Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 3, 2026 10:59 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.19 | 55.2% | 0.208 | 0.70u | Won | +0.83u |
| Sep 5, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.46 | 53.7% | 0.321 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Sep 4, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 3.09 | 45.5% | 0.686 | 1.20u | Won | +2.51u |
| Sep 4, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.78 | 53.7% | 0.493 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 4, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 53.6% | 0.371 | 0.67u | Won | +1.05u |
| Sep 4, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.65 | 51.8% | 0.372 | 1.13u | Won | +1.86u |
| Sep 4, 2022 | seriea |
Udinese
AS Roma
|
Home away | draw | 3.40 | 49.8% | 0.708 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 3, 2022 | seriea |
Lazio
Napoli
|
Home away | draw | 3.50 | 49.4% | 0.771 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 3, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home win | away | 4.12 | 45.5% | 1.247 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 3, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.62 | 55.2% | 0.446 | 0.60u | Won | +0.97u |
| Sep 3, 2022 | seriea |
Lazio
Napoli
|
Home draw | away | 2.55 | 42.2% | 0.473 | 0.30u | Won | +0.47u |
| Sep 3, 2022 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Juventus
|
Home draw | away | 2.70 | 43.4% | 0.529 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 3, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.63 | 55.3% | 0.453 | 1.20u | Won | +1.96u |
| Sep 3, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.58 | 51.2% | 0.321 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 2, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.27 | 54.4% | 0.234 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Sep 2, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.64 | 61.2% | 0.615 | 1.20u | Won | +1.97u |
| Sep 2, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.14 | 55.2% | 0.181 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 2, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.96 | 53.7% | 0.590 | 1.20u | Won | +2.35u |
| Sep 1, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.32 | 55.2% | 0.280 | 1.06u | Won | +1.40u |
| Sep 1, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 55.2% | 0.186 | 0.74u | Won | +0.85u |
| Sep 1, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 46.8% | 0.208 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Sep 1, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.09 | 52.6% | 0.099 | 0.17u | Won | +0.19u |
| Sep 1, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.15 | 55.1% | 0.186 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Aug 31, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.20 | 55.1% | 0.213 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Aug 31, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.66 | 50.7% | 0.349 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Aug 31, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.64 | 53.7% | 0.418 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 31, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 3.02 | 55.2% | 0.666 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 30, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.46 | 55.2% | 0.357 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 30, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.64 | 55.2% | 0.457 | 1.20u | Won | +1.97u |
| Aug 30, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.58 | 51.8% | 0.336 | 1.06u | Won | +1.67u |
| Aug 30, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.38 | 55.1% | 0.313 | 0.74u | Won | +1.02u |
| Aug 29, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 50.6% | 0.322 | 0.66u | Won | +1.06u |
| Aug 29, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 54.3% | 0.331 | 1.14u | Won | +1.65u |
| Aug 29, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 55.2% | 0.390 | 1.20u | Won | +1.82u |
| Aug 29, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 55.2% | 0.352 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 28, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Braves
|
Home win | home | 3.16 | 53.7% | 0.697 | 1.20u | Won | +2.59u |
| Aug 28, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.73 | 55.2% | 0.506 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 28, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.40 | 51.9% | 0.245 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 28, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 55.9% | 0.357 | 1.20u | Won | +1.72u |
| Aug 28, 2022 | seriea |
Salernitana
Sampdoria
|
Home draw | away | 3.20 | 31.1% | 1.206 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 27, 2022 | seriea |
AC Milan
Bologna
|
Home draw | away | 2.05 | 27.0% | 0.497 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 27, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.93 | 55.2% | 0.617 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 27, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.83 | 55.2% | 0.561 | 0.60u | Won | +1.10u |
| Aug 27, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Guardians
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 52.5% | 0.340 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 27, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 55.5% | 0.420 | 1.20u | Won | +1.87u |
| Aug 26, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Guardians
|
Home cover | home | 2.63 | 53.4% | 0.405 | 1.20u | Won | +1.96u |
| Aug 26, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 39.6% | 0.354 | 0.60u | Won | +0.74u |
| Aug 26, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 3.36 | 53.7% | 0.804 | 1.20u | Won | +2.83u |
| Aug 26, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 3.03 | 55.2% | 0.672 | 0.60u | Won | +1.22u |
| Aug 25, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 4.51 | 45.5% | 1.460 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 25, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 100.0% | 1.520 | 1.20u | Won | +1.82u |
| Aug 25, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 41.4% | 0.417 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 25, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.31 | 51.2% | 0.183 | 0.60u | Won | +0.79u |
| Aug 24, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.39 | 51.2% | 0.225 | 0.81u | Won | +1.13u |
| Aug 24, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 41.4% | 0.207 | 0.97u | Lost | -0.97u |
| Aug 24, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Braves
|
Home win | away | 1.80 | 0.0% | 0.800 | 1.20u | Won | +0.96u |
| Aug 24, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 3.28 | 53.7% | 0.762 | 0.60u | Won | +1.37u |
| Aug 23, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Guardians
|
Home win | away | 2.22 | 22.2% | 0.727 | 0.60u | Won | +0.73u |
| Aug 23, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 3.42 | 48.7% | 0.754 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 23, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 1.86 | 0.0% | 0.855 | 0.60u | Won | +0.51u |
| Aug 23, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 0.0% | 1.320 | 1.20u | Won | +1.58u |
| Aug 22, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.05 | 59.6% | 0.222 | 1.06u | Lost | -1.06u |
| Aug 22, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 1.98 | 59.6% | 0.181 | 0.74u | Won | +0.73u |
| Aug 22, 2022 | seriea |
Sampdoria
Juventus
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.10 | 83.5% | 0.754 | 1.20u | Won | +1.32u |
| Aug 22, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 60.0% | 0.434 | 1.20u | Won | +1.67u |
| Aug 22, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 2.74 | 48.7% | 0.405 | 0.60u | Won | +1.04u |
| Aug 21, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.12 | 62.5% | 0.325 | 0.60u | Won | +0.67u |
| Aug 21, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.61 | 60.0% | 0.566 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 21, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.25 | 59.6% | 0.341 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 21, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.19 | 59.6% | 0.306 | 0.60u | Won | +0.71u |
| Aug 20, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.32 | 59.6% | 0.383 | 1.20u | Won | +1.58u |
| Aug 20, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.28 | 59.6% | 0.359 | 0.60u | Won | +0.77u |
| Aug 20, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 62.5% | 0.438 | 1.20u | Won | +1.56u |
| Aug 20, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.12 | 62.5% | 0.325 | 0.60u | Won | +0.67u |
| Aug 19, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.58 | 60.0% | 0.548 | 1.20u | Won | +1.90u |
| Aug 19, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Astros
|
Home win | away | 2.70 | 48.7% | 0.385 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 19, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.15 | 59.6% | 0.282 | 0.60u | Won | +0.69u |
| Aug 19, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.65 | 59.6% | 0.580 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 18, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 59.6% | 0.455 | 1.20u | Won | +1.73u |
| Aug 18, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.20 | 59.6% | 0.312 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 18, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 4.19 | 48.7% | 1.149 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 18, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.17 | 62.5% | 0.356 | 0.60u | Won | +0.70u |
| Aug 17, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 60.0% | 0.434 | 0.60u | Won | +0.83u |
| Aug 17, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.93 | 48.7% | 0.503 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 17, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 42.9% | 0.223 | 0.60u | Won | +0.68u |
| Aug 17, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.18 | 59.6% | 0.300 | 1.20u | Won | +1.42u |
| Aug 16, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 1.98 | 59.6% | 0.181 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 16, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.36 | 59.6% | 0.407 | 1.20u | Won | +1.63u |
| Aug 16, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.49 | 60.0% | 0.494 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 16, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 48.7% | 0.436 | 0.60u | Won | +1.08u |
| Aug 15, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.51 | 62.5% | 0.569 | 1.20u | Won | +1.81u |
| Aug 15, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 62.5% | 0.406 | 0.60u | Won | +0.75u |
| Aug 15, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 46.6% | 0.213 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 15, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 1.97 | 100.0% | 0.971 | 1.20u | Won | +1.17u |
| Aug 15, 2022 | seriea |
Hellas Verona
Napoli
|
Home draw | away | 2.00 | 41.3% | 0.175 | 1.20u | Won | +1.20u |
| Aug 14, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 3.31 | 60.0% | 0.986 | 1.20u | Won | +2.77u |
| Aug 14, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 2.28 | 22.2% | 0.773 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 14, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 42.9% | 0.371 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 14, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.40 | 59.6% | 0.431 | 1.20u | Won | +1.68u |
| Aug 13, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 46.6% | 0.304 | 1.06u | Lost | -1.06u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.