Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 3, 2026 4:07 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 52.1% | 0.356 | 0.60u | Won | +0.96u |
| Aug 19, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home win | home | 3.10 | 52.1% | 0.617 | 1.20u | Won | +2.52u |
| Aug 18, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 3.40 | 52.1% | 0.773 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 17, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.80 | 52.1% | 0.460 | 1.20u | Won | +2.16u |
| Aug 17, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 52.1% | 0.199 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 16, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 52.1% | 0.147 | 0.61u | Won | +0.73u |
| Aug 16, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 52.1% | 0.147 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Aug 16, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 52.1% | 0.278 | 0.96u | Won | +1.39u |
| Aug 15, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 52.1% | 0.408 | 1.20u | Won | +2.04u |
| Aug 15, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 52.1% | 0.356 | 0.60u | Won | +0.96u |
| Aug 14, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.70 | 52.1% | 0.408 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 14, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 52.1% | 0.382 | 0.60u | Won | +0.99u |
| Aug 13, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 52.1% | 0.382 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Aug 13, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.1% | 0.173 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Aug 12, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 52.1% | 0.278 | 0.96u | Won | +1.39u |
| Aug 12, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 52.1% | 0.278 | 0.84u | Won | +1.22u |
| Aug 11, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 52.1% | 0.252 | 0.84u | Won | +1.18u |
| Aug 11, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 52.1% | 0.278 | 0.96u | Lost | -0.96u |
| Aug 10, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 52.1% | 0.252 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Aug 10, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 52.1% | 0.147 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Aug 8, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 52.1% | 0.252 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Aug 7, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 52.1% | 0.225 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Aug 6, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.1% | 0.173 | 0.60u | Won | +0.75u |
| Aug 6, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home win | home | 3.20 | 52.1% | 0.669 | 1.20u | Won | +2.64u |
| Aug 5, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 37.5% | 0.312 | 1.20u | Won | +1.32u |
| Aug 5, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 54.5% | 0.171 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 4, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Astros
|
Home win | away | 2.65 | 44.9% | 0.460 | 1.20u | Won | +1.98u |
| Aug 4, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 54.7% | 0.176 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 3, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 59.2% | 0.391 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Aug 3, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.70 | 49.0% | 0.378 | 0.60u | Won | +1.02u |
| Aug 2, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Braves
|
Home win | home | 1.80 | 72.3% | 0.301 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 2, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 3.00 | 56.3% | 0.689 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 1, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Royals
|
Home win | away | 2.25 | 46.5% | 0.203 | 0.22u | Won | +0.28u |
| Aug 1, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 51.2% | 0.204 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Aug 1, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 52.0% | 0.222 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Jul 30, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 56.3% | 0.379 | 0.60u | Won | +0.87u |
| Jul 30, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 61.4% | 0.382 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 29, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 56.9% | 0.309 | 1.19u | Won | +1.55u |
| Jul 29, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.05 | 41.4% | 0.201 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Jul 28, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 3.00 | 58.2% | 0.747 | 1.20u | Won | +2.40u |
| Jul 28, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Mets
|
Home win | away | 3.30 | 47.3% | 0.738 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 27, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 52.9% | 0.270 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Jul 27, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 55.1% | 0.349 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 26, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Guardians
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 48.6% | 0.208 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Jul 26, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 57.1% | 0.312 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 25, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 47.7% | 0.465 | 1.20u | Won | +2.16u |
| Jul 25, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 63.8% | 0.307 | 0.60u | Won | +0.63u |
| Jul 24, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Blue Jays
|
Home win | away | 2.25 | 49.2% | 0.143 | 0.57u | Won | +0.71u |
| Jul 23, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Tigers
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 48.0% | 0.455 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 23, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.35 | 45.4% | 0.283 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 22, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 53.9% | 0.294 | 1.05u | Won | +1.47u |
| Jul 22, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 60.5% | 0.270 | 0.75u | Won | +0.83u |
| Jul 21, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 56.3% | 0.380 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Jul 21, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 56.8% | 0.165 | 0.60u | Won | +0.63u |
| Jul 20, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 51.0% | 0.276 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 20, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Twins
|
Home win | home | 3.00 | 53.9% | 0.618 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 19, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 55.4% | 0.469 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 19, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 65.0% | 0.397 | 0.60u | Won | +0.69u |
| Jul 18, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 60.7% | 0.516 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Jul 18, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 56.8% | 0.278 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 13, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 57.7% | 0.268 | 1.12u | Won | +1.34u |
| Jul 13, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 59.3% | 0.245 | 0.68u | Won | +0.75u |
| Jul 12, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 58.3% | 0.400 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Jul 12, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 57.4% | 0.407 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 11, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 61.5% | 0.446 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 11, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 50.1% | 0.253 | 0.60u | Won | +0.90u |
| Jul 10, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 55.6% | 0.472 | 1.20u | Won | +1.98u |
| Jul 10, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 54.4% | 0.198 | 0.60u | Won | +0.72u |
| Jul 9, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 62.2% | 0.400 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 9, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 61.8% | 0.360 | 0.60u | Won | +0.72u |
| Jul 8, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 55.4% | 0.136 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Jul 8, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Mets
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 60.5% | 0.131 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Jul 8, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 53.2% | 0.144 | 0.63u | Won | +0.72u |
| Jul 7, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 62.0% | 0.365 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 7, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 3.00 | 43.0% | 0.710 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 6, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.85 | 55.1% | 0.571 | 1.20u | Won | +2.22u |
| Jul 6, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 57.4% | 0.493 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 5, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.75 | 48.6% | 0.414 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 5, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 65.3% | 0.664 | 1.20u | Won | +1.86u |
| Jul 4, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Reds
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 62.7% | 0.171 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 4, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 64.7% | 0.424 | 1.20u | Won | +1.44u |
| Jul 3, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 53.3% | 0.146 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Jul 3, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 55.4% | 0.190 | 0.83u | Won | +0.95u |
| Jul 3, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 56.0% | 0.149 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Jul 2, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 55.3% | 0.190 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Jul 2, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 57.9% | 0.186 | 0.18u | Won | +0.19u |
| Jul 2, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 52.5% | 0.208 | 0.80u | Won | +1.04u |
| Jul 1, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.65 | 45.7% | 0.438 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 1, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.65 | 46.6% | 0.416 | 0.60u | Won | +0.99u |
| Jun 30, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 60.8% | 0.398 | 1.20u | Won | +1.56u |
| Jun 30, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 53.9% | 0.186 | 0.60u | Won | +0.72u |
| Jun 29, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Rays
|
Home win | away | 2.80 | 45.5% | 0.527 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 29, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 61.3% | 0.196 | 0.60u | Won | +0.57u |
| Jun 28, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 59.8% | 0.227 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 28, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 57.9% | 0.303 | 1.20u | Won | +1.50u |
| Jun 27, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 52.3% | 0.229 | 0.72u | Won | +0.97u |
| Jun 27, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 57.2% | 0.259 | 1.08u | Lost | -1.08u |
| Jun 26, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
Blue Jays
|
Home win | away | 2.55 | 43.4% | 0.444 | 1.20u | Won | +1.86u |
| Jun 26, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 56.6% | 0.218 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 25, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 56.5% | 0.553 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.