Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 11:49 AM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Jul 21, 2023	mlb	Brewers Braves	Total over	over	1.89	69.7%	0.319	1.20u	Won	+1.07u
Jul 21, 2023	mlb	Mariners Blue Jays	Total over	under	1.96	41.3%	0.152	0.60u	Won	+0.58u
Jul 20, 2023	mlb	Royals Tigers	Total over	under	1.94	40.8%	0.151	0.80u	Won	+0.75u
Jul 20, 2023	mlb	Phillies Brewers	Total over	under	1.90	41.5%	0.112	0.62u	Won	+0.56u
Jul 20, 2023	mlb	Mets White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.686	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 19, 2023	mlb	Royals Tigers	First3 result	away	2.90	0.0%	1.085	1.20u	Won	+2.28u
Jul 19, 2023	mlb	Royals Tigers	Total over	under	1.93	39.5%	0.166	0.89u	Won	+0.82u
Jul 18, 2023	mlb	Braves Diamondbacks	Total over	under	1.98	43.6%	0.116	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
Jul 18, 2023	mlb	Orioles Dodgers	Total over	under	1.94	39.2%	0.175	0.94u	Lost	-0.94u
Jul 18, 2023	mlb	Rangers Rays	First3 result	home	2.80	41.2%	0.153	0.42u	Won	+0.76u
Jul 17, 2023	mlb	Rangers Rays	Total over	under	1.90	41.2%	0.119	0.66u	Won	+0.59u
Jul 16, 2023	mlb	Rangers Guardians	Total over	under	1.92	41.3%	0.126	0.69u	Lost	-0.69u
Jul 16, 2023	mlb	Reds Brewers	Total over	under	1.99	41.0%	0.174	0.88u	Won	+0.87u
Jul 16, 2023	mlb	Pirates Giants	First3 result	home	2.83	42.3%	0.198	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Jul 16, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.489	0.87u	Won	+2.44u
Jul 15, 2023	mlb	Mets Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.483	0.86u	Lost	-0.86u
Jul 15, 2023	mlb	Phillies Padres	First3 result	home	3.26	36.7%	0.197	0.12u	Lost	-0.12u
Jul 15, 2023	mlb	Phillies Padres	First3 result	away	3.58	36.5%	0.421	0.82u	Won	+2.12u
Jul 15, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Diamondbacks	Total over	under	1.94	42.2%	0.123	0.10u	Won	+0.09u
Jul 15, 2023	mlb	Cubs Red Sox	Total over	under	1.94	40.0%	0.162	0.86u	Lost	-0.86u
Jul 15, 2023	mlb	Mariners Tigers	Total over	under	1.94	40.2%	0.158	0.84u	Won	+0.79u
Jul 14, 2023	mlb	Angels Astros	Total over	under	2.00	41.7%	0.167	0.83u	Lost	-0.83u
Jul 14, 2023	mlb	Mets Dodgers	Total over	under	1.93	38.8%	0.178	0.96u	Won	+0.89u
Jul 14, 2023	mlb	Athletics Twins	First3 result	away	3.27	36.8%	0.526	1.16u	Lost	-1.16u
Jul 9, 2023	mlb	Padres Mets	First3 result	home	2.80	41.9%	0.174	0.48u	Won	+0.86u
Jul 9, 2023	mlb	Tigers Blue Jays	Total over	under	2.00	42.5%	0.149	0.75u	Won	+0.75u
Jul 8, 2023	mlb	White Sox Cardinals	First3 result	home	2.78	43.4%	0.207	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
Jul 8, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Pirates	First3 result	home	2.88	43.3%	0.248	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
Jul 7, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Pirates	First3 result	away	2.50	32.9%	0.236	0.79u	Lost	-0.79u
Jul 7, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Angels	First3 result	home	2.51	43.6%	0.093	0.31u	Won	+0.47u
Jul 5, 2023	mlb	Tigers Athletics	First3 result	away	3.25	33.0%	0.612	1.20u	Won	+2.70u
Jul 5, 2023	mlb	Twins Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	63.1%	0.401	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 4, 2023	mlb	Tigers Athletics	First3 result	home	2.30	64.6%	0.486	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 3, 2023	mlb	Nationals Reds	First3 result	away	2.90	32.7%	0.424	1.12u	Won	+2.13u
Jul 2, 2023	mlb	Rangers Astros	First3 result	home	2.55	43.5%	0.110	0.35u	Won	+0.54u
Jul 2, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	61.9%	0.450	0.80u	Won	+2.24u
Jul 1, 2023	mlb	Rockies Tigers	First3 result	home	2.91	41.9%	0.218	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
Jul 1, 2023	mlb	Cubs Guardians	First3 result	home	2.98	42.0%	0.253	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Jun 30, 2023	mlb	Phillies Nationals	First3 result	home	3.01	43.4%	0.307	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
Jun 29, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Marlins	First3 result	home	2.70	43.5%	0.174	0.51u	Lost	-0.51u
Jun 29, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Astros	First3 result	home	2.65	43.8%	0.160	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Jun 29, 2023	mlb	Angels White Sox	First3 result	home	2.55	42.8%	0.091	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Jun 28, 2023	mlb	Rangers Tigers	First3 result	away	3.26	32.5%	0.594	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 27, 2023	mlb	Rangers Tigers	First3 result	away	2.98	36.8%	0.136	0.34u	Won	+0.67u
Jun 27, 2023	mlb	Cubs Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.489	0.87u	Lost	-0.87u
Jun 27, 2023	mlb	Rockies Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.6%	0.259	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Jun 27, 2023	mlb	Rockies Dodgers	Total over	under	2.05	44.1%	0.147	0.70u	Won	+0.74u
Jun 26, 2023	mlb	Angels White Sox	First3 result	away	3.14	39.8%	0.143	0.33u	Won	+0.71u
Jun 26, 2023	mlb	Mariners Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.6%	0.258	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Jun 25, 2023	mlb	Giants Diamondbacks	First3 result	away	2.59	16.5%	0.310	0.94u	Won	+1.49u
Jun 25, 2023	mlb	White Sox Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.481	0.86u	Lost	-0.86u
Jun 24, 2023	mlb	White Sox Red Sox	First3 result	away	3.03	40.0%	0.092	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Jun 24, 2023	mlb	Marlins Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.6%	0.253	0.45u	Won	+1.26u
Jun 24, 2023	mlb	Orioles Mariners	First3 result	away	3.32	0.0%	1.006	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 23, 2023	mlb	Marlins Pirates	First3 result	away	3.33	16.6%	0.680	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 23, 2023	mlb	Yankees Rangers	First3 result	away	3.49	39.8%	0.266	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
Jun 23, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Astros	Total over	under	2.00	44.1%	0.119	0.59u	Won	+0.59u
Jun 23, 2023	mlb	Yankees Rangers	Total over	under	2.02	44.1%	0.130	0.64u	Won	+0.65u
Jun 22, 2023	mlb	Yankees Mariners	Total over	under	2.00	44.1%	0.119	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
Jun 22, 2023	mlb	Guardians Athletics	First3 result	away	3.68	0.0%	1.233	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 22, 2023	mlb	Yankees Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.471	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 21, 2023	mlb	Brewers Diamondbacks	Total over	under	2.00	44.1%	0.119	0.59u	Won	+0.59u
Jun 21, 2023	mlb	Rays Orioles	Total over	under	2.01	44.1%	0.124	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Jun 20, 2023	mlb	Reds Rockies	Total over	over	1.85	100.0%	0.848	1.20u	Won	+1.02u
Jun 20, 2023	mlb	Tigers Royals	Total over	under	2.00	44.1%	0.119	0.59u	Won	+0.59u
Jun 20, 2023	mlb	Nationals Cardinals	First3 result	away	3.08	39.8%	0.118	0.28u	Won	+0.58u
Jun 20, 2023	mlb	Marlins Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.6%	0.252	0.45u	Won	+1.26u
Jun 20, 2023	mlb	Twins Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.6%	0.253	0.45u	Won	+1.26u
Jun 20, 2023	mlb	Guardians Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.6%	0.255	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Jun 18, 2023	mlb	Cubs Orioles	First3 result	away	3.42	39.7%	0.252	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
Jun 18, 2023	mlb	Mets Cardinals	First3 result	home	2.84	39.8%	0.131	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Jun 18, 2023	mlb	Brewers Pirates	Total over	under	2.00	44.1%	0.119	0.59u	Won	+0.59u
Jun 18, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Yankees	Total over	under	2.00	44.1%	0.119	0.59u	Won	+0.59u
Jun 17, 2023	mlb	Nationals Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.512	0.91u	Lost	-0.91u
Jun 17, 2023	mlb	Mets Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.5%	0.248	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Jun 17, 2023	mlb	Padres Rays	First3 result	away	3.44	39.8%	0.250	0.51u	Lost	-0.51u
Jun 16, 2023	mlb	Nationals Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.486	0.87u	Lost	-0.87u
Jun 16, 2023	mlb	Rangers Blue Jays	First3 result	away	3.06	39.8%	0.113	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Jun 16, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First3 result	away	2.98	39.9%	0.077	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Jun 16, 2023	mlb	Brewers Pirates	Total over	under	2.00	44.1%	0.119	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
Jun 15, 2023	mlb	Braves Rockies	Total over	over	1.87	100.0%	0.870	1.20u	Won	+1.04u
Jun 15, 2023	mlb	Twins Tigers	First3 result	away	3.12	39.8%	0.133	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Jun 15, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Phillies	First3 result	home	2.73	39.8%	0.086	0.25u	Won	+0.43u
Jun 14, 2023	mlb	Rangers Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.6%	0.258	0.42u	Won	+1.18u
Jun 14, 2023	mlb	Tigers Braves	First3 result	home	3.35	39.7%	0.331	0.71u	Won	+1.67u
Jun 14, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Rockies	First3 result	home	3.21	40.4%	0.297	0.67u	Won	+1.48u
Jun 14, 2023	mlb	Royals Reds	Total over	under	2.00	44.1%	0.119	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
Jun 14, 2023	mlb	Mariners Marlins	Total over	under	2.00	44.1%	0.119	0.59u	Won	+0.59u
Jun 13, 2023	mlb	Mets Yankees	Total over	under	1.95	40.6%	0.160	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
Jun 13, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Phillies	Total over	under	1.89	36.4%	0.203	1.14u	Lost	-1.14u
Jun 13, 2023	mlb	Twins Brewers	First3 result	away	3.13	26.7%	0.575	1.20u	Won	+2.56u
Jun 13, 2023	mlb	Cubs Pirates	First3 result	away	2.80	33.9%	0.274	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 12, 2023	mlb	Royals Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.118	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jun 12, 2023	mlb	Mariners Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	54.9%	0.281	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Jun 12, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Giants	First3 result	home	3.18	42.2%	0.342	0.78u	Lost	-0.78u
Jun 12, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.118	0.21u	Won	+0.59u
Jun 12, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Rockies	Total over	under	1.83	33.8%	0.214	1.20u	Won	+1.00u
Jun 12, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Phillies	Total over	under	1.94	37.6%	0.213	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 11, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Reds	Total over	under	1.97	40.5%	0.172	0.60u	Won	+0.58u
Jun 11, 2023	mlb	Guardians Astros	Total over	under	1.94	35.3%	0.257	1.20u	Won	+1.13u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.