Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 11:49 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
First3 result | home | 2.35 | 45.5% | 0.069 | 0.14u | Won | +0.19u |
| Sep 22, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
First3 result | away | 3.20 | 40.2% | 0.274 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Sep 22, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Orioles
|
First3 result | away | 2.90 | 47.6% | 0.161 | 0.42u | Won | +0.80u |
| Sep 21, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
First3 result | away | 3.30 | 47.3% | 0.329 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 21, 2023 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | home | 3.20 | 53.4% | 0.707 | 1.20u | Won | +2.64u |
| Sep 21, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Total over | under | 2.05 | 42.0% | 0.188 | 0.90u | Won | +0.95u |
| Sep 21, 2023 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Total over | under | 1.87 | 38.1% | 0.158 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Sep 20, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Twins
|
Total over | under | 1.95 | 42.4% | 0.126 | 0.66u | Won | +0.63u |
| Sep 20, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
Total over | under | 2.05 | 42.4% | 0.181 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Sep 20, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Red Sox
|
First3 result | home | 3.15 | 49.4% | 0.556 | 1.20u | Won | +2.58u |
| Sep 20, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
First3 result | away | 3.15 | 51.1% | 0.142 | 0.33u | Won | +0.71u |
| Sep 20, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Twins
|
First3 result | away | 2.15 | 47.3% | 0.133 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Sep 19, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
Pirates
|
First3 result | away | 3.15 | 37.9% | 0.114 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Sep 19, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
First3 result | home | 2.90 | 47.6% | 0.380 | 1.00u | Won | +1.90u |
| Sep 19, 2023 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | away | 3.45 | 37.9% | 0.220 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Sep 18, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Twins
|
First3 result | away | 3.20 | 37.9% | 0.132 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Sep 17, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Dodgers
|
First3 result | home | 3.00 | 37.9% | 0.137 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Sep 17, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
First3 result | away | 3.40 | 37.9% | 0.202 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Sep 16, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Yankees
|
First3 result | home | 2.85 | 37.9% | 0.080 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Sep 16, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
First3 result | away | 3.25 | 37.9% | 0.149 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Sep 15, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Tigers
|
First3 result | home | 2.85 | 37.9% | 0.080 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Sep 13, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 0.0% | 0.637 | 1.14u | Lost | -1.14u |
| Sep 13, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Cardinals
|
First3 result | away | 3.35 | 37.9% | 0.185 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Sep 12, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Cubs
|
First3 result | away | 3.40 | 37.9% | 0.202 | 0.42u | Won | +1.01u |
| Sep 11, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
Rays
|
First3 result | away | 3.40 | 37.9% | 0.202 | 0.42u | Won | +1.01u |
| Sep 10, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
First3 result | home | 2.80 | 37.9% | 0.062 | 0.17u | Won | +0.31u |
| Sep 10, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Mariners
|
First3 result | away | 3.15 | 37.9% | 0.114 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Sep 10, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
First3 result | away | 3.05 | 37.9% | 0.078 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Sep 9, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
First3 result | away | 3.60 | 47.6% | 0.075 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Sep 9, 2023 | mlb |
Nationals
Dodgers
|
First3 result | home | 2.85 | 37.9% | 0.080 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Sep 9, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
First3 result | away | 3.00 | 37.9% | 0.061 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Sep 9, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
First3 result | away | 3.25 | 37.9% | 0.149 | 0.33u | Won | +0.74u |
| Sep 8, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Guardians
|
First3 result | away | 3.10 | 37.9% | 0.096 | 0.23u | Won | +0.48u |
| Sep 8, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
First3 result | away | 3.20 | 37.9% | 0.132 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Sep 7, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Mariners
|
First3 result | away | 3.70 | 37.9% | 0.309 | 0.57u | Won | +1.54u |
| Sep 6, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
First3 result | away | 3.75 | 37.9% | 0.326 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Sep 5, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
First3 result | away | 3.15 | 22.7% | 0.406 | 0.94u | Lost | -0.94u |
| Sep 5, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
First3 result | home | 2.60 | 50.7% | 0.317 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Sep 4, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Phillies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 21.0% | 0.273 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Sep 4, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Mariners
|
First3 result | home | 2.65 | 50.9% | 0.349 | 1.06u | Won | +1.75u |
| Sep 4, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 20.9% | 0.278 | 0.50u | Won | +1.40u |
| Sep 3, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
Red Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 0.0% | 0.631 | 1.13u | Won | +3.16u |
| Sep 3, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | home | 2.65 | 51.0% | 0.351 | 0.67u | Won | +1.11u |
| Sep 2, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Braves
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 21.2% | 0.251 | 0.45u | Won | +1.26u |
| Sep 2, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Twins
|
First3 result | home | 2.50 | 51.2% | 0.281 | 0.94u | Won | +1.41u |
| Sep 2, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Rays
|
First3 result | home | 2.75 | 44.3% | 0.217 | 0.41u | Won | +0.72u |
| Sep 1, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Braves
|
First3 result | home | 2.70 | 51.1% | 0.380 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Sep 1, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 20.9% | 0.282 | 0.50u | Won | +1.40u |
| Sep 1, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 21.0% | 0.276 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Aug 31, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Braves
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 22.4% | 0.261 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Aug 30, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
Guardians
|
First3 result | home | 2.90 | 51.0% | 0.479 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Aug 30, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Yankees
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 0.0% | 0.599 | 1.07u | Lost | -1.07u |
| Aug 29, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Nationals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 20.9% | 0.281 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Aug 29, 2023 | mlb |
Mets
Rangers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 22.6% | 0.247 | 0.31u | Won | +0.87u |
| Aug 29, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
White Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 22.4% | 0.263 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Aug 29, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Padres
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 20.8% | 0.289 | 0.52u | Won | +1.46u |
| Aug 28, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Astros
|
First3 result | home | 2.95 | 50.9% | 0.500 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 28, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Padres
|
First3 result | away | 3.05 | 21.0% | 0.387 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 28, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Padres
|
Total over | over | 2.05 | 55.6% | 0.139 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Aug 27, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Astros
|
First3 result | home | 2.45 | 44.1% | 0.081 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Aug 27, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Dodgers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 20.5% | 0.313 | 0.56u | Won | +1.57u |
| Aug 27, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
Rangers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 20.8% | 0.290 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Aug 27, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
First3 result | home | 2.15 | 50.8% | 0.092 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Aug 26, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Padres
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 0.0% | 0.612 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Aug 26, 2023 | mlb |
Mets
Angels
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 0.0% | 0.605 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Aug 25, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Reds
|
First3 result | away | 2.95 | 21.1% | 0.344 | 0.68u | Won | +1.33u |
| Aug 25, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Guardians
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 0.0% | 0.626 | 1.12u | Won | +3.14u |
| Aug 25, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Total over | over | 2.05 | 55.6% | 0.139 | 0.66u | Won | +0.69u |
| Aug 24, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Red Sox
|
Total over | over | 2.05 | 55.6% | 0.139 | 0.66u | Won | +0.69u |
| Aug 24, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Dodgers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 22.6% | 0.251 | 0.29u | Won | +0.81u |
| Aug 24, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Red Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 20.7% | 0.296 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Aug 24, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
Rangers
|
First3 result | away | 3.25 | 22.4% | 0.442 | 0.98u | Won | +2.21u |
| Aug 23, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Cubs
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 20.9% | 0.280 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Aug 23, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Reds
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 21.2% | 0.252 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Aug 23, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Reds
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 22.2% | 0.279 | 0.50u | Won | +1.40u |
| Aug 23, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 21.0% | 0.267 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Aug 22, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Rockies
|
First3 result | away | 3.25 | 4.2% | 1.187 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 22, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
First3 result | home | 2.75 | 60.5% | 0.665 | 0.60u | Won | +1.05u |
| Aug 22, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Rockies
|
Total over | under | 2.00 | 32.3% | 0.355 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 22, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Giants
|
Total over | under | 1.87 | 32.3% | 0.267 | 0.60u | Won | +0.52u |
| Aug 21, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Giants
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 55.6% | 0.685 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 21, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 55.8% | 0.680 | 0.60u | Won | +1.68u |
| Aug 20, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
Royals
|
First3 result | away | 2.95 | 15.3% | 0.408 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Aug 20, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Brewers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 15.2% | 0.420 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Aug 20, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Orioles
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 15.3% | 0.409 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Aug 20, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Tigers
|
Total over | under | 1.95 | 0.0% | 0.952 | 1.20u | Won | +1.14u |
| Aug 20, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Giants
|
Total over | under | 1.95 | 32.3% | 0.323 | 0.60u | Won | +0.57u |
| Aug 19, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Blue Jays
|
Total over | under | 1.95 | 32.3% | 0.323 | 0.60u | Won | +0.57u |
| Aug 19, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Rays
|
Total over | under | 2.05 | 32.3% | 0.389 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 19, 2023 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 15.2% | 0.418 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Aug 19, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Rays
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 6.0% | 0.571 | 1.02u | Won | +2.86u |
| Aug 18, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Tigers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 15.3% | 0.404 | 0.72u | Won | +2.02u |
| Aug 18, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Marlins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 6.0% | 0.568 | 1.01u | Lost | -1.01u |
| Aug 18, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Rays
|
Total over | under | 1.95 | 32.3% | 0.323 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 18, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
White Sox
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.3% | 0.293 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 17, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Brewers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.3% | 0.293 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Aug 17, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Brewers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 6.0% | 0.560 | 1.00u | Won | +2.80u |
| Aug 17, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | home | 2.95 | 35.7% | 0.054 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Aug 16, 2023 | mlb |
Mets
Pirates
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 35.7% | 0.068 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Aug 16, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Yankees
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 35.7% | 0.071 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.