Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 3, 2026 10:59 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Guardians
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 50.0% | 0.270 | 0.80u | Won | +1.23u |
| Apr 19, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.53 | 48.4% | 0.305 | 1.00u | Won | +1.53u |
| Apr 19, 2023 | mlb |
Yankees
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.37 | 63.8% | 0.512 | 0.60u | Won | +0.82u |
| Apr 19, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Rays
|
Home win | home | 3.23 | 61.6% | 0.989 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 18, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.36 | 49.7% | 0.186 | 0.68u | Won | +0.92u |
| Apr 18, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 2.44 | 49.7% | 0.227 | 0.79u | Won | +1.14u |
| Apr 18, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Blue Jays
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 49.7% | 0.181 | 0.33u | Won | +0.45u |
| Apr 18, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 43.7% | 0.407 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 18, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.53 | 43.8% | 0.421 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 17, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 43.9% | 0.342 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 17, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 43.9% | 0.257 | 0.60u | Won | +0.74u |
| Apr 17, 2023 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Atalanta
|
Home draw | away | 3.00 | 48.8% | 0.535 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 16, 2023 | seriea |
AS Roma
Udinese
|
Home draw | away | 4.75 | 34.9% | 2.093 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 16, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 43.7% | 0.434 | 1.20u | Won | +1.86u |
| Apr 16, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 43.6% | 0.253 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 16, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Mets
|
Home win | away | 3.44 | 49.7% | 0.729 | 1.20u | Won | +2.93u |
| Apr 16, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.94 | 49.7% | 0.480 | 0.60u | Won | +1.16u |
| Apr 15, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Giants
|
Home win | away | 2.95 | 49.7% | 0.485 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 15, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
Braves
|
Home win | away | 2.61 | 49.7% | 0.312 | 0.60u | Won | +0.97u |
| Apr 15, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 44.0% | 0.316 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 15, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 43.8% | 0.349 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 14, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 43.9% | 0.351 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 14, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 44.0% | 0.321 | 0.60u | Won | +0.82u |
| Apr 14, 2023 | seriea |
Cremonese
Empoli
|
Home draw | away | 3.30 | 49.5% | 0.667 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 14, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Angels
|
Home win | away | 2.53 | 49.7% | 0.272 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| Apr 14, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.54 | 49.7% | 0.277 | 0.90u | Won | +1.39u |
| Apr 13, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 3.26 | 49.7% | 0.639 | 1.20u | Won | +2.71u |
| Apr 13, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 3.02 | 49.6% | 0.521 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 13, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 43.8% | 0.185 | 0.83u | Won | +0.92u |
| Apr 13, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.01 | 43.9% | 0.128 | 0.29u | Won | +0.29u |
| Apr 13, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.03 | 43.8% | 0.140 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Apr 12, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 43.3% | 0.355 | 0.60u | Won | +0.83u |
| Apr 12, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.62 | 43.8% | 0.473 | 1.20u | Won | +1.94u |
| Apr 12, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Astros
|
Home win | away | 3.38 | 49.7% | 0.699 | 1.20u | Won | +2.86u |
| Apr 12, 2023 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 3.29 | 49.7% | 0.654 | 0.60u | Won | +1.37u |
| Apr 11, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 3.57 | 49.7% | 0.795 | 1.20u | Won | +3.08u |
| Apr 11, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 3.41 | 49.7% | 0.716 | 0.60u | Won | +1.45u |
| Apr 11, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 43.6% | 0.290 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Apr 11, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 43.8% | 0.254 | 0.67u | Won | +0.82u |
| Apr 10, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 43.7% | 0.294 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Apr 10, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 43.8% | 0.287 | 0.67u | Won | +0.86u |
| Apr 10, 2023 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 3.28 | 49.7% | 0.649 | 1.20u | Won | +2.74u |
| Apr 10, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Royals
|
Home win | away | 2.62 | 49.6% | 0.320 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 9, 2023 | mlb |
Giants
Royals
|
Home win | away | 3.49 | 49.7% | 0.755 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 9, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Blue Jays
|
Home win | away | 2.73 | 49.7% | 0.372 | 0.60u | Won | +1.04u |
| Apr 9, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 43.8% | 0.326 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 9, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 43.8% | 0.377 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Apr 8, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.66 | 43.9% | 0.493 | 1.20u | Won | +1.99u |
| Apr 8, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 43.7% | 0.336 | 0.60u | Won | +0.82u |
| Apr 8, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Reds
|
Home win | away | 3.44 | 49.7% | 0.729 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 8, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.49 | 49.6% | 0.254 | 0.60u | Won | +0.89u |
| Apr 7, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.81 | 49.7% | 0.413 | 0.60u | Won | +1.09u |
| Apr 7, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 3.21 | 49.7% | 0.614 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 7, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 43.8% | 0.275 | 0.66u | Won | +0.84u |
| Apr 7, 2023 | mlb |
Giants
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 43.8% | 0.298 | 1.14u | Won | +1.49u |
| Apr 7, 2023 | seriea |
Lecce
Napoli
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.38 | 52.5% | 0.248 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 7, 2023 | seriea |
Salernitana
Internazionale
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.20 | 51.1% | 0.124 | 0.30u | Won | +0.36u |
| Apr 6, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Giants
|
Home win | away | 2.46 | 49.7% | 0.237 | 0.81u | Won | +1.18u |
| Apr 6, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 2.36 | 49.6% | 0.189 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Apr 6, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 43.8% | 0.224 | 0.95u | Won | +1.12u |
| Apr 6, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 1.98 | 43.9% | 0.111 | 0.56u | Won | +0.55u |
| Apr 5, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 43.8% | 0.393 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 5, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 43.8% | 0.292 | 0.60u | Won | +0.78u |
| Apr 5, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 3.11 | 49.8% | 0.561 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 5, 2023 | mlb |
Nationals
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.62 | 49.9% | 0.314 | 0.60u | Won | +0.97u |
| Apr 4, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Twins
|
Home win | away | 3.33 | 48.4% | 0.718 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 4, 2023 | mlb |
Nationals
Rays
|
Home win | away | 3.14 | 48.4% | 0.620 | 0.60u | Won | +1.28u |
| Apr 4, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 48.9% | 0.077 | 0.35u | Won | +0.39u |
| Apr 4, 2023 | mlb |
Yankees
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 49.6% | 0.054 | 0.25u | Won | +0.27u |
| Apr 4, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 48.1% | 0.152 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Apr 3, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 47.4% | 0.236 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Apr 3, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 47.4% | 0.231 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Apr 3, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 40.1% | 0.348 | 0.60u | Won | +0.75u |
| Apr 3, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 3.03 | 48.5% | 0.560 | 1.20u | Won | +2.44u |
| Apr 3, 2023 | mlb |
Yankees
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 2.84 | 48.5% | 0.462 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 3, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.04 | 100.0% | 1.040 | 1.20u | Won | +1.25u |
| Apr 2, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home win | away | 2.73 | 48.4% | 0.409 | 0.60u | Won | +1.04u |
| Apr 2, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home win | away | 3.20 | 48.4% | 0.652 | 1.20u | Won | +2.64u |
| Apr 2, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 100.0% | 0.870 | 0.60u | Won | +0.52u |
| Apr 2, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 47.5% | 0.264 | 0.68u | Won | +0.96u |
| Apr 2, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.63 | 48.1% | 0.364 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Apr 1, 2023 | mlb |
Yankees
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 49.2% | 0.259 | 0.78u | Won | +1.15u |
| Apr 1, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.52 | 48.0% | 0.310 | 1.02u | Won | +1.55u |
| Apr 1, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home win | away | 3.20 | 48.5% | 0.649 | 1.20u | Won | +2.64u |
| Apr 1, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.91 | 48.4% | 0.501 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Mar 31, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.65 | 48.4% | 0.367 | 1.11u | Won | +1.83u |
| Mar 31, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
Home win | away | 2.65 | 48.5% | 0.366 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Mar 31, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.38 | 35.0% | 0.547 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 31, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Guardians
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 35.0% | 0.528 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Mar 31, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 48.5% | 0.283 | 0.95u | Won | +1.42u |
| Mar 30, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 48.6% | 0.260 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Mar 30, 2023 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.51 | 47.9% | 0.308 | 1.02u | Won | +1.54u |
| Mar 30, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 2.82 | 48.5% | 0.452 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Mar 30, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Guardians
|
Home win | away | 2.92 | 48.4% | 0.508 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 30, 2023 | mlb |
Yankees
Giants
|
Home win | home | 1.84 | 100.0% | 0.840 | 0.60u | Won | +0.50u |
| Mar 19, 2023 | seriea |
Internazionale
Juventus
|
Home away | draw | 3.75 | 23.5% | 1.869 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 17, 2023 | seriea |
Atalanta
Empoli
|
Home away | draw | 4.75 | 44.9% | 1.616 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 17, 2023 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Spezia
|
Home away | draw | 3.80 | 47.3% | 1.004 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Mar 12, 2023 | seriea |
Lecce
Torino
|
Home draw | away | 2.90 | 29.9% | 1.033 | 1.20u | Won | +2.28u |
| Mar 12, 2023 | seriea |
Juventus
Sampdoria
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.10 | 85.7% | 0.800 | 0.30u | Won | +0.33u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.