Cubs vs Padres: Look for Chatwood to Dominate in Friendly Confines

We've got 15 plays on today's MLB slate. Yesterday: 19-17 (-0.05 units). Let's get right into it.

Today's MLB Plays

• Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET) — UNDER 8.5 (-105) | Model: 57.2% | Implied: 51.2% | Edge: +8.3% | EV: +0.12u | Stake: 0.18u
• Colorado Rockies @ Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET) — Colorado Rockies First 5 (+209) | Model: 40.5% | Implied: 32.4% | Edge: +9.5% | EV: +0.25u | Stake: 0.30u
• Los Angeles Angels @ Chicago Cubs (7:40 PM ET) — UNDER 10.0 (-105) | Model: 58.7% | Implied: 51.2% | Edge: +9.8% | EV: +0.15u | Stake: 0.23u
• San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET) — YRFI (+130) | Model: 50.1% | Implied: 43.5% | Edge: +8.0% | EV: +0.15u | Stake: 0.23u
• Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 PM ET) — YRFI (+130) | Model: 49.0% | Implied: 43.5% | Edge: +6.9% | EV: +0.13u | Stake: 0.20u
• Texas Rangers @ Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) — Texas Rangers 0.0 (-110) | Model: 64.5% | Implied: 52.4% | Edge: +14.5% | EV: +0.23u | Stake: 0.26u
• Chicago White Sox @ Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET) — Chicago White Sox 0.0 (-110) | Model: 70.8% | Implied: 52.4% | Edge: +20.8% | EV: +0.35u | Stake: 0.40u
• Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET) — Pittsburgh Pirates 0.0 (-110) | Model: 67.1% | Implied: 52.4% | Edge: +17.1% | EV: +0.28u | Stake: 0.37u
• Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies (6:40 PM ET) — Washington Nationals 0.0 (-110) | Model: 60.7% | Implied: 52.4% | Edge: +10.7% | EV: +0.16u | Stake: 0.13u
• Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET) — UNDER 8.5 (-110) | Model: 57.2% | Implied: 52.4% | Edge: +7.2% | EV: +0.09u | Stake: 0.15u
• Athletics @ Atlanta Braves (7:15 PM ET) — UNDER 8.5 (-110) | Model: 56.5% | Implied: 52.4% | Edge: +6.5% | EV: +0.08u | Stake: 0.13u
• Tampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers (7:40 PM ET) — Tampa Bay Rays 0.0 (-110) | Model: 64.0% | Implied: 52.4% | Edge: +14.0% | EV: +0.22u | Stake: 0.24u
• Los Angeles Angels @ Chicago Cubs (7:40 PM ET) — UNDER 8.5 (-110) | Model: 62.2% | Implied: 52.4% | Edge: +12.2% | EV: +0.19u | Stake: 0.31u
• New York Mets @ St. Louis Cardinals (7:45 PM ET) — New York Mets 0.0 (-110) | Model: 69.5% | Implied: 52.4% | Edge: +19.5% | EV: +0.33u | Stake: 0.40u
• New York Mets @ St. Louis Cardinals (7:45 PM ET) — UNDER 8.5 (-110) | Model: 58.4% | Implied: 52.4% | Edge: +8.4% | EV: +0.11u | Stake: 0.19u

Breaking Down the Value

In conclusion, we recommend betting on the Oakland Athletics and New York Mets tonight based on their recent form and our model's prediction. Meanwhile, we suggest staying away from the Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies due to their poor performance lately and high odds set by the oddsmakers.

Final Word

We've covered 15 plays with real edges tonight, so good luck out there — make sure you manage your bankroll and stick to our core rules. Let's see what the weekend brings!