Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 7, 2026 1:11 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2022 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 37.0% | 0.424 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jun 15, 2022 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 37.6% | 0.212 | 0.16u | Won | +0.15u |
| Jun 14, 2022 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 48.1% | 0.203 | 0.77u | Won | +1.02u |
| Jun 13, 2022 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 48.4% | 0.155 | 0.63u | Won | +0.78u |
| Jun 12, 2022 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 48.1% | 0.187 | 0.37u | Won | +0.48u |
| Jun 12, 2022 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.35 | 52.1% | 0.224 | 0.46u | Won | +0.62u |
| Jun 12, 2022 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 48.1% | 0.137 | 0.22u | Won | +0.26u |
| Jun 12, 2022 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 47.7% | 0.213 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Jun 12, 2022 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 48.3% | 0.164 | 0.30u | Won | +0.38u |
| Jun 11, 2022 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 48.0% | 0.242 | 0.87u | Won | +1.21u |
| Jun 10, 2022 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 48.9% | 0.236 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Jun 10, 2022 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 48.2% | 0.171 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Jun 10, 2022 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 48.4% | 0.260 | 0.75u | Won | +1.08u |
| Jun 9, 2022 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 48.7% | 0.159 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Jun 9, 2022 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 48.1% | 0.173 | 0.69u | Won | +0.87u |
| Jun 8, 2022 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 48.4% | 0.193 | 0.74u | Won | +0.97u |
| Jun 7, 2022 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 49.1% | 0.243 | 0.79u | Won | +1.14u |
| Jun 7, 2022 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 48.6% | 0.177 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Jun 7, 2022 | mlb |
Cleveland Guardians
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 48.2% | 0.145 | 0.42u | Won | +0.51u |
| Jun 5, 2022 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 47.7% | 0.208 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Jun 5, 2022 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 46.2% | 0.178 | 0.45u | Won | +0.54u |
| Jun 5, 2022 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 46.8% | 0.289 | 0.80u | Won | +1.14u |
| Jun 4, 2022 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 48.4% | 0.259 | 0.64u | Won | +0.92u |
| Jun 4, 2022 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 47.1% | 0.053 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Jun 4, 2022 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 49.2% | 0.238 | 0.56u | Won | +0.81u |
| Jun 4, 2022 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 48.8% | 0.223 | 0.51u | Won | +0.71u |
| Jun 3, 2022 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 48.9% | 0.211 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jun 3, 2022 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 46.9% | 0.205 | 0.34u | Won | +0.43u |
| Jun 3, 2022 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.36 | 50.0% | 0.181 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Jun 3, 2022 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 48.3% | 0.251 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Jun 3, 2022 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 48.6% | 0.244 | 0.43u | Won | +0.61u |
| Jun 2, 2022 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 48.3% | 0.149 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Jun 2, 2022 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 49.0% | 0.174 | 0.67u | Won | +0.87u |
| Jun 1, 2022 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 47.8% | 0.252 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Jun 1, 2022 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 48.3% | 0.271 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Jun 1, 2022 | mlb |
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 48.8% | 0.146 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| May 31, 2022 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 44.4% | 0.322 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| May 31, 2022 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 44.4% | 0.239 | 0.26u | Won | +0.32u |
| May 31, 2022 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 42.9% | 0.251 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| May 31, 2022 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 42.9% | 0.223 | 0.23u | Won | +0.26u |
| May 31, 2022 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 42.9% | 0.309 | 0.38u | Won | +0.49u |
| May 31, 2022 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.52 | 50.0% | 0.260 | 0.27u | Won | +0.41u |
| May 30, 2022 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 44.4% | 0.333 | 0.23u | Won | +0.32u |
| May 30, 2022 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 29.4% | 0.518 | 0.33u | Won | +0.38u |
| May 30, 2022 | mlb |
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 42.9% | 0.349 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| May 30, 2022 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 29.4% | 0.405 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| May 30, 2022 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.26 | 100.0% | 1.260 | 0.33u | Won | +0.42u |
| May 30, 2022 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 36.4% | 0.381 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| May 29, 2022 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 44.4% | 0.333 | 0.58u | Won | +0.81u |
| May 29, 2022 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 44.4% | 0.206 | 0.36u | Won | +0.42u |
| May 29, 2022 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.19 | 60.0% | 0.314 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| May 29, 2022 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 42.9% | 0.171 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| May 28, 2022 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.03 | 33.3% | 0.353 | 0.35u | Won | +0.36u |
| May 28, 2022 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.18 | 60.0% | 0.308 | 0.32u | Won | +0.38u |
| May 28, 2022 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 29.4% | 0.525 | 0.36u | Won | +0.42u |
| May 28, 2022 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.58 | 50.0% | 0.290 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| May 28, 2022 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.00 | 60.0% | 0.200 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| May 28, 2022 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.58 | 44.4% | 0.433 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| May 27, 2022 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 42.9% | 0.200 | 0.20u | Won | +0.22u |
| May 27, 2022 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.06 | 60.0% | 0.236 | 0.40u | Won | +0.42u |
| May 27, 2022 | mlb |
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.39 | 60.0% | 0.434 | 0.46u | Won | +0.64u |
| May 27, 2022 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 44.4% | 0.311 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| May 27, 2022 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 44.4% | 0.211 | 0.31u | Won | +0.37u |
| May 26, 2022 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.27 | 60.0% | 0.362 | 0.42u | Won | +0.53u |
| May 26, 2022 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 44.4% | 0.317 | 0.38u | Won | +0.52u |
| May 26, 2022 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 36.4% | 0.413 | 0.42u | Won | +0.51u |
| May 26, 2022 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 29.4% | 0.729 | 0.42u | Won | +0.61u |
| May 26, 2022 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 44.4% | 0.222 | 0.16u | Won | +0.19u |
| May 25, 2022 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.36 | 50.0% | 0.180 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| May 24, 2022 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 36.4% | 0.362 | 0.75u | Won | +0.86u |
| May 24, 2022 | mlb |
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 1.90 | 60.0% | 0.141 | 0.30u | Won | +0.27u |
| May 24, 2022 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 44.4% | 0.339 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| May 23, 2022 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 42.9% | 0.326 | 0.52u | Won | +0.69u |
| May 23, 2022 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Cleveland Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 42.9% | 0.234 | 0.24u | Won | +0.28u |
| May 23, 2022 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | home | 1.93 | 66.7% | 0.284 | 0.52u | Won | +0.48u |
| May 23, 2022 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
New York Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.36 | 60.0% | 0.416 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| May 22, 2022 | mlb |
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 44.4% | 0.172 | 0.25u | Won | +0.28u |
| May 22, 2022 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 29.4% | 0.631 | 0.61u | Won | +0.80u |
| May 22, 2022 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.64 | 50.0% | 0.320 | 0.49u | Won | +0.80u |
| May 22, 2022 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 0.250 | 0.45u | Won | +0.56u |
| May 22, 2022 | seriea |
Internazionale
Sampdoria
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.10 | 50.5% | 0.060 | 0.30u | Won | +0.33u |
| May 22, 2022 | seriea |
Salernitana
Udinese
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.75 | 50.7% | 0.395 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 21, 2022 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 44.4% | 0.189 | 0.25u | Won | +0.29u |
| May 21, 2022 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 44.4% | 0.183 | 0.24u | Won | +0.27u |
| May 21, 2022 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 44.4% | 0.194 | 0.26u | Won | +0.30u |
| May 21, 2022 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 44.4% | 0.206 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| May 21, 2022 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 42.9% | 0.286 | 0.41u | Won | +0.51u |
| May 21, 2022 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 44.4% | 0.244 | 0.36u | Won | +0.45u |
| May 21, 2022 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Juventus
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.00 | 59.8% | 0.197 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| May 21, 2022 | seriea |
Lazio
Hellas Verona
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.00 | 75.3% | 0.505 | 0.67u | Won | +0.67u |
| May 21, 2022 | seriea |
Atalanta
Empoli
|
Draw away | x2 | 4.50 | 71.3% | 2.210 | 0.67u | Won | +2.35u |
| May 20, 2022 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 44.4% | 0.228 | 0.14u | Won | +0.17u |
| May 20, 2022 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.27 | 60.0% | 0.362 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| May 20, 2022 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.59 | 44.4% | 0.439 | 0.35u | Won | +0.56u |
| May 20, 2022 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 29.4% | 0.602 | 0.35u | Won | +0.44u |
| May 20, 2022 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 29.4% | 0.504 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| May 20, 2022 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 44.4% | 0.344 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| May 19, 2022 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 33.3% | 0.407 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 18, 2022 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 60.0% | 0.146 | 0.20u | Won | +0.18u |
| May 18, 2022 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 44.4% | 0.161 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.