Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 6, 2026 6:53 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.53 | 48.6% | 0.299 | 0.55u | Won | +0.84u |
| Jul 24, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 48.6% | 0.274 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Jul 23, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 48.6% | 0.176 | 0.22u | Won | +0.28u |
| Jul 23, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 48.6% | 0.197 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Jul 23, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 28.6% | 0.693 | 0.52u | Won | +0.71u |
| Jul 23, 2023 | mlb |
Nationals
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.16 | 70.0% | 0.512 | 0.52u | Won | +0.60u |
| Jul 23, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 46.0% | 0.198 | 0.28u | Won | +0.34u |
| Jul 22, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 46.0% | 0.274 | 0.28u | Won | +0.38u |
| Jul 22, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 0.0% | 1.050 | 0.38u | Won | +0.40u |
| Jul 22, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 46.0% | 0.220 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Jul 22, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 1.98 | 80.0% | 0.584 | 0.38u | Won | +0.37u |
| Jul 22, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.02 | 70.0% | 0.414 | 0.38u | Won | +0.39u |
| Jul 22, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.24 | 53.8% | 0.206 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Jul 21, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.33 | 60.0% | 0.398 | 0.52u | Won | +0.69u |
| Jul 21, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.04 | 80.0% | 0.632 | 0.53u | Won | +0.55u |
| Jul 21, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 33.3% | 0.593 | 0.53u | Won | +0.74u |
| Jul 21, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 46.0% | 0.252 | 0.22u | Won | +0.29u |
| Jul 20, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.21 | 53.8% | 0.190 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Jul 20, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 46.0% | 0.322 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Jul 20, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 46.0% | 0.198 | 0.27u | Won | +0.33u |
| Jul 20, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 48.6% | 0.217 | 0.30u | Won | +0.41u |
| Jul 20, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.63 | 100.0% | 1.630 | 0.51u | Won | +0.83u |
| Jul 19, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Guardians
|
Home cover | home | 2.41 | 70.0% | 0.687 | 0.94u | Won | +1.33u |
| Jul 19, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 46.0% | 0.177 | 0.54u | Won | +0.64u |
| Jul 19, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.09 | 46.0% | 0.128 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Jul 18, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 60.0% | 0.524 | 0.67u | Won | +1.03u |
| Jul 18, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.69 | 53.8% | 0.449 | 0.66u | Won | +1.12u |
| Jul 18, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.24 | 60.0% | 0.344 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Jul 17, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 46.0% | 0.220 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Jul 17, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 48.6% | 0.268 | 0.35u | Won | +0.51u |
| Jul 17, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 70.0% | 0.715 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Jul 17, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.47 | 53.8% | 0.330 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Jul 17, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 46.0% | 0.214 | 0.26u | Won | +0.33u |
| Jul 16, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 46.0% | 0.209 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Jul 16, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.58 | 46.0% | 0.392 | 0.46u | Won | +0.73u |
| Jul 16, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.18 | 70.0% | 0.526 | 0.46u | Won | +0.54u |
| Jul 16, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.22 | 53.8% | 0.195 | 0.20u | Won | +0.24u |
| Jul 16, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.12 | 70.0% | 0.484 | 0.46u | Won | +0.52u |
| Jul 15, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.61 | 46.0% | 0.409 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Jul 15, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 46.0% | 0.247 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Jul 14, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 46.0% | 0.322 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Jul 14, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.37 | 53.8% | 0.276 | 0.29u | Won | +0.40u |
| Jul 14, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 46.0% | 0.263 | 0.27u | Won | +0.36u |
| Jul 14, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 46.0% | 0.209 | 0.18u | Won | +0.22u |
| Jul 14, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 53.8% | 0.325 | 0.36u | Won | +0.53u |
| Jul 14, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 46.0% | 0.301 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jul 9, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 50.5% | 0.314 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 9, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 50.6% | 0.292 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Jul 9, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.63 | 50.8% | 0.335 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Jul 8, 2023 | mlb |
Giants
Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 50.2% | 0.254 | 0.85u | Won | +1.28u |
| Jul 7, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.73 | 50.1% | 0.369 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Jul 7, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 43.3% | 0.445 | 0.47u | Won | +0.73u |
| Jul 7, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.65 | 51.4% | 0.363 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Jul 7, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 43.7% | 0.295 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Jul 7, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.23 | 51.4% | 0.147 | 0.11u | Won | +0.14u |
| Jul 6, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.41 | 50.8% | 0.223 | 0.33u | Won | +0.47u |
| Jul 6, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 51.6% | 0.322 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Jul 6, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 50.7% | 0.243 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Jul 6, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.49 | 51.5% | 0.283 | 0.51u | Won | +0.76u |
| Jul 5, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 47.9% | 0.261 | 0.68u | Won | +0.97u |
| Jul 5, 2023 | mlb |
Giants
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.70 | 51.6% | 0.394 | 1.12u | Won | +1.90u |
| Jul 4, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 46.4% | 0.271 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Jul 4, 2023 | mlb |
Nationals
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.64 | 48.2% | 0.367 | 0.75u | Won | +1.23u |
| Jul 4, 2023 | mlb |
Giants
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 51.3% | 0.261 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Jul 3, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.38 | 51.0% | 0.214 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Jul 3, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 50.6% | 0.266 | 0.89u | Won | +1.34u |
| Jul 2, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 42.8% | 0.311 | 0.68u | Won | +0.88u |
| Jul 2, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 53.8% | 0.318 | 0.66u | Won | +0.96u |
| Jul 2, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.52 | 49.8% | 0.266 | 0.46u | Won | +0.70u |
| Jul 1, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.52 | 51.1% | 0.287 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Jul 1, 2023 | mlb |
Mets
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.52 | 47.2% | 0.329 | 1.01u | Lost | -1.01u |
| Jun 30, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 49.8% | 0.161 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Jun 27, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 49.5% | 0.142 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Jun 27, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.51 | 49.7% | 0.263 | 0.84u | Won | +1.27u |
| Jun 27, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.32 | 50.3% | 0.167 | 0.54u | Won | +0.71u |
| Jun 26, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.40 | 50.1% | 0.201 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Jun 25, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.53 | 49.9% | 0.269 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Jun 25, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.47 | 50.1% | 0.238 | 0.50u | Won | +0.74u |
| Jun 25, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 49.4% | 0.210 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Jun 25, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 49.8% | 0.189 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Jun 24, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 49.6% | 0.149 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Jun 24, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 49.8% | 0.219 | 0.77u | Won | +1.10u |
| Jun 23, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 49.9% | 0.163 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Jun 22, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.61 | 49.3% | 0.324 | 0.93u | Lost | -0.93u |
| Jun 22, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.61 | 49.8% | 0.311 | 0.87u | Won | +1.40u |
| Jun 21, 2023 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.51 | 49.9% | 0.258 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Jun 21, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 49.8% | 0.205 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Jun 21, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 49.5% | 0.222 | 0.45u | Won | +0.64u |
| Jun 21, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 49.6% | 0.209 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Jun 20, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.42 | 50.1% | 0.211 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Jun 20, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 49.5% | 0.222 | 0.78u | Won | +1.11u |
| Jun 19, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.65 | 49.9% | 0.329 | 1.00u | Won | +1.65u |
| Jun 19, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 49.7% | 0.208 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Jun 18, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 49.4% | 0.189 | 0.70u | Won | +0.95u |
| Jun 18, 2023 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.32 | 50.2% | 0.164 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Jun 17, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 49.4% | 0.144 | 0.57u | Won | +0.72u |
| Jun 17, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.52 | 49.9% | 0.262 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Jun 16, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 49.6% | 0.185 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jun 16, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.59 | 49.8% | 0.301 | 0.75u | Won | +1.19u |
| Jun 16, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.57 | 50.0% | 0.285 | 0.71u | Won | +1.11u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.