Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 15, 2026 11:44 AM EDT
Home cover
nba
Phoenix Suns
Dallas Mavericks
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
64.9%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.78u
Won
+0.70u
Home cover
nba
Boston Celtics
Milwaukee Bucks
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
67.3%
EV/u
0.285
Stake
0.94u
Lost
-0.94u
Home cover
nba
Milwaukee Bucks
Chicago Bulls
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
63.1%
EV/u
0.205
Stake
0.68u
Won
+0.62u
Home cover
nba
Phoenix Suns
New Orleans Pelicans
home
Odds
1.93
Prob
63.0%
EV/u
0.213
Stake
0.69u
Won
+0.64u
Home cover
nba
Dallas Mavericks
Utah Jazz
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
63.4%
EV/u
0.211
Stake
0.70u
Won
+0.64u
Home cover
nba
Atlanta Hawks
Miami Heat
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
63.9%
EV/u
0.220
Stake
0.73u
Lost
-0.73u
Home cover
nba
New Orleans Pelicans
Phoenix Suns
home
Odds
1.89
Prob
65.3%
EV/u
0.236
Stake
0.79u
Won
+0.71u
Home cover
nba
Toronto Raptors
Philadelphia 76ers
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
63.5%
EV/u
0.218
Stake
0.71u
Won
+0.65u
Home cover
nba
Utah Jazz
Dallas Mavericks
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
64.9%
EV/u
0.234
Stake
0.78u
Lost
-0.78u
Home cover
nba
Boston Celtics
Brooklyn Nets
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
70.5%
EV/u
0.346
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.91u
Home cover
nba
Miami Heat
Atlanta Hawks
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
74.1%
EV/u
0.416
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.61u
Home cover
nba
Phoenix Suns
New Orleans Pelicans
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
71.6%
EV/u
0.361
Stake
0.67u
Lost
-0.67u
Home cover
nba
Memphis Grizzlies
Minnesota Timberwolves
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
70.1%
EV/u
0.338
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.61u
Total over
nba
Miami Heat
Atlanta Hawks
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
82.5%
EV/u
0.574
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.91u
Total over
nba
Golden State Warriors
Denver Nuggets
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
63.7%
EV/u
0.217
Stake
0.71u
Won
+0.65u
Home cover
nba
Dallas Mavericks
Utah Jazz
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
67.0%
EV/u
0.285
Stake
0.71u
Won
+0.65u
Home cover
nba
Philadelphia 76ers
Toronto Raptors
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
70.5%
EV/u
0.347
Stake
0.76u
Won
+0.69u
Home cover
nba
Golden State Warriors
Denver Nuggets
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
63.3%
EV/u
0.209
Stake
0.53u
Won
+0.48u
Home cover
nba
Milwaukee Bucks
Chicago Bulls
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
77.1%
EV/u
0.472
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.45u
Home cover
nba
Boston Celtics
Brooklyn Nets
home
Odds
1.96
Prob
74.1%
EV/u
0.453
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.48u
Home cover
nba
Miami Heat
Atlanta Hawks
home
Odds
1.88
Prob
80.0%
EV/u
0.501
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.44u
Home cover
nba
Phoenix Suns
New Orleans Pelicans
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
68.4%
EV/u
0.305
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.45u
Total over
nba
Boston Celtics
Brooklyn Nets
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
64.5%
EV/u
0.231
Stake
0.76u
Won
+0.69u
Total over
nba
Milwaukee Bucks
Chicago Bulls
over
Odds
1.97
Prob
67.2%
EV/u
0.325
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Total over
nba
Memphis Grizzlies
Minnesota Timberwolves
over
Odds
1.96
Prob
67.2%
EV/u
0.318
Stake
0.99u
Won
+0.95u
Total over
nba
Philadelphia 76ers
Toronto Raptors
under
Odds
1.83
Prob
38.2%
EV/u
0.133
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Home win
nba
Dallas Mavericks
Utah Jazz
home
Odds
1.70
Prob
76.4%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Home cover
nba
Dallas Mavericks
Utah Jazz
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
66.0%
EV/u
0.259
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Home cover
nba
Memphis Grizzlies
Minnesota Timberwolves
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
73.7%
EV/u
0.407
Stake
0.70u
Lost
-0.70u
Home cover
nba
Golden State Warriors
Denver Nuggets
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
73.6%
EV/u
0.405
Stake
0.70u
Won
+0.64u
Home cover
nba
Orlando Magic
Miami Heat
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
73.4%
EV/u
0.400
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.23u
Home cover
nba
New Orleans Pelicans
Golden State Warriors
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
70.3%
EV/u
0.342
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home cover
nba
Memphis Grizzlies
Boston Celtics
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
74.0%
EV/u
0.412
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home cover
nba
LA Clippers
Oklahoma City Thunder
home
Odds
1.89
Prob
73.2%
EV/u
0.386
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.22u
Home cover
nba
Brooklyn Nets
Indiana Pacers
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
73.4%
EV/u
0.408
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.23u
Home cover
nba
Dallas Mavericks
San Antonio Spurs
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
70.6%
EV/u
0.353
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.23u
Home cover
nba
Cleveland Cavaliers
Milwaukee Bucks
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
74.6%
EV/u
0.425
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.23u
Home cover
nba
Denver Nuggets
Los Angeles Lakers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
70.7%
EV/u
0.351
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.23u
Total over
nba
Charlotte Hornets
Washington Wizards
over
Odds
1.97
Prob
78.5%
EV/u
0.548
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.26u
Total over
nba
Cleveland Cavaliers
Milwaukee Bucks
over
Odds
1.97
Prob
62.3%
EV/u
0.228
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.18u
Total over
nba
Dallas Mavericks
San Antonio Spurs
over
Odds
1.97
Prob
70.5%
EV/u
0.390
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.26u
Total over
nba
Denver Nuggets
Los Angeles Lakers
over
Odds
1.97
Prob
69.8%
EV/u
0.376
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.26u
Total over
nba
Houston Rockets
Atlanta Hawks
under
Odds
1.97
Prob
34.1%
EV/u
0.298
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Total over
nba
Minnesota Timberwolves
Chicago Bulls
over
Odds
1.97
Prob
76.8%
EV/u
0.513
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.26u
Total over
nba
Orlando Magic
Miami Heat
under
Odds
1.97
Prob
20.8%
EV/u
0.562
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Total over
nba
Portland Trail Blazers
Utah Jazz
under
Odds
1.97
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.19u
Total over
nba
San Antonio Spurs
Golden State Warriors
under
Odds
1.94
Prob
31.9%
EV/u
0.324
Stake
0.60u
Won
+0.57u
Total over
nba
Philadelphia 76ers
Indiana Pacers
over
Odds
1.95
Prob
62.7%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.42u
Won
+0.40u
Total over
nba
LA Clippers
Sacramento Kings
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
77.4%
EV/u
0.478
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Total over
nba
Memphis Grizzlies
New Orleans Pelicans
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
62.7%
EV/u
0.196
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.35u
Home cover
nba
San Antonio Spurs
Golden State Warriors
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
72.0%
EV/u
0.375
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
Home cover
nba
Philadelphia 76ers
Indiana Pacers
home
Odds
1.92
Prob
76.4%
EV/u
0.464
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.47u
Home cover
nba
LA Clippers
Sacramento Kings
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
73.7%
EV/u
0.400
Stake
0.51u
Won
+0.46u
Home cover
nba
Memphis Grizzlies
New Orleans Pelicans
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
67.6%
EV/u
0.290
Stake
0.48u
Won
+0.44u
Home cover
nba
Detroit Pistons
Milwaukee Bucks
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
76.6%
EV/u
0.463
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home cover
nba
Washington Wizards
New York Knicks
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
73.3%
EV/u
0.400
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home cover
nba
Brooklyn Nets
Cleveland Cavaliers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
74.6%
EV/u
0.425
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.23u
Home cover
nba
Miami Heat
Atlanta Hawks
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
67.9%
EV/u
0.295
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.22u
Home cover
nba
Chicago Bulls
Charlotte Hornets
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
68.7%
EV/u
0.312
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home cover
nba
Dallas Mavericks
Portland Trail Blazers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
71.7%
EV/u
0.369
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.23u
Home cover
nba
Utah Jazz
Phoenix Suns
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
68.9%
EV/u
0.315
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home cover
nba
Los Angeles Lakers
Oklahoma City Thunder
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
75.4%
EV/u
0.439
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.23u
Total over
nba
Detroit Pistons
Milwaukee Bucks
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
39.2%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Total over
nba
Los Angeles Lakers
Oklahoma City Thunder
over
Odds
1.97
Prob
63.4%
EV/u
0.249
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Total over
nba
Toronto Raptors
Houston Rockets
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
72.2%
EV/u
0.379
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.45u
Total over
nba
Miami Heat
Atlanta Hawks
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.210
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.32u
Total over
nba
Chicago Bulls
Charlotte Hornets
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
74.7%
EV/u
0.426
Stake
0.50u
Won
+0.45u
Total over
nba
Minnesota Timberwolves
San Antonio Spurs
over
Odds
1.88
Prob
90.3%
EV/u
0.695
Stake
0.79u
Won
+0.69u
Total over
nba
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
over
Odds
1.94
Prob
59.9%
EV/u
0.163
Stake
0.41u
Won
+0.39u
Total over
nba
Denver Nuggets
Memphis Grizzlies
over
Odds
1.88
Prob
74.8%
EV/u
0.405
Stake
0.79u
Lost
-0.79u
Home cover
nba
Charlotte Hornets
Orlando Magic
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
75.5%
EV/u
0.441
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.27u
Home cover
nba
Toronto Raptors
Philadelphia 76ers
home
Odds
1.90
Prob
69.2%
EV/u
0.315
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.27u
Home cover
nba
Minnesota Timberwolves
San Antonio Spurs
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
79.0%
EV/u
0.507
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.27u
Home cover
nba
Milwaukee Bucks
Boston Celtics
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
70.4%
EV/u
0.344
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.27u
Home cover
nba
Denver Nuggets
Memphis Grizzlies
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
64.1%
EV/u
0.224
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.20u
Home cover
nba
Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
68.6%
EV/u
0.310
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.27u
Home cover
nba
New Orleans Pelicans
Portland Trail Blazers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
73.3%
EV/u
0.399
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.27u
Home cover
nba
Detroit Pistons
Dallas Mavericks
home
Odds
1.89
Prob
74.8%
EV/u
0.416
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Home cover
nba
New York Knicks
Brooklyn Nets
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
71.0%
EV/u
0.355
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Home cover
nba
Atlanta Hawks
Washington Wizards
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
73.3%
EV/u
0.399
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.30u
Home cover
nba
Chicago Bulls
Boston Celtics
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
78.3%
EV/u
0.494
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Home cover
nba
Utah Jazz
Oklahoma City Thunder
home
Odds
1.93
Prob
68.2%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.31u
Home cover
nba
LA Clippers
Phoenix Suns
home
Odds
1.89
Prob
72.2%
EV/u
0.366
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.29u
Total over
nba
New York Knicks
Brooklyn Nets
over
Odds
1.96
Prob
63.9%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Total over
nba
Atlanta Hawks
Washington Wizards
over
Odds
1.97
Prob
64.5%
EV/u
0.271
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Total over
nba
Utah Jazz
Oklahoma City Thunder
over
Odds
1.97
Prob
70.8%
EV/u
0.395
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.45u
Total over
nba
LA Clippers
Phoenix Suns
under
Odds
1.96
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.222
Stake
0.32u
Won
+0.31u
Total over
nba
Chicago Bulls
Boston Celtics
under
Odds
1.97
Prob
30.5%
EV/u
0.370
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.45u
Home win
nba
LA Clippers
Phoenix Suns
home
Odds
2.22
Prob
73.4%
EV/u
0.333
Stake
1.09u
Won
+1.33u
Total over
nba
Memphis Grizzlies
Phoenix Suns
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
28.6%
EV/u
0.364
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Total over
nba
Orlando Magic
Toronto Raptors
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
28.6%
EV/u
0.364
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.91u
Total over
nba
Toronto Raptors
Minnesota Timberwolves
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.261
Stake
0.86u
Won
+0.78u
Home cover
nba
New Orleans Pelicans
Los Angeles Lakers
home
Odds
1.88
Prob
67.7%
EV/u
0.271
Stake
0.93u
Won
+0.82u
Total over
nba
New Orleans Pelicans
San Antonio Spurs
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
28.6%
EV/u
0.364
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.91u
Total over
nba
Milwaukee Bucks
Washington Wizards
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
28.6%
EV/u
0.364
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.91u
Total over
nba
Oklahoma City Thunder
Boston Celtics
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
83.3%
EV/u
0.591
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.91u
Total over
nba
Cleveland Cavaliers
Detroit Pistons
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
69.2%
EV/u
0.322
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.91u
Total over
nba
Miami Heat
Oklahoma City Thunder
over
Odds
1.97
Prob
80.0%
EV/u
0.577
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.97u
Total over
nba
LA Clippers
Washington Wizards
over
Odds
1.91
Prob
75.0%
EV/u
0.432
Stake
1.00u
Won
+0.91u
Total over
nba
Minnesota Timberwolves
Portland Trail Blazers
over
Odds
1.97
Prob
75.8%
EV/u
0.494
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.