Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 7, 2026 1:11 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2022 | mlb |
New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 47.6% | 0.221 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Aug 10, 2022 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 48.5% | 0.154 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Aug 9, 2022 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 50.0% | 0.170 | 0.64u | Won | +0.86u |
| Aug 9, 2022 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 50.0% | 0.155 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Aug 8, 2022 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.51 | 50.0% | 0.255 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Aug 7, 2022 | mlb |
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 50.0% | 0.155 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Aug 6, 2022 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 50.0% | 0.270 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Aug 6, 2022 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 50.0% | 0.180 | 0.47u | Won | +0.64u |
| Aug 6, 2022 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 50.0% | 0.195 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Aug 5, 2022 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 50.0% | 0.165 | 0.62u | Won | +0.82u |
| Aug 5, 2022 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 50.0% | 0.195 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Aug 4, 2022 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 50.0% | 0.151 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Aug 3, 2022 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 50.0% | 0.251 | 0.83u | Won | +1.25u |
| Aug 3, 2022 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 50.0% | 0.170 | 0.64u | Won | +0.86u |
| Aug 2, 2022 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 50.0% | 0.160 | 0.61u | Won | +0.81u |
| Jul 31, 2022 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 50.0% | 0.155 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Jul 31, 2022 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 50.0% | 0.160 | 0.61u | Won | +0.81u |
| Jul 29, 2022 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 50.0% | 0.215 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Jul 29, 2022 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.51 | 50.0% | 0.255 | 0.56u | Won | +0.85u |
| Jul 29, 2022 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 50.0% | 0.160 | 0.27u | Won | +0.36u |
| Jul 29, 2022 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 50.0% | 0.240 | 0.53u | Won | +0.78u |
| Jul 28, 2022 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Cleveland Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 50.0% | 0.150 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Jul 27, 2022 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.61 | 50.0% | 0.305 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Jul 27, 2022 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 50.0% | 0.180 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Jul 27, 2022 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 50.0% | 0.225 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 26, 2022 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 46.7% | 0.275 | 0.22u | Won | +0.31u |
| Jul 26, 2022 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 23.5% | 0.897 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jul 26, 2022 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | home | 1.92 | 64.9% | 0.244 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Jul 26, 2022 | mlb |
New York Mets
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.57 | 64.9% | 0.667 | 0.34u | Won | +0.53u |
| Jul 26, 2022 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 23.5% | 0.575 | 0.34u | Won | +0.36u |
| Jul 26, 2022 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.04 | 64.9% | 0.323 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jul 25, 2022 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Cleveland Guardians
|
Home cover | home | 2.04 | 64.9% | 0.323 | 0.40u | Won | +0.42u |
| Jul 25, 2022 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.07 | 64.9% | 0.343 | 0.40u | Won | +0.43u |
| Jul 25, 2022 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.41 | 50.0% | 0.205 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Jul 25, 2022 | mlb |
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.07 | 64.9% | 0.343 | 0.40u | Won | +0.43u |
| Jul 25, 2022 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 48.9% | 0.165 | 0.14u | Won | +0.18u |
| Jul 25, 2022 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 46.7% | 0.259 | 0.27u | Won | +0.37u |
| Jul 24, 2022 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.52 | 48.9% | 0.288 | 0.22u | Won | +0.33u |
| Jul 24, 2022 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 23.5% | 0.486 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Jul 24, 2022 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 23.5% | 0.454 | 0.37u | Won | +0.33u |
| Jul 24, 2022 | mlb |
Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 64.9% | 0.576 | 0.37u | Won | +0.53u |
| Jul 24, 2022 | mlb |
New York Mets
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.57 | 64.9% | 0.667 | 0.37u | Won | +0.58u |
| Jul 24, 2022 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 46.7% | 0.179 | 0.10u | Won | +0.12u |
| Jul 23, 2022 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
|
Home cover | home | 2.19 | 64.9% | 0.421 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Jul 23, 2022 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 40.0% | 0.272 | 0.40u | Won | +0.45u |
| Jul 23, 2022 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 48.9% | 0.160 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Jul 23, 2022 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.41 | 50.0% | 0.205 | 0.21u | Won | +0.30u |
| Jul 23, 2022 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 1.90 | 64.9% | 0.233 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jul 23, 2022 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 48.9% | 0.257 | 0.30u | Won | +0.44u |
| Jul 22, 2022 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 48.9% | 0.303 | 0.20u | Won | +0.31u |
| Jul 22, 2022 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 50.0% | 0.230 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Jul 22, 2022 | mlb |
New York Mets
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 23.5% | 0.575 | 0.37u | Won | +0.39u |
| Jul 22, 2022 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.20 | 64.9% | 0.427 | 0.37u | Won | +0.44u |
| Jul 22, 2022 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.22 | 64.9% | 0.440 | 0.37u | Won | +0.45u |
| Jul 22, 2022 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 64.9% | 0.596 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Jul 21, 2022 | mlb |
Houston Astros
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 48.9% | 0.155 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Jul 21, 2022 | mlb |
Houston Astros
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.71 | 64.9% | 0.758 | 1.20u | Won | +2.05u |
| Jul 19, 2022 | mlb |
National All-Stars
American All-Stars
|
Home cover | home | 2.38 | 64.9% | 0.544 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 17, 2022 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 48.9% | 0.191 | 0.16u | Won | +0.21u |
| Jul 17, 2022 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.39 | 64.9% | 0.550 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Jul 17, 2022 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.16 | 64.9% | 0.401 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Jul 17, 2022 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 40.0% | 0.344 | 0.52u | Won | +0.64u |
| Jul 16, 2022 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 48.9% | 0.211 | 0.17u | Won | +0.23u |
| Jul 16, 2022 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.20 | 64.9% | 0.427 | 0.43u | Won | +0.52u |
| Jul 16, 2022 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 40.0% | 0.248 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jul 16, 2022 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
New York Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.15 | 64.9% | 0.395 | 0.43u | Won | +0.49u |
| Jul 16, 2022 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.13 | 64.9% | 0.382 | 0.43u | Won | +0.49u |
| Jul 15, 2022 | mlb |
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.20 | 64.9% | 0.427 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Jul 15, 2022 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 50.0% | 0.270 | 0.17u | Won | +0.26u |
| Jul 15, 2022 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 23.5% | 0.486 | 0.36u | Won | +0.34u |
| Jul 15, 2022 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.05 | 64.9% | 0.330 | 0.35u | Won | +0.37u |
| Jul 15, 2022 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.24 | 64.9% | 0.453 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Jul 15, 2022 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 46.7% | 0.264 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Jul 14, 2022 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 48.9% | 0.170 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Jul 14, 2022 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.13 | 64.9% | 0.382 | 0.38u | Won | +0.43u |
| Jul 14, 2022 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.68 | 64.9% | 0.738 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Jul 14, 2022 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 48.9% | 0.329 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Jul 14, 2022 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.03 | 23.5% | 0.552 | 0.38u | Won | +0.39u |
| Jul 14, 2022 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.65 | 48.9% | 0.354 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jul 13, 2022 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.03 | 23.5% | 0.552 | 0.42u | Won | +0.43u |
| Jul 13, 2022 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.32 | 50.0% | 0.160 | 0.13u | Won | +0.17u |
| Jul 13, 2022 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 48.9% | 0.216 | 0.21u | Won | +0.29u |
| Jul 13, 2022 | mlb |
Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 23.5% | 0.789 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Jul 13, 2022 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 48.9% | 0.211 | 0.20u | Won | +0.27u |
| Jul 13, 2022 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Seattle Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 23.5% | 0.522 | 0.42u | Won | +0.42u |
| Jul 12, 2022 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.35 | 50.3% | 0.182 | 0.68u | Won | +0.92u |
| Jul 12, 2022 | mlb |
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.30 | 50.3% | 0.156 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Jul 12, 2022 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.33 | 50.3% | 0.171 | 0.60u | Won | +0.80u |
| Jul 11, 2022 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 50.2% | 0.246 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Jul 11, 2022 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.63 | 50.3% | 0.322 | 0.51u | Won | +0.83u |
| Jul 11, 2022 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.28 | 50.3% | 0.146 | 0.19u | Won | +0.24u |
| Jul 11, 2022 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 50.2% | 0.256 | 0.44u | Won | +0.66u |
| Jul 11, 2022 | mlb |
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.31 | 50.3% | 0.161 | 0.23u | Won | +0.30u |
| Jul 10, 2022 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.52 | 50.3% | 0.267 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Jul 9, 2022 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 50.3% | 0.312 | 0.57u | Won | +0.92u |
| Jul 9, 2022 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 50.1% | 0.218 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Jul 9, 2022 | mlb |
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 50.2% | 0.226 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Jul 9, 2022 | mlb |
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 50.2% | 0.281 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Jul 8, 2022 | mlb |
Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.33 | 50.3% | 0.171 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Jul 8, 2022 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 50.3% | 0.227 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.