Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 3, 2026 7:28 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.79 | 53.6% | 0.495 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 12, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
Reds
|
Home win | home | 3.18 | 54.1% | 0.720 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 12, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Giants
|
Home win | home | 3.18 | 53.8% | 0.711 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 11, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.86 | 53.9% | 0.541 | 1.20u | Won | +2.23u |
| Jun 11, 2023 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.67 | 54.0% | 0.442 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 10, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.21 | 53.9% | 0.192 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Jun 9, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 53.6% | 0.421 | 1.20u | Won | +1.98u |
| Jun 9, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.16 | 53.5% | 0.155 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 8, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 3.06 | 53.7% | 0.645 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 8, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.49 | 53.9% | 0.343 | 0.60u | Won | +0.89u |
| Jun 7, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.88 | 54.1% | 0.558 | 1.20u | Won | +2.26u |
| Jun 7, 2023 | mlb |
Nationals
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.33 | 53.7% | 0.251 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 6, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.38 | 53.7% | 0.277 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 6, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.58 | 53.6% | 0.382 | 1.20u | Won | +1.90u |
| Jun 5, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 53.9% | 0.213 | 0.85u | Won | +1.06u |
| Jun 4, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 53.9% | 0.214 | 0.82u | Won | +1.03u |
| Jun 4, 2023 | mlb |
Mets
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.36 | 53.7% | 0.267 | 0.98u | Lost | -0.98u |
| Jun 3, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 53.7% | 0.289 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Jun 3, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.91 | 53.9% | 0.568 | 1.20u | Won | +2.29u |
| Jun 2, 2023 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.56 | 53.6% | 0.373 | 1.20u | Won | +1.87u |
| Jun 2, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 54.0% | 0.306 | 0.60u | Won | +0.85u |
| May 31, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.94 | 53.9% | 0.586 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 31, 2023 | mlb |
Giants
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.36 | 54.2% | 0.279 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 30, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 55.9% | 0.398 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 30, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Reds
|
Home win | home | 3.11 | 54.6% | 0.698 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 29, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.04 | 55.5% | 0.133 | 0.60u | Won | +0.62u |
| May 29, 2023 | mlb |
Giants
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 55.9% | 0.410 | 1.20u | Won | +1.82u |
| May 28, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home win | home | 3.28 | 51.8% | 0.698 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 28, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.21 | 55.4% | 0.225 | 0.60u | Won | +0.73u |
| May 27, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.72 | 54.6% | 0.485 | 0.60u | Won | +1.03u |
| May 27, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 3.73 | 50.9% | 0.898 | 1.20u | Won | +3.28u |
| May 26, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.81 | 54.6% | 0.533 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 26, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 3.25 | 51.3% | 0.669 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 25, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 59.0% | 0.346 | 0.60u | Won | +0.77u |
| May 25, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 55.8% | 0.506 | 1.20u | Won | +2.04u |
| May 24, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.41 | 55.1% | 0.327 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| May 24, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.36 | 55.4% | 0.307 | 0.64u | Won | +0.87u |
| May 23, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.34 | 59.5% | 0.392 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 23, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 54.5% | 0.304 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 22, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.64 | 56.9% | 0.502 | 1.20u | Won | +1.97u |
| May 22, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 54.1% | 0.164 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 21, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 55.1% | 0.157 | 0.18u | Won | +0.20u |
| May 21, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.13 | 56.1% | 0.195 | 0.86u | Won | +0.97u |
| May 21, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 54.6% | 0.174 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| May 20, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.23 | 58.2% | 0.298 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 19, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.44 | 57.5% | 0.404 | 1.20u | Won | +1.73u |
| May 19, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.24 | 56.3% | 0.261 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 18, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.33 | 53.1% | 0.237 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| May 17, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 57.5% | 0.322 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 17, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 55.5% | 0.277 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 16, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Angels
|
Home win | away | 2.56 | 32.8% | 0.720 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 16, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.36 | 59.7% | 0.410 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 15, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 54.9% | 0.346 | 1.19u | Lost | -1.19u |
| May 15, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.02 | 58.3% | 0.177 | 0.61u | Won | +0.62u |
| May 14, 2023 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 51.3% | 0.333 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 14, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.18 | 63.4% | 0.382 | 1.20u | Won | +1.42u |
| May 13, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 55.3% | 0.371 | 1.20u | Won | +1.78u |
| May 13, 2023 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.22 | 56.9% | 0.264 | 0.60u | Won | +0.73u |
| May 12, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 58.2% | 0.345 | 1.20u | Won | +1.57u |
| May 12, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 54.8% | 0.332 | 0.60u | Won | +0.86u |
| May 11, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 3.22 | 54.0% | 0.740 | 1.20u | Won | +2.66u |
| May 11, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.23 | 53.9% | 0.203 | 0.60u | Won | +0.74u |
| May 10, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 3.04 | 48.8% | 0.558 | 1.20u | Won | +2.45u |
| May 10, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.60 | 43.8% | 0.462 | 0.60u | Won | +0.96u |
| May 9, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.13 | 55.6% | 0.183 | 0.81u | Won | +0.92u |
| May 9, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 54.3% | 0.238 | 0.93u | Won | +1.19u |
| May 8, 2023 | mlb |
Yankees
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.64 | 39.5% | 0.598 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 8, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.59 | 53.1% | 0.374 | 0.60u | Won | +0.95u |
| May 7, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 56.0% | 0.177 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| May 7, 2023 | mlb |
Mets
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 57.3% | 0.118 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| May 7, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.33 | 52.0% | 0.211 | 0.79u | Won | +1.05u |
| May 6, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.60 | 46.2% | 0.400 | 0.60u | Won | +0.96u |
| May 6, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 2.56 | 41.8% | 0.489 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 5, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.45 | 39.5% | 0.483 | 0.60u | Won | +0.87u |
| May 5, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 2.81 | 46.6% | 0.500 | 1.20u | Won | +2.17u |
| May 4, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 3.05 | 52.4% | 0.599 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 4, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.73 | 52.5% | 0.433 | 0.60u | Won | +1.04u |
| May 3, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.82 | 51.9% | 0.463 | 0.60u | Won | +1.09u |
| May 3, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.59 | 57.8% | 0.496 | 1.20u | Won | +1.91u |
| May 2, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.57 | 61.7% | 0.585 | 1.20u | Won | +1.88u |
| May 2, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.44 | 57.4% | 0.400 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 1, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.71 | 56.0% | 0.517 | 1.20u | Won | +2.05u |
| May 1, 2023 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.16 | 58.3% | 0.258 | 0.60u | Won | +0.70u |
| Apr 30, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.63 | 57.5% | 0.514 | 1.20u | Won | +1.96u |
| Apr 30, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 57.8% | 0.456 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 29, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.21 | 65.8% | 0.454 | 1.20u | Won | +1.45u |
| Apr 29, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 60.0% | 0.381 | 0.60u | Won | +0.78u |
| Apr 28, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.38 | 53.0% | 0.260 | 0.94u | Won | +1.30u |
| Apr 28, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.08 | 57.3% | 0.192 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Apr 27, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.32 | 61.9% | 0.436 | 0.60u | Won | +0.79u |
| Apr 27, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.54 | 66.5% | 0.690 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 26, 2023 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.23 | 51.7% | 0.154 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Apr 26, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
Padres
|
Home win | home | 1.94 | 57.8% | 0.117 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Apr 26, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 1.98 | 58.8% | 0.164 | 0.84u | Won | +0.82u |
| Apr 25, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.12 | 65.0% | 0.379 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 25, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 3.02 | 44.9% | 0.663 | 1.20u | Won | +2.42u |
| Apr 24, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 2.37 | 43.2% | 0.347 | 1.20u | Won | +1.64u |
| Apr 24, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Astros
|
Home win | home | 1.89 | 59.6% | 0.129 | 0.60u | Won | +0.54u |
| Apr 23, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.32 | 60.1% | 0.395 | 0.60u | Won | +0.79u |
| Apr 23, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
Home win | away | 3.93 | 45.1% | 1.159 | 1.20u | Won | +3.52u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.