Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 7:18 AM EDT
Home cover
nba
Oklahoma City Thunder
Los Angeles Lakers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
66.1%
EV/u
0.261
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Home cover
nba
Milwaukee Bucks
Portland Trail Blazers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
63.7%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.71u
Won
+0.65u
Home cover
nba
Phoenix Suns
New Orleans Pelicans
home
Odds
1.93
Prob
68.6%
EV/u
0.320
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.93u
Home cover
nba
Dallas Mavericks
Golden State Warriors
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
64.9%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.22u
Home cover
nba
Philadelphia 76ers
New York Knicks
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
65.2%
EV/u
0.240
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.23u
Home cover
nba
Atlanta Hawks
Milwaukee Bucks
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
64.6%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Home cover
nba
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
63.8%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.23u
Won
+0.21u
Home cover
nba
Miami Heat
Cleveland Cavaliers
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
67.4%
EV/u
0.281
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.26u
Home cover
nba
Chicago Bulls
Detroit Pistons
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
63.2%
EV/u
0.208
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.19u
Home cover
nba
Denver Nuggets
Houston Rockets
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
66.9%
EV/u
0.283
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.27u
Home cover
nba
LA Clippers
Boston Celtics
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
64.8%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.22u
Total over
nba
Chicago Bulls
Detroit Pistons
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
63.2%
EV/u
0.207
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Total over
nba
Miami Heat
Cleveland Cavaliers
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
64.9%
EV/u
0.240
Stake
0.69u
Won
+0.63u
Total over
nba
Atlanta Hawks
Milwaukee Bucks
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
65.3%
EV/u
0.246
Stake
0.71u
Won
+0.65u
Total over
nba
Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns
over
Odds
1.95
Prob
65.1%
EV/u
0.271
Stake
0.85u
Won
+0.81u
Home cover
nba
Memphis Grizzlies
Golden State Warriors
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
63.7%
EV/u
0.212
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
Home cover
nba
New Orleans Pelicans
Portland Trail Blazers
home
Odds
1.93
Prob
67.4%
EV/u
0.298
Stake
0.78u
Won
+0.72u
Home cover
nba
Los Angeles Lakers
Oklahoma City Thunder
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
64.9%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.64u
Won
+0.58u
Home cover
nba
Phoenix Suns
Boston Celtics
away
Odds
1.89
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.46u
Home cover
nba
Brooklyn Nets
Indiana Pacers
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.365
Stake
0.74u
Lost
-0.74u
Home cover
nba
Dallas Mavericks
San Antonio Spurs
home
Odds
1.87
Prob
78.4%
EV/u
0.466
Stake
0.74u
Won
+0.64u
Home cover
nba
Orlando Magic
Washington Wizards
away
Odds
1.93
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
Home cover
nba
Memphis Grizzlies
Denver Nuggets
home
Odds
1.89
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.359
Stake
0.73u
Lost
-0.73u
Home cover
nba
New Orleans Pelicans
Golden State Warriors
home
Odds
1.86
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.332
Stake
0.73u
Won
+0.62u
Home win
nba
Sacramento Kings
Boston Celtics
home
Odds
2.28
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.332
Stake
1.04u
Won
+1.33u
Home cover
nba
Miami Heat
New Orleans Pelicans
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
68.9%
EV/u
0.315
Stake
0.75u
Won
+0.68u
Home cover
nba
Indiana Pacers
Milwaukee Bucks
away
Odds
1.89
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.200
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.45u
Home cover
nba
Minnesota Timberwolves
Houston Rockets
home
Odds
1.89
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.359
Stake
0.75u
Lost
-0.75u
Home cover
nba
Charlotte Hornets
Detroit Pistons
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
80.0%
EV/u
0.527
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.45u
Home cover
nba
Memphis Grizzlies
Utah Jazz
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.377
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Home cover
nba
Los Angeles Lakers
Sacramento Kings
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.377
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.46u
Home cover
nba
Orlando Magic
San Antonio Spurs
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.45u
Home cover
nba
Phoenix Suns
Atlanta Hawks
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.74u
Won
+0.67u
Home cover
nba
Cleveland Cavaliers
Miami Heat
away
Odds
1.90
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.47u
Home cover
nba
Denver Nuggets
Brooklyn Nets
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.74u
Won
+0.67u
Home cover
nba
Los Angeles Lakers
Golden State Warriors
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
78.0%
EV/u
0.483
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.60u
Home cover
nba
Houston Rockets
LA Clippers
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.377
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.61u
Home cover
nba
Minnesota Timberwolves
San Antonio Spurs
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.365
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.60u
Home cover
nba
Denver Nuggets
Atlanta Hawks
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.377
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.37u
Home cover
nba
Sacramento Kings
Portland Trail Blazers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
83.3%
EV/u
0.591
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Home cover
nba
Miami Heat
Detroit Pistons
home
Odds
1.89
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.353
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.35u
Home cover
nba
Philadelphia 76ers
Cleveland Cavaliers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
68.9%
EV/u
0.315
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Home cover
nba
Indiana Pacers
Oklahoma City Thunder
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
68.9%
EV/u
0.315
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Home cover
nba
Boston Celtics
Dallas Mavericks
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.74u
Won
+0.67u
Home cover
nba
San Antonio Spurs
Memphis Grizzlies
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.74u
Won
+0.67u
Home cover
nba
Detroit Pistons
Minnesota Timberwolves
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.47u
Home cover
nba
Los Angeles Lakers
Toronto Raptors
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.45u
Home cover
nba
Oklahoma City Thunder
Milwaukee Bucks
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
68.9%
EV/u
0.315
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Home cover
nba
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
home
Odds
1.93
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.383
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Home cover
nba
Portland Trail Blazers
Atlanta Hawks
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.45u
Home cover
nba
Oklahoma City Thunder
Golden State Warriors
home
Odds
1.94
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.389
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.93u
Home cover
nba
Memphis Grizzlies
Dallas Mavericks
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Home cover
nba
Utah Jazz
Milwaukee Bucks
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.32u
Home cover
nba
Indiana Pacers
Detroit Pistons
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.32u
Home cover
nba
Dallas Mavericks
New York Knicks
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.377
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.32u
Home cover
nba
Minnesota Timberwolves
Golden State Warriors
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
64.8%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.25u
Home cover
nba
Portland Trail Blazers
Brooklyn Nets
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.377
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Home cover
nba
Denver Nuggets
Philadelphia 76ers
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.377
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.32u
Home cover
nba
Charlotte Hornets
Boston Celtics
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Home cover
nba
Indiana Pacers
Washington Wizards
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.41u
Home cover
nba
Houston Rockets
Golden State Warriors
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.41u
Home cover
nba
Utah Jazz
Philadelphia 76ers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.41u
Home cover
nba
LA Clippers
Milwaukee Bucks
away
Odds
1.92
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.29u
Home cover
nba
Detroit Pistons
New York Knicks
away
Odds
1.92
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Home cover
nba
Cleveland Cavaliers
Boston Celtics
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
Home cover
nba
Atlanta Hawks
San Antonio Spurs
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.38u
Lost
-0.38u
Home cover
nba
Oklahoma City Thunder
Orlando Magic
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.365
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.49u
Home cover
nba
Denver Nuggets
Miami Heat
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
71.8%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.49u
Home win
nba
Phoenix Suns
Philadelphia 76ers
home
Odds
2.03
Prob
78.6%
EV/u
0.385
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.24u
Total over
nba
Washington Wizards
Detroit Pistons
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
34.4%
EV/u
0.252
Stake
0.83u
Won
+0.75u
Total over
nba
Phoenix Suns
Philadelphia 76ers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
Home win
nba
Miami Heat
Houston Rockets
home
Odds
2.18
Prob
78.6%
EV/u
0.419
Stake
1.09u
Won
+1.29u
Home win
nba
New York Knicks
Sacramento Kings
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
78.6%
EV/u
0.361
Stake
0.91u
Lost
-0.91u
Total over
nba
New York Knicks
Sacramento Kings
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.35u
Total over
nba
San Antonio Spurs
Los Angeles Lakers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.261
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.44u
Total over
nba
Cleveland Cavaliers
Dallas Mavericks
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
31.7%
EV/u
0.304
Stake
0.56u
Lost
-0.56u
Total over
nba
LA Clippers
Utah Jazz
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
29.7%
EV/u
0.343
Stake
0.56u
Won
+0.51u
Total over
nba
Detroit Pistons
Brooklyn Nets
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.46u
Total over
nba
Memphis Grizzlies
Phoenix Suns
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.48u
Total over
nba
Oklahoma City Thunder
New Orleans Pelicans
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
34.8%
EV/u
0.245
Stake
0.81u
Won
+0.74u
Total over
nba
Orlando Magic
Milwaukee Bucks
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.187
Stake
0.62u
Won
+0.56u
Total over
nba
Boston Celtics
New York Knicks
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.178
Stake
0.59u
Won
+0.54u
Total over
nba
Golden State Warriors
San Antonio Spurs
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.200
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
Home win
nba
Boston Celtics
Milwaukee Bucks
home
Odds
2.15
Prob
83.3%
EV/u
0.503
Stake
1.00u
Won
+1.15u
Home win
nba
Oklahoma City Thunder
Portland Trail Blazers
home
Odds
2.02
Prob
78.6%
EV/u
0.381
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Total over
nba
Orlando Magic
New York Knicks
under
Odds
1.95
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.268
Stake
0.62u
Won
+0.59u
Total over
nba
Philadelphia 76ers
Minnesota Timberwolves
under
Odds
1.87
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.245
Stake
0.63u
Won
+0.55u
Total over
nba
Washington Wizards
Houston Rockets
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
28.5%
EV/u
0.365
Stake
0.74u
Lost
-0.74u
Home cover
nba
Toronto Raptors
Detroit Pistons
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
63.7%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
0.70u
Won
+0.63u
Total over
nba
Los Angeles Lakers
Memphis Grizzlies
under
Odds
1.95
Prob
40.2%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.50u
Total over
nba
Denver Nuggets
Dallas Mavericks
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.189
Stake
0.62u
Won
+0.56u
Total over
nba
LA Clippers
Charlotte Hornets
under
Odds
1.95
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.42u
Total over
nba
Phoenix Suns
Utah Jazz
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
60.3%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Total over
nba
San Antonio Spurs
Portland Trail Blazers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Total over
nba
Toronto Raptors
Orlando Magic
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.3%
EV/u
0.216
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.44u
Total over
nba
Milwaukee Bucks
Cleveland Cavaliers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.156
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Home cover
nba
LA Clippers
Charlotte Hornets
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
64.4%
EV/u
0.229
Stake
0.75u
Won
+0.68u
Total over
nba
Oklahoma City Thunder
Golden State Warriors
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.192
Stake
0.63u
Won
+0.57u
Total over
nba
Dallas Mavericks
Portland Trail Blazers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
30.3%
EV/u
0.330
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Total over
nba
New York Knicks
Boston Celtics
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.45u
Won
+0.41u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.