Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 3, 2026 10:59 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 59.6% | 0.138 | 0.74u | Won | +0.67u |
| Aug 13, 2022 | seriea |
Monza
Torino
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.20 | 55.4% | 0.218 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 13, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 3.70 | 60.0% | 1.220 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 13, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 3.48 | 60.0% | 1.088 | 0.60u | Won | +1.49u |
| Aug 12, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 3.34 | 48.7% | 0.713 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 12, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home win | home | 3.39 | 62.5% | 1.119 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 12, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 42.9% | 0.269 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Aug 12, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 46.6% | 0.277 | 1.00u | Won | +1.39u |
| Aug 11, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 1.81 | 100.0% | 0.807 | 0.60u | Won | +0.48u |
| Aug 11, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.23 | 100.0% | 1.230 | 1.20u | Won | +1.48u |
| Aug 11, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.45 | 48.7% | 0.256 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Aug 11, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.49 | 50.0% | 0.245 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Aug 10, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 1.80 | 66.7% | 0.200 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 10, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home win | away | 2.29 | 48.7% | 0.174 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 10, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.62 | 50.0% | 0.310 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 10, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.23 | 59.6% | 0.329 | 1.20u | Won | +1.48u |
| Aug 9, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.22 | 51.1% | 0.134 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Aug 9, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.22 | 51.4% | 0.140 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Aug 9, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.14 | 51.6% | 0.104 | 0.11u | Won | +0.13u |
| Aug 9, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.21 | 51.5% | 0.138 | 0.57u | Won | +0.69u |
| Aug 9, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home win | away | 2.45 | 42.2% | 0.417 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Aug 9, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 59.0% | 0.416 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Aug 8, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.12 | 62.0% | 0.314 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 8, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home win | away | 3.91 | 48.7% | 1.008 | 1.20u | Won | +3.49u |
| Aug 8, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 51.6% | 0.346 | 1.07u | Won | +1.72u |
| Aug 8, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.07 | 51.2% | 0.060 | 0.28u | Won | +0.30u |
| Aug 8, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.13 | 51.2% | 0.091 | 0.40u | Won | +0.45u |
| Aug 7, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 51.0% | 0.275 | 0.92u | Won | +1.38u |
| Aug 7, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 51.0% | 0.255 | 0.87u | Won | +1.27u |
| Aug 7, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.56 | 57.2% | 0.465 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 7, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 3.57 | 44.2% | 0.994 | 1.20u | Won | +3.08u |
| Aug 6, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Astros
|
Home win | away | 3.26 | 48.4% | 0.682 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 6, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Giants
|
Home win | home | 3.01 | 61.5% | 0.852 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 6, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.69 | 51.3% | 0.379 | 1.12u | Won | +1.89u |
| Aug 6, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 51.2% | 0.306 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Aug 5, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 51.3% | 0.273 | 0.83u | Won | +1.23u |
| Aug 5, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 51.3% | 0.297 | 0.97u | Won | +1.48u |
| Aug 5, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 54.9% | 0.291 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Aug 5, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 68.0% | 0.769 | 1.20u | Won | +1.92u |
| Aug 4, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 3.21 | 53.0% | 0.700 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 4, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Red Sox
|
Home win | away | 3.43 | 46.9% | 0.821 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 4, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.31 | 51.4% | 0.187 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Aug 4, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.65 | 51.3% | 0.359 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Aug 3, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 51.4% | 0.286 | 0.95u | Won | +1.43u |
| Aug 3, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 51.2% | 0.280 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Aug 3, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 51.2% | 0.434 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 3, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 3.46 | 53.6% | 0.855 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 2, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 3.91 | 56.1% | 1.194 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 2, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 2.47 | 49.4% | 0.250 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 2, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.58 | 51.1% | 0.319 | 0.67u | Won | +1.06u |
| Aug 2, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.70 | 51.2% | 0.384 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Aug 1, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.39 | 51.3% | 0.226 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Aug 1, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 51.3% | 0.308 | 0.99u | Lost | -0.99u |
| Aug 1, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.22 | 57.3% | 0.273 | 0.60u | Won | +0.73u |
| Aug 1, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 3.22 | 63.4% | 1.042 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 31, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.16 | 58.9% | 0.272 | 0.60u | Won | +0.70u |
| Jul 31, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.66 | 53.8% | 0.431 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 31, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.57 | 51.1% | 0.314 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Jul 31, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 51.6% | 0.340 | 1.06u | Won | +1.70u |
| Jul 30, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.57 | 51.3% | 0.318 | 1.01u | Won | +1.59u |
| Jul 30, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.51 | 51.2% | 0.286 | 0.79u | Won | +1.19u |
| Jul 30, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.90 | 53.6% | 0.555 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 30, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.71 | 58.9% | 0.597 | 1.20u | Won | +2.05u |
| Jul 29, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 3.89 | 44.1% | 1.176 | 1.20u | Won | +3.47u |
| Jul 29, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 61.0% | 0.482 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 29, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.42 | 51.0% | 0.235 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Jul 29, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 51.2% | 0.295 | 0.96u | Lost | -0.96u |
| Jul 28, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 51.5% | 0.261 | 0.90u | Won | +1.31u |
| Jul 28, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 51.1% | 0.251 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Jul 28, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.76 | 55.7% | 0.538 | 1.20u | Won | +2.11u |
| Jul 28, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.69 | 56.1% | 0.508 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 27, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.06 | 66.6% | 0.371 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 27, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.82 | 63.7% | 0.797 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 27, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 51.2% | 0.255 | 0.80u | Won | +1.16u |
| Jul 27, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 51.4% | 0.307 | 1.00u | Won | +1.54u |
| Jul 26, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 49.3% | 0.221 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Jul 26, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 49.3% | 0.211 | 0.15u | Won | +0.21u |
| Jul 26, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 49.3% | 0.257 | 0.87u | Won | +1.29u |
| Jul 26, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.62 | 51.0% | 0.337 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Jul 26, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.59 | 52.5% | 0.360 | 1.13u | Won | +1.80u |
| Jul 25, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.83 | 51.7% | 0.464 | 1.20u | Won | +2.20u |
| Jul 25, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.51 | 52.7% | 0.322 | 0.60u | Won | +0.91u |
| Jul 25, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 49.3% | 0.196 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Jul 25, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 49.3% | 0.211 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Jul 25, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 49.3% | 0.155 | 0.32u | Won | +0.41u |
| Jul 24, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 49.3% | 0.049 | 0.23u | Won | +0.25u |
| Jul 24, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.52 | 49.3% | 0.277 | 0.91u | Won | +1.38u |
| Jul 24, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 49.3% | 0.044 | 0.16u | Won | +0.17u |
| Jul 24, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 49.3% | 0.120 | 0.50u | Won | +0.61u |
| Jul 24, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.54 | 52.9% | 0.344 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Jul 24, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 53.5% | 0.295 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Jul 23, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 53.5% | 0.326 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 23, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home win | home | 3.01 | 53.0% | 0.596 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 23, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 49.3% | 0.221 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Jul 23, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 49.3% | 0.150 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Jul 23, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 49.3% | 0.246 | 0.84u | Lost | -0.84u |
| Jul 22, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 49.3% | 0.196 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Jul 22, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 49.3% | 0.181 | 0.14u | Won | +0.19u |
| Jul 22, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 49.3% | 0.292 | 0.94u | Lost | -0.94u |
| Jul 22, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 51.8% | 0.191 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.