Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 11:49 AM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Aug 15, 2023	mlb	Padres Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	6.0%	0.572	1.02u	Lost	-1.02u
Aug 15, 2023	mlb	Rangers Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	58.8%	0.564	0.78u	Lost	-0.78u
Aug 15, 2023	mlb	Rangers Angels	Total over	under	2.00	32.3%	0.355	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 15, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Athletics	Total over	under	1.95	32.3%	0.323	0.60u	Won	+0.57u
Aug 14, 2023	mlb	Rangers Angels	Total over	over	1.91	100.0%	0.909	1.20u	Won	+1.09u
Aug 14, 2023	mlb	Marlins Astros	Total over	under	1.95	32.3%	0.323	0.60u	Won	+0.57u
Aug 14, 2023	mlb	Padres Orioles	First3 result	home	2.80	38.8%	0.087	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Aug 14, 2023	mlb	Rangers Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.7%	0.072	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Aug 14, 2023	mlb	Braves Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.7%	0.072	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Aug 13, 2023	mlb	Mets Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.2%	0.415	0.74u	Lost	-0.74u
Aug 13, 2023	mlb	Rays Guardians	First3 result	away	3.75	35.7%	0.356	0.32u	Won	+0.88u
Aug 13, 2023	mlb	Pirates Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.2%	0.414	0.74u	Won	+2.07u
Aug 13, 2023	mlb	Giants Rangers	Total over	under	2.10	32.3%	0.423	1.20u	Won	+1.32u
Aug 13, 2023	mlb	Pirates Reds	Total over	under	2.05	32.3%	0.389	0.60u	Won	+0.63u
Aug 12, 2023	mlb	Rays Guardians	Total over	under	1.95	32.3%	0.323	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 12, 2023	mlb	Phillies Twins	Total over	under	1.91	32.3%	0.293	0.60u	Won	+0.55u
Aug 12, 2023	mlb	Giants Rangers	First3 result	home	2.20	60.5%	0.331	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Aug 12, 2023	mlb	Mariners Orioles	First3 result	away	3.40	6.0%	0.803	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 11, 2023	mlb	Marlins Yankees	First3 result	away	2.25	12.5%	0.751	0.60u	Won	+0.75u
Aug 11, 2023	mlb	Nationals Athletics	First3 result	away	3.35	6.0%	0.772	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 11, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Cubs	Total over	under	1.91	32.3%	0.293	0.60u	Won	+0.55u
Aug 11, 2023	mlb	White Sox Brewers	Total over	under	2.00	32.3%	0.355	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 10, 2023	mlb	Guardians Blue Jays	Total over	under	1.83	32.3%	0.242	1.20u	Won	+1.00u
Aug 10, 2023	mlb	Rays Cardinals	First3 result	away	4.00	15.3%	0.905	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 10, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Rockies	First3 result	home	2.25	60.6%	0.364	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Aug 9, 2023	mlb	Mariners Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.3%	0.411	0.73u	Won	+2.04u
Aug 9, 2023	mlb	Athletics Rangers	First3 result	home	2.10	60.6%	0.273	0.34u	Won	+0.37u
Aug 9, 2023	mlb	Phillies Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.3%	0.407	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
Aug 9, 2023	mlb	Mets Cubs	Total over	under	1.91	32.3%	0.293	1.20u	Won	+1.09u
Aug 9, 2023	mlb	Reds Marlins	Total over	under	1.87	32.3%	0.267	0.60u	Won	+0.52u
Aug 8, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Royals	Total over	over	1.95	71.4%	0.395	0.60u	Won	+0.57u
Aug 8, 2023	mlb	Angels Giants	Total over	over	1.91	75.0%	0.432	1.20u	Won	+1.09u
Aug 8, 2023	mlb	Phillies Nationals	First3 result	home	3.15	37.8%	0.192	0.45u	Won	+0.97u
Aug 8, 2023	mlb	Tigers Twins	First3 result	away	3.30	37.8%	0.231	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Aug 7, 2023	mlb	Guardians Blue Jays	First3 result	home	2.85	37.8%	0.079	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Aug 7, 2023	mlb	Athletics Rangers	First3 result	away	3.00	37.8%	0.119	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Aug 7, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Royals	First3 result	home	3.40	37.8%	0.287	0.60u	Won	+1.44u
Aug 7, 2023	mlb	Guardians Blue Jays	Total over	under	2.00	0.0%	1.000	1.20u	Won	+1.20u
Aug 7, 2023	mlb	Padres Dodgers	Total over	over	1.91	71.4%	0.364	0.60u	Won	+0.55u
Aug 6, 2023	mlb	Cubs Braves	Total over	under	1.95	42.3%	0.126	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
Aug 6, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Rockies	Total over	under	1.95	42.3%	0.126	0.52u	Won	+0.50u
Aug 6, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Blue Jays	Total over	under	2.05	44.8%	0.131	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Aug 5, 2023	mlb	Orioles Mets	Total over	under	1.95	42.3%	0.126	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
Aug 5, 2023	mlb	Angels Mariners	Total over	under	1.95	42.3%	0.126	0.27u	Won	+0.26u
Aug 5, 2023	mlb	Twins Diamondbacks	Total over	under	2.05	42.3%	0.182	0.87u	Lost	-0.87u
Aug 5, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Blue Jays	First3 result	away	3.15	37.8%	0.175	0.41u	Won	+0.88u
Aug 5, 2023	mlb	Brewers Pirates	First3 result	away	2.95	37.8%	0.101	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Aug 5, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Rockies	First3 result	away	3.10	37.8%	0.157	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Aug 5, 2023	mlb	Guardians White Sox	First3 result	away	2.95	37.8%	0.101	0.26u	Won	+0.51u
Aug 4, 2023	mlb	Guardians White Sox	First3 result	away	3.10	37.8%	0.156	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Aug 4, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Rockies	Total over	under	2.05	42.3%	0.182	0.87u	Lost	-0.87u
Aug 4, 2023	mlb	Reds Nationals	Total over	under	2.05	42.3%	0.182	0.87u	Won	+0.91u
Aug 3, 2023	mlb	Rangers White Sox	Total over	under	2.05	42.3%	0.182	0.60u	Won	+0.63u
Aug 3, 2023	mlb	Royals Mets	Total over	over	1.87	71.4%	0.335	1.20u	Won	+1.04u
Aug 3, 2023	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First3 result	away	3.40	37.8%	0.268	0.56u	Won	+1.34u
Aug 3, 2023	mlb	Rangers White Sox	First3 result	away	3.60	37.8%	0.343	0.66u	Won	+1.72u
Aug 2, 2023	mlb	Giants Diamondbacks	First3 result	home	2.99	36.3%	0.085	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Aug 2, 2023	mlb	Braves Angels	First3 result	away	3.46	37.8%	0.291	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
Aug 2, 2023	mlb	Rangers White Sox	Total over	under	2.00	42.3%	0.153	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Aug 2, 2023	mlb	Marlins Phillies	Total over	over	1.94	71.4%	0.388	1.20u	Won	+1.13u
Aug 1, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Orioles	Total over	under	1.97	42.3%	0.136	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Aug 1, 2023	mlb	Nationals Brewers	Total over	over	1.94	71.4%	0.382	1.20u	Won	+1.12u
Aug 1, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Orioles	First3 result	away	3.52	37.8%	0.313	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Aug 1, 2023	mlb	Nationals Brewers	First3 result	away	3.09	37.8%	0.153	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Jul 31, 2023	mlb	Cubs Reds	First3 result	away	2.83	37.8%	0.056	0.15u	Won	+0.27u
Jul 30, 2023	mlb	Orioles Yankees	First3 result	away	2.90	37.8%	0.082	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Jul 30, 2023	mlb	Mets Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	36.3%	0.063	0.11u	Lost	-0.11u
Jul 30, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Cubs	Total over	under	1.91	0.0%	0.909	1.20u	Won	+1.09u
Jul 30, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Reds	Total over	over	1.83	71.4%	0.310	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 29, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Angels	Total over	over	1.95	75.0%	0.464	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 29, 2023	mlb	Mets Nationals	Total over	over	1.88	75.0%	0.408	0.60u	Won	+0.53u
Jul 28, 2023	mlb	Braves Brewers	Total over	over	1.86	75.0%	0.391	1.20u	Won	+1.03u
Jul 28, 2023	mlb	Pirates Phillies	Total over	over	1.93	71.4%	0.376	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 28, 2023	mlb	Marlins Tigers	First3 result	away	2.82	37.8%	0.052	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Jul 27, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Cubs	Total over	under	1.99	42.3%	0.147	0.74u	Lost	-0.74u
Jul 27, 2023	mlb	White Sox Guardians	Total over	under	1.95	42.3%	0.126	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
Jul 26, 2023	mlb	Brewers Reds	Total over	under	1.96	42.3%	0.131	0.68u	Won	+0.65u
Jul 26, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Blue Jays	First3 result	away	2.95	37.8%	0.101	0.26u	Won	+0.51u
Jul 25, 2023	mlb	Tigers Angels	First3 result	away	3.30	41.1%	0.193	0.42u	Won	+0.97u
Jul 25, 2023	mlb	Yankees Mets	First3 result	away	2.05	0.0%	0.347	1.20u	Won	+1.26u
Jul 25, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Blue Jays	First3 result	away	3.15	42.0%	0.087	0.18u	Won	+0.39u
Jul 25, 2023	mlb	Padres Pirates	Total over	under	1.89	39.7%	0.137	0.77u	Won	+0.68u
Jul 24, 2023	mlb	Twins Mariners	Total over	under	1.91	37.7%	0.189	1.04u	Won	+0.95u
Jul 24, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Blue Jays	Total over	under	2.02	42.5%	0.162	0.76u	Won	+0.78u
Jul 24, 2023	mlb	Phillies Orioles	First3 result	away	3.20	43.0%	0.165	0.38u	Won	+0.84u
Jul 24, 2023	mlb	Brewers Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.9%	0.173	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Jul 23, 2023	mlb	Marlins Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.630	0.60u	Won	+1.68u
Jul 23, 2023	mlb	Yankees Royals	First3 result	home	2.13	79.8%	0.700	1.20u	Won	+1.36u
Jul 23, 2023	mlb	Rays Orioles	Total over	under	1.99	43.6%	0.122	0.42u	Won	+0.42u
Jul 23, 2023	mlb	Yankees Royals	Total over	under	1.96	42.1%	0.136	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
Jul 23, 2023	mlb	Mariners Blue Jays	Total over	under	1.90	40.9%	0.123	0.68u	Won	+0.61u
Jul 22, 2023	mlb	Athletics Astros	Total over	under	2.01	44.2%	0.121	0.60u	Won	+0.61u
Jul 22, 2023	mlb	Nationals Giants	Total over	under	1.93	42.4%	0.110	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
Jul 22, 2023	mlb	Brewers Braves	First3 result	away	3.15	40.9%	0.101	0.23u	Won	+0.49u
Jul 22, 2023	mlb	Yankees Royals	First3 result	home	2.65	42.9%	0.136	0.41u	Won	+0.68u
Jul 22, 2023	mlb	Guardians Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.0%	0.081	0.14u	Won	+0.39u
Jul 21, 2023	mlb	Nationals Giants	First3 result	home	2.97	35.9%	0.067	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Jul 21, 2023	mlb	Yankees Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.1%	0.231	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
Jul 21, 2023	mlb	Twins White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.7%	0.106	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Jul 21, 2023	mlb	Athletics Astros	First3 result	away	2.94	36.1%	0.149	0.38u	Won	+0.74u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.