Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 6, 2026 6:53 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2023 | seriea |
Lecce
AC Milan
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.63 | 57.0% | 0.496 | 0.78u | Won | +1.27u |
| Nov 11, 2023 | seriea |
Monza
Torino
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.00 | 65.2% | 0.305 | 1.20u | Won | +1.20u |
| Nov 10, 2023 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Salernitana
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.10 | 52.8% | 0.108 | 0.79u | Won | +0.87u |
| Nov 5, 2023 | seriea |
Hellas Verona
Monza
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.38 | 53.7% | 0.276 | 1.20u | Won | +1.65u |
| Nov 4, 2023 | seriea |
Atalanta
Internazionale
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.63 | 51.9% | 0.362 | 1.20u | Won | +1.95u |
| Oct 30, 2023 | seriea |
Lazio
Fiorentina
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.20 | 57.7% | 0.269 | 0.50u | Won | +0.60u |
| Oct 30, 2023 | seriea |
Empoli
Atalanta
|
Home draw | away | 3.25 | 46.3% | 0.744 | 1.00u | Won | +2.25u |
| Oct 28, 2023 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Bologna
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.75 | 51.0% | 0.402 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| Oct 27, 2023 | seriea |
Genoa
Salernitana
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.05 | 61.8% | 0.267 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 23, 2023 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Empoli
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.75 | 54.3% | 0.494 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| Oct 22, 2023 | seriea |
Bologna
Frosinone
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.38 | 59.2% | 0.405 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Oct 22, 2023 | seriea |
AS Roma
Monza
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.05 | 55.4% | 0.136 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Oct 22, 2023 | seriea |
AC Milan
Juventus
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.10 | 55.5% | 0.166 | 0.46u | Won | +0.51u |
| Oct 21, 2023 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Lazio
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.10 | 51.3% | 0.078 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Oct 21, 2023 | seriea |
Hellas Verona
Napoli
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.30 | 57.7% | 0.327 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 8, 2023 | seriea |
Frosinone
Hellas Verona
|
Draw away | home | 4.33 | 31.1% | 1.983 | 1.00u | Won | +3.33u |
| Oct 8, 2023 | seriea |
Cagliari
AS Roma
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.30 | 59.7% | 0.373 | 0.50u | Won | +0.65u |
| Oct 7, 2023 | seriea |
Juventus
Torino
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.25 | 56.7% | 0.844 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 2, 2023 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Monza
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.10 | 81.6% | 0.714 | 1.20u | Won | +1.32u |
| Oct 1, 2023 | seriea |
Udinese
Genoa
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.50 | 77.2% | 0.930 | 0.97u | Won | +1.46u |
| Oct 1, 2023 | seriea |
Atalanta
Juventus
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.75 | 62.2% | 0.711 | 0.53u | Won | +0.93u |
| Oct 1, 2023 | seriea |
AS Roma
Frosinone
|
Home draw | away | 3.10 | 36.5% | 0.967 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 30, 2023 | seriea |
Salernitana
Internazionale
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.75 | 64.5% | 0.773 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 30, 2023 | seriea |
AC Milan
Lazio
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.05 | 58.8% | 0.205 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 28, 2023 | seriea |
Frosinone
Fiorentina
|
Draw away | home | 4.00 | 50.0% | 1.001 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 27, 2023 | seriea |
Internazionale
Sassuolo
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.75 | 50.0% | 0.376 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| Sep 26, 2023 | seriea |
Juventus
Lecce
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.50 | 50.0% | 0.251 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 24, 2023 | seriea |
Torino
AS Roma
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.63 | 50.0% | 0.313 | 1.20u | Won | +1.95u |
| Sep 24, 2023 | seriea |
Empoli
Internazionale
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.50 | 80.0% | 1.800 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 23, 2023 | seriea |
Lazio
Monza
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.00 | 78.1% | 0.561 | 1.20u | Won | +1.20u |
| Sep 23, 2023 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Juventus
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.00 | 50.0% | 0.501 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 18, 2023 | seriea |
Hellas Verona
Bologna
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.75 | 50.0% | 0.376 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| Sep 17, 2023 | seriea |
Cagliari
Udinese
|
Draw away | home | 2.90 | 50.0% | 0.451 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 16, 2023 | seriea |
Internazionale
AC Milan
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.25 | 83.7% | 0.884 | 1.20u | Won | +1.50u |
| Sep 4, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 3.55 | 50.0% | 0.775 | 1.20u | Won | +3.06u |
| Sep 3, 2023 | seriea |
Internazionale
Fiorentina
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.20 | 65.7% | 0.446 | 1.20u | Won | +1.44u |
| Sep 3, 2023 | seriea |
Empoli
Juventus
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.10 | 50.2% | 0.054 | 0.39u | Won | +0.43u |
| Sep 2, 2023 | seriea |
Udinese
Frosinone
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.20 | 50.5% | 0.110 | 0.73u | Won | +0.88u |
| Sep 1, 2023 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Hellas Verona
|
Home draw | away | 2.70 | 36.1% | 0.726 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 28, 2023 | seriea |
Salernitana
Udinese
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.75 | 56.6% | 0.555 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| Aug 27, 2023 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Lecce
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.10 | 54.4% | 0.142 | 0.10u | Won | +0.11u |
| Aug 27, 2023 | seriea |
Juventus
Bologna
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.15 | 74.8% | 0.608 | 0.70u | Won | +0.81u |
| Aug 27, 2023 | seriea |
Napoli
Sassuolo
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.25 | 63.6% | 1.068 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Aug 26, 2023 | seriea |
Frosinone
Atalanta
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.00 | 53.3% | 0.065 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Aug 26, 2023 | seriea |
Monza
Empoli
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.30 | 57.0% | 0.312 | 1.20u | Won | +1.56u |
| Aug 21, 2023 | seriea |
Torino
Cagliari
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.38 | 65.3% | 0.552 | 1.20u | Won | +1.65u |
| Aug 20, 2023 | seriea |
Udinese
Juventus
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.50 | 66.3% | 0.657 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Aug 20, 2023 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Atalanta
|
Home draw | away | 2.10 | 44.4% | 0.168 | 0.82u | Won | +0.90u |
| Aug 20, 2023 | seriea |
Lecce
Lazio
|
Home draw | away | 2.10 | 45.2% | 0.151 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Aug 19, 2023 | seriea |
Frosinone
Napoli
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.38 | 55.0% | 0.306 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Aug 19, 2023 | seriea |
Empoli
Hellas Verona
|
Home draw | away | 2.45 | 49.3% | 0.242 | 0.58u | Won | +0.84u |
| Aug 19, 2023 | seriea |
Genoa
Fiorentina
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.75 | 51.5% | 0.417 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| Aug 2, 2023 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.19 | 58.6% | 0.283 | 0.19u | Won | +0.23u |
| Aug 2, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 58.6% | 0.488 | 0.33u | Won | +0.51u |
| Aug 2, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.41 | 58.6% | 0.412 | 0.33u | Won | +0.47u |
| Aug 2, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 58.6% | 0.518 | 0.33u | Won | +0.52u |
| Aug 2, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 58.6% | 0.424 | 0.33u | Won | +0.47u |
| Aug 2, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.33 | 58.6% | 0.365 | 0.29u | Won | +0.39u |
| Aug 1, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.10 | 58.6% | 0.231 | 0.31u | Won | +0.34u |
| Aug 1, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 58.6% | 0.518 | 0.38u | Won | +0.60u |
| Aug 1, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 1.96 | 58.6% | 0.149 | 0.15u | Won | +0.14u |
| Aug 1, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.22 | 58.6% | 0.301 | 0.38u | Won | +0.46u |
| Aug 1, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 58.6% | 0.529 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Aug 1, 2023 | mlb |
Nationals
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.01 | 58.6% | 0.178 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Jul 31, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.66 | 58.6% | 0.559 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jul 31, 2023 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 58.6% | 0.483 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jul 31, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.10 | 58.6% | 0.231 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Jul 31, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.16 | 58.6% | 0.266 | 0.24u | Won | +0.28u |
| Jul 31, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 58.6% | 0.442 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jul 31, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Guardians
|
Home cover | home | 2.62 | 58.6% | 0.535 | 0.34u | Won | +0.55u |
| Jul 30, 2023 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.42 | 58.6% | 0.418 | 0.33u | Won | +0.47u |
| Jul 30, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 58.6% | 0.482 | 0.34u | Won | +0.52u |
| Jul 30, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.51 | 58.6% | 0.471 | 0.34u | Won | +0.51u |
| Jul 30, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.14 | 58.6% | 0.254 | 0.14u | Won | +0.16u |
| Jul 30, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.40 | 58.6% | 0.406 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Jul 30, 2023 | mlb |
Giants
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.48 | 58.6% | 0.453 | 0.34u | Won | +0.50u |
| Jul 29, 2023 | mlb |
Giants
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.51 | 58.6% | 0.471 | 0.34u | Won | +0.51u |
| Jul 29, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.12 | 58.6% | 0.242 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Jul 29, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Guardians
|
Home cover | home | 2.31 | 58.6% | 0.354 | 0.29u | Won | +0.38u |
| Jul 29, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 58.6% | 0.524 | 0.34u | Won | +0.54u |
| Jul 29, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 58.6% | 0.430 | 0.34u | Won | +0.49u |
| Jul 29, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 58.6% | 0.518 | 0.34u | Won | +0.54u |
| Jul 28, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.52 | 58.6% | 0.477 | 0.35u | Won | +0.53u |
| Jul 28, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.24 | 58.6% | 0.313 | 0.34u | Won | +0.42u |
| Jul 28, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.26 | 58.6% | 0.324 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Jul 28, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.10 | 58.6% | 0.231 | 0.21u | Won | +0.23u |
| Jul 28, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.31 | 58.6% | 0.354 | 0.35u | Won | +0.46u |
| Jul 28, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.08 | 58.6% | 0.219 | 0.20u | Won | +0.22u |
| Jul 27, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Guardians
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 58.6% | 0.119 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Jul 26, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.32 | 58.6% | 0.359 | 0.26u | Won | +0.34u |
| Jul 26, 2023 | mlb |
Nationals
Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 58.6% | 0.430 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Jul 26, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.40 | 58.6% | 0.406 | 0.32u | Won | +0.45u |
| Jul 26, 2023 | mlb |
Yankees
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.34 | 58.6% | 0.371 | 0.27u | Won | +0.36u |
| Jul 26, 2023 | mlb |
Giants
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 58.6% | 0.424 | 0.33u | Won | +0.47u |
| Jul 26, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.37 | 58.6% | 0.389 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Jul 25, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 53.8% | 0.325 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Jul 25, 2023 | mlb |
Yankees
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 48.6% | 0.227 | 0.29u | Won | +0.40u |
| Jul 25, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.38 | 53.8% | 0.282 | 0.44u | Won | +0.61u |
| Jul 25, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 46.0% | 0.311 | 0.52u | Won | +0.74u |
| Jul 24, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.58 | 53.8% | 0.389 | 0.77u | Won | +1.22u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.