Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 7, 2026 10:15 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Mar 29, 2019	mlb	Tampa Bay Rays Houston Astros	Home cover	home	2.21	52.4%	0.157	0.29u	Won	+0.35u
Mar 29, 2019	mlb	Miami Marlins Colorado Rockies	Home cover	away	2.07	44.0%	0.160	0.34u	Won	+0.36u
Mar 29, 2019	mlb	Seattle Mariners Boston Red Sox	Home cover	home	2.83	54.8%	0.552	0.71u	Won	+1.30u
Mar 28, 2019	mlb	New York Yankees Baltimore Orioles	Home cover	home	2.73	51.2%	0.398	0.30u	Won	+0.52u
Mar 28, 2019	mlb	Kansas City Royals Chicago White Sox	Home cover	away	2.60	46.0%	0.404	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Mar 28, 2019	mlb	Toronto Blue Jays Detroit Tigers	Home cover	away	2.69	46.4%	0.441	0.35u	Won	+0.59u
Mar 28, 2019	mlb	Washington Nationals New York Mets	Home cover	away	2.19	43.5%	0.237	0.13u	Won	+0.15u
Mar 28, 2019	mlb	Miami Marlins Colorado Rockies	Home cover	home	2.82	51.8%	0.462	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
Mar 28, 2019	mlb	Seattle Mariners Boston Red Sox	Home cover	home	2.73	54.2%	0.479	0.35u	Won	+0.61u
Mar 28, 2019	mlb	Los Angeles Dodgers Arizona Diamondbacks	Home cover	home	2.75	50.1%	0.376	0.46u	Won	+0.81u
Mar 28, 2019	mlb	San Diego Padres San Francisco Giants	Home cover	home	2.73	50.0%	0.365	0.45u	Won	+0.78u
Mar 28, 2019	mlb	Milwaukee Brewers St. Louis Cardinals	Home cover	away	2.30	50.0%	0.150	0.11u	Won	+0.14u
Mar 21, 2019	mlb	Oakland Athletics Seattle Mariners	Home cover	home	3.06	50.0%	0.530	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Mar 17, 2019	seriea	Atalanta Chievo Verona	Draw away	x2	3.75	50.0%	0.875	0.34u	Won	+0.94u
Mar 17, 2019	seriea	AC Milan Internazionale	Draw away	x2	4.50	50.0%	1.251	0.58u	Won	+2.03u
Mar 17, 2019	seriea	Lazio Parma	Draw away	x2	4.50	50.1%	1.253	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
Mar 17, 2019	seriea	Genoa Juventus	Home draw	1x	2.25	69.0%	0.554	1.20u	Won	+1.50u
Mar 15, 2019	seriea	Cagliari Fiorentina	Draw away	home	3.15	49.9%	0.577	1.20u	Won	+2.58u
Mar 10, 2019	seriea	Frosinone Torino	Draw away	x2	3.00	50.0%	0.501	1.20u	Won	+2.40u
Mar 10, 2019	seriea	Fiorentina Lazio	Home draw	1x	2.60	66.6%	0.731	1.20u	Won	+1.92u
Mar 9, 2019	seriea	Chievo Verona AC Milan	Home draw	1x	2.20	67.0%	0.474	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Mar 3, 2019	seriea	Napoli Juventus	Draw away	x2	2.60	62.2%	0.617	1.00u	Won	+1.60u
Mar 3, 2019	seriea	Atalanta Fiorentina	Draw away	x2	2.05	57.2%	0.173	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Mar 1, 2019	seriea	Cagliari Internazionale	Home draw	1x	2.20	91.0%	1.002	1.20u	Won	+1.44u
Feb 24, 2019	seriea	Sassuolo SPAL	Draw away	x2	3.40	55.7%	0.895	1.20u	Won	+2.88u
Feb 24, 2019	seriea	Sampdoria Cagliari	Home draw	1x	3.50	60.5%	1.118	1.20u	Won	+3.00u
Feb 17, 2019	seriea	Empoli Sassuolo	Draw away	x2	2.63	51.1%	0.341	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Feb 10, 2019	seriea	Bologna Genoa	Draw away	x2	2.75	53.4%	0.469	0.64u	Won	+1.12u
Feb 10, 2019	seriea	Atalanta SPAL	Draw away	x2	3.40	57.6%	0.959	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Feb 10, 2019	seriea	Torino Udinese	Draw away	x2	2.15	57.5%	0.236	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Feb 10, 2019	seriea	Sassuolo Juventus	Home draw	1x	2.60	71.8%	0.867	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Feb 9, 2019	seriea	Fiorentina Napoli	Home draw	1x	2.40	69.5%	0.668	1.20u	Won	+1.68u
Feb 8, 2019	seriea	Chievo Verona AS Roma	Home draw	1x	2.60	63.9%	0.662	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Feb 7, 2019	seriea	Lazio Empoli	Draw away	x2	3.40	65.4%	1.225	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Feb 4, 2019	seriea	Cagliari Atalanta	Home draw	1x	2.40	59.6%	0.430	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Feb 2, 2019	seriea	Juventus Parma	Draw away	x2	5.00	64.8%	2.240	0.98u	Won	+3.92u
Feb 2, 2019	seriea	Napoli Sampdoria	Draw away	x2	3.75	64.1%	1.405	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
Jan 27, 2019	seriea	Parma SPAL	Home draw	1x	2.10	57.7%	0.213	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jan 26, 2019	seriea	AC Milan Napoli	Draw away	x2	2.05	54.8%	0.124	0.94u	Won	+0.99u
Jan 20, 2019	seriea	Cagliari Empoli	Draw away	x2	2.10	52.8%	0.108	0.78u	Won	+0.86u
Jan 19, 2019	seriea	AS Roma Torino	Draw away	x2	2.38	50.3%	0.194	1.13u	Lost	-1.13u
Dec 29, 2018	seriea	Lazio Torino	Draw away	x2	4.33	51.2%	1.219	1.00u	Won	+3.33u
Dec 29, 2018	seriea	Parma AS Roma	Draw away	x2	2.80	52.7%	0.476	0.50u	Won	+0.90u
Dec 29, 2018	seriea	Napoli Bologna	Home draw	1x	2.75	67.5%	0.857	0.90u	Won	+1.58u
Dec 29, 2018	seriea	AC Milan SPAL	Home draw	1x	2.40	69.1%	0.658	0.60u	Won	+0.84u
Dec 26, 2018	seriea	Cagliari Genoa	Draw away	x2	2.63	54.5%	0.430	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Dec 26, 2018	seriea	Bologna Lazio	Draw away	x2	2.15	62.5%	0.344	0.37u	Won	+0.43u
Dec 26, 2018	seriea	Atalanta Juventus	Draw away	x2	2.80	57.5%	0.611	0.67u	Won	+1.21u
Dec 26, 2018	seriea	AS Roma Sassuolo	Home draw	1x	2.10	86.1%	0.809	1.20u	Won	+1.32u
Dec 22, 2018	seriea	Napoli SPAL	Draw away	x2	3.50	59.1%	1.070	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
Dec 22, 2018	seriea	Genoa Atalanta	Draw away	x2	3.20	56.0%	0.791	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Dec 22, 2018	seriea	Sassuolo Torino	Draw away	x2	4.50	51.8%	1.332	0.64u	Won	+2.24u
Dec 22, 2018	seriea	Chievo Verona Internazionale	Home draw	1x	2.00	64.4%	0.289	1.20u	Won	+1.20u
Dec 16, 2018	seriea	Fiorentina Empoli	Draw away	x2	2.63	54.4%	0.427	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Dec 16, 2018	seriea	Frosinone Sassuolo	Home draw	1x	2.50	68.6%	0.715	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Dec 15, 2018	seriea	Internazionale Udinese	Draw away	x2	3.50	50.4%	0.764	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Dec 15, 2018	seriea	Torino Juventus	Home draw	1x	2.38	65.4%	0.554	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Dec 2, 2018	seriea	Sassuolo Udinese	Draw away	x2	2.05	59.4%	0.217	0.50u	Won	+0.53u
Dec 2, 2018	seriea	Frosinone Cagliari	Draw away	x2	3.50	51.2%	0.792	1.00u	Won	+2.50u
Dec 1, 2018	seriea	Fiorentina Juventus	Draw away	x2	2.10	68.6%	0.442	1.20u	Won	+1.32u
Dec 1, 2018	seriea	SPAL Empoli	Home draw	1x	2.30	55.1%	0.267	1.20u	Won	+1.56u
Nov 11, 2018	seriea	Empoli Udinese	Draw away	x2	3.00	68.9%	1.068	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Nov 11, 2018	seriea	AC Milan Juventus	Home draw	1x	2.15	70.5%	0.516	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Nov 10, 2018	seriea	SPAL Cagliari	Home draw	1x	3.00	61.7%	0.851	1.20u	Won	+2.40u
Nov 4, 2018	seriea	Udinese AC Milan	Home draw	1x	2.30	60.0%	0.379	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Nov 3, 2018	seriea	Juventus Cagliari	Draw away	x2	3.20	72.0%	1.303	1.00u	Lost	-1.00u
Nov 3, 2018	seriea	Internazionale Genoa	Draw away	x2	3.20	51.1%	0.637	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Oct 27, 2018	seriea	Atalanta Parma	Home draw	1x	3.50	68.3%	1.391	1.20u	Won	+3.00u
Oct 21, 2018	seriea	Frosinone Empoli	Draw away	x2	2.50	50.4%	0.261	1.20u	Won	+1.80u
Oct 21, 2018	seriea	Chievo Verona Atalanta	Home draw	1x	2.30	70.4%	0.619	0.96u	Lost	-0.96u
Oct 21, 2018	seriea	Parma Lazio	Home draw	1x	2.15	67.2%	0.446	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Oct 20, 2018	seriea	Udinese Napoli	Draw away	x2	3.40	50.1%	0.702	1.20u	Won	+2.88u
Oct 20, 2018	seriea	AS Roma SPAL	Home draw	1x	2.60	67.2%	0.748	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Oct 7, 2018	seriea	Atalanta Sampdoria	Draw away	x2	3.20	56.8%	0.817	0.78u	Won	+1.72u
Oct 7, 2018	seriea	AC Milan Chievo Verona	Draw away	x2	2.60	51.7%	0.344	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
Oct 7, 2018	seriea	Genoa Parma	Draw away	x2	2.10	52.0%	0.091	0.06u	Won	+0.07u
Oct 7, 2018	seriea	SPAL Internazionale	Home draw	1x	2.50	66.4%	0.660	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Oct 6, 2018	seriea	Cagliari Bologna	Home draw	1x	2.15	70.2%	0.510	0.50u	Won	+0.58u
Oct 6, 2018	seriea	Udinese Juventus	Home draw	1x	3.50	62.1%	1.173	1.00u	Lost	-1.00u
Sep 30, 2018	seriea	Parma Empoli	Draw away	home	2.50	49.8%	0.256	0.50u	Won	+0.75u
Sep 30, 2018	seriea	Fiorentina Atalanta	Draw away	home	3.35	49.8%	0.680	1.00u	Won	+2.35u
Sep 30, 2018	mlb	Baltimore Orioles Houston Astros	Home cover	home	2.29	72.7%	0.666	0.40u	Won	+0.52u
Sep 30, 2018	mlb	Boston Red Sox New York Yankees	Home cover	away	2.19	41.2%	0.288	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Sep 30, 2018	mlb	Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox	Home cover	away	1.97	15.4%	0.668	0.40u	Won	+0.39u
Sep 30, 2018	mlb	Seattle Mariners Texas Rangers	Home cover	home	2.23	100.0%	1.230	0.40u	Won	+0.49u
Sep 30, 2018	mlb	Tampa Bay Rays Toronto Blue Jays	Home cover	away	2.34	41.2%	0.377	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Sep 29, 2018	mlb	Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox	Home cover	away	2.17	41.2%	0.277	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
Sep 29, 2018	mlb	Seattle Mariners Texas Rangers	Home cover	home	2.42	75.0%	0.815	0.52u	Won	+0.74u
Sep 29, 2018	mlb	New York Mets Miami Marlins	Home cover	away	2.09	41.2%	0.229	0.32u	Won	+0.35u
Sep 29, 2018	mlb	Baltimore Orioles Houston Astros	Home cover	away	2.24	41.2%	0.318	0.52u	Won	+0.64u
Sep 29, 2018	seriea	Internazionale Cagliari	Draw away	x2	3.00	50.1%	0.502	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 28, 2018	mlb	Milwaukee Brewers Detroit Tigers	Home cover	away	2.15	41.2%	0.265	0.52u	Won	+0.60u
Sep 28, 2018	mlb	San Francisco Giants Los Angeles Dodgers	Home cover	away	2.08	15.4%	0.760	0.55u	Won	+0.59u
Sep 28, 2018	mlb	Tampa Bay Rays Toronto Blue Jays	Home cover	away	2.05	41.2%	0.206	0.34u	Won	+0.36u
Sep 28, 2018	mlb	Kansas City Royals Cleveland Indians	Home cover	away	2.08	41.2%	0.224	0.39u	Won	+0.42u
Sep 27, 2018	mlb	Kansas City Royals Cleveland Indians	Home cover	home	2.51	72.7%	0.826	0.40u	Won	+0.60u
Sep 27, 2018	mlb	Minnesota Twins Detroit Tigers	Home cover	home	2.25	72.7%	0.636	0.40u	Won	+0.50u
Sep 27, 2018	mlb	Chicago Cubs Pittsburgh Pirates	Home cover	away	2.04	15.4%	0.726	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Sep 27, 2018	mlb	Colorado Rockies Philadelphia Phillies	Home cover	away	2.33	41.2%	0.371	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Sep 27, 2018	mlb	Tampa Bay Rays New York Yankees	Home cover	home	1.91	75.0%	0.432	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.