Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 6:33 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | nba |
Thunder
Rockets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.8% | 0.073 | 0.48u | Won | +0.44u |
| May 28, 2025 | nba |
Thunder
Timberwolves
|
Home cover | away | 1.87 | 42.7% | 0.072 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| May 9, 2025 | nba |
Nuggets
Thunder
|
Home cover | home | 1.89 | 57.7% | 0.092 | 0.62u | Won | +0.55u |
| May 6, 2025 | nba |
Timberwolves
Warriors
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 46.9% | 0.062 | 0.37u | Won | +0.37u |
| May 4, 2025 | nba |
Cavaliers
Pacers
|
Home cover | home | 1.94 | 57.1% | 0.105 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| May 3, 2025 | nba |
Nuggets
Clippers
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 56.9% | 0.085 | 0.56u | Won | +0.51u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | nba |
Hawks
Magic
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 41.3% | 0.175 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | nba |
Cavaliers
Pacers
|
Home cover | home | 2.00 | 51.9% | 0.038 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | nba |
Grizzlies
Mavericks
|
Home cover | home | 2.00 | 51.4% | 0.028 | 0.17u | Won | +0.17u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | nba |
Timberwolves
Jazz
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 48.5% | 0.030 | 0.18u | Won | +0.18u |
| Apr 11, 2025 | nba |
Celtics
Hornets
|
Home cover | away | 1.87 | 41.9% | 0.087 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 11, 2025 | nba |
Suns
Spurs
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 44.8% | 0.077 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Apr 11, 2025 | nba |
Lakers
Rockets
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 41.3% | 0.146 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Apr 9, 2025 | nba |
Magic
Celtics
|
Home cover | home | 2.00 | 51.3% | 0.025 | 0.15u | Won | +0.15u |
| Apr 9, 2025 | nba |
Wizards
76ers
|
Home cover | home | 2.00 | 55.4% | 0.109 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Apr 9, 2025 | nba |
Mavericks
Lakers
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 44.5% | 0.083 | 0.52u | Won | +0.50u |
| Apr 9, 2025 | nba |
Kings
Nuggets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.5% | 0.078 | 0.51u | Won | +0.46u |
| Apr 8, 2025 | nba |
Cavaliers
Bulls
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 39.9% | 0.174 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Apr 8, 2025 | nba |
Clippers
Spurs
|
Home cover | away | 1.87 | 38.1% | 0.157 | 0.90u | Won | +0.78u |
| Apr 7, 2025 | nba |
Pistons
Kings
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 37.5% | 0.221 | 1.39u | Won | +1.32u |
| Apr 6, 2025 | nba |
Celtics
Wizards
|
Home cover | home | 1.95 | 56.3% | 0.100 | 0.63u | Won | +0.60u |
| Apr 3, 2025 | nba |
Heat
Grizzlies
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 40.5% | 0.136 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Apr 2, 2025 | nba |
Cavaliers
Knicks
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 40.9% | 0.154 | 0.97u | Lost | -0.97u |
| Apr 2, 2025 | nba |
Rockets
Jazz
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 40.8% | 0.156 | 0.98u | Lost | -0.98u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | nba |
Hawks
Trail Blazers
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 41.6% | 0.167 | 1.00u | Won | +1.00u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | nba |
Bulls
Raptors
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 58.8% | 0.123 | 0.81u | Won | +0.74u |
| Mar 31, 2025 | nba |
Pacers
Kings
|
Home cover | away | 1.87 | 26.4% | 0.376 | 1.50u | Won | +1.30u |
| Mar 31, 2025 | nba |
Grizzlies
Celtics
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 34.3% | 0.282 | 0.50u | Won | +0.48u |
| Mar 30, 2025 | nba |
Cavaliers
Clippers
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 65.0% | 0.242 | 1.50u | Lost | -1.50u |
| Mar 30, 2025 | nba |
76ers
Raptors
|
Home cover | home | 1.95 | 55.5% | 0.083 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Mar 29, 2025 | nba |
Wizards
Nets
|
Home cover | away | 1.87 | 28.4% | 0.338 | 1.50u | Won | +1.30u |
| Mar 29, 2025 | nba |
Grizzlies
Lakers
|
Home cover | away | 1.87 | 40.5% | 0.113 | 0.50u | Won | +0.43u |
| Mar 28, 2025 | nba |
Pistons
Cavaliers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 30.0% | 0.336 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Mar 28, 2025 | nba |
Pelicans
Warriors
|
Home cover | away | 1.87 | 26.7% | 0.371 | 1.50u | Won | +1.30u |
| Mar 27, 2025 | nba |
Wizards
Pacers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 36.9% | 0.205 | 1.35u | Won | +1.23u |
| Mar 27, 2025 | nba |
Bulls
Lakers
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 39.9% | 0.174 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Mar 26, 2025 | nba |
Nets
Raptors
|
Home cover | away | 1.87 | 42.2% | 0.082 | 0.56u | Won | +0.49u |
| Mar 26, 2025 | nba |
Nuggets
Bucks
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 57.0% | 0.088 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Mar 25, 2025 | nba |
Pistons
Spurs
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 43.4% | 0.105 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Mar 25, 2025 | nba |
Rockets
Hawks
|
Home cover | home | 2.00 | 61.2% | 0.224 | 1.35u | Lost | -1.35u |
| Mar 24, 2025 | nba |
Wizards
Raptors
|
Home cover | home | 1.95 | 58.2% | 0.137 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Mar 24, 2025 | nba |
Pelicans
76ers
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 27.7% | 0.411 | 1.50u | Lost | -1.50u |
| Mar 23, 2025 | nba |
Raptors
Spurs
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 27.1% | 0.424 | 1.50u | Won | +1.43u |
| Mar 23, 2025 | nba |
Clippers
Thunder
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 44.5% | 0.083 | 0.50u | Won | +0.48u |
| Mar 21, 2025 | nba |
Heat
Rockets
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 43.8% | 0.097 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Mar 21, 2025 | nba |
Mavericks
Pistons
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 43.6% | 0.101 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Mar 20, 2025 | nba |
Hornets
Knicks
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 42.5% | 0.123 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Mar 20, 2025 | nba |
Pacers
Nets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.7% | 0.074 | 0.49u | Won | +0.45u |
| Mar 19, 2025 | nba |
Magic
Rockets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 38.1% | 0.182 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Mar 19, 2025 | nba |
Thunder
76ers
|
Home cover | home | 1.95 | 59.6% | 0.164 | 0.80u | Won | +0.76u |
| Mar 17, 2025 | nba |
Lakers
Spurs
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 46.8% | 0.064 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Mar 9, 2025 | nba |
Clippers
Kings
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 45.9% | 0.082 | 0.49u | Won | +0.49u |
| Mar 8, 2025 | nba |
Heat
Bulls
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 48.9% | 0.022 | 0.13u | Won | +0.13u |
| Feb 3, 2025 | nba |
Timberwolves
Kings
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 30.0% | 0.336 | 0.50u | Won | +0.45u |
| Feb 3, 2025 | nba |
Warriors
Magic
|
Home cover | home | 2.00 | 67.4% | 0.349 | 1.50u | Won | +1.50u |
| Feb 2, 2025 | nba |
Cavaliers
Mavericks
|
Home cover | home | 1.87 | 67.4% | 0.261 | 0.50u | Won | +0.43u |
| Feb 2, 2025 | nba |
76ers
Celtics
|
Home cover | home | 1.95 | 67.4% | 0.317 | 1.50u | Won | +1.43u |
| Feb 1, 2025 | nba |
Pacers
Hawks
|
Home cover | away | 1.87 | 0.0% | 0.870 | 1.50u | Won | +1.30u |
| Feb 1, 2025 | nba |
Knicks
Lakers
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 30.0% | 0.367 | 0.50u | Won | +0.48u |
| Jan 31, 2025 | nba |
76ers
Nuggets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 30.0% | 0.336 | 1.50u | Lost | -1.50u |
| Jan 31, 2025 | nba |
Pelicans
Celtics
|
Home cover | home | 1.95 | 67.4% | 0.317 | 0.50u | Won | +0.48u |
| Jan 30, 2025 | nba |
Grizzlies
Rockets
|
Home cover | home | 1.95 | 67.4% | 0.317 | 1.50u | Lost | -1.50u |
| Jan 30, 2025 | nba |
Jazz
Timberwolves
|
Home cover | home | 1.95 | 67.4% | 0.317 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Jan 29, 2025 | nba |
Spurs
Clippers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 30.0% | 0.336 | 0.50u | Won | +0.45u |
| Jan 29, 2025 | nba |
Suns
Timberwolves
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 28.6% | 0.395 | 1.50u | Won | +1.43u |
| Jan 28, 2025 | nba |
76ers
Lakers
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 67.4% | 0.288 | 0.50u | Won | +0.45u |
| Jan 28, 2025 | nba |
Warriors
Jazz
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 28.6% | 0.364 | 1.50u | Lost | -1.50u |
| Jan 27, 2025 | nba |
Bulls
Nuggets
|
Home cover | home | 1.95 | 67.4% | 0.317 | 0.50u | Won | +0.48u |
| Jan 27, 2025 | nba |
Timberwolves
Hawks
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 28.6% | 0.364 | 1.50u | Won | +1.36u |
| Jan 26, 2025 | nba |
Trail Blazers
Thunder
|
Home cover | home | 1.87 | 63.9% | 0.194 | 1.34u | Won | +1.17u |
| Jan 25, 2025 | nba |
Hornets
Pelicans
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 30.0% | 0.336 | 1.50u | Lost | -1.50u |
| Jan 25, 2025 | nba |
Grizzlies
Jazz
|
Home cover | home | 1.95 | 67.4% | 0.317 | 0.50u | Won | +0.48u |
| Jan 24, 2025 | nba |
76ers
Cavaliers
|
Home cover | home | 1.87 | 67.4% | 0.261 | 0.50u | Won | +0.43u |
| Jan 24, 2025 | nba |
Grizzlies
Pelicans
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 67.4% | 0.288 | 1.50u | Won | +1.36u |
| Jan 23, 2025 | nba |
Pacers
Spurs
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 28.6% | 0.395 | 1.50u | Won | +1.43u |
| Jan 23, 2025 | nba |
Hawks
Raptors
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 28.6% | 0.364 | 0.50u | Won | +0.45u |
| Jan 22, 2025 | nba |
Hawks
Pistons
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 0.0% | 0.909 | 1.50u | Won | +1.36u |
| Jan 22, 2025 | nba |
Mavericks
Timberwolves
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 30.0% | 0.336 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Jan 21, 2025 | nba |
Nets
Knicks
|
Home cover | home | 2.00 | 100.0% | 1.000 | 1.50u | Won | +1.50u |
| Jan 21, 2025 | nba |
Nuggets
76ers
|
Home cover | home | 1.87 | 100.0% | 0.870 | 0.50u | Won | +0.43u |
| Jan 20, 2025 | nba |
Clippers
Bulls
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 47.1% | 0.059 | 0.35u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jan 17, 2025 | nba |
Knicks
Timberwolves
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 46.7% | 0.066 | 0.40u | Won | +0.40u |
| Jan 17, 2025 | nba |
Heat
Nuggets
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 45.9% | 0.081 | 0.49u | Won | +0.49u |
| Jan 17, 2025 | nba |
Bucks
Raptors
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 45.9% | 0.082 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Jan 14, 2025 | nba |
Hawks
Suns
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 47.0% | 0.059 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Jan 13, 2025 | nba |
Raptors
Warriors
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 47.6% | 0.049 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Jan 12, 2025 | nba |
Celtics
Pelicans
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 46.7% | 0.066 | 0.40u | Won | +0.40u |
| Jan 11, 2025 | nba |
Trail Blazers
Heat
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 47.2% | 0.056 | 0.34u | Won | +0.34u |
| Jan 10, 2025 | nba |
76ers
Pelicans
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 46.2% | 0.075 | 0.45u | Won | +0.45u |
| Jan 9, 2025 | nba |
Pistons
Warriors
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 46.7% | 0.065 | 0.39u | Won | +0.39u |
| Jan 6, 2025 | nba |
76ers
Suns
|
Home cover | away | 1.87 | 41.6% | 0.092 | 0.63u | Won | +0.55u |
| Jan 4, 2025 | nba |
Pistons
Timberwolves
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 45.4% | 0.092 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Jan 4, 2025 | nba |
Bulls
Knicks
|
Home cover | away | 1.87 | 40.8% | 0.107 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Jan 4, 2025 | nba |
Bucks
Trail Blazers
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 44.9% | 0.076 | 0.48u | Won | +0.46u |
| Jan 3, 2025 | nba |
Raptors
Magic
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 63.5% | 0.213 | 1.41u | Lost | -1.41u |
| Jan 3, 2025 | nba |
Kings
Grizzlies
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 44.5% | 0.110 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Jan 1, 2025 | nba |
Knicks
Jazz
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 45.5% | 0.090 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Jan 1, 2025 | nba |
Rockets
Mavericks
|
Home cover | home | 1.95 | 62.2% | 0.214 | 1.35u | Won | +1.29u |
| Dec 31, 2024 | nba |
Spurs
Clippers
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 38.2% | 0.207 | 1.30u | Lost | -1.30u |
| Dec 30, 2024 | nba |
Warriors
Cavaliers
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 48.5% | 0.029 | 0.18u | Won | +0.18u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.