Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 4:21 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 25, 2020 | nba |
Celtics
Nets
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 36.5% | 0.208 | 0.70u | Won | +0.63u |
| Dec 23, 2020 | nba |
Trail Blazers
Jazz
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 42.5% | 0.102 | 0.67u | Won | +0.61u |
| Dec 23, 2020 | nba |
Nuggets
Kings
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 37.9% | 0.191 | 1.25u | Won | +1.15u |
| Dec 23, 2020 | nba |
Magic
Heat
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 56.4% | 0.077 | 0.51u | Won | +0.46u |
| Dec 23, 2020 | nba |
Nuggets
Kings
|
Home cover | home | 1.90 | 61.4% | 0.167 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Dec 23, 2020 | nba |
Timberwolves
Pistons
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.0% | 0.087 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Dec 23, 2020 | nba |
Raptors
Pelicans
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 30.4% | 0.340 | 1.12u | Won | +1.04u |
| Oct 6, 2020 | nba |
Heat
Lakers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.0% | 0.088 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Oct 4, 2020 | nba |
Heat
Lakers
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 44.7% | 0.070 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Oct 2, 2020 | nba |
Lakers
Heat
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 43.7% | 0.070 | 0.47u | Won | +0.42u |
| Sep 26, 2020 | nba |
Lakers
Nuggets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.1% | 0.086 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Sep 24, 2020 | nba |
Nuggets
Lakers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.6% | 0.076 | 0.50u | Won | +0.45u |
| Aug 11, 2020 | nba |
Wizards
Bucks
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 34.6% | 0.260 | 1.06u | Won | +0.98u |
| Aug 11, 2020 | nba |
Mavericks
Trail Blazers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 40.6% | 0.135 | 0.33u | Won | +0.30u |
| Aug 11, 2020 | nba |
Grizzlies
Celtics
|
Home cover | home | 1.93 | 61.8% | 0.191 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Aug 10, 2020 | nba |
Suns
Thunder
|
Home cover | home | 1.95 | 54.9% | 0.071 | 0.45u | Won | +0.43u |
| Aug 10, 2020 | nba |
Heat
Pacers
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 37.5% | 0.199 | 1.30u | Lost | -1.30u |
| Aug 10, 2020 | nba |
Heat
Pacers
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 56.7% | 0.082 | 0.54u | Won | +0.49u |
| Aug 10, 2020 | nba |
Lakers
Nuggets
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 41.0% | 0.141 | 0.90u | Won | +0.84u |
| Aug 9, 2020 | nba |
Raptors
Grizzlies
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 44.0% | 0.074 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Aug 9, 2020 | nba |
Celtics
Magic
|
Home cover | home | 1.94 | 57.2% | 0.107 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Aug 9, 2020 | nba |
Pelicans
Spurs
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 37.4% | 0.201 | 1.31u | Won | +1.20u |
| Aug 9, 2020 | nba |
Trail Blazers
76ers
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 63.6% | 0.215 | 1.42u | Won | +1.29u |
| Aug 8, 2020 | nba |
Mavericks
Bucks
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 65.0% | 0.241 | 1.25u | Won | +1.14u |
| Aug 8, 2020 | nba |
Pacers
Lakers
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 39.9% | 0.153 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Aug 8, 2020 | nba |
Heat
Suns
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 43.6% | 0.087 | 0.19u | Won | +0.18u |
| Aug 8, 2020 | nba |
Nuggets
Jazz
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 44.1% | 0.081 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Aug 7, 2020 | nba |
Nets
Kings
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 42.3% | 0.121 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Aug 7, 2020 | nba |
Raptors
Celtics
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 42.7% | 0.099 | 0.41u | Won | +0.38u |
| Aug 7, 2020 | nba |
Grizzlies
Thunder
|
Home cover | home | 1.90 | 61.2% | 0.163 | 1.01u | Won | +0.91u |
| Aug 7, 2020 | nba |
76ers
Magic
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 41.5% | 0.121 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Aug 6, 2020 | nba |
Rockets
Lakers
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 42.7% | 0.099 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Aug 6, 2020 | nba |
Suns
Pacers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 41.3% | 0.121 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Aug 6, 2020 | nba |
Bucks
Heat
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 42.1% | 0.110 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Aug 6, 2020 | nba |
Mavericks
Clippers
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 39.6% | 0.158 | 0.85u | Won | +0.78u |
| Aug 5, 2020 | nba |
Magic
Raptors
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 37.7% | 0.195 | 1.27u | Won | +1.17u |
| Aug 5, 2020 | nba |
Wizards
76ers
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 57.1% | 0.090 | 0.60u | Won | +0.55u |
| Aug 4, 2020 | nba |
Clippers
Suns
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 43.0% | 0.093 | 0.61u | Won | +0.56u |
| Aug 4, 2020 | nba |
Pacers
Magic
|
Home cover | home | 1.92 | 57.8% | 0.108 | 0.71u | Won | +0.65u |
| Aug 4, 2020 | nba |
Trail Blazers
Rockets
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 42.7% | 0.103 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Aug 3, 2020 | nba |
Thunder
Nuggets
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 37.1% | 0.206 | 1.11u | Won | +1.02u |
| Aug 3, 2020 | nba |
Wizards
Pacers
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 40.7% | 0.137 | 0.53u | Won | +0.49u |
| Aug 3, 2020 | nba |
Heat
Raptors
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 42.2% | 0.108 | 0.35u | Won | +0.32u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | nba |
Rockets
Bucks
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 43.2% | 0.088 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | nba |
Magic
Kings
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 43.0% | 0.092 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | nba |
Suns
Mavericks
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 41.8% | 0.112 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Aug 1, 2020 | nba |
Raptors
Lakers
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 39.1% | 0.169 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| Aug 1, 2020 | nba |
Nuggets
Heat
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 38.2% | 0.165 | 1.00u | Won | +0.89u |
| Aug 1, 2020 | nba |
Clippers
Pelicans
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 42.0% | 0.103 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Jul 31, 2020 | nba |
Nets
Magic
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 41.0% | 0.127 | 0.84u | Won | +0.76u |
| Jul 31, 2020 | nba |
Mavericks
Rockets
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 39.7% | 0.157 | 1.02u | Won | +0.94u |
| Jul 31, 2020 | nba |
Bucks
Celtics
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 39.8% | 0.165 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Jul 31, 2020 | nba |
Trail Blazers
Grizzlies
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 41.5% | 0.122 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Jul 31, 2020 | nba |
Wizards
Suns
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 44.9% | 0.077 | 0.10u | Won | +0.10u |
| Jul 31, 2020 | nba |
Spurs
Kings
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 36.4% | 0.219 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Jul 30, 2020 | nba |
Pelicans
Jazz
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 42.3% | 0.107 | 0.70u | Won | +0.64u |
| Jul 30, 2020 | nba |
Lakers
Clippers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 39.8% | 0.149 | 0.98u | Won | +0.89u |
| Mar 10, 2020 | nba |
Wizards
Knicks
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 41.9% | 0.110 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Mar 8, 2020 | nba |
Timberwolves
Pelicans
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 43.2% | 0.076 | 0.51u | Won | +0.46u |
| Mar 8, 2020 | nba |
Nets
Bulls
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 40.8% | 0.157 | 0.99u | Won | +0.94u |
| Mar 7, 2020 | nba |
Cavaliers
Nuggets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.4% | 0.081 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Mar 5, 2020 | nba |
Warriors
Raptors
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 57.9% | 0.105 | 0.69u | Won | +0.63u |
| Mar 4, 2020 | nba |
Cavaliers
Celtics
|
Home cover | home | 2.03 | 50.7% | 0.029 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Mar 3, 2020 | nba |
Nuggets
Warriors
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.0% | 0.087 | 0.44u | Won | +0.40u |
| Mar 3, 2020 | nba |
Pelicans
Timberwolves
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 41.1% | 0.129 | 0.84u | Won | +0.77u |
| Mar 3, 2020 | nba |
Hornets
Spurs
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.2% | 0.084 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Mar 3, 2020 | nba |
Suns
Raptors
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.9% | 0.070 | 0.31u | Won | +0.28u |
| Mar 2, 2020 | nba |
Knicks
Rockets
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 41.6% | 0.130 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Feb 29, 2020 | nba |
Spurs
Magic
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 44.2% | 0.071 | 0.46u | Won | +0.42u |
| Feb 26, 2020 | nba |
Suns
Clippers
|
Home cover | home | 1.90 | 56.7% | 0.078 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Jan 27, 2020 | nba |
Heat
Magic
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 42.9% | 0.091 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Jan 27, 2020 | nba |
Pistons
Cavaliers
|
Home cover | home | 1.90 | 65.0% | 0.236 | 1.03u | Lost | -1.03u |
| Jan 27, 2020 | nba |
Bulls
Spurs
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 42.9% | 0.096 | 0.21u | Won | +0.19u |
| Jan 27, 2020 | nba |
Timberwolves
Kings
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 42.9% | 0.091 | 0.19u | Won | +0.17u |
| Jan 27, 2020 | nba |
Thunder
Mavericks
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 42.9% | 0.091 | 0.19u | Won | +0.17u |
| Jan 27, 2020 | nba |
Jazz
Rockets
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 42.9% | 0.086 | 0.18u | Won | +0.16u |
| Jan 26, 2020 | nba |
Nuggets
Rockets
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 21.7% | 0.481 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Jan 26, 2020 | nba |
Spurs
Raptors
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 21.7% | 0.501 | 0.53u | Won | +0.49u |
| Jan 26, 2020 | nba |
Hawks
Wizards
|
Home cover | home | 1.89 | 65.0% | 0.225 | 0.13u | Won | +0.12u |
| Jan 26, 2020 | nba |
Knicks
Nets
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 65.0% | 0.241 | 0.13u | Won | +0.12u |
| Jan 26, 2020 | nba |
Magic
Clippers
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 21.7% | 0.507 | 0.54u | Won | +0.50u |
| Jan 26, 2020 | nba |
Grizzlies
Suns
|
Home cover | home | 1.89 | 65.0% | 0.225 | 0.12u | Won | +0.11u |
| Jan 25, 2020 | nba |
Pistons
Nets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 21.7% | 0.494 | 0.66u | Won | +0.60u |
| Jan 25, 2020 | nba |
Cavaliers
Bulls
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 21.7% | 0.494 | 0.66u | Won | +0.60u |
| Jan 25, 2020 | nba |
Jazz
Mavericks
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 21.7% | 0.475 | 0.62u | Won | +0.55u |
| Jan 24, 2020 | nba |
Pistons
Grizzlies
|
Home cover | home | 1.89 | 65.0% | 0.230 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Jan 24, 2020 | nba |
Heat
Clippers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 21.7% | 0.494 | 0.43u | Won | +0.39u |
| Jan 24, 2020 | nba |
Bulls
Kings
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 21.7% | 0.507 | 0.45u | Won | +0.42u |
| Jan 24, 2020 | nba |
Knicks
Raptors
|
Home cover | home | 1.90 | 65.0% | 0.236 | 0.11u | Won | +0.10u |
| Jan 24, 2020 | nba |
Timberwolves
Rockets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 21.7% | 0.494 | 0.43u | Won | +0.39u |
| Jan 24, 2020 | nba |
Spurs
Suns
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 21.7% | 0.488 | 0.43u | Won | +0.39u |
| Jan 23, 2020 | nba |
Trail Blazers
Mavericks
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 42.9% | 0.086 | 0.57u | Won | +0.51u |
| Jan 23, 2020 | nba |
Nets
Lakers
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 42.9% | 0.086 | 0.57u | Won | +0.51u |
| Jan 23, 2020 | nba |
Cavaliers
Wizards
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 42.9% | 0.086 | 0.57u | Won | +0.51u |
| Jan 22, 2020 | nba |
Pelicans
Spurs
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 42.9% | 0.091 | 0.12u | Won | +0.11u |
| Jan 22, 2020 | nba |
Warriors
Jazz
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 42.9% | 0.091 | 0.12u | Won | +0.11u |
| Jan 22, 2020 | nba |
Suns
Pacers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 42.9% | 0.091 | 0.12u | Won | +0.11u |
| Jan 22, 2020 | nba |
Raptors
76ers
|
Home cover | home | 1.89 | 65.0% | 0.230 | 0.62u | Won | +0.55u |
| Jan 22, 2020 | nba |
Knicks
Lakers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 42.9% | 0.091 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Jan 22, 2020 | nba |
Hawks
Clippers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 42.9% | 0.091 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.