Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 7, 2026 10:15 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2018 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.86 | 62.5% | 0.788 | 0.34u | Won | +0.63u |
| Sep 7, 2018 | mlb |
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.02 | 62.5% | 0.263 | 0.18u | Won | +0.18u |
| Sep 7, 2018 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.79 | 66.7% | 0.860 | 0.34u | Won | +0.61u |
| Sep 6, 2018 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.23 | 66.7% | 0.487 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 5, 2018 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.53 | 32.0% | 0.720 | 0.43u | Won | +0.66u |
| Sep 5, 2018 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 46.5% | 0.171 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Sep 5, 2018 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.87 | 62.5% | 0.794 | 0.43u | Won | +0.80u |
| Sep 5, 2018 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 32.0% | 0.584 | 0.43u | Won | +0.57u |
| Sep 5, 2018 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 3.05 | 46.5% | 0.631 | 0.43u | Won | +0.88u |
| Sep 4, 2018 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 46.5% | 0.236 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Sep 4, 2018 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 45.3% | 0.248 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Sep 4, 2018 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.66 | 62.5% | 0.663 | 0.61u | Won | +1.01u |
| Sep 4, 2018 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 46.5% | 0.220 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Sep 3, 2018 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.19 | 54.5% | 0.195 | 0.21u | Won | +0.25u |
| Sep 3, 2018 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.74 | 66.7% | 0.827 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Sep 3, 2018 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 66.7% | 0.653 | 0.40u | Won | +0.59u |
| Sep 3, 2018 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 46.5% | 0.230 | 0.27u | Won | +0.35u |
| Sep 3, 2018 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 45.3% | 0.144 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Sep 3, 2018 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.75 | 62.5% | 0.719 | 0.40u | Won | +0.70u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.05 | 66.7% | 0.367 | 0.23u | Won | +0.24u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 62.5% | 0.631 | 0.33u | Won | +0.53u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 32.0% | 0.476 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.21 | 66.7% | 0.473 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.67 | 45.3% | 0.461 | 0.27u | Won | +0.45u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
New York Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 32.0% | 0.428 | 0.30u | Won | +0.33u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | seriea |
Sampdoria
Napoli
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.20 | 50.1% | 0.103 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Genoa
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.20 | 50.0% | 0.601 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Udinese
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.30 | 50.0% | 0.150 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | seriea |
Chievo Verona
Empoli
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 64.8% | 0.702 | 1.20u | Won | +1.95u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | seriea |
Parma
Juventus
|
Home draw | 1x | 4.00 | 64.8% | 1.592 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 32.0% | 0.448 | 0.35u | Won | +0.40u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.64 | 62.5% | 0.650 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 45.3% | 0.297 | 0.24u | Won | +0.33u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.62 | 54.5% | 0.429 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 32.0% | 0.700 | 0.35u | Won | +0.53u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
New York Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 46.5% | 0.230 | 0.16u | Won | +0.21u |
| Aug 31, 2018 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 1.94 | 66.7% | 0.296 | 0.30u | Won | +0.28u |
| Aug 31, 2018 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 32.0% | 0.530 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Aug 31, 2018 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 32.0% | 0.639 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Aug 31, 2018 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.82 | 54.5% | 0.538 | 0.34u | Won | +0.62u |
| Aug 31, 2018 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 45.3% | 0.324 | 0.28u | Won | +0.40u |
| Aug 31, 2018 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 1.98 | 62.5% | 0.238 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Aug 30, 2018 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.84 | 32.0% | 0.931 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Aug 30, 2018 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 32.0% | 0.316 | 0.30u | Won | +0.28u |
| Aug 30, 2018 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.79 | 66.7% | 0.860 | 0.50u | Won | +0.90u |
| Aug 30, 2018 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 32.0% | 0.442 | 0.50u | Won | +0.56u |
| Aug 29, 2018 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
New York Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.31 | 62.5% | 0.444 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| Aug 29, 2018 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 66.7% | 0.273 | 0.80u | Won | +0.73u |
| Aug 28, 2018 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.81 | 52.1% | 0.465 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Aug 28, 2018 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.70 | 52.2% | 0.408 | 0.43u | Won | +0.73u |
| Aug 28, 2018 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
New York Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.25 | 52.2% | 0.174 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Aug 28, 2018 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.68 | 52.1% | 0.397 | 0.41u | Won | +0.69u |
| Aug 28, 2018 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.69 | 52.2% | 0.403 | 0.42u | Won | +0.71u |
| Aug 27, 2018 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.47 | 52.1% | 0.288 | 0.98u | Won | +1.44u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.74 | 52.1% | 0.429 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.31 | 52.2% | 0.205 | 0.14u | Won | +0.18u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.81 | 52.1% | 0.465 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | mlb |
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.57 | 52.2% | 0.341 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 52.1% | 0.304 | 0.26u | Won | +0.39u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 52.1% | 0.356 | 0.33u | Won | +0.53u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | seriea |
Udinese
Sampdoria
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.50 | 50.0% | 0.251 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | seriea |
Napoli
AC Milan
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.38 | 50.0% | 0.188 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | seriea |
Juventus
Lazio
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.63 | 50.0% | 0.313 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 52.1% | 0.330 | 0.56u | Won | +0.87u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 52.2% | 0.278 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | mlb |
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.33 | 52.1% | 0.215 | 0.31u | Won | +0.41u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 52.2% | 0.273 | 0.46u | Won | +0.66u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.21 | 52.1% | 0.152 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 52.1% | 0.272 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 52.1% | 0.361 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.24 | 52.1% | 0.168 | 0.31u | Won | +0.38u |
| Aug 23, 2018 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.23 | 52.2% | 0.163 | 0.24u | Won | +0.30u |
| Aug 23, 2018 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 52.1% | 0.283 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Aug 23, 2018 | mlb |
New York Mets
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 52.1% | 0.267 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Aug 23, 2018 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.38 | 52.2% | 0.241 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.19 | 52.1% | 0.142 | 0.16u | Won | +0.19u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.99 | 52.1% | 0.559 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.27 | 52.1% | 0.184 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.79 | 52.1% | 0.455 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.35 | 52.1% | 0.225 | 0.34u | Won | +0.46u |
| Aug 21, 2018 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.27 | 52.2% | 0.184 | 0.27u | Won | +0.34u |
| Aug 21, 2018 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.37 | 52.1% | 0.236 | 0.38u | Won | +0.52u |
| Aug 21, 2018 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 52.2% | 0.278 | 0.51u | Won | +0.74u |
| Aug 21, 2018 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.71 | 52.1% | 0.413 | 0.64u | Won | +1.09u |
| Aug 20, 2018 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 52.1% | 0.325 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Aug 20, 2018 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.84 | 52.2% | 0.482 | 0.57u | Won | +1.05u |
| Aug 20, 2018 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 3.00 | 52.1% | 0.564 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Aug 20, 2018 | mlb |
New York Mets
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.28 | 52.1% | 0.189 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Aug 19, 2018 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.73 | 52.1% | 0.423 | 0.74u | Won | +1.28u |
| Aug 19, 2018 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.36 | 52.1% | 0.231 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Aug 19, 2018 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.71 | 52.1% | 0.413 | 0.74u | Won | +1.27u |
| Aug 19, 2018 | seriea |
Parma
Udinese
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.20 | 64.7% | 0.423 | 1.20u | Won | +1.44u |
| Aug 18, 2018 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 52.1% | 0.283 | 0.86u | Won | +1.26u |
| Aug 18, 2018 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.19 | 52.1% | 0.142 | 0.39u | Won | +0.46u |
| Aug 18, 2018 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.25 | 52.1% | 0.173 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.71 | 52.1% | 0.413 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.64 | 52.1% | 0.377 | 0.38u | Won | +0.62u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.65 | 52.1% | 0.382 | 0.39u | Won | +0.64u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.37 | 52.1% | 0.236 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.70 | 52.1% | 0.408 | 0.43u | Won | +0.73u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.