Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 7, 2026 10:15 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2018 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 52.1% | 0.330 | 1.06u | Lost | -1.06u |
| Aug 16, 2018 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.19 | 52.1% | 0.142 | 0.60u | Won | +0.71u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.79 | 52.1% | 0.455 | 0.44u | Won | +0.79u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.75 | 52.1% | 0.434 | 0.44u | Won | +0.77u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.28 | 52.1% | 0.189 | 0.11u | Won | +0.14u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.76 | 52.1% | 0.439 | 0.44u | Won | +0.77u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.65 | 52.1% | 0.382 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 14, 2018 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 53.6% | 0.339 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Aug 14, 2018 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 48.4% | 0.162 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Aug 14, 2018 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 47.4% | 0.341 | 0.76u | Won | +1.18u |
| Aug 13, 2018 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 45.4% | 0.174 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Aug 13, 2018 | mlb |
New York Yankees
New York Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 48.9% | 0.266 | 0.90u | Won | +1.33u |
| Aug 12, 2018 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 43.4% | 0.280 | 0.92u | Won | +1.16u |
| Aug 12, 2018 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 46.8% | 0.278 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Aug 11, 2018 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.01 | 37.6% | 0.254 | 0.55u | Won | +0.56u |
| Aug 11, 2018 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 45.0% | 0.226 | 0.42u | Won | +0.52u |
| Aug 11, 2018 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 43.4% | 0.126 | 0.18u | Won | +0.18u |
| Aug 11, 2018 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.58 | 48.8% | 0.322 | 0.47u | Won | +0.74u |
| Aug 11, 2018 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 45.8% | 0.132 | 0.18u | Won | +0.20u |
| Aug 10, 2018 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 45.1% | 0.395 | 0.50u | Won | +0.77u |
| Aug 10, 2018 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 49.2% | 0.194 | 0.23u | Won | +0.31u |
| Aug 10, 2018 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 47.8% | 0.207 | 0.27u | Won | +0.35u |
| Aug 10, 2018 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 46.3% | 0.218 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Aug 10, 2018 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 41.4% | 0.341 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Aug 9, 2018 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.71 | 50.0% | 0.355 | 1.04u | Won | +1.78u |
| Aug 9, 2018 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 46.8% | 0.175 | 0.72u | Won | +0.87u |
| Aug 8, 2018 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 46.8% | 0.304 | 1.05u | Won | +1.52u |
| Aug 7, 2018 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 47.9% | 0.177 | 0.37u | Won | +0.47u |
| Aug 7, 2018 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 49.1% | 0.212 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Aug 7, 2018 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 46.7% | 0.215 | 0.52u | Won | +0.67u |
| Aug 7, 2018 | mlb |
New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 49.5% | 0.197 | 0.42u | Won | +0.58u |
| Aug 6, 2018 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 46.2% | 0.179 | 0.47u | Won | +0.56u |
| Aug 6, 2018 | mlb |
New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 46.2% | 0.190 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Aug 6, 2018 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.66 | 50.4% | 0.342 | 0.80u | Won | +1.33u |
| Aug 5, 2018 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 46.7% | 0.190 | 0.29u | Won | +0.36u |
| Aug 5, 2018 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 45.5% | 0.226 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Aug 5, 2018 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 45.9% | 0.147 | 0.21u | Won | +0.24u |
| Aug 5, 2018 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.78 | 53.8% | 0.495 | 0.57u | Won | +1.01u |
| Aug 5, 2018 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 49.6% | 0.200 | 0.31u | Won | +0.43u |
| Aug 4, 2018 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 44.5% | 0.310 | 0.57u | Won | +0.78u |
| Aug 4, 2018 | mlb |
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 47.1% | 0.184 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Aug 4, 2018 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.42 | 52.1% | 0.260 | 0.40u | Won | +0.57u |
| Aug 4, 2018 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 41.5% | 0.311 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 3, 2018 | mlb |
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 43.3% | 0.186 | 0.63u | Won | +0.69u |
| Aug 3, 2018 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 45.6% | 0.392 | 1.17u | Lost | -1.17u |
| Aug 2, 2018 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.34 | 50.5% | 0.182 | 0.68u | Won | +0.91u |
| Aug 2, 2018 | mlb |
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 44.6% | 0.213 | 0.90u | Won | +1.07u |
| Aug 1, 2018 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 47.2% | 0.293 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Aug 1, 2018 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 49.0% | 0.148 | 0.37u | Won | +0.46u |
| Aug 1, 2018 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 49.7% | 0.187 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Jul 31, 2018 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 45.4% | 0.246 | 0.69u | Won | +0.88u |
| Jul 31, 2018 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 45.0% | 0.342 | 1.11u | Lost | -1.11u |
| Jul 30, 2018 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 43.9% | 0.393 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Jul 30, 2018 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 44.5% | 0.422 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Jul 30, 2018 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 44.2% | 0.188 | 0.32u | Won | +0.36u |
| Jul 29, 2018 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 44.8% | 0.165 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Jul 29, 2018 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 45.9% | 0.293 | 0.34u | Won | +0.47u |
| Jul 29, 2018 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 45.0% | 0.205 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Jul 29, 2018 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 44.9% | 0.346 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Jul 29, 2018 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 43.5% | 0.345 | 0.39u | Won | +0.54u |
| Jul 29, 2018 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 44.8% | 0.275 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Jul 28, 2018 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 45.3% | 0.339 | 0.34u | Won | +0.49u |
| Jul 28, 2018 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 45.4% | 0.306 | 0.28u | Won | +0.39u |
| Jul 28, 2018 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 44.9% | 0.317 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jul 28, 2018 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 43.1% | 0.332 | 0.34u | Won | +0.46u |
| Jul 28, 2018 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.65 | 43.6% | 0.495 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Jul 28, 2018 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 45.8% | 0.230 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.61 | 44.9% | 0.439 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 44.7% | 0.288 | 0.48u | Won | +0.64u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 45.2% | 0.195 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 44.5% | 0.298 | 0.51u | Won | +0.68u |
| Jul 26, 2018 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 44.7% | 0.260 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Jul 26, 2018 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 44.7% | 0.134 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Jul 26, 2018 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 44.0% | 0.283 | 0.49u | Won | +0.63u |
| Jul 26, 2018 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 44.8% | 0.171 | 0.25u | Won | +0.28u |
| Jul 26, 2018 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 44.8% | 0.249 | 0.44u | Won | +0.55u |
| Jul 25, 2018 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 44.8% | 0.220 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Jul 25, 2018 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 44.0% | 0.255 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Jul 25, 2018 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 43.9% | 0.240 | 0.38u | Won | +0.46u |
| Jul 25, 2018 | mlb |
New York Mets
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 45.5% | 0.171 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Jul 25, 2018 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 43.8% | 0.163 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Jul 25, 2018 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 45.5% | 0.162 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Jul 24, 2018 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 44.7% | 0.245 | 0.31u | Won | +0.39u |
| Jul 24, 2018 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 44.0% | 0.315 | 0.40u | Won | +0.54u |
| Jul 24, 2018 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 44.3% | 0.141 | 0.13u | Won | +0.14u |
| Jul 24, 2018 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 45.0% | 0.397 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Jul 24, 2018 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 45.3% | 0.149 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Jul 24, 2018 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 44.1% | 0.369 | 0.41u | Won | +0.59u |
| Jul 23, 2018 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 44.2% | 0.223 | 0.66u | Won | +0.79u |
| Jul 23, 2018 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 45.1% | 0.296 | 0.79u | Won | +1.07u |
| Jul 23, 2018 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 42.6% | 0.148 | 0.35u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jul 22, 2018 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 44.4% | 0.284 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Jul 22, 2018 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 45.4% | 0.239 | 0.61u | Won | +0.77u |
| Jul 22, 2018 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 44.7% | 0.190 | 0.43u | Won | +0.49u |
| Jul 21, 2018 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 43.6% | 0.201 | 0.89u | Won | +1.01u |
| Jul 21, 2018 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 44.5% | 0.188 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Jul 20, 2018 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 44.7% | 0.245 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Jul 20, 2018 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 44.4% | 0.317 | 0.75u | Won | +1.03u |
| Jul 20, 2018 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 44.1% | 0.230 | 0.50u | Won | +0.60u |
| Jul 15, 2018 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.62 | 49.9% | 0.313 | 0.65u | Won | +1.05u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.