143 | 0.36u | Won | +0.35u |
| Sep 2, 2020 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 38.3% | 0.199 | 0.65u | Won | +0.61u |
| Sep 1, 2020 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 36.0% | 0.421 | 0.34u | Won | +0.41u |
| Sep 1, 2020 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 33.3% | 0.395 | 0.34u | Won | +0.37u |
| Sep 1, 2020 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 24.0% | 0.823 | 0.35u | Won | +0.49u |
| Sep 1, 2020 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.28 | 53.4% | 0.217 | 0.10u | Won | +0.13u |
| Sep 1, 2020 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 57.6% | 0.497 | 0.35u | Won | +0.56u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.