Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 4:21 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2021 | nba |
Raptors
Bucks
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 57.4% | 0.096 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Jan 27, 2021 | nba |
76ers
Lakers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.4% | 0.081 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Jan 27, 2021 | nba |
Hawks
Nets
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 56.6% | 0.081 | 0.11u | Won | +0.10u |
| Jan 27, 2021 | nba |
Hornets
Pacers
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 41.5% | 0.121 | 0.22u | Won | +0.20u |
| Jan 27, 2021 | nba |
Jazz
Mavericks
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 57.5% | 0.098 | 0.15u | Won | +0.14u |
| Jan 27, 2021 | nba |
Warriors
Timberwolves
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 43.6% | 0.073 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Jan 25, 2021 | nba |
Trail Blazers
Thunder
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 35.4% | 0.222 | 0.61u | Won | +0.54u |
| Jan 25, 2021 | nba |
Pacers
Raptors
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 38.8% | 0.163 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Jan 25, 2021 | nba |
Magic
Hornets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 35.7% | 0.228 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Jan 25, 2021 | nba |
Nets
Heat
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 39.9% | 0.148 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Jan 25, 2021 | nba |
Cavaliers
Lakers
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 42.5% | 0.092 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Jan 24, 2021 | nba |
Bucks
Hawks
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 62.2% | 0.187 | 0.32u | Won | +0.29u |
| Jan 24, 2021 | nba |
Pacers
Raptors
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 30.1% | 0.335 | 0.93u | Won | +0.85u |
| Jan 24, 2021 | nba |
Clippers
Thunder
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 64.7% | 0.236 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Jan 24, 2021 | nba |
Spurs
Wizards
|
Home cover | away | 1.98 | 40.7% | 0.174 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Jan 23, 2021 | nba |
Jazz
Warriors
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 41.4% | 0.119 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Jan 23, 2021 | nba |
Nets
Heat
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 39.9% | 0.148 | 0.20u | Won | +0.18u |
| Jan 23, 2021 | nba |
Bulls
Lakers
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 36.6% | 0.205 | 0.36u | Won | +0.32u |
| Jan 23, 2021 | nba |
Timberwolves
Pelicans
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 30.4% | 0.328 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Jan 23, 2021 | nba |
Suns
Nuggets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 35.2% | 0.238 | 0.46u | Won | +0.42u |
| Jan 22, 2021 | nba |
Timberwolves
Hawks
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 38.1% | 0.181 | 0.30u | Won | +0.27u |
| Jan 22, 2021 | nba |
Pacers
Magic
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 40.3% | 0.140 | 0.19u | Won | +0.17u |
| Jan 22, 2021 | nba |
Pistons
Rockets
|
Home cover | home | 1.90 | 63.6% | 0.210 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Jan 22, 2021 | nba |
Spurs
Mavericks
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.3% | 0.082 | 0.08u | Won | +0.07u |
| Jan 22, 2021 | nba |
Suns
Nuggets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 37.5% | 0.193 | 0.34u | Won | +0.31u |
| Jan 22, 2021 | nba |
Kings
Knicks
|
Home cover | away | 1.86 | 35.0% | 0.206 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Jan 22, 2021 | nba |
76ers
Celtics
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 38.4% | 0.175 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Jan 21, 2021 | nba |
Bucks
Lakers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 28.8% | 0.360 | 1.50u | Won | +1.36u |
| Jan 20, 2021 | nba |
Clippers
Kings
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 38.8% | 0.168 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Jan 20, 2021 | nba |
Raptors
Heat
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 42.1% | 0.097 | 0.09u | Won | +0.08u |
| Jan 20, 2021 | nba |
Pacers
Mavericks
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 25.2% | 0.441 | 1.34u | Won | +1.24u |
| Jan 20, 2021 | nba |
Rockets
Suns
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 36.4% | 0.214 | 0.35u | Won | +0.32u |
| Jan 19, 2021 | nba |
Jazz
Pelicans
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 42.8% | 0.102 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Jan 18, 2021 | nba |
Bulls
Rockets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 39.0% | 0.165 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jan 18, 2021 | nba |
Lakers
Warriors
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 35.4% | 0.234 | 0.65u | Won | +0.59u |
| Jan 18, 2021 | nba |
Raptors
Mavericks
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 41.7% | 0.113 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Jan 18, 2021 | nba |
Heat
Pistons
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 40.0% | 0.145 | 0.27u | Won | +0.25u |
| Jan 18, 2021 | nba |
Grizzlies
Suns
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 57.1% | 0.089 | 0.12u | Won | +0.11u |
| Jan 18, 2021 | nba |
Knicks
Magic
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 62.3% | 0.190 | 0.44u | Won | +0.40u |
| Jan 17, 2021 | nba |
Clippers
Pacers
|
Home cover | home | 1.94 | 58.6% | 0.138 | 0.25u | Won | +0.24u |
| Jan 17, 2021 | nba |
Kings
Pelicans
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 32.9% | 0.281 | 0.92u | Won | +0.84u |
| Jan 17, 2021 | nba |
Mavericks
Bulls
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 40.1% | 0.143 | 0.27u | Won | +0.25u |
| Jan 17, 2021 | nba |
Celtics
Knicks
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 41.7% | 0.113 | 0.18u | Won | +0.16u |
| Jan 17, 2021 | nba |
Nuggets
Jazz
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 38.5% | 0.174 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jan 16, 2021 | nba |
Grizzlies
76ers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 39.1% | 0.162 | 0.28u | Won | +0.25u |
| Jan 16, 2021 | nba |
Raptors
Hornets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.6% | 0.077 | 0.08u | Won | +0.07u |
| Jan 16, 2021 | nba |
Nets
Magic
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 33.1% | 0.282 | 0.76u | Won | +0.70u |
| Jan 16, 2021 | nba |
Spurs
Rockets
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 31.5% | 0.302 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Jan 15, 2021 | nba |
Celtics
Magic
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 36.2% | 0.218 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Jan 15, 2021 | nba |
Bucks
Mavericks
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 28.4% | 0.361 | 1.08u | Won | +0.97u |
| Jan 15, 2021 | nba |
Cavaliers
Knicks
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 39.0% | 0.165 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Jan 15, 2021 | nba |
Kings
Clippers
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 58.9% | 0.124 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Jan 15, 2021 | nba |
Lakers
Pelicans
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 42.5% | 0.097 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Jan 14, 2021 | nba |
76ers
Heat
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 38.3% | 0.179 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Jan 14, 2021 | nba |
Raptors
Hornets
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 58.2% | 0.110 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Jan 14, 2021 | nba |
Spurs
Rockets
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 40.2% | 0.152 | 0.68u | Won | +0.63u |
| Jan 13, 2021 | nba |
Pistons
Bucks
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 63.1% | 0.205 | 0.35u | Won | +0.32u |
| Jan 13, 2021 | nba |
Knicks
Nets
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 39.0% | 0.160 | 0.23u | Won | +0.21u |
| Jan 13, 2021 | nba |
Thunder
Lakers
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 41.2% | 0.128 | 0.15u | Won | +0.14u |
| Jan 13, 2021 | nba |
Clippers
Pelicans
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 30.2% | 0.333 | 0.86u | Won | +0.78u |
| Jan 13, 2021 | nba |
Kings
Trail Blazers
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 42.1% | 0.101 | 0.10u | Won | +0.09u |
| Jan 13, 2021 | nba |
Timberwolves
Grizzlies
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 38.6% | 0.187 | 0.30u | Won | +0.28u |
| Jan 12, 2021 | nba |
76ers
Heat
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 36.0% | 0.216 | 1.22u | Won | +1.10u |
| Jan 12, 2021 | nba |
Nets
Nuggets
|
Home cover | away | 1.88 | 39.5% | 0.136 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Jan 12, 2021 | nba |
Thunder
Spurs
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 43.4% | 0.085 | 0.24u | Won | +0.22u |
| Jan 9, 2021 | nba |
Timberwolves
Spurs
|
Home cover | away | 1.96 | 42.4% | 0.129 | 0.81u | Won | +0.78u |
| Jan 9, 2021 | nba |
76ers
Nuggets
|
Home cover | home | 1.89 | 57.6% | 0.086 | 0.59u | Won | +0.52u |
| Jan 8, 2021 | nba |
Bucks
Jazz
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 42.7% | 0.094 | 0.62u | Won | +0.56u |
| Jan 8, 2021 | nba |
Kings
Raptors
|
Home cover | away | 1.97 | 44.7% | 0.089 | 0.55u | Won | +0.53u |
| Jan 8, 2021 | nba |
Celtics
Wizards
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 42.4% | 0.094 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Jan 7, 2021 | nba |
Lakers
Spurs
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 49.1% | 0.074 | 0.40u | Won | +0.44u |
| Jan 6, 2021 | nba |
76ers
Wizards
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 41.7% | 0.113 | 0.75u | Won | +0.68u |
| Jan 5, 2021 | nba |
Clippers
Spurs
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 39.3% | 0.159 | 1.05u | Won | +0.95u |
| Jan 1, 2021 | nba |
Warriors
Trail Blazers
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 44.2% | 0.127 | 0.74u | Won | +0.75u |
| Jan 1, 2021 | nba |
Bucks
Bulls
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.4% | 0.081 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Dec 30, 2020 | nba |
Heat
Bucks
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.5% | 0.079 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Dec 29, 2020 | nba |
Cavaliers
Knicks
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 44.1% | 0.072 | 0.47u | Won | +0.43u |
| Dec 28, 2020 | nba |
Nets
Grizzlies
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.2% | 0.085 | 0.56u | Won | +0.51u |
| Dec 28, 2020 | nba |
Nuggets
Rockets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 42.9% | 0.091 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Dec 28, 2020 | nba |
Thunder
Jazz
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.5% | 0.078 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Dec 28, 2020 | nba |
Thunder
Jazz
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 57.9% | 0.106 | 0.70u | Won | +0.64u |
| Dec 28, 2020 | nba |
Nuggets
Rockets
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 58.6% | 0.118 | 0.78u | Won | +0.71u |
| Dec 27, 2020 | nba |
Clippers
Mavericks
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.7% | 0.075 | 0.24u | Won | +0.22u |
| Dec 27, 2020 | nba |
Cavaliers
76ers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 39.8% | 0.150 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Dec 27, 2020 | nba |
Lakers
Timberwolves
|
Home cover | away | 1.86 | 38.8% | 0.141 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Dec 27, 2020 | nba |
Pacers
Celtics
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 56.4% | 0.077 | 0.25u | Won | +0.23u |
| Dec 27, 2020 | nba |
Wizards
Magic
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 42.5% | 0.093 | 0.62u | Won | +0.56u |
| Dec 27, 2020 | nba |
Pacers
Celtics
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.4% | 0.082 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Dec 26, 2020 | nba |
Bulls
Pacers
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 40.4% | 0.152 | 0.42u | Won | +0.39u |
| Dec 26, 2020 | nba |
Trail Blazers
Rockets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 41.0% | 0.127 | 0.31u | Won | +0.28u |
| Dec 26, 2020 | nba |
Knicks
76ers
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 43.1% | 0.078 | 0.13u | Won | +0.12u |
| Dec 26, 2020 | nba |
Wizards
Magic
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 37.6% | 0.177 | 0.56u | Won | +0.50u |
| Dec 26, 2020 | nba |
Hornets
Thunder
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 38.1% | 0.182 | 0.58u | Won | +0.53u |
| Dec 26, 2020 | nba |
Pistons
Cavaliers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 42.4% | 0.099 | 0.65u | Won | +0.59u |
| Dec 26, 2020 | nba |
Kings
Suns
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.9% | 0.070 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Dec 26, 2020 | nba |
Jazz
Timberwolves
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 58.7% | 0.120 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Dec 25, 2020 | nba |
Lakers
Mavericks
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 42.2% | 0.103 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Dec 25, 2020 | nba |
Bucks
Warriors
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 39.6% | 0.153 | 1.01u | Lost | -1.01u |
| Dec 25, 2020 | nba |
Heat
Pelicans
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 43.3% | 0.073 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Dec 25, 2020 | nba |
Nuggets
Clippers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 41.4% | 0.119 | 0.79u | Won | +0.72u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.