Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 7, 2026 10:15 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2020 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 41.6% | 0.180 | 0.22u | Won | +0.22u |
| Aug 13, 2020 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.12 | 55.0% | 0.167 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Aug 13, 2020 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 51.4% | 0.310 | 1.00u | Won | +1.55u |
| Aug 12, 2020 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 44.8% | 0.192 | 0.35u | Won | +0.41u |
| Aug 12, 2020 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.69 | 57.6% | 0.548 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Aug 12, 2020 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.18 | 66.9% | 0.459 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Aug 12, 2020 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 42.7% | 0.145 | 0.23u | Won | +0.23u |
| Aug 11, 2020 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.29 | 50.0% | 0.145 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Aug 11, 2020 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 40.9% | 0.229 | 0.66u | Won | +0.71u |
| Aug 11, 2020 | mlb |
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 70.6% | 0.722 | 0.85u | Won | +1.22u |
| Aug 10, 2020 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.29 | 50.0% | 0.145 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Aug 10, 2020 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 1.94 | 70.6% | 0.366 | 1.20u | Won | +1.12u |
| Aug 9, 2020 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.67 | 50.0% | 0.335 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Aug 9, 2020 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.04 | 40.9% | 0.206 | 0.65u | Won | +0.68u |
| Aug 9, 2020 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | away | 1.96 | 40.9% | 0.159 | 0.44u | Won | +0.42u |
| Aug 8, 2020 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.66 | 50.0% | 0.330 | 0.38u | Won | +0.63u |
| Aug 8, 2020 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 40.9% | 0.430 | 0.71u | Won | +1.01u |
| Aug 8, 2020 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.47 | 70.6% | 0.744 | 0.71u | Won | +1.04u |
| Aug 7, 2020 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.64 | 50.0% | 0.320 | 0.38u | Won | +0.62u |
| Aug 7, 2020 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.04 | 70.6% | 0.440 | 0.71u | Won | +0.74u |
| Aug 7, 2020 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.07 | 70.6% | 0.461 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Aug 6, 2020 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 40.9% | 0.128 | 0.16u | Won | +0.15u |
| Aug 6, 2020 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 70.6% | 0.835 | 0.59u | Won | +0.94u |
| Aug 6, 2020 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.62 | 50.0% | 0.310 | 0.47u | Won | +0.76u |
| Aug 6, 2020 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 40.9% | 0.324 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Aug 5, 2020 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.11 | 70.6% | 0.489 | 0.34u | Won | +0.38u |
| Aug 5, 2020 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 40.9% | 0.418 | 0.34u | Won | +0.48u |
| Aug 5, 2020 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 40.9% | 0.341 | 0.24u | Won | +0.30u |
| Aug 5, 2020 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.79 | 50.0% | 0.395 | 0.27u | Won | +0.48u |
| Aug 5, 2020 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 40.9% | 0.365 | 0.27u | Won | +0.35u |
| Aug 5, 2020 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.92 | 50.0% | 0.460 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Aug 4, 2020 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 70.6% | 0.807 | 0.75u | Won | +1.17u |
| Aug 4, 2020 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 30.0% | 0.638 | 0.75u | Won | +1.01u |
| Aug 4, 2020 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 50.0% | 0.240 | 0.30u | Won | +0.44u |
| Aug 3, 2020 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.30 | 70.6% | 0.624 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Aug 3, 2020 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 40.9% | 0.330 | 0.53u | Won | +0.66u |
| Aug 3, 2020 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 40.9% | 0.353 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 40.9% | 0.312 | 0.37u | Won | +0.45u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 40.9% | 0.294 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.47 | 50.0% | 0.235 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 50.0% | 0.295 | 0.26u | Won | +0.41u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 100.0% | 0.909 | 0.39u | Won | +0.35u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 50.0% | 0.265 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | seriea |
Genoa
Hellas Verona
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.25 | 50.1% | 0.127 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | seriea |
SPAL
Fiorentina
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.50 | 50.2% | 0.256 | 1.12u | Won | +1.68u |
| Aug 2, 2020 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Udinese
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.75 | 54.6% | 0.501 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 1, 2020 | seriea |
Brescia
Sampdoria
|
Draw away | home | 2.20 | 50.0% | 0.101 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Aug 1, 2020 | seriea |
Juventus
AS Roma
|
Draw away | home | 2.62 | 49.9% | 0.311 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Aug 1, 2020 | seriea |
Napoli
Lazio
|
Draw away | x2 | 4.00 | 50.1% | 1.006 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Aug 1, 2020 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 40.9% | 0.241 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Aug 1, 2020 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 70.6% | 0.751 | 1.04u | Won | +1.54u |
| Jul 31, 2020 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.64 | 50.0% | 0.320 | 0.30u | Won | +0.49u |
| Jul 31, 2020 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | home | 1.94 | 100.0% | 0.943 | 0.52u | Won | +0.49u |
| Jul 31, 2020 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.35 | 70.6% | 0.659 | 0.52u | Won | +0.70u |
| Jul 31, 2020 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 40.9% | 0.371 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Jul 30, 2020 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.38 | 50.0% | 0.190 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Jul 30, 2020 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 40.9% | 0.143 | 0.77u | Won | +0.72u |
| Jul 29, 2020 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 50.0% | 0.215 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Jul 29, 2020 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.89 | 50.0% | 0.445 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Jul 29, 2020 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 40.9% | 0.194 | 0.22u | Won | +0.22u |
| Jul 29, 2020 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 40.9% | 0.211 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Jul 29, 2020 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | home | 1.95 | 100.0% | 0.952 | 0.40u | Won | +0.38u |
| Jul 29, 2020 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 50.0% | 0.305 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Jul 29, 2020 | seriea |
Cagliari
Juventus
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.38 | 50.1% | 0.189 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Jul 29, 2020 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Bologna
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 55.7% | 0.462 | 0.23u | Won | +0.37u |
| Jul 29, 2020 | seriea |
Lazio
Brescia
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.50 | 56.7% | 0.984 | 0.67u | Won | +1.68u |
| Jul 29, 2020 | seriea |
Udinese
Lecce
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.25 | 57.3% | 0.861 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 28, 2020 | seriea |
Internazionale
Napoli
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.00 | 54.9% | 0.647 | 1.20u | Won | +2.40u |
| Jul 28, 2020 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 41.5% | 0.182 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| Jul 28, 2020 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 46.7% | 0.189 | 0.77u | Won | +0.95u |
| Jul 28, 2020 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 41.4% | 0.208 | 0.61u | Won | +0.65u |
| Jul 27, 2020 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 41.5% | 0.370 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 27, 2020 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 44.2% | 0.266 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Jul 27, 2020 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 41.0% | 0.234 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 46.7% | 0.216 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 41.5% | 0.405 | 0.38u | Won | +0.53u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 10.0% | 1.232 | 0.38u | Won | +0.56u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 41.5% | 0.346 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 41.5% | 0.127 | 0.09u | Won | +0.08u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 1.90 | 100.0% | 0.901 | 0.38u | Won | +0.34u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 1.98 | 37.9% | 0.229 | 0.28u | Won | +0.27u |
| Jul 26, 2020 | seriea |
Cagliari
Udinese
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.63 | 50.2% | 0.318 | 1.20u | Won | +1.95u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | seriea |
Genoa
Internazionale
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.25 | 50.1% | 0.128 | 0.82u | Won | +1.03u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | seriea |
Brescia
Parma
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.20 | 56.0% | 0.232 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | seriea |
Napoli
Sassuolo
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.75 | 57.4% | 0.580 | 1.00u | Won | +1.75u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.73 | 10.0% | 1.457 | 0.37u | Won | +0.64u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 41.5% | 0.364 | 0.37u | Won | +0.49u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.10 | 60.0% | 0.260 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 41.5% | 0.253 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 41.5% | 0.387 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 46.7% | 0.141 | 0.10u | Won | +0.11u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.28 | 54.1% | 0.233 | 0.30u | Won | +0.38u |
| Jul 25, 2020 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 35.1% | 0.261 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Jul 24, 2020 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 41.5% | 0.113 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Jul 24, 2020 | mlb |
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 41.5% | 0.165 | 0.23u | Won | +0.23u |
| Jul 24, 2020 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | home | 1.95 | 100.0% | 0.952 | 0.47u | Won | +0.45u |
| Jul 24, 2020 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 41.5% | 0.428 | 0.47u | Won | +0.68u |
| Jul 24, 2020 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 41.5% | 0.346 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Jul 24, 2020 | seriea |
AC Milan
Atalanta
|
Draw away | home | 3.00 | 49.3% | 0.522 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 23, 2020 | seriea |
Udinese
Juventus
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.50 | 53.0% | 0.854 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.