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picks · 2 min read

**Toronto Shock: Leafs ML +180**

We've identified 8 NHL games with significant edges today. Use your brain, not your heart, to bet wisely and manage your bankroll accordingly.

Sherlock
Analysis and editorial

Today we've got 8 NHL picks and I'm feeling confident. Yesterday was 19-14 (+0.57) and the model is hot right now. We're crushing the numbers, so let's keep it up. You don't want to miss out on this action.

Today's NHL Plays

  • Carolina Hurricanes @ Toronto Maple Leafs (7:00 PM ET) — Toronto Maple Leafs ML (+180) | Model: 52.3% | Implied: 35.7% | Edge: +18.1% | EV: +0.46u | Stake: 0.64u
  • Colorado Avalanche @ Chicago Blackhawks (8:30 PM ET) — Chicago Blackhawks ML (+235) | Model: 52.3% | Implied: 29.9% | Edge: +23.7% | EV: +0.75u | Stake: 1.36u
  • Colorado Avalanche @ Chicago Blackhawks (8:30 PM ET) — Colorado Avalanche +1.5 (-110) | Model: 60.8% | Implied: 52.4% | Edge: +10.8% | EV: +0.16u | Stake: 0.35u
  • Florida Panthers @ Calgary Flames (9:00 PM ET) — Florida Panthers +1.5 (-110) | Model: 60.6% | Implied: 52.4% | Edge: +10.6% | EV: +0.16u | Stake: 0.34u
  • Anaheim Ducks @ Utah Mammoth (10:00 PM ET) — Anaheim Ducks -1.5 (-110) | Model: 60.5% | Implied: 52.4% | Edge: +10.5% | EV: +0.16u | Stake: 0.33u
  • Winnipeg Jets @ Pittsburgh Penguins (1:00 PM ET) — Winnipeg Jets 0.0 (-110) | Model: 60.4% | Implied: 52.4% | Edge: +10.4% | EV: +0.15u | Stake: 0.32u
  • New York Islanders @ Montreal Canadiens (7:00 PM ET) — New York Islanders 0.0 (-110) | Model: 60.4% | Implied: 52.4% | Edge: +10.4% | EV: +0.15u | Stake: 0.32u
  • Boston Bruins @ Detroit Red Wings (8:00 PM ET) — Boston Bruins 0.0 (-110) | Model: 60.5% | Implied: 52.4% | Edge: +10.5% | EV: +0.16u | Stake: 0.33u

Breaking Down the Value

Here's what the numbers say on today's NHL slate.

Carolina Hurricanes @ Toronto Maple Leafs (7:00 PM ET): Taking Toronto Maple Leafs ML (+180) — model says 52.3%, market implies 35.7%, giving us a 18.1% edge.

Colorado Avalanche @ Chicago Blackhawks (8:30 PM ET): Taking Chicago Blackhawks ML (+235) — model says 52.3%, market implies 29.9%, giving us a 23.7% edge.

Colorado Avalanche @ Chicago Blackhawks (8:30 PM ET): Taking Colorado Avalanche +1.5 (-110) — model says 60.8%, market implies 52.4%, giving us a 10.8% edge.

Florida Panthers @ Calgary Flames (9:00 PM ET): Taking Florida Panthers +1.5 (-110) — model says 60.6%, market implies 52.4%, giving us a 10.6% edge.

Anaheim Ducks @ Utah Mammoth (10:00 PM ET): Taking Anaheim Ducks -1.5 (-110) — model says 60.5%, market implies 52.4%, giving us a 10.5% edge.

Winnipeg Jets @ Pittsburgh Penguins (1:00 PM ET): Taking Winnipeg Jets 0.0 (-110) — model says 60.4%, market implies 52.4%, giving us a 10.4% edge.

New York Islanders @ Montreal Canadiens (7:00 PM ET): Taking New York Islanders 0.0 (-110) — model says 60.4%, market implies 52.4%, giving us a 10.4% edge.

Boston Bruins @ Detroit Red Wings (8:00 PM ET): Taking Boston Bruins 0.0 (-110) — model says 60.5%, market implies 52.4%, giving us a 10.5% edge.

Final Word

Here are our NHL picks for today, featuring 8 plays with significant edges. Bet wisely and manage your bankroll accordingly. Don't let the sportsbook get one over on you — use your brain, not your heart.

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