Player Dossiers
Player Props
Model probability, EV, and edge on player prop markets.
Universe — all picks that passed the minimum EV filter, settled at 1u flat stake each. Staked — recommended picks only, settled at Kelly-sized stake. Compare to Universe to see if the recommendation filter adds value. By Sport — universe ROI broken down per sport, so you can see which markets the model is actually winning in.
Win Rate
47.5%
590W / 651L
ROI
-11%
on stake
Total P&L
-14.51u
units
Settled Picks
1,241
bets evaluated
| Market | Bets | Win% | ROI% | Units P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebounds | 134 | 56.7% | +35.3% | +4.82u |
| Points + Rebounds + Assists | 130 | 55.4% | +1.3% | +0.1u |
| Rebounds + Assists | 117 | 57.3% | +18.3% | +1.04u |
| Points | 111 | 47.7% | -10% | -0.56u |
| Strikeouts | 107 | 51.4% | +2.8% | +0.42u |
| 3-PT Made | 107 | 38.3% | -1.6% | -0.1u |
| RBIs | 91 | 36.3% | -5.3% | -0.17u |
| Runs + Hits + RBIs | 66 | 47% | -3.2% | -0.44u |
Cumulative P&L (units)
Growth of flat-1u ROI over time
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Win Rate
47.5%
531W / 588L
ROI
-0.8%
on stake
Total P&L
-0.29u
units
Settled Picks
1,119
bets evaluated
| Market | Bets | Win% | ROI% | Units P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points + Rebounds + Assists | 130 | 55.4% | +1.3% | +0.1u |
| Rebounds | 123 | 55.3% | +11.7% | +0.31u |
| Rebounds + Assists | 114 | 57% | +6.8% | +0.18u |
| Points | 111 | 47.7% | -10% | -0.56u |
| 3-PT Made | 103 | 37.9% | -15.3% | -0.32u |
| Strikeouts | 94 | 51.1% | +8.6% | +0.25u |
| RBIs | 86 | 33.7% | -14% | -0.43u |
| Runs + Hits + RBIs | 53 | 47.2% | +3.1% | +0.03u |
Cumulative P&L (units)
Growth of flat-1u ROI over time
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| Sport | Bets | Win% | ROI% | Units P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba | 636 | 49.5% | +0.7% | +0.31u |
| mlb | 451 | 46.8% | -19.3% | -12.83u |
| nhl | 97 | 35.1% | -15.1% | -2.42u |
| wnba | 57 | 52.6% | +10% | +0.43u |
Settled daily against final box scores. Does not affect My Ledger. Odds sourced from live consensus lines where available; model-estimated otherwise. Early data may reflect limited sample size.
These are display filters only — they narrow your view but don't change what the engine evaluates or how it sizes bets. EV, edge, and stake thresholds are set in the prediction pipeline and reflected by the Recommended flag.