Player Dossiers

Player Props

Model probability, EV, and edge on player prop markets.

Props Healthy 10 minutes ago

AD TEST MODE

PROPS HEADER

Mock Placement 970x250

Player props are not tracked in My Ledger. Props ROI is tracked separately below and builds daily. Odds are sourced from live market providers or estimated synthetically when live lines are unavailable.

Universe — all picks that passed the minimum EV filter, settled at 1u flat stake each. Staked — recommended picks only, settled at Kelly-sized stake. Compare to Universe to see if the recommendation filter adds value. By Sport — universe ROI broken down per sport, so you can see which markets the model is actually winning in.

These stats include historical bets from Earned Runs Allowed, Hits, Goals, Runs, Saves — markets since retired after live performance analysis. Active-market performance is higher; retired rows are dimmed in the breakdown below.

Real odds: 91.9% 1,140 of 1,241 priced from live lines

Win Rate

47.5%

590W / 651L

ROI

-11%

on stake

Total P&L

-14.51u

units

Settled Picks

1,241

bets evaluated

Market	Bets	Win%	ROI%	Units P&L
Rebounds	134	56.7%	+35.3%	+4.82u
Points + Rebounds + Assists	130	55.4%	+1.3%	+0.1u
Rebounds + Assists	117	57.3%	+18.3%	+1.04u
Points	111	47.7%	-10%	-0.56u
Strikeouts	107	51.4%	+2.8%	+0.42u
3-PT Made	107	38.3%	-1.6%	-0.1u
RBIs	91	36.3%	-5.3%	-0.17u
Runs + Hits + RBIs	66	47%	-3.2%	-0.44u

Cumulative P&L (units)

Growth of flat-1u ROI over time

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Real odds: 95.1% 1,064 of 1,119 priced from live lines

Win Rate

47.5%

531W / 588L

ROI

-0.8%

on stake

Total P&L

-0.29u

units

Settled Picks

1,119

bets evaluated

Market	Bets	Win%	ROI%	Units P&L
Points + Rebounds + Assists	130	55.4%	+1.3%	+0.1u
Rebounds	123	55.3%	+11.7%	+0.31u
Rebounds + Assists	114	57%	+6.8%	+0.18u
Points	111	47.7%	-10%	-0.56u
3-PT Made	103	37.9%	-15.3%	-0.32u
Strikeouts	94	51.1%	+8.6%	+0.25u
RBIs	86	33.7%	-14%	-0.43u
Runs + Hits + RBIs	53	47.2%	+3.1%	+0.03u

Cumulative P&L (units)

Growth of flat-1u ROI over time

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Sport	Bets	Win%	ROI%	Units P&L
nba	636	49.5%	+0.7%	+0.31u
mlb	451	46.8%	-19.3%	-12.83u
nhl	97	35.1%	-15.1%	-2.42u
wnba	57	52.6%	+10%	+0.43u

Settled daily against final box scores. Does not affect My Ledger. Odds sourced from live consensus lines where available; model-estimated otherwise. Early data may reflect limited sample size.

Odds are hidden. Sign up for a free trial to see market odds, model probabilities, and market comparisons. Start Free Trial →

EV & Edge are locked. Supporter access unlocks expected value, edge percentages, and Kelly stake sizing. See Supporter access →

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Confidence

Recommended only

Upcoming only

Min EV: Supporter+ to use

These are display filters only — they narrow your view but don't change what the engine evaluates or how it sizes bets. EV, edge, and stake thresholds are set in the prediction pipeline and reflected by the Recommended flag.

570 props found

Trend

MLB · Home Runs Model

Gabriel Arias

MLB · Cleveland Guardians

Los Angeles Angels @ Cleveland Guardians Los Angeles Angels logo

May 12, 6:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Avail

10-DAY-IL ← recent

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Adam Frazier

MLB · Los Angeles Angels

Los Angeles Angels @ Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians logo

May 12, 6:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Petey Halpin

MLB · Cleveland Guardians

Los Angeles Angels @ Cleveland Guardians Los Angeles Angels logo

May 12, 6:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Amed Rosario

MLB · New York Yankees

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles logo

May 12, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Leody Taveras

MLB · Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees logo

May 12, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Adley Rutschman

MLB · Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees logo

May 12, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Avail

10-DAY-IL ← recent

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Jose Caballero

MLB · New York Yankees

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles logo

May 12, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Avail

OUT ← recent

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Jeremiah Jackson

MLB · Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees logo

May 12, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Ben Rice

MLB · New York Yankees

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles logo

May 12, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Avail

DAY-TO-DAY ← recent

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Coby Mayo

MLB · Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees logo

May 12, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Pete Alonso

MLB · Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees logo

May 12, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Paul Goldschmidt

MLB · New York Yankees

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles logo

May 12, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Samuel Basallo

MLB · Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees logo

May 12, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Gunnar Henderson

MLB · Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees logo

May 12, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Aaron Judge

MLB · New York Yankees

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles logo

May 12, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Tyler O'Neill

MLB · Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees logo

May 12, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Avail

7-DAY IL ← recent

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Jasson Dominguez

MLB · New York Yankees

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles logo

May 12, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Avail

10-DAY-IL ← recent

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Max Schuemann

MLB · New York Yankees

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles logo

May 12, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Payton Henry

MLB · New York Yankees

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles logo

May 12, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Blaze Alexander

MLB · Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees logo

May 12, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Ryan Mountcastle

MLB · Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees logo

May 12, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Avail

60-DAY-IL ← recent

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Ryan McMahon

MLB · New York Yankees

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles logo

May 12, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Taylor Ward

MLB · Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees logo

May 12, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Paul DeJong

MLB · New York Yankees

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles logo

May 12, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Sam Huff

MLB · Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees logo

May 12, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →