Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 7, 2026 10:15 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2020 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.25 | 53.5% | 0.205 | 0.28u | Won | +0.35u |
| Sep 12, 2020 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.24 | 53.5% | 0.199 | 0.26u | Won | +0.32u |
| Sep 11, 2020 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.15 | 53.5% | 0.151 | 0.25u | Won | +0.29u |
| Sep 11, 2020 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.37 | 53.5% | 0.269 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Sep 11, 2020 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.30 | 53.5% | 0.231 | 0.45u | Won | +0.59u |
| Sep 11, 2020 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.21 | 53.5% | 0.183 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Sep 11, 2020 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.15 | 53.5% | 0.151 | 0.25u | Won | +0.29u |
| Sep 10, 2020 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.30 | 53.5% | 0.231 | 0.71u | Won | +0.92u |
| Sep 10, 2020 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.14 | 53.5% | 0.146 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Sep 10, 2020 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.32 | 53.5% | 0.242 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Sep 9, 2020 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 53.5% | 0.301 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Sep 9, 2020 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.41 | 53.5% | 0.290 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Sep 9, 2020 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 53.5% | 0.392 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Sep 9, 2020 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 53.5% | 0.312 | 0.44u | Won | +0.64u |
| Sep 8, 2020 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 45.6% | 0.138 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Sep 8, 2020 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.51 | 44.3% | 0.398 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Sep 8, 2020 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 45.2% | 0.233 | 0.66u | Won | +0.83u |
| Sep 7, 2020 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 47.5% | 0.186 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Sep 6, 2020 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 45.4% | 0.169 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Sep 6, 2020 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 44.5% | 0.237 | 0.79u | Won | +0.97u |
| Sep 6, 2020 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 43.2% | 0.147 | 0.46u | Won | +0.47u |
| Sep 5, 2020 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 42.9% | 0.182 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Sep 5, 2020 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 46.4% | 0.196 | 0.43u | Won | +0.53u |
| Sep 5, 2020 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 44.2% | 0.261 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Sep 5, 2020 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 46.4% | 0.175 | 0.36u | Won | +0.43u |
| Sep 4, 2020 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 42.2% | 0.377 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Sep 4, 2020 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 46.8% | 0.160 | 0.27u | Won | +0.32u |
| Sep 4, 2020 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 46.5% | 0.289 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Sep 4, 2020 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 46.6% | 0.175 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Sep 3, 2020 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 48.1% | 0.138 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Sep 3, 2020 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 47.3% | 0.196 | 0.73u | Won | +0.93u |
| Sep 3, 2020 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 43.7% | 0.160 | 0.63u | Won | +0.67u |
| Sep 2, 2020 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 48.2% | 0.223 | 0.61u | Won | +0.83u |
| Sep 2, 2020 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 43.1% | 0.401 | 1.19u | Won | +1.74u |
| Sep 1, 2020 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 46.3% | 0.192 | 0.79u | Won | +0.96u |
| Sep 1, 2020 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 45.6% | 0.164 | 0.72u | Won | +0.82u |
| Aug 31, 2020 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 42.5% | 0.224 | 0.86u | Won | +0.97u |
| Aug 31, 2020 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 46.5% | 0.251 | 0.94u | Won | +1.26u |
| Aug 30, 2020 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 45.0% | 0.145 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Aug 30, 2020 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 48.6% | 0.235 | 0.52u | Won | +0.73u |
| Aug 30, 2020 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 49.5% | 0.177 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Aug 30, 2020 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.57 | 48.3% | 0.328 | 0.65u | Won | +1.02u |
| Aug 29, 2020 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 47.2% | 0.162 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Aug 29, 2020 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 47.7% | 0.144 | 0.32u | Won | +0.38u |
| Aug 29, 2020 | mlb |
New York Yankees
New York Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 43.8% | 0.152 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Aug 29, 2020 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 43.3% | 0.269 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Aug 28, 2020 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.01 | 43.8% | 0.131 | 0.27u | Won | +0.27u |
| Aug 28, 2020 | mlb |
New York Yankees
New York Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 44.1% | 0.230 | 0.68u | Won | +0.82u |
| Aug 28, 2020 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 43.3% | 0.339 | 0.85u | Won | +1.16u |
| Aug 27, 2020 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 41.9% | 0.192 | 0.91u | Won | +0.96u |
| Aug 26, 2020 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 43.6% | 0.156 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Aug 26, 2020 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 44.8% | 0.291 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Aug 25, 2020 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.35 | 54.5% | 0.280 | 0.48u | Won | +0.65u |
| Aug 25, 2020 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 37.5% | 0.293 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Aug 25, 2020 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 43.9% | 0.179 | 0.24u | Won | +0.26u |
| Aug 25, 2020 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 52.7% | 0.285 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Aug 24, 2020 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.22 | 67.6% | 0.500 | 1.20u | Won | +1.46u |
| Aug 23, 2020 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 41.5% | 0.257 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 23, 2020 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 60.1% | 0.520 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Aug 23, 2020 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.23 | 52.7% | 0.176 | 0.17u | Won | +0.21u |
| Aug 23, 2020 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.33 | 52.0% | 0.210 | 0.23u | Won | +0.31u |
| Aug 23, 2020 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.03 | 59.8% | 0.214 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Aug 23, 2020 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.18 | 59.3% | 0.293 | 0.35u | Won | +0.41u |
| Aug 22, 2020 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 40.6% | 0.408 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 22, 2020 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.24 | 55.0% | 0.233 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Aug 22, 2020 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.51 | 61.5% | 0.543 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 22, 2020 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 45.9% | 0.249 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Aug 22, 2020 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.40 | 66.8% | 0.603 | 0.37u | Won | +0.52u |
| Aug 22, 2020 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 1.92 | 62.4% | 0.196 | 0.20u | Won | +0.18u |
| Aug 21, 2020 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.23 | 58.8% | 0.312 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 20, 2020 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 52.6% | 0.293 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Aug 20, 2020 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.41 | 52.7% | 0.269 | 0.52u | Won | +0.73u |
| Aug 20, 2020 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.21 | 58.8% | 0.299 | 0.69u | Won | +0.83u |
| Aug 19, 2020 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.39 | 52.0% | 0.243 | 0.21u | Won | +0.29u |
| Aug 19, 2020 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 44.1% | 0.248 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Aug 19, 2020 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 1.97 | 37.7% | 0.227 | 0.28u | Won | +0.27u |
| Aug 19, 2020 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 49.2% | 0.260 | 0.28u | Won | +0.41u |
| Aug 19, 2020 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.26 | 58.3% | 0.317 | 0.38u | Won | +0.48u |
| Aug 19, 2020 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 62.9% | 0.590 | 0.38u | Won | +0.58u |
| Aug 18, 2020 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 46.4% | 0.184 | 0.59u | Won | +0.71u |
| Aug 18, 2020 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 43.0% | 0.327 | 0.93u | Won | +1.24u |
| Aug 18, 2020 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | home | 1.90 | 58.3% | 0.109 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Aug 17, 2020 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.24 | 61.9% | 0.386 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Aug 17, 2020 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 46.5% | 0.253 | 0.24u | Won | +0.32u |
| Aug 17, 2020 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 31.4% | 0.502 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Aug 17, 2020 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.15 | 65.1% | 0.400 | 0.53u | Won | +0.61u |
| Aug 16, 2020 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 43.8% | 0.337 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Aug 16, 2020 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.22 | 54.5% | 0.210 | 0.26u | Won | +0.32u |
| Aug 16, 2020 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 40.0% | 0.362 | 0.47u | Won | +0.60u |
| Aug 16, 2020 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.12 | 53.5% | 0.135 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Aug 16, 2020 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.12 | 68.9% | 0.460 | 0.47u | Won | +0.53u |
| Aug 15, 2020 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | home | 1.95 | 73.9% | 0.443 | 0.49u | Won | +0.47u |
| Aug 15, 2020 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 33.0% | 0.393 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Aug 15, 2020 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.18 | 52.0% | 0.133 | 0.13u | Won | +0.15u |
| Aug 15, 2020 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 44.4% | 0.169 | 0.20u | Won | +0.22u |
| Aug 15, 2020 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.20 | 83.1% | 0.829 | 0.49u | Won | +0.59u |
| Aug 14, 2020 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.12 | 76.1% | 0.614 | 0.46u | Won | +0.52u |
| Aug 14, 2020 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 44.7% | 0.409 | 0.46u | Won | +0.71u |
| Aug 14, 2020 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.39 | 54.5% | 0.303 | 0.42u | Won | +0.58u |
| Aug 14, 2020 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 42.6% | 0.189 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.