Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 3, 2026 7:28 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 50.2% | 0.201 | 0.72u | Won | +1.00u |
| Sep 16, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.59 | 50.2% | 0.301 | 0.95u | Won | +1.51u |
| Sep 15, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 50.3% | 0.206 | 0.74u | Won | +1.04u |
| Sep 15, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 50.2% | 0.145 | 0.57u | Won | +0.73u |
| Sep 14, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.87 | 50.2% | 0.440 | 1.18u | Won | +2.21u |
| Sep 13, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.71 | 50.2% | 0.361 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 13, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.92 | 50.2% | 0.465 | 1.20u | Won | +2.30u |
| Sep 12, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.97 | 50.2% | 0.492 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 12, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.83 | 50.1% | 0.418 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 11, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.41 | 50.2% | 0.211 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Sep 11, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 50.2% | 0.206 | 0.73u | Won | +1.02u |
| Sep 11, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 50.2% | 0.206 | 0.32u | Won | +0.45u |
| Sep 10, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.61 | 50.2% | 0.311 | 0.70u | Won | +1.13u |
| Sep 10, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.76 | 50.3% | 0.387 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Sep 9, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.66 | 50.2% | 0.336 | 1.01u | Won | +1.68u |
| Sep 9, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.49 | 50.2% | 0.251 | 0.79u | Won | +1.18u |
| Sep 8, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 50.3% | 0.383 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Sep 7, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 4.11 | 50.2% | 1.061 | 1.20u | Won | +3.73u |
| Sep 7, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 3.48 | 50.1% | 0.745 | 0.60u | Won | +1.49u |
| Sep 6, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.97 | 55.2% | 0.639 | 1.20u | Won | +2.36u |
| Sep 6, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.86 | 55.2% | 0.578 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 5, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.19 | 55.2% | 0.208 | 0.70u | Won | +0.83u |
| Sep 5, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.46 | 53.7% | 0.321 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Sep 4, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 3.09 | 45.5% | 0.686 | 1.20u | Won | +2.51u |
| Sep 4, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.78 | 53.7% | 0.493 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 3, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home win | away | 4.12 | 45.5% | 1.247 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 3, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.62 | 55.2% | 0.446 | 0.60u | Won | +0.97u |
| Sep 2, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.14 | 55.2% | 0.181 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 2, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.96 | 53.7% | 0.590 | 1.20u | Won | +2.35u |
| Sep 1, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.32 | 55.2% | 0.280 | 1.06u | Won | +1.40u |
| Sep 1, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 55.2% | 0.186 | 0.74u | Won | +0.85u |
| Aug 31, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.64 | 53.7% | 0.418 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 31, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 3.02 | 55.2% | 0.666 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 30, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.46 | 55.2% | 0.357 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 30, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.64 | 55.2% | 0.457 | 1.20u | Won | +1.97u |
| Aug 29, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 55.2% | 0.390 | 1.20u | Won | +1.82u |
| Aug 29, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 55.2% | 0.352 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 28, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Braves
|
Home win | home | 3.16 | 53.7% | 0.697 | 1.20u | Won | +2.59u |
| Aug 28, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.73 | 55.2% | 0.506 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 27, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.93 | 55.2% | 0.617 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 27, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.83 | 55.2% | 0.561 | 0.60u | Won | +1.10u |
| Aug 26, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 3.36 | 53.7% | 0.804 | 1.20u | Won | +2.83u |
| Aug 26, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 3.03 | 55.2% | 0.672 | 0.60u | Won | +1.22u |
| Aug 25, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 4.51 | 45.5% | 1.460 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 25, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 100.0% | 1.520 | 1.20u | Won | +1.82u |
| Aug 24, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Braves
|
Home win | away | 1.80 | 0.0% | 0.800 | 1.20u | Won | +0.96u |
| Aug 24, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 3.28 | 53.7% | 0.762 | 0.60u | Won | +1.37u |
| Aug 23, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Guardians
|
Home win | away | 2.22 | 22.2% | 0.727 | 0.60u | Won | +0.73u |
| Aug 23, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 3.42 | 48.7% | 0.754 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 22, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 60.0% | 0.434 | 1.20u | Won | +1.67u |
| Aug 22, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 2.74 | 48.7% | 0.405 | 0.60u | Won | +1.04u |
| Aug 21, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.12 | 62.5% | 0.325 | 0.60u | Won | +0.67u |
| Aug 21, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.61 | 60.0% | 0.566 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 20, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 62.5% | 0.438 | 1.20u | Won | +1.56u |
| Aug 20, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.12 | 62.5% | 0.325 | 0.60u | Won | +0.67u |
| Aug 19, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.58 | 60.0% | 0.548 | 1.20u | Won | +1.90u |
| Aug 19, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Astros
|
Home win | away | 2.70 | 48.7% | 0.385 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 18, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 4.19 | 48.7% | 1.149 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 18, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.17 | 62.5% | 0.356 | 0.60u | Won | +0.70u |
| Aug 17, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 60.0% | 0.434 | 0.60u | Won | +0.83u |
| Aug 17, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.93 | 48.7% | 0.503 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 16, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.49 | 60.0% | 0.494 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 16, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 48.7% | 0.436 | 0.60u | Won | +1.08u |
| Aug 15, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.51 | 62.5% | 0.569 | 1.20u | Won | +1.81u |
| Aug 15, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 62.5% | 0.406 | 0.60u | Won | +0.75u |
| Aug 14, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 3.31 | 60.0% | 0.986 | 1.20u | Won | +2.77u |
| Aug 14, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 2.28 | 22.2% | 0.773 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 13, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 3.70 | 60.0% | 1.220 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 13, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 3.48 | 60.0% | 1.088 | 0.60u | Won | +1.49u |
| Aug 12, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 3.34 | 48.7% | 0.713 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 12, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home win | home | 3.39 | 62.5% | 1.119 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 11, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.45 | 48.7% | 0.256 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Aug 11, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.49 | 50.0% | 0.245 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Aug 10, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 1.80 | 66.7% | 0.200 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 10, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home win | away | 2.29 | 48.7% | 0.174 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 9, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home win | away | 2.45 | 42.2% | 0.417 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Aug 9, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 59.0% | 0.416 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Aug 8, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.12 | 62.0% | 0.314 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 8, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home win | away | 3.91 | 48.7% | 1.008 | 1.20u | Won | +3.49u |
| Aug 7, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.56 | 57.2% | 0.465 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 7, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 3.57 | 44.2% | 0.994 | 1.20u | Won | +3.08u |
| Aug 6, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Astros
|
Home win | away | 3.26 | 48.4% | 0.682 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 6, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Giants
|
Home win | home | 3.01 | 61.5% | 0.852 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 5, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 54.9% | 0.291 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Aug 5, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 68.0% | 0.769 | 1.20u | Won | +1.92u |
| Aug 4, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 3.21 | 53.0% | 0.700 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 4, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Red Sox
|
Home win | away | 3.43 | 46.9% | 0.821 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 3, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 51.2% | 0.434 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 3, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 3.46 | 53.6% | 0.855 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 2, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 3.91 | 56.1% | 1.194 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 2, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 2.47 | 49.4% | 0.250 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 1, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.22 | 57.3% | 0.273 | 0.60u | Won | +0.73u |
| Aug 1, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 3.22 | 63.4% | 1.042 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 31, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.16 | 58.9% | 0.272 | 0.60u | Won | +0.70u |
| Jul 31, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.66 | 53.8% | 0.431 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 30, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.90 | 53.6% | 0.555 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 30, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.71 | 58.9% | 0.597 | 1.20u | Won | +2.05u |
| Jul 29, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 3.89 | 44.1% | 1.176 | 1.20u | Won | +3.47u |
| Jul 29, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 61.0% | 0.482 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 28, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.76 | 55.7% | 0.538 | 1.20u | Won | +2.11u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.