Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 9:17 AM EDT
Home cover
nba
Portland Trail Blazers
Atlanta Hawks
home
Odds
1.93
Prob
62.6%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.54u
Home cover
nba
Sacramento Kings
LA Clippers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
64.2%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Home cover
nba
Oklahoma City Thunder
Chicago Bulls
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
63.9%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.44u
Won
+0.40u
Home cover
nba
Milwaukee Bucks
Dallas Mavericks
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
70.7%
EV/u
0.349
Stake
0.61u
Won
+0.55u
Home cover
nba
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
65.4%
EV/u
0.248
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.45u
Home cover
nba
Portland Trail Blazers
Indiana Pacers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
68.1%
EV/u
0.300
Stake
0.99u
Lost
-0.99u
Home cover
nba
Minnesota Timberwolves
Memphis Grizzlies
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
64.5%
EV/u
0.231
Stake
0.76u
Lost
-0.76u
Home cover
nba
Oklahoma City Thunder
San Antonio Spurs
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
65.9%
EV/u
0.253
Stake
0.84u
Lost
-0.84u
Total over
nba
Charlotte Hornets
New York Knicks
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.68u
Won
+0.62u
Total over
nba
New York Knicks
Denver Nuggets
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
29.8%
EV/u
0.341
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.91u
Total over
nba
Detroit Pistons
Utah Jazz
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.204
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.61u
Home cover
nba
Golden State Warriors
Toronto Raptors
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
66.7%
EV/u
0.267
Stake
0.89u
Lost
-0.89u
Home cover
nba
Charlotte Hornets
Atlanta Hawks
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
66.7%
EV/u
0.267
Stake
0.89u
Won
+0.80u
Total over
nba
Charlotte Hornets
Atlanta Hawks
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.180
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.36u
Total over
nba
Washington Wizards
Miami Heat
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.248
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
Total over
nba
Sacramento Kings
Portland Trail Blazers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
29.8%
EV/u
0.341
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.61u
Total over
nba
Philadelphia 76ers
Denver Nuggets
under
Odds
1.97
Prob
40.0%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.38u
Won
+0.37u
Total over
nba
Houston Rockets
Orlando Magic
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
32.7%
EV/u
0.284
Stake
0.94u
Won
+0.85u
Home cover
nba
Sacramento Kings
Toronto Raptors
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
65.2%
EV/u
0.240
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Home cover
nba
Portland Trail Blazers
Minnesota Timberwolves
home
Odds
1.87
Prob
75.0%
EV/u
0.402
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.87u
Total over
nba
Memphis Grizzlies
Cleveland Cavaliers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.248
Stake
0.82u
Won
+0.75u
Total over
nba
Philadelphia 76ers
Washington Wizards
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
31.2%
EV/u
0.313
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Total over
nba
Atlanta Hawks
Charlotte Hornets
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
33.5%
EV/u
0.270
Stake
0.89u
Won
+0.81u
Home cover
nba
Portland Trail Blazers
Chicago Bulls
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
76.9%
EV/u
0.462
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.90u
Home cover
nba
New Orleans Pelicans
Indiana Pacers
away
Odds
1.92
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.278
Stake
0.91u
Won
+0.83u
Home cover
nba
Golden State Warriors
Sacramento Kings
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
66.7%
EV/u
0.278
Stake
0.91u
Won
+0.83u
Total over
nba
New Orleans Pelicans
Indiana Pacers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.206
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
Total over
nba
Golden State Warriors
Portland Trail Blazers
under
Odds
1.94
Prob
29.8%
EV/u
0.357
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Total over
nba
Detroit Pistons
Boston Celtics
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
32.2%
EV/u
0.294
Stake
0.97u
Lost
-0.97u
Total over
nba
New Orleans Pelicans
Toronto Raptors
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
33.6%
EV/u
0.268
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Total over
nba
Indiana Pacers
New York Knicks
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
29.8%
EV/u
0.339
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.49u
Total over
nba
Orlando Magic
Oklahoma City Thunder
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.45u
Total over
nba
Houston Rockets
Sacramento Kings
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.277
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.45u
Total over
nba
Detroit Pistons
Boston Celtics
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
29.8%
EV/u
0.339
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.45u
Total over
nba
Dallas Mavericks
Miami Heat
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.3%
EV/u
0.159
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.24u
Total over
nba
San Antonio Spurs
Los Angeles Lakers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
31.5%
EV/u
0.308
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.45u
Total over
nba
Denver Nuggets
Phoenix Suns
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.225
Stake
0.37u
Won
+0.34u
Total over
nba
Utah Jazz
LA Clippers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
35.2%
EV/u
0.237
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.35u
Total over
nba
Toronto Raptors
New York Knicks
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
34.6%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.29u
Total over
nba
Indiana Pacers
Cleveland Cavaliers
under
Odds
1.90
Prob
35.8%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Total over
nba
Orlando Magic
Philadelphia 76ers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
31.6%
EV/u
0.306
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.35u
Total over
nba
Houston Rockets
Sacramento Kings
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.272
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Total over
nba
Oklahoma City Thunder
New Orleans Pelicans
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
30.0%
EV/u
0.336
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.35u
Total over
nba
Utah Jazz
Phoenix Suns
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.219
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.25u
Home cover
nba
Toronto Raptors
New York Knicks
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
65.2%
EV/u
0.245
Stake
0.81u
Won
+0.74u
Home cover
nba
Boston Celtics
Memphis Grizzlies
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
65.2%
EV/u
0.245
Stake
0.81u
Won
+0.74u
Total over
nba
Detroit Pistons
Golden State Warriors
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.193
Stake
0.64u
Won
+0.58u
Total over
nba
Phoenix Suns
New Orleans Pelicans
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.149
Stake
0.49u
Won
+0.45u
Total over
nba
Atlanta Hawks
Detroit Pistons
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
61.7%
EV/u
0.177
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.53u
Home cover
nba
Los Angeles Lakers
Miami Heat
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
64.3%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.74u
Won
+0.67u
Home cover
nba
Los Angeles Lakers
Miami Heat
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
67.1%
EV/u
0.276
Stake
0.92u
Won
+0.83u
Home cover
nba
Miami Heat
Boston Celtics
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
65.1%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.80u
Won
+0.73u
Home cover
nba
Boston Celtics
Miami Heat
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
66.9%
EV/u
0.271
Stake
0.90u
Won
+0.81u
Home cover
nba
Denver Nuggets
Los Angeles Lakers
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
71.6%
EV/u
0.360
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.90u
Home cover
nba
Denver Nuggets
LA Clippers
home
Odds
1.94
Prob
64.9%
EV/u
0.255
Stake
0.82u
Lost
-0.82u
Home cover
nba
LA Clippers
Denver Nuggets
home
Odds
1.93
Prob
62.5%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.66u
Lost
-0.66u
Home cover
nba
Los Angeles Lakers
Houston Rockets
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
63.8%
EV/u
0.218
Stake
0.72u
Lost
-0.72u
Home cover
nba
Miami Heat
Milwaukee Bucks
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
64.6%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.77u
Won
+0.70u
Home cover
nba
LA Clippers
Denver Nuggets
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
70.7%
EV/u
0.355
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.92u
Home cover
nba
Denver Nuggets
Utah Jazz
home
Odds
1.94
Prob
64.1%
EV/u
0.245
Stake
0.78u
Lost
-0.78u
Home cover
nba
Milwaukee Bucks
Orlando Magic
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
64.0%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.72u
Won
+0.65u
Home cover
nba
LA Clippers
Phoenix Suns
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
63.3%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.70u
Won
+0.64u
Home cover
nba
Brooklyn Nets
Washington Wizards
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
63.0%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.68u
Won
+0.62u
Total over
nba
Chicago Bulls
Cleveland Cavaliers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.277
Stake
0.91u
Won
+0.83u
Total over
nba
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
38.3%
EV/u
0.179
Stake
0.59u
Lost
-0.59u
Total over
nba
Denver Nuggets
Milwaukee Bucks
under
Odds
1.95
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.256
Stake
0.81u
Won
+0.77u
Total over
nba
Sacramento Kings
Toronto Raptors
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
37.3%
EV/u
0.197
Stake
0.65u
Lost
-0.65u
Total over
nba
New York Knicks
Detroit Pistons
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
33.9%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
0.87u
Won
+0.79u
Total over
nba
Detroit Pistons
Utah Jazz
under
Odds
1.95
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.62u
Won
+0.59u
Total over
nba
Memphis Grizzlies
Atlanta Hawks
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.230
Stake
0.76u
Won
+0.69u
Total over
nba
Los Angeles Lakers
Milwaukee Bucks
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.58u
Won
+0.53u
Total over
nba
Houston Rockets
LA Clippers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.90u
Won
+0.82u
Total over
nba
Brooklyn Nets
Memphis Grizzlies
under
Odds
1.87
Prob
33.6%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.83u
Won
+0.72u
Total over
nba
Minnesota Timberwolves
Chicago Bulls
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
34.1%
EV/u
0.258
Stake
0.85u
Won
+0.77u
Total over
nba
Los Angeles Lakers
Philadelphia 76ers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.69u
Lost
-0.69u
Total over
nba
Boston Celtics
Brooklyn Nets
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.164
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
Total over
nba
Miami Heat
Milwaukee Bucks
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
35.7%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.75u
Won
+0.68u
Total over
nba
San Antonio Spurs
Indiana Pacers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
33.7%
EV/u
0.266
Stake
0.88u
Lost
-0.88u
Total over
nba
Minnesota Timberwolves
Dallas Mavericks
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.272
Stake
0.72u
Won
+0.65u
Total over
nba
LA Clippers
Philadelphia 76ers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.2%
EV/u
0.218
Stake
0.58u
Lost
-0.58u
Total over
nba
Golden State Warriors
Washington Wizards
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
0.70u
Lost
-0.70u
Total over
nba
Miami Heat
Brooklyn Nets
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.77u
Lost
-0.77u
Total over
nba
Memphis Grizzlies
Los Angeles Lakers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
33.3%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.90u
Won
+0.82u
Total over
nba
Memphis Grizzlies
Sacramento Kings
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
38.8%
EV/u
0.168
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.50u
Total over
nba
Oklahoma City Thunder
Sacramento Kings
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.280
Stake
0.92u
Won
+0.84u
Total over
nba
Cleveland Cavaliers
Philadelphia 76ers
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.283
Stake
0.68u
Won
+0.62u
Total over
nba
Phoenix Suns
LA Clippers
under
Odds
1.87
Prob
33.1%
EV/u
0.251
Stake
0.64u
Won
+0.56u
Total over
nba
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.282
Stake
0.68u
Won
+0.62u
Total over
nba
Los Angeles Lakers
New Orleans Pelicans
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.272
Stake
0.90u
Won
+0.82u
Total over
nba
Philadelphia 76ers
Atlanta Hawks
over
Odds
1.87
Prob
61.7%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.46u
Total over
nba
Cleveland Cavaliers
Miami Heat
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.152
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Home cover
nba
Utah Jazz
Phoenix Suns
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
67.6%
EV/u
0.296
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Home cover
nba
Portland Trail Blazers
Detroit Pistons
home
Odds
1.89
Prob
66.0%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.21u
Home cover
nba
Cleveland Cavaliers
Miami Heat
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
64.2%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.19u
Home cover
nba
LA Clippers
Memphis Grizzlies
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
66.1%
EV/u
0.262
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.23u
Home cover
nba
Washington Wizards
Milwaukee Bucks
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
66.0%
EV/u
0.260
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Home cover
nba
Brooklyn Nets
Orlando Magic
home
Odds
1.89
Prob
69.1%
EV/u
0.307
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.25u
Home cover
nba
Houston Rockets
New York Knicks
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
64.5%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.20u
Home cover
nba
Philadelphia 76ers
Atlanta Hawks
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
70.2%
EV/u
0.334
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.25u
Home cover
nba
Denver Nuggets
Minnesota Timberwolves
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
66.7%
EV/u
0.278
Stake
0.57u
Won
+0.52u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.