Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 13, 2026 7:56 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2018 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 39.7% | 0.126 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.57 | 51.7% | 0.311 | 0.50u | Won | +0.79u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | seriea |
Udinese
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.50 | 50.0% | 0.251 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | seriea |
Napoli
AC Milan
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.38 | 50.0% | 0.188 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | seriea |
Juventus
Lazio
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.63 | 50.0% | 0.313 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 47.0% | 0.249 | 0.44u | Won | +0.64u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 51.0% | 0.285 | 0.59u | Won | +0.91u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 44.1% | 0.324 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.12 | 53.0% | 0.100 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | mlb |
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.01 | 45.8% | 0.070 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 41.8% | 0.178 | 0.56u | Won | +0.61u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 46.5% | 0.163 | 0.44u | Won | +0.55u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 44.8% | 0.200 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.24 | 50.6% | 0.109 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Aug 23, 2018 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.38 | 51.1% | 0.179 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Aug 23, 2018 | mlb |
New York Mets
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.23 | 51.5% | 0.120 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 44.1% | 0.203 | 0.46u | Won | +0.57u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 43.6% | 0.195 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.35 | 51.1% | 0.166 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
New York Mets
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.14 | 51.4% | 0.080 | 0.10u | Won | +0.11u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 47.7% | 0.167 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | home | 1.97 | 56.2% | 0.084 | 0.12u | Won | +0.12u |
| Aug 21, 2018 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 47.7% | 0.140 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Aug 21, 2018 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.75 | 45.7% | 0.477 | 0.56u | Won | +0.98u |
| Aug 21, 2018 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 42.8% | 0.218 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Aug 21, 2018 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.75 | 53.4% | 0.444 | 0.52u | Won | +0.91u |
| Aug 21, 2018 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.37 | 50.3% | 0.162 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Aug 21, 2018 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 51.6% | 0.220 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Aug 20, 2018 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 1.97 | 42.3% | 0.110 | 0.34u | Won | +0.33u |
| Aug 20, 2018 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 1.95 | 59.4% | 0.129 | 0.41u | Won | +0.39u |
| Aug 20, 2018 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 44.8% | 0.105 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Aug 19, 2018 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.80 | 50.1% | 0.381 | 0.51u | Won | +0.92u |
| Aug 19, 2018 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.85 | 52.2% | 0.461 | 0.60u | Won | +1.11u |
| Aug 19, 2018 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.36 | 50.1% | 0.150 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Aug 19, 2018 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.51 | 48.0% | 0.289 | 0.43u | Won | +0.65u |
| Aug 19, 2018 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 45.1% | 0.133 | 0.12u | Won | +0.13u |
| Aug 19, 2018 | seriea |
Parma
Udinese
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.20 | 64.7% | 0.423 | 1.20u | Won | +1.44u |
| Aug 18, 2018 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 52.7% | 0.247 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Aug 18, 2018 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 48.5% | 0.227 | 0.62u | Won | +0.91u |
| Aug 18, 2018 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.19 | 50.5% | 0.084 | 0.28u | Won | +0.33u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.52 | 38.2% | 0.528 | 0.66u | Won | +1.00u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.37 | 51.8% | 0.188 | 0.23u | Won | +0.32u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.64 | 53.3% | 0.384 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 45.1% | 0.128 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 46.7% | 0.149 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 48.7% | 0.121 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Aug 16, 2018 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 56.4% | 0.414 | 1.06u | Lost | -1.06u |
| Aug 16, 2018 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.19 | 55.2% | 0.172 | 0.32u | Won | +0.38u |
| Aug 16, 2018 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 48.0% | 0.215 | 0.42u | Won | +0.60u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 41.7% | 0.159 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.79 | 51.2% | 0.406 | 0.69u | Won | +1.24u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 48.7% | 0.139 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.65 | 52.4% | 0.367 | 0.68u | Won | +1.12u |
| Aug 14, 2018 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 49.7% | 0.106 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Aug 13, 2018 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 49.9% | 0.120 | 0.37u | Won | +0.48u |
| Aug 13, 2018 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 50.1% | 0.261 | 0.84u | Won | +1.30u |
| Aug 12, 2018 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.90 | 50.0% | 0.426 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Aug 12, 2018 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.85 | 50.1% | 0.406 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Aug 12, 2018 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.165 | 0.26u | Won | +0.36u |
| Aug 12, 2018 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.20 | 50.0% | 0.080 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Aug 12, 2018 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 49.9% | 0.108 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Aug 12, 2018 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 49.7% | 0.089 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Aug 11, 2018 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.58 | 49.9% | 0.276 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Aug 11, 2018 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 49.9% | 0.093 | 0.13u | Won | +0.16u |
| Aug 11, 2018 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.70 | 50.0% | 0.332 | 0.91u | Won | +1.55u |
| Aug 10, 2018 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 49.9% | 0.146 | 0.43u | Won | +0.58u |
| Aug 10, 2018 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 49.9% | 0.111 | 0.35u | Won | +0.44u |
| Aug 10, 2018 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 49.9% | 0.189 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Aug 10, 2018 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 49.9% | 0.119 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 9, 2018 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.71 | 50.6% | 0.352 | 1.03u | Lost | -1.03u |
| Aug 8, 2018 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 49.9% | 0.188 | 0.52u | Won | +0.75u |
| Aug 7, 2018 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 50.0% | 0.153 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Aug 7, 2018 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 49.9% | 0.116 | 0.27u | Won | +0.35u |
| Aug 7, 2018 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 50.0% | 0.260 | 0.84u | Won | +1.30u |
| Aug 7, 2018 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 49.7% | 0.112 | 0.26u | Won | +0.33u |
| Aug 6, 2018 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 49.9% | 0.076 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Aug 5, 2018 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 49.9% | 0.103 | 0.24u | Won | +0.30u |
| Aug 5, 2018 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 49.9% | 0.095 | 0.20u | Won | +0.25u |
| Aug 5, 2018 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 49.9% | 0.159 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Aug 5, 2018 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.61 | 50.0% | 0.290 | 0.90u | Won | +1.45u |
| Aug 4, 2018 | mlb |
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.42 | 50.1% | 0.175 | 0.49u | Won | +0.70u |
| Aug 4, 2018 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 49.9% | 0.098 | 0.32u | Won | +0.40u |
| Aug 4, 2018 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 50.1% | 0.181 | 0.51u | Won | +0.73u |
| Aug 4, 2018 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 50.0% | 0.097 | 0.31u | Won | +0.38u |
| Aug 3, 2018 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 49.9% | 0.111 | 0.35u | Won | +0.44u |
| Aug 2, 2018 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.22 | 50.0% | 0.088 | 0.29u | Won | +0.35u |
| Aug 2, 2018 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 50.0% | 0.182 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| Aug 2, 2018 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 50.0% | 0.076 | 0.25u | Won | +0.30u |
| Aug 1, 2018 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 49.9% | 0.102 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Aug 1, 2018 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 49.8% | 0.105 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Aug 1, 2018 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 49.9% | 0.189 | 0.52u | Won | +0.75u |
| Jul 31, 2018 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.16 | 54.7% | 0.149 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Jul 31, 2018 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 48.1% | 0.281 | 0.50u | Won | +0.75u |
| Jul 31, 2018 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 49.6% | 0.191 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Jul 31, 2018 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.17 | 50.5% | 0.076 | 0.05u | Won | +0.06u |
| Jul 31, 2018 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.85 | 62.5% | 0.740 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Jul 30, 2018 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.32 | 53.6% | 0.202 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Jul 30, 2018 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 43.6% | 0.421 | 1.35u | Lost | -1.35u |
| Jul 29, 2018 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.73 | 51.8% | 0.392 | 0.36u | Won | +0.62u |
| Jul 29, 2018 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.30 | 56.5% | 0.250 | 0.18u | Won | +0.23u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.