Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Jul 14, 2026 11:14 PM EDT
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Morgan State Bears
Howard Bison
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
1.320
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Fresno State Bulldogs
Boise State Broncos
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
1.227
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Coppin State Eagles
Norfolk State Spartans
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
0.958
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
NC State Wolfpack
home
Odds
3.45
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
1.076
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.81u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
North Carolina A&T Aggies
William & Mary Tribe
home
Odds
3.85
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
1.382
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
New Orleans Privateers
McNeese Cowboys
home
Odds
4.90
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
2.031
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Cornell Big Red
Yale Bulldogs
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
64.5%
EV/u
0.794
Stake
0.46u
Won
+0.85u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Niagara Purple Eagles
Quinnipiac Bobcats
home
Odds
4.10
Prob
64.5%
EV/u
1.644
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.56u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Canisius Golden Griffins
Merrimack Warriors
home
Odds
4.70
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
1.908
Stake
0.18u
Won
+0.67u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Saint Peter's Peacocks
Manhattan Jaspers
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
41.7%
EV/u
1.188
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Princeton Tigers
Harvard Crimson
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
0.517
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Kent State Golden Flashes
Akron Zips
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
0.517
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Home cover
mens-college-basketball
Sacred Heart Pioneers
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
63.6%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.77u
Won
+0.70u
Home cover
mens-college-basketball
William & Mary Tribe
Northeastern Huskies
home
Odds
1.89
Prob
63.6%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.75u
Lost
-0.75u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
Winthrop Eagles
home
Odds
3.95
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
1.444
Stake
0.42u
Won
+1.24u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Hampton Pirates
Charleston Cougars
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
0.929
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
North Florida Ospreys
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
1.046
Stake
0.75u
Won
+1.80u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Pepperdine Waves
Seattle U Redhawks
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
1.351
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Tulane Green Wave
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
home
Odds
3.05
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
0.841
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Oregon Ducks
Wisconsin Badgers
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
0.929
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.64u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
Navy Midshipmen
home
Odds
3.45
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
1.076
Stake
0.31u
Lost
-0.31u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
IU Indianapolis Jaguars
Oakland Golden Grizzlies
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
0.870
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Cleveland State Vikings
Northern Kentucky Norse
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
1.598
Stake
0.12u
Lost
-0.12u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Texas Longhorns
Florida Gators
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
1.227
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
West Georgia Wolves
Lipscomb Bisons
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
0.870
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.55u
Home cover
mens-college-basketball
Boston University Terriers
Holy Cross Crusaders
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
63.6%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.84u
Won
+0.80u
Home cover
mens-college-basketball
Eastern Michigan Eagles
Miami (OH) RedHawks
home
Odds
1.98
Prob
63.6%
EV/u
0.215
Stake
0.88u
Lost
-0.88u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Dayton Flyers
Saint Louis Billikens
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
0.541
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.37u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
South Carolina Gamecocks
Kentucky Wildcats
home
Odds
3.70
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
1.289
Stake
0.17u
Lost
-0.17u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Missouri Tigers
Tennessee Volunteers
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
0.576
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.42u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Ball State Cardinals
Massachusetts Minutemen
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
0.576
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.42u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Eastern Michigan Eagles
Miami (OH) RedHawks
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
64.5%
EV/u
1.902
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Air Force Falcons
San José State Spartans
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
64.5%
EV/u
1.131
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Washington Huskies
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
0.600
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
La Salle Explorers
George Washington Revolutionaries
home
Odds
4.30
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
1.660
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
North Carolina Tar Heels
Louisville Cardinals
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
0.576
Stake
1.50u
Won
+2.40u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Lafayette Leopards
American University Eagles
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
0.541
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
Home cover
mens-college-basketball
Tulane Green Wave
Rice Owls
home
Odds
1.87
Prob
63.6%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.47u
Home cover
mens-college-basketball
Rider Broncs
Niagara Purple Eagles
home
Odds
1.87
Prob
63.6%
EV/u
0.155
Stake
0.54u
Won
+0.47u
Home cover
mens-college-basketball
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
Canisius Golden Griffins
home
Odds
1.93
Prob
63.6%
EV/u
0.185
Stake
0.72u
Won
+0.67u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
San Francisco Dons
Santa Clara Broncos
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
64.5%
EV/u
1.322
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Washington State Cougars
Saint Mary's Gaels
home
Odds
4.40
Prob
64.5%
EV/u
1.837
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Fresno State Bulldogs
New Mexico Lobos
home
Odds
4.80
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
1.969
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Northeastern Huskies
Hofstra Pride
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
64.5%
EV/u
1.322
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
VMI Keydets
Western Carolina Catamounts
home
Odds
4.30
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
1.660
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
LSU Tigers
Alabama Crimson Tide
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
1.227
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Western Illinois Leathernecks
Morehead State Eagles
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
1.598
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
home
Odds
4.10
Prob
61.9%
EV/u
1.536
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Manhattan Jaspers
Marist Red Foxes
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
64.5%
EV/u
0.763
Stake
1.50u
Lost
-1.50u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
North Carolina A&T Aggies
Charleston Cougars
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
59.9%
EV/u
0.585
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
Prairie View A&M Panthers
home
Odds
3.85
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.935
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
Cal State Northridge Matadors
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
39.5%
EV/u
0.801
Stake
0.36u
Won
+0.74u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Saint Francis Red Wolves
Long Island University Sharks
home
Odds
4.60
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
1.411
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Bryant Bulldogs
Binghamton Bearcats
away
Odds
2.95
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.611
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.59u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Long Beach State Beach
UC Irvine Anteaters
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
52.2%
EV/u
0.536
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Arkansas State Red Wolves
home
Odds
4.10
Prob
57.7%
EV/u
1.365
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Stetson Hatters
Central Arkansas Bears
home
Odds
4.70
Prob
51.1%
EV/u
1.400
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Indiana State Sycamores
Northern Iowa Panthers
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
53.2%
EV/u
0.539
Stake
0.19u
Lost
-0.19u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Evansville Purple Aces
UIC Flames
home
Odds
4.10
Prob
58.0%
EV/u
1.379
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Portland Pilots
Pepperdine Waves
away
Odds
3.95
Prob
47.8%
EV/u
1.060
Stake
0.21u
Won
+0.62u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Kansas Jayhawks
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.834
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
USC Trojans
Illinois Fighting Illini
home
Odds
4.80
Prob
60.0%
EV/u
1.881
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Clemson Tigers
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
76.9%
EV/u
1.093
Stake
0.39u
Won
+0.70u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Auburn Tigers
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
59.9%
EV/u
0.726
Stake
0.35u
Won
+0.68u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
North Alabama Lions
Queens University Royals
home
Odds
4.40
Prob
53.4%
EV/u
1.350
Stake
0.15u
Lost
-0.15u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
SMU Mustangs
Louisville Cardinals
home
Odds
2.60
Prob
60.2%
EV/u
0.534
Stake
0.64u
Won
+1.02u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Xavier Musketeers
Villanova Wildcats
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
58.0%
EV/u
0.537
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Kansas State Wildcats
Baylor Bears
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.19u
Won
+0.29u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Arizona State Sun Devils
Texas Tech Red Raiders
home
Odds
3.95
Prob
54.2%
EV/u
1.139
Stake
0.34u
Won
+1.00u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Jackson State Tigers
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
63.8%
EV/u
0.807
Stake
1.10u
Won
+2.09u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Texas Southern Tigers
Southern Jaguars
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
0.441
Stake
0.70u
Won
+1.26u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Butler Bulldogs
Seton Hall Pirates
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
50.9%
EV/u
0.401
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
San Diego Toreros
San Francisco Dons
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
54.5%
EV/u
0.575
Stake
0.29u
Lost
-0.29u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Florida Atlantic Owls
South Florida Bulls
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
52.9%
EV/u
0.456
Stake
0.21u
Lost
-0.21u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
UAB Blazers
Tulane Green Wave
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.900
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.67u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Detroit Mercy Titans
Youngstown State Penguins
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
59.5%
EV/u
0.574
Stake
0.29u
Won
+0.49u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Niagara Purple Eagles
Iona Gaels
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
57.7%
EV/u
0.496
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.43u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
North Alabama Lions
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
home
Odds
2.64
Prob
51.7%
EV/u
0.345
Stake
0.13u
Won
+0.21u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
IU Indianapolis Jaguars
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
1.093
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Alcorn State Braves
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
1.154
Stake
0.20u
Won
+0.64u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Norfolk State Spartans
Delaware State Hornets
away
Odds
4.90
Prob
40.6%
EV/u
1.910
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Richmond Spiders
VCU Rams
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
54.5%
EV/u
1.043
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Providence Friars
St. John's Red Storm
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
65.5%
EV/u
1.458
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
North Carolina Central Eagles
Coppin State Eagles
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
1.517
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.88u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
New Haven Chargers
Long Island University Sharks
home
Odds
3.70
Prob
59.1%
EV/u
1.187
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.65u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Arkansas State Red Wolves
South Alabama Jaguars
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
1.398
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.70u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
UT Arlington Mavericks
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
away
Odds
4.30
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
1.387
Stake
0.22u
Won
+0.73u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Rider Broncs
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
home
Odds
2.95
Prob
58.0%
EV/u
0.674
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Canisius Golden Griffins
Iona Gaels
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
58.0%
EV/u
0.536
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
San Francisco Dons
Oregon State Beavers
away
Odds
4.30
Prob
42.5%
EV/u
1.472
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.46u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Omaha Mavericks
St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies
home
Odds
2.70
Prob
59.9%
EV/u
0.583
Stake
0.24u
Won
+0.41u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Maine Black Bears
UMBC Retrievers
home
Odds
2.54
Prob
66.1%
EV/u
0.643
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
Elon Phoenix
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
46.9%
EV/u
1.230
Stake
0.14u
Lost
-0.14u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Cal Poly Mustangs
UC Irvine Anteaters
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
55.5%
EV/u
0.682
Stake
0.28u
Won
+0.59u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Northeastern Huskies
William & Mary Tribe
home
Odds
3.15
Prob
60.9%
EV/u
0.871
Stake
0.34u
Lost
-0.34u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Western Illinois Leathernecks
Little Rock Trojans
home
Odds
3.70
Prob
58.5%
EV/u
1.165
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
Portland State Vikings
home
Odds
3.70
Prob
59.5%
EV/u
1.203
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Ole Miss Rebels
Alabama Crimson Tide
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
50.7%
EV/u
0.827
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Central Arkansas Bears
Bellarmine Knights
away
Odds
4.30
Prob
45.0%
EV/u
1.367
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
Home win
mens-college-basketball
Holy Cross Crusaders
Colgate Raiders
home
Odds
4.30
Prob
52.6%
EV/u
1.260
Stake
0.20u
Lost
-0.20u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.