Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 3, 2026 4:07 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.85 | 60.0% | 0.710 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 6, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 3.05 | 60.0% | 0.830 | 1.20u | Won | +2.46u |
| May 6, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 44.0% | 0.567 | 0.60u | Won | +1.08u |
| May 5, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.85 | 70.6% | 1.012 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 5, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Mets
|
Home win | away | 2.15 | 25.0% | 0.613 | 0.60u | Won | +0.69u |
| May 5, 2025 | seriea |
Genoa
AC Milan
|
Home away | draw | 4.40 | 32.6% | 1.967 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 5, 2025 | seriea |
Genoa
AC Milan
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.63 | 74.8% | 0.963 | 1.20u | Won | +1.95u |
| May 4, 2025 | seriea |
AS Roma
Fiorentina
|
Draw away | home | 2.40 | 46.9% | 0.274 | 1.20u | Won | +1.68u |
| May 4, 2025 | seriea |
Bologna
Juventus
|
Home draw | away | 4.60 | 47.1% | 1.433 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 4, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.55 | 37.5% | 0.594 | 0.60u | Won | +0.93u |
| May 4, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 70.6% | 0.729 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 3, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Royals
|
Home win | away | 2.55 | 44.0% | 0.427 | 0.60u | Won | +0.93u |
| May 3, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 70.6% | 0.871 | 1.20u | Won | +1.98u |
| May 3, 2025 | seriea |
Lecce
Napoli
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.05 | 55.8% | 0.145 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| May 3, 2025 | seriea |
Internazionale
Hellas Verona
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 72.9% | 0.913 | 1.20u | Won | +1.95u |
| May 2, 2025 | seriea |
Torino
Venezia
|
Home away | draw | 3.00 | 30.6% | 1.083 | 1.20u | Won | +2.40u |
| May 2, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 70.6% | 0.835 | 0.60u | Won | +0.96u |
| May 2, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | away | 3.35 | 44.0% | 0.875 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 1, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 70.6% | 0.518 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 1, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 44.0% | 0.315 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Apr 30, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
Twins
|
Home win | away | 3.50 | 25.0% | 1.625 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 30, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 3.20 | 60.0% | 0.920 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 29, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home win | home | 3.10 | 59.8% | 0.853 | 1.20u | Won | +2.52u |
| Apr 29, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 60.6% | 0.576 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 28, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 60.2% | 0.505 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Apr 28, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 60.7% | 0.487 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 28, 2025 | seriea |
Hellas Verona
Cagliari
|
Home away | draw | 2.65 | 47.8% | 0.383 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 28, 2025 | seriea |
Hellas Verona
Cagliari
|
Home draw | away | 3.70 | 39.4% | 1.244 | 1.20u | Won | +3.24u |
| Apr 27, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 55.6% | 0.278 | 0.60u | Won | +0.78u |
| Apr 27, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 60.7% | 0.396 | 1.20u | Won | +1.56u |
| Apr 27, 2025 | seriea |
Venezia
AC Milan
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.00 | 54.0% | 0.080 | 0.64u | Won | +0.64u |
| Apr 26, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 60.7% | 0.579 | 0.60u | Won | +0.96u |
| Apr 26, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 58.9% | 0.620 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 25, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 60.6% | 0.546 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 25, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 60.2% | 0.234 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 24, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 60.3% | 0.326 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 24, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 59.5% | 0.113 | 0.60u | Won | +0.52u |
| Apr 23, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 60.6% | 0.455 | 1.20u | Won | +1.68u |
| Apr 23, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 60.2% | 0.324 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 23, 2025 | seriea |
Torino
Udinese
|
Home away | draw | 3.10 | 41.1% | 0.825 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 23, 2025 | seriea |
Parma
Juventus
|
Home draw | away | 2.45 | 46.5% | 0.310 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 23, 2025 | seriea |
Cagliari
Fiorentina
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.10 | 58.0% | 0.218 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Apr 22, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 60.2% | 0.264 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 22, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 59.5% | 0.250 | 0.60u | Won | +0.66u |
| Apr 21, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 58.9% | 0.178 | 0.78u | Won | +0.78u |
| Apr 21, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 60.2% | 0.204 | 1.02u | Won | +1.02u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 59.5% | 0.309 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 59.5% | 0.458 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | seriea |
Empoli
Venezia
|
Home draw | away | 2.30 | 34.4% | 0.508 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | seriea |
Lecce
Como
|
Home away | draw | 5.00 | 32.7% | 2.367 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | seriea |
Monza
Napoli
|
Home draw | away | 2.05 | 42.8% | 0.174 | 0.30u | Won | +0.32u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | seriea |
Lecce
Como
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.25 | 50.4% | 0.637 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 59.8% | 0.315 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 59.5% | 0.309 | 0.60u | Won | +0.72u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | seriea |
AS Roma
Hellas Verona
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.30 | 50.8% | 0.168 | 1.03u | Lost | -1.03u |
| Apr 18, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 59.5% | 0.339 | 1.20u | Won | +1.50u |
| Apr 18, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 59.5% | 0.339 | 0.60u | Won | +0.75u |
| Apr 17, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 58.9% | 0.325 | 1.20u | Won | +1.50u |
| Apr 17, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 59.0% | 0.269 | 0.60u | Won | +0.69u |
| Apr 16, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 59.8% | 0.345 | 0.60u | Won | +0.75u |
| Apr 16, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 59.0% | 0.387 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 15, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 61.5% | 0.475 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 15, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 61.4% | 0.444 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Apr 14, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Giants
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 61.5% | 0.200 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 14, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 61.5% | 0.446 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Apr 14, 2025 | seriea |
Napoli
Empoli
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.63 | 54.8% | 0.439 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | seriea |
Lazio
AS Roma
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.05 | 51.2% | 0.050 | 0.38u | Won | +0.40u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 61.4% | 0.475 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 3.05 | 61.5% | 0.875 | 1.20u | Won | +2.46u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Parma
|
Home draw | away | 2.75 | 36.6% | 0.744 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 12, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 61.4% | 0.444 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Apr 12, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 61.5% | 0.568 | 1.20u | Won | +1.86u |
| Apr 12, 2025 | seriea |
Internazionale
Cagliari
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.25 | 56.9% | 0.849 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Apr 12, 2025 | seriea |
Venezia
Monza
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.40 | 55.7% | 0.893 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 11, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 61.4% | 0.259 | 0.60u | Won | +0.63u |
| Apr 11, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 61.5% | 0.445 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Apr 10, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 61.4% | 0.149 | 0.66u | Won | +0.57u |
| Apr 10, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 61.4% | 0.229 | 1.14u | Won | +1.14u |
| Apr 9, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 61.5% | 0.414 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 9, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 61.5% | 0.567 | 1.20u | Won | +1.86u |
| Apr 8, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 61.4% | 0.567 | 1.20u | Won | +1.86u |
| Apr 8, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 61.5% | 0.475 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 7, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 61.4% | 0.413 | 0.60u | Won | +0.78u |
| Apr 7, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 61.4% | 0.534 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Apr 6, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 61.5% | 0.537 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Apr 6, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 61.4% | 0.475 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Apr 6, 2025 | seriea |
AS Roma
Juventus
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.20 | 82.8% | 0.822 | 1.20u | Won | +1.44u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | seriea |
AC Milan
Fiorentina
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.00 | 74.6% | 0.492 | 1.20u | Won | +1.20u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 61.5% | 0.475 | 1.20u | Won | +1.68u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 61.5% | 0.413 | 0.60u | Won | +0.78u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | seriea |
Monza
Como
|
Home away | draw | 3.80 | 49.9% | 0.902 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 4, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 61.4% | 0.536 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Apr 4, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 61.5% | 0.445 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Apr 3, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 61.4% | 0.127 | 0.76u | Won | +0.63u |
| Apr 2, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 61.4% | 0.597 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 2, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 61.4% | 0.720 | 1.20u | Won | +2.16u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 59.1% | 0.389 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 61.0% | 0.464 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 65.2% | 0.402 | 0.60u | Won | +0.69u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 64.1% | 0.473 | 0.60u | Won | +0.78u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.