Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 3, 2026 10:59 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2023 | seriea |
Spezia
Internazionale
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.75 | 62.6% | 0.723 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| Mar 4, 2023 | seriea |
Atalanta
Udinese
|
Home away | draw | 3.20 | 49.3% | 0.622 | 1.20u | Won | +2.64u |
| Feb 27, 2023 | seriea |
Lazio
Sampdoria
|
Home draw | away | 2.15 | 48.9% | 0.099 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Feb 26, 2023 | seriea |
AC Milan
Atalanta
|
Home draw | away | 3.30 | 49.3% | 0.673 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 26, 2023 | seriea |
Udinese
Spezia
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.05 | 52.1% | 0.068 | 0.30u | Won | +0.32u |
| Feb 19, 2023 | seriea |
Atalanta
Lecce
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.05 | 51.6% | 0.057 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Feb 19, 2023 | seriea |
Spezia
Juventus
|
Home away | draw | 3.30 | 42.2% | 0.909 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 17, 2023 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Napoli
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.25 | 51.6% | 0.160 | 1.03u | Lost | -1.03u |
| Feb 13, 2023 | seriea |
Sampdoria
Internazionale
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.00 | 52.2% | 0.566 | 1.20u | Won | +2.40u |
| Feb 11, 2023 | seriea |
Empoli
Spezia
|
Home draw | away | 2.10 | 49.2% | 0.067 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Feb 7, 2023 | seriea |
Salernitana
Juventus
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.50 | 51.9% | 0.297 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 7, 2023 | seriea |
Salernitana
Juventus
|
Home away | draw | 4.20 | 49.3% | 1.130 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 4, 2023 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Atalanta
|
Home draw | away | 2.88 | 47.0% | 0.525 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 28, 2023 | seriea |
Empoli
Torino
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 53.6% | 0.408 | 1.20u | Won | +1.95u |
| Jan 27, 2023 | seriea |
Lecce
Salernitana
|
Home away | draw | 3.40 | 49.4% | 0.721 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 24, 2023 | seriea |
Lazio
AC Milan
|
Home draw | away | 2.55 | 48.4% | 0.316 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 21, 2023 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Torino
|
Home draw | away | 3.75 | 48.8% | 0.921 | 1.20u | Won | +3.30u |
| Jan 21, 2023 | seriea |
Hellas Verona
Lecce
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.40 | 52.7% | 0.793 | 0.30u | Won | +0.72u |
| Jan 21, 2023 | seriea |
Salernitana
Napoli
|
Home away | draw | 3.40 | 47.6% | 0.781 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 15, 2023 | seriea |
Udinese
Bologna
|
Home draw | away | 3.60 | 46.4% | 0.930 | 1.20u | Won | +3.12u |
| Jan 14, 2023 | seriea |
Cremonese
Monza
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.10 | 81.7% | 0.717 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 8, 2023 | seriea |
AC Milan
AS Roma
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 83.3% | 1.186 | 1.20u | Won | +1.95u |
| Jan 7, 2023 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.38 | 68.2% | 0.620 | 1.20u | Won | +1.65u |
| Jan 7, 2023 | seriea |
Monza
Internazionale
|
Home away | draw | 4.00 | 41.6% | 1.336 | 1.20u | Won | +3.60u |
| Jan 4, 2023 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Sampdoria
|
Home away | draw | 3.40 | 18.7% | 1.764 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Nov 13, 2022 | seriea |
Monza
Salernitana
|
Home draw | away | 3.75 | 49.0% | 0.913 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Nov 12, 2022 | seriea |
Napoli
Udinese
|
Home draw | away | 3.20 | 36.4% | 1.035 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Nov 12, 2022 | seriea |
Bologna
Sassuolo
|
Home away | draw | 2.75 | 42.0% | 0.596 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Nov 9, 2022 | seriea |
Internazionale
Bologna
|
Home away | draw | 5.00 | 24.5% | 2.776 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Nov 9, 2022 | seriea |
Sassuolo
AS Roma
|
Home away | draw | 4.20 | 47.0% | 1.227 | 0.30u | Won | +0.96u |
| Nov 6, 2022 | seriea |
Sampdoria
Fiorentina
|
Home draw | away | 2.45 | 49.6% | 0.236 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Nov 6, 2022 | seriea |
Monza
Hellas Verona
|
Home draw | away | 2.40 | 49.8% | 0.206 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Nov 5, 2022 | seriea |
Empoli
Sassuolo
|
Home draw | away | 2.20 | 47.9% | 0.147 | 0.98u | Lost | -0.98u |
| Nov 5, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 48.7% | 0.181 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Nov 4, 2022 | seriea |
Udinese
Lecce
|
Home away | draw | 3.80 | 42.1% | 1.201 | 1.20u | Won | +3.36u |
| Nov 3, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 48.5% | 0.098 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Nov 2, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.58 | 48.9% | 0.317 | 1.00u | Won | +1.58u |
| Oct 30, 2022 | seriea |
Torino
AC Milan
|
Home draw | away | 2.10 | 49.2% | 0.066 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Oct 29, 2022 | seriea |
Lecce
Juventus
|
Home draw | away | 2.10 | 48.4% | 0.083 | 0.60u | Won | +0.66u |
| Oct 29, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 2.24 | 48.3% | 0.157 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Oct 28, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 2.41 | 48.3% | 0.247 | 0.88u | Won | +1.24u |
| Oct 24, 2022 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Hellas Verona
|
Home draw | away | 3.40 | 50.0% | 0.701 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 23, 2022 | seriea |
Bologna
Lecce
|
Home draw | away | 2.25 | 49.7% | 0.132 | 0.84u | Lost | -0.84u |
| Oct 22, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Astros
|
Home win | away | 2.25 | 48.3% | 0.163 | 0.65u | Won | +0.81u |
| Oct 22, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 47.8% | 0.184 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Oct 21, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 48.7% | 0.246 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Oct 20, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.22 | 48.5% | 0.144 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Oct 19, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.57 | 48.2% | 0.330 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Oct 19, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 47.5% | 0.144 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Oct 18, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Guardians
|
Home cover | home | 2.33 | 50.3% | 0.172 | 0.64u | Won | +0.85u |
| Oct 17, 2022 | seriea |
Lecce
Fiorentina
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.20 | 52.8% | 0.163 | 1.08u | Won | +1.30u |
| Oct 16, 2022 | seriea |
Napoli
Bologna
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.50 | 50.1% | 0.253 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Oct 16, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.38 | 55.7% | 0.326 | 1.18u | Lost | -1.18u |
| Oct 15, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home win | home | 1.99 | 56.6% | 0.126 | 0.63u | Won | +0.62u |
| Oct 15, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 41.8% | 0.413 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 15, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 45.6% | 0.393 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Oct 14, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 44.7% | 0.316 | 1.15u | Won | +1.59u |
| Oct 14, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 45.2% | 0.288 | 1.07u | Lost | -1.07u |
| Oct 13, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.47 | 50.6% | 0.251 | 0.85u | Won | +1.25u |
| Oct 12, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.58 | 52.9% | 0.366 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Oct 11, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.06 | 50.1% | 0.033 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Oct 10, 2022 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Lazio
|
Home away | draw | 3.50 | 43.8% | 0.968 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 9, 2022 | seriea |
Salernitana
Hellas Verona
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.50 | 56.6% | 0.416 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Oct 9, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 50.3% | 0.308 | 0.96u | Lost | -0.96u |
| Oct 8, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 48.9% | 0.257 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Oct 8, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Padres
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 62.3% | 0.216 | 0.85u | Won | +0.81u |
| Oct 8, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.46 | 48.0% | 0.278 | 0.95u | Won | +1.39u |
| Oct 8, 2022 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Internazionale
|
Home draw | away | 3.80 | 45.1% | 1.084 | 1.20u | Won | +3.36u |
| Oct 7, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Rays
|
Home win | home | 1.81 | 63.9% | 0.158 | 0.97u | Won | +0.79u |
| Oct 5, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.88 | 55.6% | 0.600 | 1.20u | Won | +2.26u |
| Oct 5, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.06 | 62.1% | 0.280 | 0.60u | Won | +0.64u |
| Oct 5, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.51 | 50.9% | 0.279 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Oct 5, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 45.0% | 0.275 | 0.88u | Won | +1.16u |
| Oct 4, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.51 | 50.5% | 0.268 | 0.89u | Won | +1.34u |
| Oct 4, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.47 | 50.5% | 0.248 | 0.84u | Lost | -0.84u |
| Oct 4, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.73 | 53.8% | 0.469 | 0.60u | Won | +1.04u |
| Oct 4, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 3.26 | 48.8% | 0.670 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 3, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 60.5% | 0.397 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Oct 3, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
Home win | away | 3.09 | 46.3% | 0.660 | 1.20u | Won | +2.51u |
| Oct 3, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.16 | 50.5% | 0.091 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Oct 3, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.49 | 50.5% | 0.258 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Oct 3, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.17 | 50.5% | 0.096 | 0.41u | Won | +0.48u |
| Oct 2, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.58 | 50.5% | 0.303 | 0.96u | Won | +1.52u |
| Oct 2, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 50.5% | 0.288 | 0.84u | Lost | -0.84u |
| Oct 2, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 3.14 | 58.7% | 0.842 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 2, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 2.13 | 41.0% | 0.257 | 0.60u | Won | +0.68u |
| Oct 2, 2022 | seriea |
Atalanta
Fiorentina
|
Home away | draw | 4.20 | 26.8% | 2.076 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 1, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.69 | 58.1% | 0.563 | 1.20u | Won | +2.03u |
| Oct 1, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 52.1% | 0.407 | 0.60u | Won | +1.02u |
| Oct 1, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.57 | 50.5% | 0.298 | 0.75u | Won | +1.18u |
| Oct 1, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.68 | 50.5% | 0.354 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Oct 1, 2022 | seriea |
Empoli
AC Milan
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.38 | 50.1% | 0.190 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Oct 1, 2022 | seriea |
Internazionale
AS Roma
|
Home draw | away | 3.75 | 42.3% | 1.165 | 1.20u | Won | +3.30u |
| Sep 30, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.87 | 54.5% | 0.563 | 0.60u | Won | +1.12u |
| Sep 30, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home win | away | 2.55 | 28.8% | 0.816 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 30, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 50.5% | 0.319 | 0.99u | Lost | -0.99u |
| Sep 30, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 50.5% | 0.314 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Sep 29, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 50.5% | 0.319 | 0.99u | Lost | -0.99u |
| Sep 29, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.51 | 50.5% | 0.268 | 0.81u | Won | +1.22u |
| Sep 29, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.61 | 62.0% | 0.619 | 1.20u | Won | +1.93u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.