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PERFORMANCE HEADER
Mock Placement 728x90
UF

UFC

combat • Performance Deep Dive

Games Historic Upcoming Players Injuries
Accuracy
61.9%

Out-of-sample

AUC-ROC
0.637

Discrimination score

Log Loss
0.6342

Lower is better

Brier Score
0.2230

Probability calibration

152 validation folds

Fold-by-Fold Metrics

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Betting Simulation

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Recommendation ROI
Recommendation Win Rate
Universe ROI
Universe Win Rate

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Model: LightGBMModel
Calibration: platt